i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 1 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。
记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。
暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。
记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again?
Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault. |
i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | |
z****e 发帖数: 1384 | 3 像猜测啊
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 没人支持吗?
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 4 prediction而已。大盘图形还没破。不过大跌真的快来了。 |
o********e 发帖数: 609 | 5 AAPL has nothing to do with Solar stock.
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
27,
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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W********g 发帖数: 610 | 6 太阳能跌,是因为ER到来,而大部分对ER不看好
其他说的太深奥了,看不懂
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
27,
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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W********g 发帖数: 610 | 7 太阳是圆的,苹果被咬之前,它也比较圆!
【在 o********e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : AAPL has nothing to do with Solar stock. : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 27, : German will be fooled again?
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a***s 发帖数: 5417 | 8 胡扯。今天所有的sector都非常强劲,尤其是home builder, 这明显表明美国房市已经
触底回升。房市一稳,美国消费性经济就好了。
aapl今天并不算强,科技股里面今天强的是pcln和amzn。
已经连续两个月了大盘不停在告诉你它很强它很强,可是我看你每天都在说大盘要不行
了。
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
27,
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 9 强努之末而已。从二月开始,买家已经慢慢变成retail investor了。
庄有两种,11年10月低点进的货和8月前的高点进的货。现在前一种庄至少已经赚了22
%(大盘的涨幅),后者也已经解套并积累至少5%左右的profit。这种情况下很容易
触发他们的sell off的。
最后,QE1和QE2结束时不都暴跌了吗?你知道OT结束了没有?你怎么能确认OT能和5,6
月的QE3无缝衔接而不是在二月,三月就嘎然而止?
现在大盘处于随时可以暴跌的状态,周五的走势就是一个例证!只不过暴跌需要就news
的势而已。没有news配合,consolidation还能持续一段时间。但任何像样的bad news
一出现,市场就会。。。。
Pia Ji!!!
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 胡扯。今天所有的sector都非常强劲,尤其是home builder, 这明显表明美国房市已经 : 触底回升。房市一稳,美国消费性经济就好了。 : aapl今天并不算强,科技股里面今天强的是pcln和amzn。 : 已经连续两个月了大盘不停在告诉你它很强它很强,可是我看你每天都在说大盘要不行 : 了。 : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 27, : German will be fooled again?
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B******y 发帖数: 2255 | 10 为什么这么肯定有QE3呢,我觉得不会有。
22
6
news
news
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 强努之末而已。从二月开始,买家已经慢慢变成retail investor了。 : 庄有两种,11年10月低点进的货和8月前的高点进的货。现在前一种庄至少已经赚了22 : %(大盘的涨幅),后者也已经解套并积累至少5%左右的profit。这种情况下很容易 : 触发他们的sell off的。 : 最后,QE1和QE2结束时不都暴跌了吗?你知道OT结束了没有?你怎么能确认OT能和5,6 : 月的QE3无缝衔接而不是在二月,三月就嘎然而止? : 现在大盘处于随时可以暴跌的状态,周五的走势就是一个例证!只不过暴跌需要就news : 的势而已。没有news配合,consolidation还能持续一段时间。但任何像样的bad news : 一出现,市场就会。。。。 : Pia Ji!!!
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s*********d 发帖数: 1998 | |
d*****d 发帖数: 10658 | 12 大盘股拉指数确实是头部的征兆,但是今天小盘股的涨幅(IWM)超过大盘股(SPY)啊.
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
27,
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 13 I will give you more reasoning on glooming prospective of the US equity market.
1. The decoupling of US stock market and China. 中国股市至今没有有效突破。
2. The overhang of oil price. The oil price is $100 now! It is way too high
for a recovery to start and it truly hurts if the market turn around here,
for it will hit $150 if we truly recover. Then you shall ask, is $150 a
barrel really helping or hurting the economy?
3. The so-called recovery of US is mostly triggered by its competitively
devaluation policy of the dollar (or QE). But remember, devaluation does help
its own country but it will always hurt the other countries! It is a zero
sum game! QE cannot help all the countries on this planet! If other
countries fight back with more easing policy, then US economy will become
sluggish again! Please look at some historic book on the world after Great
Depression and you will find its similarity with today's situation.
4. QE can only reduce cyclical unemployment but not structural unemployment, right?
5. Labor income doesn't really improve.
6. Mutual fund experienced money outflows for more than 20 months. ETF experienced money outflows for
some two digits months. The baby boomer are pulling money from the stock market! Only the recipients of
Fed's new money buy every dip! So if Goldman or JPM stopped selling bonds to Fed...
THIS RALLY IS OVER OVER OVER!!! |
d*****d 发帖数: 10658 | 14 agree with you, we need to be more cautious.
