l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 1 http://www.benzinga.com/node/85188
The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) are trading lower today as the price of
gold retreats and that is encouraging
some bearish options trade in the ETF.
Investors have purchased of 20,000 September 60 puts, 20,000 September 90
puts and the sale of 40,000
September 75 puts. Volume was five times above open interest in all the
strikes.
The bottom line is that options traders are apparently betting on a big drop
(30% or more) in GLD, which was
one of 2009's top perfo |
S******n
发帖数: 1009 | 2 gold drops a lot recently
90
drop
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.benzinga.com/node/85188
: The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) are trading lower today as the price of
: gold retreats and that is encouraging
: some bearish options trade in the ETF.
: Investors have purchased of 20,000 September 60 puts, 20,000 September 90
: puts and the sale of 40,000
: September 75 puts. Volume was five times above open interest in all the
: strikes.
: The bottom line is that options traders are apparently betting on a big drop
: (30% or more) in GLD, which was
|
g*********0
发帖数: 672 | 3 这种消息，事后诸葛亮，
说对了就出来，说错了当笑过，呵呵
和早盘future涨跌一大堆推理一样的
关键怎么才能看今后走势呢？
市场是trader 主导还是 investor主导呢？
drop
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.benzinga.com/node/85188
: The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) are trading lower today as the price of
: gold retreats and that is encouraging
: some bearish options trade in the ETF.
: Investors have purchased of 20,000 September 60 puts, 20,000 September 90
: puts and the sale of 40,000
: September 75 puts. Volume was five times above open interest in all the
: strikes.
: The bottom line is that options traders are apparently betting on a big drop
: (30% or more) in GLD, which was
|
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 4 加上之前$USD的小牛旗，很后悔没有转手short NEM ... |
g*********0
发帖数: 672 | 5 lili是TA派还是FA派？
感觉TA的东西像算八卦一样 |
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 6 从small speculator的仓位来看，目前市场情绪对美元是过于bullish了，黄金可能会
涨一下 |
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 7 US Dollar
Jason said the largest speculative position is long the US dollar now which
is very bearish (sentiment wise). The Rydex fund flows are “not extreme but
close” and there is too much optimism. Typically when we see a shift in
sentiment like this, the trend higher can’t continue. Also, the correlation
between the US dollar and stocks has weakened. |
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 8 TA哈，
FA太复杂了，需要自己的定价模型。。。 不是专业的恐怕弄不来。。。
【在 g*********0 的大作中提到】
: lili是TA派还是FA派？
: 感觉TA的东西像算八卦一样
|
c******g
发帖数: 1611 | 9 哪天的？我来查查
drop
熊早晚有
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.benzinga.com/node/85188
: The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) are trading lower today as the price of
: gold retreats and that is encouraging
: some bearish options trade in the ETF.
: Investors have purchased of 20,000 September 60 puts, 20,000 September 90
: puts and the sale of 40,000
: September 75 puts. Volume was five times above open interest in all the
: strikes.
: The bottom line is that options traders are apparently betting on a big drop
: (30% or more) in GLD, which was
|
g*********0
发帖数: 672 | 10 偶只懂FA，
TA对我来说就像是平面几何画辅助线，都不知道画哪里是对的，简直是TA盲 一个
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: TA哈，
: FA太复杂了，需要自己的定价模型。。。 不是专业的恐怕弄不来。。。
|
|
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 11 不画也行啊，我就很少画线，目测，哈哈
反正都是"信则有，不信则无"了
【在 g*********0 的大作中提到】
: 偶只懂FA，
: TA对我来说就像是平面几何画辅助线，都不知道画哪里是对的，简直是TA盲 一个
|
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 12 这则消息是12号的。。
【在 c******g 的大作中提到】
: 哪天的？我来查查
:
: drop
: 熊早晚有
|
w****l
发帖数: 6122 | 13 这种下注押option的，一般是smart money,能指出一定方向。
【在 g*********0 的大作中提到】
: 这种消息，事后诸葛亮，
: 说对了就出来，说错了当笑过，呵呵
: 和早盘future涨跌一大堆推理一样的
: 关键怎么才能看今后走势呢？
: 市场是trader 主导还是 investor主导呢？
:
: drop
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 14 这不是我经常问的那个问题吗？
到底是先有鸡，还是先有蛋
【在 w****l 的大作中提到】
: 这种下注押option的，一般是smart money,能指出一定方向。
|
w****l
发帖数: 6122 | 15 跟着这些smart money走啊，管他什么因果关系。 |
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 16 今天$USD pattern挺bearish的，UUP 23.2好像阻力非常强。 量也在减小。
不过跌也是暂时的，我觉得。 突破是迟早的事情了。。
which
but
correlation
【在 b********y 的大作中提到】
: US Dollar
: Jason said the largest speculative position is long the US dollar now which
: is very bearish (sentiment wise). The Rydex fund flows are “not extreme but
: close” and there is too much optimism. Typically when we see a shift in
: sentiment like this, the trend higher can’t continue. Also, the correlation
: between the US dollar and stocks has weakened.
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 17 Fed has a few ways to suppress gold price in recent years (or decades):
A. Gold lease
B. Paper fraud (GLD etf) / naked short in COMEX & LDMEX
C. Collude w/ IMF to spreads rumors about gold sale.
D. A major financial firm crashes to force asset liquidation.
E. Busting a sovereign economy (say Dubai) to strengthen Dollars.
A is no longer effective as they run out of Fort Knox' gold long time ago,
which is why you start see tungsten bar fraud now.
B is in trouble too as more and more buyers ask for |
C***x
发帖数: 468 | 18 为啥总有人认为Fed在打压金价呢？
更可笑的是把这个D认为是Fed为压金价使出的手段。 |
