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Stock版 - How should we read into 7.5% GDP growth rate in China?
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1 (共1页)
i*******e
发帖数: 1904
1
1. It doesn't only mean a 0.5% drop in growth. It may indicate a possible
turning point for Chinese economy. You may never see high speed growth in a
decade.
2. 1% drop in GDP in China increase unemployment rate by 2-3%. A 1%-1.5%
drop on employment will put huge pressure on the social unrest.
3. It means "Chinese monetary policy cannot take control of both inflation
and growth at the same time". The "跷跷板" theory is accepted by the
Government.
Just my personal two cents.
C*G
发帖数: 7495
2
以上全错
hiahia
i*******e
发帖数: 1904
3
As a Chinese, I wish I am all wrong. But the crucial reality of Chinese
economy always reminds me to be prudent.

【在 C*G 的大作中提到】
: 以上全错
: hiahia

C*G
发帖数: 7495
4
以天朝目前的财经运行态势,连着拉5个10%也不是不可以,但社会和经济的成本和风险
稍高。风物长宜放眼量,将欲歙之,必故张之,将欲弱之,必故强之。
控通胀,保民生,调结构,求质量。。。都是此次稳增长的目标。。。
去年的9.2,即便单看cpi5.5,也是不满意的。
hiahia

【在 i*******e 的大作中提到】
: As a Chinese, I wish I am all wrong. But the crucial reality of Chinese
: economy always reminds me to be prudent.

H*****d
发帖数: 56
5
What is the % of the GDP come from selling of the land?
What is the sum of the local government debt?
1 (共1页)
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