But 2 and 3 seems a little contradictory. If the oil price hits 100 and
heads 150, the other countries do not dare to ease money, and we see
commodity price soars recently, espcially the food sector. There will be
huge inflation if the emerging countries QEing.
market.
high
helps
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : I will give you more reasoning on glooming prospective of the US equity market. : 1. The decoupling of US stock market and China. 中国股市至今没有有效突破。 : 2. The overhang of oil price. The oil price is $100 now! It is way too high : for a recovery to start and it truly hurts if the market turn around here, : for it will hit $150 if we truly recover. Then you shall ask, is $150 a : barrel really helping or hurting the economy? : 3. The so-called recovery of US is mostly triggered by its competitively : devaluation policy of the dollar (or QE). But remember, devaluation does help : its own country but it will always hurt the other countries! It is a zero : sum game! QE cannot help all the countries on this planet! If other
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 15 1. $150 a barrel is in terms of USD. If USD devalue and other currencies
appreciate, they pay less in their home currencies. For this reason, I see
no obstacle for them to ease.
2. Inflation might be severe in some developing countries, but how about
Japan, UK, Australia?
And for developing countries with more than 10% unemployment, I think they
will weight job more than inflation after all.
【在 d*****d 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : agree with you, we need to be more cautious. : But 2 and 3 seems a little contradictory. If the oil price hits 100 and : heads 150, the other countries do not dare to ease money, and we see : commodity price soars recently, espcially the food sector. There will be : huge inflation if the emerging countries QEing. : : market. : high : helps
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d*****d 发帖数: 10658 | 16 If developing countries also dare to ease money, that actually will bring
the global stock martket into bull. Since it is easier for currency exchange
and global investment nowadays, a lot of liquidity will be released and a
large part of the money will come to the US market.
I agree with you for the bear market coming soon. I think the major evidence
is that both EU and US treasury is going to sell a lot of bonds in the
coming weeks, they dont want the money chasing risky assets like stocks.
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 1. $150 a barrel is in terms of USD. If USD devalue and other currencies : appreciate, they pay less in their home currencies. For this reason, I see : no obstacle for them to ease. : 2. Inflation might be severe in some developing countries, but how about : Japan, UK, Australia? : And for developing countries with more than 10% unemployment, I think they : will weight job more than inflation after all.
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b*****a 发帖数: 946 | 17 I believe more corrections like last Friday are on the way. However, I don't
think there is much 暴跌 recently.
In fact, when the Friday 暴跌 started, I could see a lot of ppl buy into the
dip including myself. It is not likely that owners would sell their stocks
at much discount (暴跌) any more.
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
27, german parliament vote。
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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T*********s 发帖数: 17839 | |
i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 19 Thank you for your info on the bond sale, I didn't read too much into that
before.
exchange
evidence
【在 d*****d 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : If developing countries also dare to ease money, that actually will bring : the global stock martket into bull. Since it is easier for currency exchange : and global investment nowadays, a lot of liquidity will be released and a : large part of the money will come to the US market. : I agree with you for the bear market coming soon. I think the major evidence : is that both EU and US treasury is going to sell a lot of bonds in the : coming weeks, they dont want the money chasing risky assets like stocks.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 20 Yep, I also saw lots of buy-dip on Friday myself. But you see, people
including you and me are simply noise trader in this market. The ultimate
source of momentum is provided by liquidity players like GS, JPM who sells
bonds to Fed and then use the fresh money to provide leverage to funds.
If those liquidity players quit, then the comedy will come to an end.
I am tracing all signals that is possible to gauge the liquidity. From my
reading, the simplest M1 and M2 curve are coming flat locally as we reach into Feb.
't
the
stocks
【在 b*****a 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : I believe more corrections like last Friday are on the way. However, I don't : think there is much 暴跌 recently. : In fact, when the Friday 暴跌 started, I could see a lot of ppl buy into the : dip including myself. It is not likely that owners would sell their stocks : at much discount (暴跌) any more. : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 27, german parliament vote。 : German will be fooled again?
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d*****d 发帖数: 10658 | 21 So things might be reversed soon, since Fed is now selling bonds to GS. See
the link below, does that say something that Fed is going to reduce the
liquidity?
http://finance.qq.com/a/20120209/000232.htm
into Feb. It
endgame
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : Yep, I also saw lots of buy-dip on Friday myself. But you see, people : including you and me are simply noise trader in this market. The ultimate : source of momentum is provided by liquidity players like GS, JPM who sells : bonds to Fed and then use the fresh money to provide leverage to funds. : If those liquidity players quit, then the comedy will come to an end. : I am tracing all signals that is possible to gauge the liquidity. From my : reading, the simplest M1 and M2 curve are coming flat locally as we reach into Feb. : : 't : the
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V********e 发帖数: 578 | 22 从时间点上看,如果真有QE3并在五,六月实行,二月的下调可能只是短暂的
correction,三月中到四月可能再做一波大行情,带领大盘冲新高,然后再出其不意,
大幅下调。 |
i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 23 你的信息很重要,我之前没有看到过!
