v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 1 given that the mid-term election is around the corner and the market has tak
en a pretty good 5-month consolidation. I think the midterm bottom is upon u
s. there will be a short term consolidation at the 10400--11000 area, but it
will be just a matter of time before the market breaks out from there and c
laim pre-2008 territory. I think 2011 will be a very good year. there is a l
ot of money to be made by traders with positive attitude, good chart reading
skills, great greed, and great patience |
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 2 by the way, 下周如果没有特殊的消息出来, 我看10550--10600, 然后接一个回调.
tak
u
it
c
l
reading
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: given that the mid-term election is around the corner and the market has tak
: en a pretty good 5-month consolidation. I think the midterm bottom is upon u
: s. there will be a short term consolidation at the 10400--11000 area, but it
: will be just a matter of time before the market breaks out from there and c
: laim pre-2008 territory. I think 2011 will be a very good year. there is a l
: ot of money to be made by traders with positive attitude, good chart reading
: skills, great greed, and great patience
|
c******8
发帖数: 3170 | |
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 4 我那是DT。我在一万点附近上的QQQQ Calls还拿着呢。
【在 c******8 的大作中提到】
: 那QQQQQQQQQQ不应该抛掉呀。
|
b***s
发帖数: 413 | 5 good
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: by the way, 下周如果没有特殊的消息出来, 我看10550--10600, 然后接一个回调.
:
: tak
: u
: it
: c
: l
: reading
|
c******8
发帖数: 3170 | 6 终于跟对了一回。。。。
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: 我那是DT。我在一万点附近上的QQQQ Calls还拿着呢。
|
z******5
发帖数: 37 | 7 Before Christmas, Dow will be around 9000 again. I am not optmistics.
unemployment rate is still high. Consumers is now tightening their money
belt. More people savings than spending. Financing credit market is getting worse. First is the housing market; now credit card area and student loans areas are coming.
I am ready to sell and wait for better chance by year end. |
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 8 by the time we see real improvement in unemployment rate (say back to 8%-ish
), the market will have already made new high.
【在 z******5 的大作中提到】
: Before Christmas, Dow will be around 9000 again. I am not optmistics.
: unemployment rate is still high. Consumers is now tightening their money
: belt. More people savings than spending. Financing credit market is getting worse. First is the housing market; now credit card area and student loans areas are coming.
: I am ready to sell and wait for better chance by year end.
|
m*****i
发帖数: 4342 | 9 This market is so hard to predict.
We had bad news for three months, all the sudden positive news for the last
couple of days.
Personally, this is not a very good year for me. Simply market acted so
unexpected.
tak
u
it
c
l
reading
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: given that the mid-term election is around the corner and the market has tak
: en a pretty good 5-month consolidation. I think the midterm bottom is upon u
: s. there will be a short term consolidation at the 10400--11000 area, but it
: will be just a matter of time before the market breaks out from there and c
: laim pre-2008 territory. I think 2011 will be a very good year. there is a l
: ot of money to be made by traders with positive attitude, good chart reading
: skills, great greed, and great patience
|
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 10 I was dormant most of the 1st half, which I guess saved my ass... lol
last
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This market is so hard to predict.
: We had bad news for three months, all the sudden positive news for the last
: couple of days.
: Personally, this is not a very good year for me. Simply market acted so
: unexpected.
:
: tak
: u
: it
: c
|
|
|
z******5
发帖数: 37 | 11 Summer employment is not accurate. Many construction employees will be on
unemployment in winter. It has been like these for past 20 years.
ish
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: by the time we see real improvement in unemployment rate (say back to 8%-ish
: ), the market will have already made new high.
|
c******8
发帖数: 3170 | 12 这个我得同意，虽然我不懂，哈哈
last
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This market is so hard to predict.
: We had bad news for three months, all the sudden positive news for the last
: couple of days.
: Personally, this is not a very good year for me. Simply market acted so
: unexpected.
:
: tak
: u
: it
: c
|
j*******n
发帖数: 579 | 13 you just don't know how to play, ok
last
【在 m*****i 的大作中提到】
: This market is so hard to predict.
: We had bad news for three months, all the sudden positive news for the last
: couple of days.
: Personally, this is not a very good year for me. Simply market acted so
: unexpected.
:
: tak
: u
: it
: c
|
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 14 I don't care about today's number that much. I'm talking about unemployment
being the most lagging one among all major indicators.
【在 z******5 的大作中提到】
: Summer employment is not accurate. Many construction employees will be on
: unemployment in winter. It has been like these for past 20 years.
:
: ish
|
c******8
发帖数: 3170 | 15 那什么是先驱者呀
unemployment
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: I don't care about today's number that much. I'm talking about unemployment
: being the most lagging one among all major indicators.
|
c***y
发帖数: 286 | 16 short term: ISM,
long term: yield spread.
what do you think?
