C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 1 I think oil price would go much higher from here this year.
1. Unlike equities, when commodities start to move, in my view, they
usually have longer, stronger than more consistent trend (look at oil/sugar/
gold, etc). And crude oil just start to take off, just by looking at the
chart.
2. Pretty much no contango in near time and some backwardation in longer
term... probably a good sign for near term oil price, because oil holder
will replace long term holding with short term holding, driving the near
term oil price up.
3. driving season ahead. |
C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 2 And it is a good time to hold USO now, benefiting from the backwardation... |
w****k
发帖数: 10542 | 3 俗。
.
【在 C****a 的大作中提到】
: And it is a good time to hold USO now, benefiting from the backwardation...
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 4 Long term(>3 months) Yes
Short term(<1 month) No |
g****5
发帖数: 1184 | |
C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 6 For longer term I mean > 1 year.
This is exactly the price structure back in late 2007.
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: Long term(>3 months) Yes
: Short term(<1 month) No
|
b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 7 I don't agree.
OBAMA's re-election camping is coming.
Next year I can hardly imagine a much higher oil price. |
b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 8 Basically you are predicting a double dip. |
w**********l
发帖数: 8501 | 9 smart。
现在搞飞机是没错的。
【在 b******r 的大作中提到】
: I don't agree.
: OBAMA's re-election camping is coming.
: Next year I can hardly imagine a much higher oil price.
|
h******o
发帖数: 6113 | 10 我过几天就烧飞机
【在 w**********l 的大作中提到】
: smart。
: 现在搞飞机是没错的。
|
|
|
w**********l
发帖数: 8501 | 11 你一边歇着去。
我这上千股amr呢，给我安静几个月再吭气。
【在 h******o 的大作中提到】
: 我过几天就烧飞机
|
c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 12 Finally, 我们在同一战壕，不容易。但是我就是不明白为设么有人就愿意买USO call
。 我觉得这是sell call的 亮好对象。
sugar/
【在 C****a 的大作中提到】
: I think oil price would go much higher from here this year.
: 1. Unlike equities, when commodities start to move, in my view, they
: usually have longer, stronger than more consistent trend (look at oil/sugar/
: gold, etc). And crude oil just start to take off, just by looking at the
: chart.
: 2. Pretty much no contango in near time and some backwardation in longer
: term... probably a good sign for near term oil price, because oil holder
: will replace long term holding with short term holding, driving the near
: term oil price up.
: 3. driving season ahead.
|
c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 13 you are wrong。
【在 b******r 的大作中提到】
: I don't agree.
: OBAMA's re-election camping is coming.
: Next year I can hardly imagine a much higher oil price.
|
h******o
发帖数: 6113 | 14 达摩说了，天朝最近暗地里又在进石油了
【在 c***m 的大作中提到】
: you are wrong。
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 15 Like in 2008? Bag holder?
【在 h******o 的大作中提到】
: 达摩说了，天朝最近暗地里又在进石油了
|
w**********l
发帖数: 8501 | 16 这个问题上，旗帜鲜明地买飞机买大炮支援小马哥再度重返白宫。 |
c*******o
发帖数: 5387 | |
t*****9
发帖数: 10416 | |
C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 19 Take a break today.
It may breakout in a few days... |
g********5
发帖数: 10335 | 20 re
【在 C****a 的大作中提到】
: Take a break today.
: It may breakout in a few days...
|
|
|
H********7
发帖数: 2369 | 21 hahaha
sugar/
【在 C****a 的大作中提到】
: I think oil price would go much higher from here this year.
: 1. Unlike equities, when commodities start to move, in my view, they
: usually have longer, stronger than more consistent trend (look at oil/sugar/
: gold, etc). And crude oil just start to take off, just by looking at the
: chart.
: 2. Pretty much no contango in near time and some backwardation in longer
: term... probably a good sign for near term oil price, because oil holder
: will replace long term holding with short term holding, driving the near
: term oil price up.
: 3. driving season ahead.
|
n******r
发帖数: 989 | 22 I disagred oil can be up like that which needs down to balance since then. |
C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 23 haha. I am wrong.
But trade what you see, not what you believe. |
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 24 So I am right, at least for the first part. |
n******r
发帖数: 989 | 25 Congrats!!!
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: So I am right, at least for the first part.
|
C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 26
You are right again :)
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: So I am right, at least for the first part.
|
j****l
发帖数: 1440 | 27 How about raw material? Follow the same trend as oil?
sugar/
【在 C****a 的大作中提到】
: I think oil price would go much higher from here this year.
: 1. Unlike equities, when commodities start to move, in my view, they
: usually have longer, stronger than more consistent trend (look at oil/sugar/
: gold, etc). And crude oil just start to take off, just by looking at the
: chart.
: 2. Pretty much no contango in near time and some backwardation in longer
: term... probably a good sign for near term oil price, because oil holder
: will replace long term holding with short term holding, driving the near
: term oil price up.
: 3. driving season ahead.
|
C****a
发帖数: 1639 | 28
Too volatile right now. Stay away from them for now, I suggest.
【在 j****l 的大作中提到】
: How about raw material? Follow the same trend as oil?
:
: sugar/
|
