c***1
发帖数: 3281 | 1 THE YEAR BEFORE A PRESIDENT RUNS FOR ELECTION:
Since 1945, the Dow Jones industrial average has gained an average of 19
percent the year before a sitting president runs. That's more than double
the 7.9 percent average annual gain during the same period. If you take out
the 10 years when the president was running, the average gain drops to only
5.8 percent...................................................
THE YEAR AFTER A PRESIDENT LOSES CONTROL OF CONGRESS
Presidents whose party controlled both houses of Congress have lost at least
one chamber five times in the past 80 years. Stock returns in the following
year haven't followed a pattern. The Dow plunged 53 percent in 1931 and
gained 34 percent in 1995. Gains in the other three years ranged from 2.2
percent to 20.8 percent. That makes it impossible to forecast what will
happen this time. The change in Congress in 1931 came during the Great
Depression, while the 1995 transition came during the first part of the
Internet boom. The next Congress faces a fragile economic period, which
could mean that the market offers another single-digit gain like this year.
Gridlock hasn't been great for stocks. Since 1945, the Standard and Poor's
500 index has gained 4 percent in years when Congress was split between
parties. It increased 8 percent when Congress was controlled by one party
and the White House another. When a single party was in control of
Washington, the index gained an average of 11 percent.
http://cocacolabuffet.blogspot.com/2010/11/some-statistics-on-midterm-election.html | h*******a
发帖数: 573 | 2 Yeah, I see more gridlocks to come... not great for stocks in general.
People are on a high with stocks now. Let's enjoy for the moment~~ | k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | | c***1
发帖数: 3281 | 4 还有其他的statistics,没全部post出来，长, 在 link 里面。
主题还是bull market after the midterm election
战后17次midterm election,17次 200天以内index有gain
【在 k*******n 的大作中提到】
: Conclusions: ?
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