c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 1 time window might be 2 days at most to BE out or profit moderately before
squeezed out with 90% confidence level.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-11/did-goldman-just-kill- |
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 2 这个不好说,万一GS这次剧本反着来呢
周五的走法很奇怪
数据没出来前,大家都知道nonfarm payrolls的数据会不太好,盘前走高
数据出来以后,大家都没预料到会那么差,还没开盘就跌下来了,但是最后大盘还收绿了
这是想让大家觉得2014还是可以BTFD吗?
单纯从SP的图来看, 现在形成了一个bear flag
是不是会先跌一跌,然后再来个爆拉呢? |
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 3 原来11年那部电影Margin Call里的那个chairman就是Chuck Prince?
电影里有他的这个quote
overvalued-almost-any-measure
【在 c*******y 的大作中提到】
: time window might be 2 days at most to BE out or profit moderately before
: squeezed out with 90% confidence level.
: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-11/did-goldman-just-kill-
|
c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 4 what do you mean by "反着来呢"?
before release, expectation was high, only citi warned about weather.
ADP had very low correlation but this time was well above expectation. I
think the consensus was pretty optimistic(not bad).
I think it was pretty knee-jerk reaction to dump initially, but
the first price action is not always right. The reaction was to trim further
QE tapering in Jan and later FOMC. So market was bought, in light volume. I
think it's not so convinced yet.
After all, this piece of news is just for fun not some guideline.
possible conspiracy,
1. goldman wants commissions.
2. goldman wants your stocks. (dump to them)
3. goldman bets on volatility.
From my personal experiences, goldman made so many stupid calls-stupid
in terms of market reactions. But most of which were not set-up, they
have as many super stupid giant traders as good ones.
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: 这个不好说,万一GS这次剧本反着来呢
: 周五的走法很奇怪
: 数据没出来前,大家都知道nonfarm payrolls的数据会不太好,盘前走高
: 数据出来以后,大家都没预料到会那么差,还没开盘就跌下来了,但是最后大盘还收绿了
: 这是想让大家觉得2014还是可以BTFD吗?
: 单纯从SP的图来看, 现在形成了一个bear flag
: 是不是会先跌一跌,然后再来个爆拉呢?
|
c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 5 I think that movie just quoted from him.
little to do with any real figure.
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: 原来11年那部电影Margin Call里的那个chairman就是Chuck Prince?
: 电影里有他的这个quote
:
: overvalued-almost-any-measure
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 6 Okay. I see. I thought that whatever they said was set-up.
Do you think this chief strategist is a stupid one?
You are good at interpreting the market. I like it. I think 3 is more likely
. |
c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | 7 goldman dumped many stupid(what I see is a matter of only lucky/unlucky)
traders, and some department heads as well.
They surely have different market views even in the same team.
likely
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: Okay. I see. I thought that whatever they said was set-up.
: Do you think this chief strategist is a stupid one?
: You are good at interpreting the market. I like it. I think 3 is more likely
: .
|
i******y
发帖数: 1049 | 8 有道理但是感觉你有被害妄想症.
你是不是经常觉的很多人在看着你? |
c*******y
发帖数: 1630 | |
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 10 You are right on all the three conspiracies!
further
I
【在 c*******y 的大作中提到】
: what do you mean by "反着来呢"?
: before release, expectation was high, only citi warned about weather.
: ADP had very low correlation but this time was well above expectation. I
: think the consensus was pretty optimistic(not bad).
: I think it was pretty knee-jerk reaction to dump initially, but
: the first price action is not always right. The reaction was to trim further
: QE tapering in Jan and later FOMC. So market was bought, in light volume. I
: think it's not so convinced yet.
: After all, this piece of news is just for fun not some guideline.
: possible conspiracy,
|
|
|
c****w
发帖数: 2830 | 11 结论表下的太早。
一个月以后再来看看
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: You are right on all the three conspiracies!
:
: further
: I
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 12 This post is just for the prediction of this week.
【在 c****w 的大作中提到】
: 结论表下的太早。
: 一个月以后再来看看
|
c****w
发帖数: 2830 | 13 帖子的一开始是这个意思。但是后面楼主展开的时候，意思多为近期震荡为调整，调整
结束看好向上。然后我的不同观点的中期向下。
楼主关于近期震荡判断的很正确。
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: This post is just for the prediction of this week.
|
g**********2
发帖数: 2408 | 14 "People that think they can predict the short-term movement of the stock
market — or listen to other people who talk about (timing the market) —
they are making a big mistake," |
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 15 你发的那个帖子真么给删了
是个好贴
能再把它贴出来吗？
谢谢！
【在 c****w 的大作中提到】
: 帖子的一开始是这个意思。但是后面楼主展开的时候，意思多为近期震荡为调整，调整
: 结束看好向上。然后我的不同观点的中期向下。
: 楼主关于近期震荡判断的很正确。
|
c****w
发帖数: 2830 | 16 不太准确，所以给删了。板上认真读贴回帖的可能你是第一人，赞。
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: 你发的那个帖子真么给删了
: 是个好贴
: 能再把它贴出来吗？
: 谢谢！
|
h*****7
发帖数: 6781 | 17 木鸡大神厉害，最近怎么不来了
【在 g**********2 的大作中提到】
: "People that think they can predict the short-term movement of the stock
: market — or listen to other people who talk about (timing the market) —
: they are making a big mistake,"
|
