c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 1 Data Signal Trouble for Economy
The U.S. economy is showing new signs of fatigue, depressing financial
markets, discouraging consumers and unsettling businesses.
New economic data signaled that manufacturing, which had been showing
strength, may soon join other indicators in pointing down. The Fed is
certainly watching but they are not yet ready to pull the trigger on another
quantitative easing program.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 419.63 points, or 3.7%, Thursday, and
is down 9.5% for August amid soaring trading volume and some of the worst
volatility on record. Angst about the health of the U.S. and European
economies, and the stability of European banks, sent investors rushing to
the safety of U.S. Treasurys. Yields on the 10-year note briefly dropped
below 2% for the first time in at least 50 years. Gold jumped to a new
record.
The latest batch of economic data offered little reason for optimism. Sales
of previously owned homes fell 3.5% in July from June, the National
Association of Realtors reported, another sign that the hoped-for housing
recovery isn't materializing. The data came as a surprise because of earlier
reports of an increase in May and June in the number of contracts signed to
buy homes. That suggests some buyers are backing out of deals.
A normally overlooked measure, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's
survey of local manufacturers, drew attention as it plunged into territory
usually seen only in recessions. Earlier in the week, a similar New York Fed
survey suggested a downturn in manufacturing in New York state.
New claims for unemployment benefits rose by 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted
408,000, a bit above the 400,000 mark that an economists' rule of thumb
indicates enough jobs are being created to bring down unemployment, now at 9
.1%.
The Labor Department said that, adjusted for its latest inflation readings,
average weekly wages in July for those Americans who do have jobs were 1.3%
lower than their recent peak in October 2010. | s*****n
发帖数: 5488 | 2 今天的费城制造指数太难看了。房地产也让人眼镜跌了一地。 | v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | 3 这个不是一般的难看啊
【在 s*****n 的大作中提到】
: 今天的费城制造指数太难看了。房地产也让人眼镜跌了一地。
| c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 4 “...一般来说，长期债券与短期债券利差的快速缩小与经济衰退的到来有一定的相关性，在这一点上，债券市场对经济盛衰的反应要比股市敏感得多，例如十年债券的利率分别在2010年3月底和2011年2月初就已经触顶，而经济数据显示弱势以及股市的反应则是比较延迟的...”
而今天，十年期美国债券的利率已经比2008年时的最低点还要更低： | c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 5 费城联邦储备银行刚刚发布的大费城地区制造业指数从7月份的+3.2猛跌到8月份的-30.7。
从这个指数与美国非农业人口新就业人数统计数字(Nonfarm payroll employment)的长期对应关系来看，似乎也指向了美国的就业情况将恶化到经济衰退时的水平 | c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 6 今天发布的七月份美国消费物价指数（CPI）上涨了0.5%，在过去一年里，通货膨胀率上升了3.6%，远超过了美联储主席伯南克所关注的2%左右的界限 | c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 7 凯恩斯学说的经济刺激手段恐怕已经走到了极限（QE2对于提升GDP成长的效果不大），印再多的钱也不会对美国的实体经济有多大的帮助，只是撑住了金融市场以及推高了原材料商品期货的价格。
联邦债务对于美国经济增长的作用: | o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 8 What media know is to bullshit. Never listen to them.
another
and
【在 c*****r 的大作中提到】
: Data Signal Trouble for Economy
: The U.S. economy is showing new signs of fatigue, depressing financial
: markets, discouraging consumers and unsettling businesses.
: New economic data signaled that manufacturing, which had been showing
: strength, may soon join other indicators in pointing down. The Fed is
: certainly watching but they are not yet ready to pull the trigger on another
: quantitative easing program.
: The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 419.63 points, or 3.7%, Thursday, and
: is down 9.5% for August amid soaring trading volume and some of the worst
: volatility on record. Angst about the health of the U.S. and European
| c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 9 Sometimes, they do tell the truth - because they cannot hide it anymore!
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: What media know is to bullshit. Never listen to them.
:
: another
: and
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