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发帖数: 25274 | 1 Novak's Five Degrees Of Separation vs. Thiem
Feb 02 2020
Craig O'Shannessy writes Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers stories
Brain Game explains how Djokovic won his 17th Grand Slam title
Novak Djokovic created five degrees of separation to defeat Dominic Thiem 6-
4, 4-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the final of the Australian Open on Sunday.
Djokovic won just 10 more points for the match (157-147), and looked in
serious trouble trailing two sets to one. But in five specific areas, he
clearly outperformed Thiem to win his 17th Grand Slam singles title.
1: Second-Serve Points Won
The dividing line for success in this metric is always right around the 50
per cent mark. The tournament average this year was 51 per cent (5154/10147)
second-serve points won, and that’s exactly what Djokovic attained for the
match (24/47). Thiem was able to win only 45 per cent (28/62) of his second
-serve points.
When you compare second-serve performance to sets won, you quickly draw a
straight line between the two metrics.
Second-Serve Performance - Sets Won/Lost
Djokovic three sets won = 61% (14/23)
Djokovic two sets lost = 42% (10/24)
Thiem two sets won = 59% (17/29)
Thiem three sets lost = 33% (11/33)
2: Serve And Volley
Djokovic served and volleyed four times in the final, winning three of them.
What’s strategically puzzling is that Thiem had served and volleyed 11
times coming into the final, winning every single one of those points, but
failed to employ the aggressive tactic against Djokovic.
With Djokovic serving at 1-1, 30/40 at the start of the fourth set, trailing
two sets to one, Djokovic boldly served and volleyed and won the point. He
served and volleyed again on break point at 2-1, Ad Out in the fifth set,
also winning the point.
Those were two huge moments in the match that Djokovic gambled with serve
and volley and was richly rewarded for his aggression.
3: Zero-To-Four Shot Rally Length
Djokovic won the zero-to-four shot rally length 89-80, creating the most
distance from Thiem in any of the three rally lengths.
Rally Length - Points Won/Lost
0-4 Shots = +9 (89 won/80 lost)
5-8 Shots = Even (37 won/ 37 lost)
9+ Shots = +1 (31 won / 30 lost)
In all three sets Djokovic claimed, he won the zero-to-four rally length by
a combined 14 points. In the two sets Djokovic lost, Thiem won the important
“First-Strike” rally length by five shots (34-29).
Rally Length: Djokovic 2020 Australian Open Seven Matches
0-4 Shots = +115 (505 won / 390 lost)
5-8 Shots = +25 (162 won / 137 lost)
9+ Shots = +33 (117 won / 84 lost)
4: Baseline Points Won
Djokovic had a losing record in baseline points won in the final, winning
just 48 per cent (94/196) when he stood at the baseline at the end of the
rally.
It may seem like a low number, but it’s actually quite healthy. Thiem, by
comparison, won only 43 per cent (84/194) of his baseline points in the
final. In the deciding fifth set, the baseline was well and truly Djokovic’
s domain.
Fifth Set Baseline Points Won
Djokovic = 52.3% (23/44)
Thiem = 40.5% (17/42)
Overall for the tournament, Djokovic won 54 per cent (427/795), which was
tied for fourth best.
5: Forehand Performance
Both Djokovic and Thiem were credited with 18 forehand winners for the match
. It’s the error count where Djokovic found his separation.
Forehand Forced Errors
Djokovic = 15
Thiem = 36
Forehand Unforced Errors
Djokovic = 23
Thiem = 26
Djokovic committed 38 forehand errors for the match, while Thiem was
significantly higher at 62. In the deciding fifth set, Djokovic had only
eight forehand errors in total, while Thiem committed 21. When push came to
shove, Djokovic’s forehand found the court a lot more than Thiem’s.
The three-hour, 59-minute match had several momentum swings, but Djokovic
stayed the course and ultimately wrestled control of enough small battles
all over the court to take home a record-extending eighth Australian Open
singles title.
Editor's note: Craig O'Shannessy used to be part of Djokovic's coaching team. | b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 2 德子把Craig O裁了，Craig O现在揭露德子的秘密 | f**********g
发帖数: 1056 | 3 其实就是在大满贯和真正的高手打得少。三盘两胜的话，已经赢了。其实，五盘和三盘
的比赛完全不一样。大家都在统计提姆赢了多少此，其实分开三盘和五盘比赛来统计才
有意义。
决赛没上网，说明还是放不开，没有达到冠军的那颗大心脏。这也算新一代年轻人的弱
点。生活太好了。 | b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 4 提姆不是一个人，他的团队肯定实现想过的
从来没有人能通过上网consistly赢德子，甚至没人能经常赢德子
赢德子的最大概率就是老瓦的办法：重炮轰
提姆的game很想老瓦，而且状态也比老瓦好
提姆决赛的策略没错，差在炮弹少了点
跟邓大人一样，壮烈牺牲了 |
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