N****p
发帖数: 1691 | 1 Check out the Monthly RSI and MACD for the past 35 years.
I don't know about you. But I was scared.The only cases comparable in
magnitude are (in order):
2011 Summer -15%
1998 Summer -25%
1987 October flash crash -20% in a day.
2007 December -25%, then 08 bear market
In any case, we are approaching THE END. |
k*******s
发帖数: 67 | 2 不要那么悲观嘛, this time is always different. |
t********s
发帖数: 4503 | 3 Need a while?
【在 N****p 的大作中提到】
: Check out the Monthly RSI and MACD for the past 35 years.
: I don't know about you. But I was scared.The only cases comparable in
: magnitude are (in order):
: 2011 Summer -15%
: 1998 Summer -25%
: 1987 October flash crash -20% in a day.
: 2007 December -25%, then 08 bear market
: In any case, we are approaching THE END.
|
N****p
发帖数: 1691 | 4 RSI is already down.
MACD lags behind, acts as confirmation of major 8-year bear market.
That being said, there are still 11 trading days for this month. Where this
month closes will be crucial. |
l********i
发帖数: 2503 | 5 如果只是１５％左右的下跌，现在已经一半了。如果就此转熊，那惨了 |
q********g
发帖数: 10694 | 6 我以前很奇怪怎么总是有人嘲笑搞TA的。哥还特不服气。看了这图之后哥服气了。
TA大部分时候是刻舟求剑。短时间是非常有用的，因为船还没走多远，过时间太久之后
，船走太远之后，再相信船上的记号，需要极大的勇气。
哥的观点是调整但还不是08年的崩盘，至少现在不是，因为还没有足够大的事件导致崩
盘。 |
N****p
发帖数: 1691 | 7 FED official comment may have changed the tide (for now):
http://news.investors.com/investing-stock-market-today/101614-7
I expect Oct 28-29 FED meeting to change the monthly chart completely, big
drama pulling monthly RSI back above 70. Otherwise big correction is in
order. |
m******r
发帖数: 6963 | 8 等大事件出来盘已经崩了
【在 q********g 的大作中提到】
: 我以前很奇怪怎么总是有人嘲笑搞TA的。哥还特不服气。看了这图之后哥服气了。
: TA大部分时候是刻舟求剑。短时间是非常有用的，因为船还没走多远，过时间太久之后
: ，船走太远之后，再相信船上的记号，需要极大的勇气。
: 哥的观点是调整但还不是08年的崩盘，至少现在不是，因为还没有足够大的事件导致崩
: 盘。
|
a*******t
发帖数: 1886 | 9 WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A comment from a hawkish Federal Reserve
official on Thursday that bond buying should continue beyond its scheduled
end lifted stock markets and surprised many observers.
The Federal Reserve should consider extending its bond-buying program beyond
October due to the market sell-off to see how the U.S. economic outlook
evolves, said James Bullard, the president of the St. Louis Fed, on Thursday.
At the moment, the Fed is buying $15 billion in securities each month,
having tapered the QE3 plan by $10 billion at each meeting this year. The U.
S. central bank has said it expects to end its QE3 program at the end of
October, but Bullard noted that the plan was always data-dependent.
Bullard said the Fed cannot “abide” the recent drop in inflation
expectations seen in the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.
“We have to make sure inflation and inflation expectations remain near our
target. And for that reason, a reasonable response of the Fed in this
situation...we could go on pause on the taper at this juncture and wait
until we see how the data shakes out into December,” Bullard said in an
interview on Bloomberg TV.
【在 N****p 的大作中提到】
: FED official comment may have changed the tide (for now):
: http://news.investors.com/investing-stock-market-today/101614-7
: I expect Oct 28-29 FED meeting to change the monthly chart completely, big
: drama pulling monthly RSI back above 70. Otherwise big correction is in
: order.
|
N****p
发帖数: 1691 | 10 RSI 真的回去了 现在67 马上回70？
这件事教会我们：看Monthly Chart要等到Month 结束
【在 N****p 的大作中提到】
: FED official comment may have changed the tide (for now):
: http://news.investors.com/investing-stock-market-today/101614-7
: I expect Oct 28-29 FED meeting to change the monthly chart completely, big
: drama pulling monthly RSI back above 70. Otherwise big correction is in
: order.
|
p*******9
发帖数: 85 | 11 http://www.marketwatch.com/story/feds-fisher-supports-ending-qe
If I'm not mistaken, Fisher support to END the bond buying.... not support
to continue... and he is the hawkish official with voting rights this year.
Instead, dovish Bullard supports to keep buying, but he doesn't have a vote
this year...
beyond
Thursday.
U.
【在 a*******t 的大作中提到】
: WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A comment from a hawkish Federal Reserve
: official on Thursday that bond buying should continue beyond its scheduled
: end lifted stock markets and surprised many observers.
: The Federal Reserve should consider extending its bond-buying program beyond
: October due to the market sell-off to see how the U.S. economic outlook
: evolves, said James Bullard, the president of the St. Louis Fed, on Thursday.
: At the moment, the Fed is buying $15 billion in securities each month,
: having tapered the QE3 plan by $10 billion at each meeting this year. The U.
: S. central bank has said it expects to end its QE3 program at the end of
: October, but Bullard noted that the plan was always data-dependent.
|