根据你的新闻,Fed在出售一些非国债的MBS,以修理及优化自己的资产负债表。它的目
的一是给GS送利润,二是要为以后的QE3在负债表上预留出来一定的空间来。因为负债
表上的债券太多,共和党不会饶了它啊。
Fed在负债表上的这种腾挪说明Fed的印钞很有可能已经告一段落了!
See
【在 d*****d 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : So things might be reversed soon, since Fed is now selling bonds to GS. See : the link below, does that say something that Fed is going to reduce the : liquidity? : http://finance.qq.com/a/20120209/000232.htm : : into Feb. It : endgame
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 24 假如QE3在5,6月实行,小涨会稍稍提前一点(4月底),大涨会稍稍滞后一些(7月初)
,因为liquidity的进场需要一些时间。
小涨赚的是预期。大涨赚的是“大象跳进游泳池”,if you know what I mean。
【在 V********e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 从时间点上看,如果真有QE3并在五,六月实行,二月的下调可能只是短暂的 : correction,三月中到四月可能再做一波大行情,带领大盘冲新高,然后再出其不意, : 大幅下调。
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b******r 发帖数: 16603 | 25 OT的时间表是公开的information不需要猜的。
http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
It was planned to end in April 2012.
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你的信息很重要,我之前没有看到过! : 根据你的新闻,Fed在出售一些非国债的MBS,以修理及优化自己的资产负债表。它的目 : 的一是给GS送利润,二是要为以后的QE3在负债表上预留出来一定的空间来。因为负债 : 表上的债券太多,共和党不会饶了它啊。 : Fed在负债表上的这种腾挪说明Fed的印钞很有可能已经告一段落了! : : See
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g*****0 发帖数: 887 | 26 那是不是2月和3月会大跌 至少会有一个大幅度的调整?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 假如QE3在5,6月实行,小涨会稍稍提前一点(4月底),大涨会稍稍滞后一些(7月初) : ,因为liquidity的进场需要一些时间。 : 小涨赚的是预期。大涨赚的是“大象跳进游泳池”,if you know what I mean。
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 27 My fault.
Then it could be some other hidden channel that come to an end, like the USD
swap line.
【在 b******r 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : OT的时间表是公开的information不需要猜的。 : http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html : It was planned to end in April 2012.
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b******r 发帖数: 16603 | 28 FYI, The so- called dollar swap lines will be extended by six months to Feb.
1, 2013. The six central banks also agreed to create temporary bilateral
swap programs so funding can be provided in any of the currencies “should
market conditions so warrant.” Those swap lines were also authorized
through Feb. 1, 2013.
我觉得你的结论有可能是对的,但是论据还是不充分。
USD
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : My fault. : Then it could be some other hidden channel that come to an end, like the USD : swap line.
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V********e 发帖数: 578 | 29 大盘不会从二月一路跌到四月底的。这中间应该会有大幅拉升,作dead cat bounce。
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 假如QE3在5,6月实行,小涨会稍稍提前一点(4月底),大涨会稍稍滞后一些(7月初) : ,因为liquidity的进场需要一些时间。 : 小涨赚的是预期。大涨赚的是“大象跳进游泳池”,if you know what I mean。
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 30 Thank you for correcting me again. I will study more next time before
voicing up. Thanks!
Feb.
【在 b******r 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : FYI, The so- called dollar swap lines will be extended by six months to Feb. : 1, 2013. The six central banks also agreed to create temporary bilateral : swap programs so funding can be provided in any of the currencies “should : market conditions so warrant.” Those swap lines were also authorized : through Feb. 1, 2013. : 我觉得你的结论有可能是对的,但是论据还是不充分。 : : USD
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r******9 发帖数: 2632 | 31 你也是不浪大学的校友么?
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
27, german parliament vote。
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 32 Of course, couldn't agree more.
【在 V********e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 大盘不会从二月一路跌到四月底的。这中间应该会有大幅拉升,作dead cat bounce。
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 33 8是,big red bear. You?
【在 r******9 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你也是不浪大学的校友么? : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 27, german parliament vote。 : German will be fooled again?
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r******9 发帖数: 2632 | 34 既然不是不浪的,那为嘛不浪?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 8是,big red bear. You?
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 35 What is 浪?What is 不浪?不懂老将的语言。。。
【在 r******9 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 既然不是不浪的,那为嘛不浪?
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x***n 发帖数: 2658 | 36 big red barn吧, 学弟你好。暂时不看熊,别用一个两个指标来判断,大局大局观啊。
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 8是,big red bear. You?
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 37 你是XLH?
