d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 1 今早没有看到降级的消息,在14.9加仓,没有想到会跌这么多。现在不知该怎么办?谢
谢 |
h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 2 hold until 10% decline (if it is possible) and then out |
d**********0 发帖数: 13081 | 3 降级的理由不成立。
With U.S. gasoline prices at a 5-year low, consumers may not be motivated to
pay more for the F-150, Rod Lache, an analyst at Deutsche Bank in New York,
said yesterday in a note. Lache, who downgraded the shares to hold from buy
, also said automakers face “regulatory cost burdens” in part to achieve
average fuel economy of 54.5 miles per gallon in the U.S. by 2025, that are
“unprecedented.”
“Ford’s new 2015 F-150, which incorporates a number of advanced but costly
powertrain, light-weighting and safety technologies, represents one of the
most prominent early examples of this forthcoming change,” Lache wrote. “
We question whether consumers will pay the price for this content with $2-$3
gas.” |
h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 4 you need to think what made you decided to add more shares. this is an
obvious down trend stock. |
d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 5 我也觉得有点勉强,就一直等反弹,结果就给套住了。 |
h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 6 you need to think what made you decided to add more shares. this is an
obvious down trend stock. |
L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 7 hold if not too overwhelmingly large position. 。14.3 will not puncture that
easily. on bounce tho, need to sell cover call, this breakdown will take
sometime to absorb. I bot a little feb call to get in the door today. |
d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 8 就是觉得觉得F一般波动不大,前几天跌倒15.05, 当天反弹到15.3, 今天就觉得抓紧机
会进去。
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : you need to think what made you decided to add more shares. this is an : obvious down trend stock.
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 9 谢谢大夫,倒是没有多少,一共600股,本来也是学习,就是把这段时间辛苦赚来的利
润损失一半。
that
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : hold if not too overwhelmingly large position. 。14.3 will not puncture that : easily. on bounce tho, need to sell cover call, this breakdown will take : sometime to absorb. I bot a little feb call to get in the door today.
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h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 10 with 10 years ahead of 2026' govenment restriction on EPA, you cannot
predict what will happen. One of the scenario I can have is that 50% of the
vehicles could use no gas at all. The could use rechargable baterries or
even solar panel. Do not try to interpret the news, trade your stock
according TA or FA. |
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 11 非常感谢,青蛙操股,总是timing有问题。
the
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : with 10 years ahead of 2026' govenment restriction on EPA, you cannot : predict what will happen. One of the scenario I can have is that 50% of the : vehicles could use no gas at all. The could use rechargable baterries or : even solar panel. Do not try to interpret the news, trade your stock : according TA or FA.
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h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 12 6oo shares equals to $ 9k. if you have total 100k to invest in F, your first
purchase of 600 shares was reasonable.
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 谢谢大夫,倒是没有多少,一共600股,本来也是学习,就是把这段时间辛苦赚来的利 : 润损失一半。 : : that
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 13 我一共有15k, 是我一大半的资金, 准备割一半。
first
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 6oo shares equals to $ 9k. if you have total 100k to invest in F, your first : purchase of 600 shares was reasonable.
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a*******t 发帖数: 1886 | 14 共和党上台后,这个EPA规定会不会重写?
the
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : with 10 years ahead of 2026' govenment restriction on EPA, you cannot : predict what will happen. One of the scenario I can have is that 50% of the : vehicles could use no gas at all. The could use rechargable baterries or : even solar panel. Do not try to interpret the news, trade your stock : according TA or FA.
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h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 15 (1) do not buy anything in a down trend market
(2) do not buy an individual stock when it is in a down trend
(3) do not buy a stock if only the price reversed
(4) Volume!
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 非常感谢,青蛙操股,总是timing有问题。 : : the
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h*****e 发帖数: 224 | 16 my recommendation
(1) if you are going to invest 10k on F
(2) use 10% of the investment, 1k, to put a few shares
(3) set a stop limit of 10%
(4) if the price decreases 10%, then you are out. you lose 1% of your
investment
(5) if price increase 5%, then invest another 10% of your money (1k),
(6) repeat!!
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 我一共有15k, 是我一大半的资金, 准备割一半。 : : first
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c**2 发帖数: 8496 | 17 Ford is good for those who want dividends, it has never been a good choice
in term of high stock price. |
i**m 发帖数: 218 | 18 学习了,亏废之后深有感触!
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : (1) do not buy anything in a down trend market : (2) do not buy an individual stock when it is in a down trend : (3) do not buy a stock if only the price reversed : (4) Volume!
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 19 非常感谢,金玉良言。以后就努力做到你所说的几点,这次就赔钱买个教训。
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : (1) do not buy anything in a down trend market : (2) do not buy an individual stock when it is in a down trend : (3) do not buy a stock if only the price reversed : (4) Volume!
