s**x
发帖数: 7506 | 1 http://news.yahoo.com/poll-latino-vote-devastated-gop-even-wors
Mitt Romney lost Latinos by unprecedented margins -- even worse than the
initial exit polls showed -- according to a study by Latino Decisions.
An election eve poll of 5,600 voters across all 50 states by the group,
which has researched the Latino vote throughout the campaign, concluded
Obama won by an eye-popping 75-23 margin. Their research concluded that CNN'
s exit poll estimate of 71 percent of Latinos breaking to Obama likely
undercounted their support, although they agreed with the assessment that
turnout equaled 10 percent of the electorate.
Slideshow: The Agony And Ecstacy Of Election Night
"For the first time in US history, the Latino vote can plausibly claim to be
nationally decisive," Stanford University university professor Gary Segura,
who conducted the study, told reporters.
According to Segura, the Latino vote provided Obama with 5.4 percent of his
margin over Romney, well more than his overall lead in the popular vote. Had
Romney managed even 35 percent of the Latino vote, he said, the results may
have flipped nationally.
The effect was at least as dramatic in swing states, most notably in
Colorado, which Obama won on Tuesday. There Latinos went for the president
by an astounding 87-10 margin, an edge not far from the near-monolithic
support he received from African American voters. In Ohio, with a smaller
but still significant Latino population, Obama won by an 82-17 margin.
"This poll makes clear what we've known for a long time: the Latino Giant is
wide awake, cranky, and its taking names," Eliseo Medina, Secretary-
Treasurer of the SEIU, told reporters Wednesday on a conference call
discussing the results.
Beyond the eye-popping margin of victory, the internal numbers helped
explain why many of the Republican's efforts to deal with the problem
fizzled in 2012. Romney tacked hard right on illegal immigration,
recommending a policy of "self-deportation," but he hoped that by stressing
his dedication to legal immigration he might mitigate the damage.
The reason that didn't work, according to the study, is that Latino citizens
are too personally connected to undocumented residents to separate the
issue. Some 60 percent of high propensity Latino voters say they know
someone who is living in the country illegally.
"You're not talking about an abstract immigrant, you're talking about
someone the respondent knows and cares for and may in fact be related to,"
Segura said.
For the GOP, his conclusion was simple: "The Republicans need to make this
go away."
The starting point would be comprehensive immigration reform that includes a
path to citizenship for undocumented residents, a move he says could at
least chip away at Democrats' increasing strength with the community. But
selling that to the conservative base is going to be a tough slog and could
invite a damaging backlash all its own, leaving the future fraught with
danger for the right. | d****u
发帖数: 272 | 2 Asians or Chinese MUST find an issue that can unite us all. For Latinos
it was immigration. What can the uniting issue be for Asians/Chinese?
Education? Tax? Affirmative action?
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
【在 s**x 的大作中提到】
: http://news.yahoo.com/poll-latino-vote-devastated-gop-even-wors
: Mitt Romney lost Latinos by unprecedented margins -- even worse than the
: initial exit polls showed -- according to a study by Latino Decisions.
: An election eve poll of 5,600 voters across all 50 states by the group,
: which has researched the Latino vote throughout the campaign, concluded
: Obama won by an eye-popping 75-23 margin. Their research concluded that CNN'
: s exit poll estimate of 71 percent of Latinos breaking to Obama likely
: undercounted their support, although they agreed with the assessment that
: turnout equaled 10 percent of the electorate.
: Slideshow: The Agony And Ecstacy Of Election Night
| F******w
发帖数: 1278 | 3 doesn't matter. what can 1% population mainly distributed in
NY and CA do.
nothing.
the only way is to change the electoral vote system which is ridculous.
【在 d****u 的大作中提到】
: Asians or Chinese MUST find an issue that can unite us all. For Latinos
: it was immigration. What can the uniting issue be for Asians/Chinese?
: Education? Tax? Affirmative action?
:
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
| s**x
发帖数: 7506 | 4 our people are too few to make a difference nationally I think.
【在 d****u 的大作中提到】
: Asians or Chinese MUST find an issue that can unite us all. For Latinos
: it was immigration. What can the uniting issue be for Asians/Chinese?
: Education? Tax? Affirmative action?
:
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
| s**x
发帖数: 7506 | 5 the electoral vote is not that bad. the first time I heard I thought it is
crazy.
it does not matter much. Most presidents won popular votes as well.
so that will not change the results except for 2000. it happened a couple of
times before that two, but too few to matter.
plus, some states already changed to overide the electoral votes and CA is
one of them.
【在 F******w 的大作中提到】
: doesn't matter. what can 1% population mainly distributed in
: NY and CA do.
: nothing.
: the only way is to change the electoral vote system which is ridculous.
| F******w
发帖数: 1278 | 6 you mean the governer election?
of
【在 s**x 的大作中提到】
: the electoral vote is not that bad. the first time I heard I thought it is
: crazy.
: it does not matter much. Most presidents won popular votes as well.
: so that will not change the results except for 2000. it happened a couple of
: times before that two, but too few to matter.
: plus, some states already changed to overide the electoral votes and CA is
: one of them.
| s**x
发帖数: 7506 | 7 no, electorial college votes.
【在 F******w 的大作中提到】
: you mean the governer election?
:
: of
| d****d
发帖数: 699 | 8 多生养，要求每个亚裔25岁前有5个孩子。百年后就有希望了。
【在 d****u 的大作中提到】
: Asians or Chinese MUST find an issue that can unite us all. For Latinos
: it was immigration. What can the uniting issue be for Asians/Chinese?
: Education? Tax? Affirmative action?
:
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
| M*******n
发帖数: 10087 | | M*******c
发帖数: 4371 | | M*******c
发帖数: 4371 | 11 以民主之名，
实行多数对少数的暴政
【在 s**x 的大作中提到】
: our people are too few to make a difference nationally I think.
| t***i
发帖数: 204 | 12 Actually it matters a lot. If you look at the popular vote, the difference
is not that big, often just a few percentage points. With Asian now account
for 3% of the population, we can swing the election if we vote as a bloc.
of
【在 s**x 的大作中提到】
: the electoral vote is not that bad. the first time I heard I thought it is
: crazy.
: it does not matter much. Most presidents won popular votes as well.
: so that will not change the results except for 2000. it happened a couple of
: times before that two, but too few to matter.
: plus, some states already changed to overide the electoral votes and CA is
: one of them.
| s**x
发帖数: 7506 | 13 that is a big IF. if all whites vote the same thing, all other races
probably do not count.
difference
account
【在 t***i 的大作中提到】
: Actually it matters a lot. If you look at the popular vote, the difference
: is not that big, often just a few percentage points. With Asian now account
: for 3% of the population, we can swing the election if we vote as a bloc.
:
: of
|
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