啊。
【在 x***n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : big red barn吧, 学弟你好。暂时不看熊,别用一个两个指标来判断,大局大局观啊。
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s********y 发帖数: 831 | 38 呵呵,我觉得你写小说比韩寒要强。
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
27, german parliament vote。
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 主力的意图就是用权重股拉指数,然后在低价位囤积做空指数的option,etf,在即将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 在今年大环境不好的情况下对业绩的自救。 : 记住:一只阵容不齐整的军队不会打胜仗的。在权重股拉升(如AAPL)而小盘股走势不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 盘愈发显现出诱多的味道。 : 暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三,EU finance minister meeting。最慢的话,Feb 27, german parliament vote。 : 记住:What greeks promised has never been delivered! Don't you think German will be fooled again? : Fool German once, Greece's fault; fool German twice, German's fault.
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c*******e 发帖数: 143 | 39 sundick in bear's asshole!! |
i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 40 You know, you have gay idea unconsciously by saying that. I feel sorry for
you... Hope such unconsciousness doesn't lead you to gay sex... Just
want to say "play safe, pal. gay sex is dangerous."
If I want to say some dirty words, I'd like say "fxxk this bitch", "fxxk you" rather than "dick
in asshole"...
【在 c*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : sundick in bear's asshole!!
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r******9 发帖数: 2632 | 41 浪=long.
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : What is 浪?What is 不浪?不懂老将的语言。。。
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 42 Thanks, I see. 谐音很隐蔽嘛。不过大牛怎么看后市呢?赐教一下吧!
【在 r******9 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 浪=long.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | |
g****u 发帖数: 695 | 44 You work so hard to prove yourself that you were right.
Market always has a thousand reasons to go up and a thousand
reasons to go down. Pity.. You have only picked a dozen out
of a thousand.
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 顶起来!顶起来!
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B****o 发帖数: 1393 | 45 QE3 might be the carrot in front of the donkey... |
w***n 发帖数: 1519 | 46 That's right. Ego is one's worst enemy.
【在 g****u 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : You work so hard to prove yourself that you were right. : Market always has a thousand reasons to go up and a thousand : reasons to go down. Pity.. You have only picked a dozen out : of a thousand.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 47 I admit the randomness of stock market. If anyone with deeper pocket try to
buy the dip for another 2 months, then I confess I am deeply wrong and I am
willing to be punished for that reason.
But what I read from the market recently is "some degree of hesitation" that
haven't been seen in January, which gives me a second thoughts.
I would bet a correction with a 70% chance in Feb and a continuing rally
with a 30% chance.
Final words, I don't think either you and me deserve a pity. It is just a
probability game. We are just assigning different prob to the events, aren't we?
【在 g****u 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : You work so hard to prove yourself that you were right. : Market always has a thousand reasons to go up and a thousand : reasons to go down. Pity.. You have only picked a dozen out : of a thousand.
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i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 48 如我所说的一样,日本出人意料地ease了!结果怎么样?美元指数上升,美股受压。不
要认为全球的easing能造就美股的大牛市。相反,这是一个僧多粥少的世界,等别的国
家开始效仿fed的时候,美股可就真的岌岌可危了。 |
i*******e 发帖数: 1904 | 49 我说得时间点没有错吧???
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
27, german parliament vote。
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 如我所说的一样,日本出人意料地ease了!结果怎么样?美元指数上升,美股受压。不 : 要认为全球的easing能造就美股的大牛市。相反,这是一个僧多粥少的世界,等别的国 : 家开始效仿fed的时候,美股可就真的岌岌可危了。
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w********2 发帖数: 16371 | 50 en. peifu.
I was desperated and turning to read amrket as bullish last night when
market fake break out..
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 我说得时间点没有错吧??? : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 27, german parliament vote。 : German will be fooled again?
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x***n 发帖数: 2658 | 51 no. good timing.
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你是XLH? : : 啊。
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B********d 发帖数: 1776 | 52 楼主是认真分析,推理的人。支持,比那些乱喊乱叫得强的不知道那里去了 |
n**x 发帖数: 606 | |
l*********m 发帖数: 16971 | 54 "暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三"
赞!
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
27, german parliament vote。
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 我说得时间点没有错吧??? : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 27, german parliament vote。 : German will be fooled again?
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u********e 发帖数: 4950 | 55 这么好的贴子版主怎么没mark?
ding 分析
将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成
不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大
27, german parliament vote。
German will be fooled again?
【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 我说得时间点没有错吧??? : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 27, german parliament vote。 : German will be fooled again?
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x*****o 发帖数: 638 | 56 赞!!!
【在 l*********m 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : "暴跌的时间点:最快的话这周三" : 赞! : : 将到来的回调中暴赚最后一笔,来完成 : 不如人意(如太阳能)的情况下,大 : 27, german parliament vote。 : German will be fooled again?
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