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x****9 发帖数: 2668 | 20 金玉良言
(1) do not buy anything in a down trend market (2) do not buy an individual
stock when i........
【在 h*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : (1) do not buy anything in a down trend market : (2) do not buy an individual stock when it is in a down trend : (3) do not buy a stock if only the price reversed : (4) Volume!
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L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 21 F 涨的不错。 过了10天线。20天线左右会晃一下, 我看好一月份回16左右等季报。
基本面上F的f150是重头戏, 这个季度的销量直觉是不差 - 空头主要是说油价低了,
没人愿意花多500刀买省油新款f150。 我觉得是胡扯。 这种车都是干活和装酷用的,
一般是5-10年使用周期, 谁真有真么糊涂以为油价会长期在这么低的位置?
that
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : hold if not too overwhelmingly large position. 。14.3 will not puncture that : easily. on bounce tho, need to sell cover call, this breakdown will take : sometime to absorb. I bot a little feb call to get in the door today.
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L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 22 到了我说的20ma。 感觉开始缓了。 今天把这个位置hedge了。 15号进的靠现在涨60%
左右, 没有提, 出了同位置的短靠, 不太相信这里能够直接突破16. most likely
there will be a handle - the time wavering around 15.5 will kill off the
hedge - by the end of the handle, use the same money to add to long call and
hopefully see breakout.
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : F 涨的不错。 过了10天线。20天线左右会晃一下, 我看好一月份回16左右等季报。 : 基本面上F的f150是重头戏, 这个季度的销量直觉是不差 - 空头主要是说油价低了, : 没人愿意花多500刀买省油新款f150。 我觉得是胡扯。 这种车都是干活和装酷用的, : 一般是5-10年使用周期, 谁真有真么糊涂以为油价会长期在这么低的位置? : : that
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 23 谢谢大夫,可惜我割在低点,是我亏的最多的个股。当时,觉得F一般比较稳,买的比
较多,结果赶上降级,跌得太厉害。其实买的时候,心里还是有考虑,觉得油价降,而
且F也在上升。不过,连续跌几天,心里的恐惧占了上风。自从割后,好像就开始一直
涨,如果不割,现在应该还赚不少。 |
L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 24 patpat. 跟着大盘下来的sell off有时会很狠, sell limit 要有点弹性。14.3 是一
个key line, 如果跟大盘相悖的话是要出的。 F的bread&butter是truck. 油价跌是个
长期的利好。新的F150刚开始deliver, 目测都是被预订的, 而且都是highend
version, should see increase margin in next ER.
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 谢谢大夫,可惜我割在低点,是我亏的最多的个股。当时,觉得F一般比较稳,买的比 : 较多,结果赶上降级,跌得太厉害。其实买的时候,心里还是有考虑,觉得油价降,而 : 且F也在上升。不过,连续跌几天,心里的恐惧占了上风。自从割后,好像就开始一直 : 涨,如果不割,现在应该还赚不少。
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L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 25 沃查, 这个也hedge得太准了。 正好在高点。;-)
and
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 到了我说的20ma。 感觉开始缓了。 今天把这个位置hedge了。 15号进的靠现在涨60% : 左右, 没有提, 出了同位置的短靠, 不太相信这里能够直接突破16. most likely : there will be a handle - the time wavering around 15.5 will kill off the : hedge - by the end of the handle, use the same money to add to long call and : hopefully see breakout.
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a*******t 发帖数: 1886 | 26 我不认为现在是一个短期顶,今天好像在解压,we shall see in a few days。12月份
的数据快出来了。我跟你对F有相似的看法,不同点是,F150是F的旗舰产品,美国人的
大爱。记得哪里曾经看到过,美国building material的某一个指标是用F150的销量来
衡量的。如果相信美国房产继续回升,那么F150的销量也会继续看好,vise versa。所
以,我勇敢地在14加仓了。(汗一下,好容易抄底没抄半山腰上)。
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 沃查, 这个也hedge得太准了。 正好在高点。;-) : : and
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L****n 发帖数: 12932 | 27 🐂!
【在 a*******t 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 我不认为现在是一个短期顶,今天好像在解压,we shall see in a few days。12月份 : 的数据快出来了。我跟你对F有相似的看法,不同点是,F150是F的旗舰产品,美国人的 : 大爱。记得哪里曾经看到过,美国building material的某一个指标是用F150的销量来 : 衡量的。如果相信美国房产继续回升,那么F150的销量也会继续看好,vise versa。所 : 以,我勇敢地在14加仓了。(汗一下,好容易抄底没抄半山腰上)。
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