I*0
发帖数: 4200 | |
E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 2 误删了
赌 neutral
short Jul 21 (4 DTE) iron condor
+ 145P
- 150P
- 170C
+ 175C
price: 2.35
delta: -2.39
theta: 33.37
max profit: 235
max loss: 265 |
m******n
发帖数: 15691 | 3 小烧一点看看
按摩店也进几个put看看，中午的put现在已经涨了一节了 |
E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 4
ER 一般在盘后公布
净卖期权赌 ER 的一般原则是 ER 当天收盘前下单
赌最近的那个 expiry，隐含波动率最大，就算赌错也能收一定的 premium
但终究还是 50-50 的一锤子买卖，没啥技术含量
【在 I*0 的大作中提到】
: 我记得以前er都是大涨大跌的
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j**s
发帖数: 1518 | 5 小赌一把neutral bearish
【在 E***r 的大作中提到】
: 误删了
: 赌 neutral
: short Jul 21 (4 DTE) iron condor
: + 145P
: - 150P
: - 170C
: + 175C
: price: 2.35
: delta: -2.39
: theta: 33.37
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Q********g
发帖数: 2465 | |
j**s
发帖数: 1518 | 7 亏了20个盒饭，尼玛。。
【在 j**s 的大作中提到】
: 小赌一把neutral bearish
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E***r
发帖数: 1037 | |
F******k
发帖数: 7375 | 9 草，一直奇怪这个鸟股有啥大未来想像么？pe高的一B,比马总都高 |
i***t
发帖数: 138 | 10 Overall the strategy is okay, but I would skew the strike to be bullish
instead of bearish, based on the bullish market outlook.
My selection: 150/155/175/180 for $2.3. I guess both you and me get toasted
anyway.
【在 E***r 的大作中提到】
: 哈哈，这么猛，飞了飞了
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b******g
发帖数: 3883 | 11 同表示不理解而且不管业绩好坏都涨，这次earning 比预期跌了一分钱
【在 F******k 的大作中提到】
: 草，一直奇怪这个鸟股有啥大未来想像么？pe高的一B,比马总都高
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m******n
发帖数: 15691 | 12 新增用户数大涨， 用户数增加5M 大大beat预计，但eps不行
所以股票tmd关键是看能不能画饼
【在 b******g 的大作中提到】
: 同表示不理解而且不管业绩好坏都涨，这次earning 比预期跌了一分钱
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Q********g
发帖数: 2465 | |
E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 14 你的情况好一点
我那条 itm leg 可能很快就被 assign
明天争取第一时间关了
toasted
【在 i***t 的大作中提到】
: Overall the strategy is okay, but I would skew the strike to be bullish
: instead of bearish, based on the bullish market outlook.
: My selection: 150/155/175/180 for $2.3. I guess both you and me get toasted
: anyway.
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d********e
发帖数: 1720 | 15 这个增长已经是事实，不算画饼吧，画饼的一般都带有"将来"，"如果"，等字眼。
: 新增用户数大涨， 用户数增加5M 大大beat预计，但eps不行
: 所以股票tmd关键是看能不能画饼
【在 m******n 的大作中提到】
: 新增用户数大涨， 用户数增加5M 大大beat预计，但eps不行
: 所以股票tmd关键是看能不能画饼
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C*****5
发帖数: 8812 | 16 看你们炒option好崇拜啊，都不知道你们在说什么
【在 E***r 的大作中提到】
: 你的情况好一点
: 我那条 itm leg 可能很快就被 assign
: 明天争取第一时间关了
:
: toasted
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I*0
发帖数: 4200 | 17 赚了？恭喜恭喜
[在 QiuFasheng (邱发生～寻风流小湿妹) 的大作中提到：]
:只要用户暴涨
:那么股价就会往上干
:这是套路啊 |
d********e
发帖数: 1720 | 18 他们在玩spread, 而且call/put一起搞
: 看你们炒option好崇拜啊，都不知道你们在说什么
【在 C*****5 的大作中提到】
: 看你们炒option好崇拜啊，都不知道你们在说什么
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E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 19 you could roll out your positions to Aug tomorrow
to reduce the risk of assignment
and give yourself more time to be correct.
toasted
【在 i***t 的大作中提到】
: Overall the strategy is okay, but I would skew the strike to be bullish
: instead of bearish, based on the bullish market outlook.
: My selection: 150/155/175/180 for $2.3. I guess both you and me get toasted
: anyway.
|
C*****5
发帖数: 8812 | 20 谢谢指点
【在 d********e 的大作中提到】
: 他们在玩spread, 而且call/put一起搞
:
:
: 看你们炒option好崇拜啊，都不知道你们在说什么
:
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i***t
发帖数: 138 | 21 1. You don't have assignment risk. Assignment risk is more probably for a)
dividend stock/ EFT b) when you call is ITM, close to expiration, 3) and the
time value is less than the dividend; only then the logical choice will be
exercising the option (and thereafter your assignment). Other time, simply
selling out the call will be more profitable.
2. Durational play may win or may lose. I may eventually win over all, but
if I have my capitol i can deploy somewhere else have more chance of winning
. I don't view rolling out a good strategy for ER play. When I enter a trade
, especially ER play, I've already map out my exit plan. You bet, you win or
lose, you exit.
My two cents
【在 E***r 的大作中提到】
: you could roll out your positions to Aug tomorrow
: to reduce the risk of assignment
: and give yourself more time to be correct.
:
: toasted
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E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 22 Thanks for your explanation on the assignment risks.
Do you plan to close only the call spread and let the put spread expire
worthless, or close the entire position?
the
be
winning
trade
or
【在 i***t 的大作中提到】
: 1. You don't have assignment risk. Assignment risk is more probably for a)
: dividend stock/ EFT b) when you call is ITM, close to expiration, 3) and the
: time value is less than the dividend; only then the logical choice will be
: exercising the option (and thereafter your assignment). Other time, simply
: selling out the call will be more profitable.
: 2. Durational play may win or may lose. I may eventually win over all, but
: if I have my capitol i can deploy somewhere else have more chance of winning
: . I don't view rolling out a good strategy for ER play. When I enter a trade
: , especially ER play, I've already map out my exit plan. You bet, you win or
: lose, you exit.
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E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 23 I closed my call spread and rolled out & up my put spread to Aug monthly.
The bullish sentiment is strong with NFLX.
【在 E***r 的大作中提到】
: Thanks for your explanation on the assignment risks.
: Do you plan to close only the call spread and let the put spread expire
: worthless, or close the entire position?
:
: the
: be
: winning
: trade
: or
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