【在 c******8 的大作中提到】
: 那什么是先驱者呀
:
: unemployment
|
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 17 我觉得yield curve的变化太漫长了，很难直接指导操作。
【在 c***y 的大作中提到】
: short term: ISM,
: long term: yield spread.
: what do you think?
|
g****u
发帖数: 695 | 18 你说的哪一条在过去的半年里不成立呢？半年了都没下来，为什么同样的理由你
认为在 Christmas 之前就能让股市下到 9000 呢？
getting worse. First is the housing market; now credit card area and
student loans areas are coming.
【在 z******5 的大作中提到】
: Before Christmas, Dow will be around 9000 again. I am not optmistics.
: unemployment rate is still high. Consumers is now tightening their money
: belt. More people savings than spending. Financing credit market is getting worse. First is the housing market; now credit card area and student loans areas are coming.
: I am ready to sell and wait for better chance by year end.
|
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 19 嗯,这才像内行问的问题.
【在 g****u 的大作中提到】
: 你说的哪一条在过去的半年里不成立呢？半年了都没下来，为什么同样的理由你
: 认为在 Christmas 之前就能让股市下到 9000 呢？
:
: getting worse. First is the housing market; now credit card area and
: student loans areas are coming.
|
y****i
发帖数: 1504 | 20 对，别傻等二次dip了。就是下跌也是调整而已。 |
|
|
c***y
发帖数: 286 | 21 I am hoping the 10yr yield will continue to go up, to match this month's
ISM number. that will be a healthy 3% GDP growth.
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: 我觉得yield curve的变化太漫长了，很难直接指导操作。
|
D*****n
发帖数: 363 | |
e****g
发帖数: 469 | 23 Housing construction is the leading indicator for past recoveries. How
does that look? It is one record low after another. House is not selling
even with record low interest, and another housing tax credit is simply
not possible in foreseeable future. So, we have stagnant housing sales,
wages, and low consumption at hand, and you are calling a bottom? Sounds
to me like another famous last word.
unemployment
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: I don't care about today's number that much. I'm talking about unemployment
: being the most lagging one among all major indicators.
|
h*********e
发帖数: 170 | 24 I think it still be a range market. Pre-2008 high was purely due to high
commidity bubble. What bubble you can find to push the market to get that
level again? high commodity again?
unemployment
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: I don't care about today's number that much. I'm talking about unemployment
: being the most lagging one among all major indicators.
|
z******5
发帖数: 37 | 25 I think you need to learn a few more years before you know enough
about investment and making big money.
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: 嗯,这才像内行问的问题.
|
z******5
发帖数: 37 | 26 Because 我说的哪一条在过去的半年里都成立， so Dow will be around 9000; I
haven't seen any improvement yet. Obama plan hasn't go that fast to get
economy recovery.
【在 g****u 的大作中提到】
: 你说的哪一条在过去的半年里不成立呢？半年了都没下来，为什么同样的理由你
: 认为在 Christmas 之前就能让股市下到 9000 呢？
:
: getting worse. First is the housing market; now credit card area and
: student loans areas are coming.
|
h****n
发帖数: 1546 | 27 有一顶道理,但是我记得你4月底的时候也发贴说看牛了....
tak
u
it
c
l
reading
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: given that the mid-term election is around the corner and the market has tak
: en a pretty good 5-month consolidation. I think the midterm bottom is upon u
: s. there will be a short term consolidation at the 10400--11000 area, but it
: will be just a matter of time before the market breaks out from there and c
: laim pre-2008 territory. I think 2011 will be a very good year. there is a l
: ot of money to be made by traders with positive attitude, good chart reading
: skills, great greed, and great patience
|
v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 28 lol don't take it personal, sista.
【在 z******5 的大作中提到】
: I think you need to learn a few more years before you know enough
: about investment and making big money.
|
c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 29 There is nothing changed in terms of economy. Housing is still very bad.
But there is postive sign: rent higher, more stimulus plan.
Range market still.
tak
u
it
c
l
reading
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: given that the mid-term election is around the corner and the market has tak
: en a pretty good 5-month consolidation. I think the midterm bottom is upon u
: s. there will be a short term consolidation at the 10400--11000 area, but it
: will be just a matter of time before the market breaks out from there and c
: laim pre-2008 territory. I think 2011 will be a very good year. there is a l
: ot of money to be made by traders with positive attitude, good chart reading
: skills, great greed, and great patience
|
T******J
发帖数: 829 | |
|
|
H********7
发帖数: 2369 | 31 very well said.
ish
【在 v****e 的大作中提到】
: by the time we see real improvement in unemployment rate (say back to 8%-ish
: ), the market will have already made new high.
|
s****s
发帖数: 8 | 32 Long time no come here and happened to c u post today. Totally agree with
you , vankie. Never underestimate O8's determinations and resolutions.
Although I do want to c more bears here in mitbbs since it has been famous
for its contrarian for a long time. |
