i****a 发帖数: 36252 | 1 day 1: euro is week. 股市瘋掉
day 2: jobless claim is 451k, 1000 fewer than prediction. 股市瘋漲
day 3: adjusted jobless claim is 453k, 1000 higher than prediction. 股市瘋掉
day 4: euro is looking better. 股市瘋漲
day 5: oh, no, euro is not looking as good as yesterday! 股市瘋掉
day 6: government created 2000 jobs! 股市瘋漲
day 7: factory orders up! 股市瘋漲
day 8: oh no, jobless claim is higher than last week! 股市瘋掉 |
c*******r 发帖数: 6971 | 2 美国的数据比TG统计局的数据都TMD不可信
经常按照需求修正以前的,然后衬托现在的数据是变好还是变坏
完全是按照需要来。我就没见过几次不修正的
【在 i****a 的大作中提到】 : day 1: euro is week. 股市瘋掉 : day 2: jobless claim is 451k, 1000 fewer than prediction. 股市瘋漲 : day 3: adjusted jobless claim is 453k, 1000 higher than prediction. 股市瘋掉 : day 4: euro is looking better. 股市瘋漲 : day 5: oh, no, euro is not looking as good as yesterday! 股市瘋掉 : day 6: government created 2000 jobs! 股市瘋漲 : day 7: factory orders up! 股市瘋漲 : day 8: oh no, jobless claim is higher than last week! 股市瘋掉
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o****e 发帖数: 4946 | 3 这说明有人在操纵
【在 c*******r 的大作中提到】 : 美国的数据比TG统计局的数据都TMD不可信 : 经常按照需求修正以前的,然后衬托现在的数据是变好还是变坏 : 完全是按照需要来。我就没见过几次不修正的
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s********i 发帖数: 17328 | 4 我有点儿不明白所谓的jobless claim,4万的数字,相对整个work force来说统计误差
都上万了,也能用来作为指标? |
c*******r 发帖数: 6971 | 5 而且统计时还经常排除这个排除那个的,我都不知道这数字有啥好激动的
【在 s********i 的大作中提到】 : 我有点儿不明白所谓的jobless claim,4万的数字,相对整个work force来说统计误差 : 都上万了,也能用来作为指标?
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g***l 发帖数: 18555 | 6 It has nothing to do with the numbers |
s*******e 发帖数: 432 | 7 it is normal to adjust # since not all data available at the first
publication. |
i****a 发帖数: 36252 | 8 oppss... missed a 0
【在 s********i 的大作中提到】 : 我有点儿不明白所谓的jobless claim,4万的数字,相对整个work force来说统计误差 : 都上万了,也能用来作为指标?
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E**O 发帖数: 1980 | 9 应该说股市开始回归理性,四月份的NASDAQ达到了2007夏天的水平,难道我们的经济已
经那么好了?就算有几个月领先也不至于炒得那么高。我一直在想这要怎么收场。
【在 i****a 的大作中提到】 : day 1: euro is week. 股市瘋掉 : day 2: jobless claim is 451k, 1000 fewer than prediction. 股市瘋漲 : day 3: adjusted jobless claim is 453k, 1000 higher than prediction. 股市瘋掉 : day 4: euro is looking better. 股市瘋漲 : day 5: oh, no, euro is not looking as good as yesterday! 股市瘋掉 : day 6: government created 2000 jobs! 股市瘋漲 : day 7: factory orders up! 股市瘋漲 : day 8: oh no, jobless claim is higher than last week! 股市瘋掉
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i****a 发帖数: 36252 | |
m*******r 发帖数: 4468 | |