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What is the October Effect?
The October effect is the belief that the stock market tends to decline into
the month. This is a result of a number of crashes occurring in October
such as, the Panic of 1907, 1929 Crash, 1987 Crash, and the 2008 credit
crisis.
Bear Market Killer
October often receives a tough wrap based on the psychology of the fact
October brings about significant drops. In reality October is a bear market
killer. October has successfully ended eleven post World War II bear
markets: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 2001, and 2002. October
has actually been one of the best performing months leading months in the
late 90s and early 2000. October is also the last earnings season of the
calendar year, so it has the ability to give the final push into the year
end rally. Investors should look at swift sell offs into October as the
perfect time to buy the market instead of fearing it so. |
