c*******s
发帖数: 5839 | 1 25000刀仓位
今天要决定去留
包子一人一个，不成敬意 |
c*******s
发帖数: 5839 | |
n******s
发帖数: 104 | 3 NEM, AUY, ABX 的ER 都不好
关键看金矿板块还能不能伸 |
p**********t
发帖数: 1098 | |
p*****x
发帖数: 670 | 5 卖一半留一半，涨跌都高兴。
涨：多亏没全割；跌：多亏减仓了。。。
【在 c*******s 的大作中提到】
: 25000刀仓位
: 今天要决定去留
: 包子一人一个，不成敬意
|
j******g
发帖数: 113 | 6 不是大牛，但是交易过几次ＡＮＶ，总体损失了１０００左右吧。个人意见：
１。ＡＮＶ的生产没有近忧，不像有些金矿企业预计会２０１４减产，ＡＮＶ将继续保
持高产。
２。ＡＮＶ本身生产得现金成本在矿企里算是高的，短期内不会有下降趋势。雪上加霜
的是它负债很高，所以需要金价远期前景稳定在１２６０－１３００以上保证正的现金
流，而它现在现金流已经非常紧张了。前段时间它卖掉了两个小矿井回收现金可以看作
管理层在做最大努力维持现金.所以它得前景一切取决于未来金价.
３。ＡＮＶ股票可以说是高风险高收益。长期来看下可到破产，上可到４０。近期金价
低于１２００的时候ＡＮＶ到过３，但是一旦金价到１３００以上，一下就翻倍了。
４。就这次ＥＲ来讲，好消息（破记录产量和销售）已经反应在股价上了，所以该不用
期待更多惊喜，坏消息就是金价走势和成本变动还没有出来，下跌的危险应该也不大。
个人结论就是买ＡＮＶ就是买黄金走势，看涨就继续持有，看跌就抛了。我个人看法是
金价在２０１４可能在１２００－１４００区间波动，这个区间波动对大矿企不是生存
危机，对ＡＮＶ就是生死之别,所以ＡＮＶ下看３，上看９。我不能
承受ＡＮＶ有潜在破产危险，所以我在黎明前得黑暗抛了，没赶上后来得翻倍。不过继
续持有的话我心脏受不住，抛了睡个好觉也算是聊以自慰吧。
追加一条：
近期的暴涨还和潜在被收购机会有关，市场有点追捧得意思。我个人觉得ＡＮＶ被收购
的机会并不大，大得矿企都在抛掉高成本矿的包袱，没人对高成本得ＡＮＶ感兴趣。所
以也不看好这个可能 |
Y****a
发帖数: 796 | 7 Sell covered call. Premium muat be high now. |
Y****a
发帖数: 796 | 8 Sell covered call. Premium muat be high now. |
j******g
发帖数: 113 | 9 Personally I would not prefer to sell covered call.
First this stock call/bid spread is high, so what we would get is lower, but
when we want to buy back the price would be not in favor of us.
Second, the price of the call/put is relatively low, while the volatility of
ANV is much higher than the implied volatility in the options, so what you
get just does not reflect the risk you bare.
Just my opinion, no offense to Yomama, :) |
c*******s
发帖数: 5839 | 10 完全不懂啥意思
大牛能不能给细讲讲
多谢
【在 Y****a 的大作中提到】
: Sell covered call. Premium muat be high now.
|
j*******8
发帖数: 915 | 11 来骗包子
不懂这支，但我要是研究从没碰过股，我会把所有类似的公司 ，全部拉出来一个一个
查 |
j******g
发帖数: 113 | 12 What he suggested is to use options tool to partially protect the downside
of the stock while limits the upside a bit. If you do not understand how
options work, then the strategy is not suitable for you. Sell call options
to collect some cash. The consequence of selling call options (usually you
would sell out-the-money call) while you have the underlying stock (so it is
called covered call) would be follows:
If the ANV stock falls, you suffer from the loss on the stock, and you keep
the stock, but you can get the options premium to compensate part of the
loss.
If the ANV stock rises, as long as the rise is below the strike price when
options expires, you also keep the premium and the stocks. But if the stock
price leaps big, your stock will be called away and you only get some of the
gain.
In my opinion, if you are not familiar with Options, stay away, it is much
easier to lose money then the stocks.
【在 c*******s 的大作中提到】
: 完全不懂啥意思
: 大牛能不能给细讲讲
: 多谢
|
