b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 1 Ron Paul won a straw poll in Illinois Saturday, the latest in a string of
such wins for the GOP presidential hopeful. Supporters say the mainstream
media are ignoring him, but such polls are not scientific and they can favor
an enthusiastic following like Paul's
Ron Paul won another Republican straw poll this weekend, in Illinois this
time.
It’s starting to become routine for Paul, points out The State Column, an
online source of state political news:
“Paul has consistently demonstrated his ability to rally his supporters to
straw polls throughout the nation. Paul took second place in the Ames Straw
Poll in August, finishing just 1 percentage point behind Minnesota
Congresswoman Michele Bachmann. Paul won a Values Voter Summit straw poll in
October and a California Republican Party straw poll in September. On
Saturday, October 22, Paul garnered 53 percent of the votes to win an Ohio
GOP poll. Last weekend, Paul won an Iowa straw poll at the National
Federation of Republican Assemblies in Des Moines, Iowa with 82 percent of
the votes.”
Election 101: Ten things to know about Ron Paul.
In Illinois Saturday, Paul won 52 percent of the vote – more than neck-and-
neck frontrunners Mitt Romney and Herman Cain.
How does Paul do it – winning state after state in these kinds of contests
– while generally being relegated to second-tier or “also ran” status by
most pundits and pollsters?
Pundits have a hard time categorizing Paul, the Texas congressman who’s as
much (maybe more) libertarian as he is Republican.
As was pointed out in this space last month, try to imagine a Republican
presidential candidate these days who would not support a constitutional ban
on abortion, who would cut defense spending by nearly a billion dollars, or
who would end all US aid to Israel. Hard, isn’t it?
MONITOR QUIZ: Political hair apparents. Who's hair is it?
Paul has said he will not run for re-election to his congressional seat next
year, raising questions about the possibility of running for president as
an independent or third-party candidate.
On “Fox News Sunday,” he ruled that out. But confirming his status as
something of a GOP outlier, he also said he wouldn’t necessarily support
the Republican presidential candidate once the primaries and caucuses are
over.
“If they believe in expanding the wars, if they don’t believe in looking
at the Federal Reserve, if they don’t believe in real cuts, if they don’t
believe in deregulation and a better tax system, it would defy everything I
believe in,” he told Chris Wallace. “And so therefore I would be reluctant
to jump on board and tell all of the supporters that have given me trust
and money … ‘All we have done is for naught and let’s support anybody at
all … even if they disagree with everything we do.’”
But back to all those straw polls that Paul keeps winning or at least doing
well in.
They’re typically not scientific, and they can’t be compared to nationwide
polls.
In the most recent ABC News/Washington Post, Rasmussen Reports, and
Quinnipiac polls, Paul remains in single digits behind Herman Cain, Mitt
Romney, Newt Gingrich, and Rick Perry among those likely to vote in the
Republican primaries or caucuses. And like Michele Bachmann, he’s dropped
several percentage points since October, according to the latest ABC News/
Washington Post poll.
But Paul continues to do well in the straw polls because of the way they’re
designed and because it’s easier for his enthusiastic and very loyal
supporters to take part.
At the Values Voter Summit last month, young Paul supporters showed up by
the busload to vote for him in that straw poll. The result? He won 37
percent of the vote, much more than Herman Cain (23 percent).
In Illinois over the weekend, Paul’s 52 percent win over his GOP rivals
comes with interesting caveats.
Voters in the straw poll (who had to contribute $5 to the Illinois
Republican Party for the privilege) could participate either in person or
online.
Paul won 66.5 percent of the votes cast over the Internet but just 8 percent
of those cast in person (the way actual elections happen), suggesting a
heavy online turnout by his supporters. Romney, on the other hand, took 35
percent of the in-person vote and Cain won 29 percent of that vote.
Paul supporters continue to claim media bias against their man.
“If the advocates of Ron Paul often seem like they're paranoid about the
way he's overlooked in the mainstream media, there's good reason for it,”
columnist Paul Mulshine writes in the Star Ledger in New Jersey.
As evidence, he points to a Sunday New York Times Magazine piece by
political analyst Nate Silver headlined “What Are the Chances for
Republicans?” Silver’s piece virtually ignores Ron Paul.
“The candidate who has been running third in many polls is conspicuously
absent from the article,” writes Mulshine, who also notes that in the Real
Clear Politics polling average only Romney does better than Paul in mock
head-to-head elections against Barack Obama.
Election 101: Ten things to know about Ron Paul.
http://news.yahoo.com/ron-paul-wins-yet-another-straw-poll-why- | y****t
发帖数: 10233 | 2 dont worry, it is not the time yet.
msm will be cherry picking ron paul's words and not only makes him like a
idiot but an old ugly idiot, if he truly has something to show.
mark my words, till then you will know what i am defending here.
favor
to
Straw
【在 b**********s 的大作中提到】
: Ron Paul won a straw poll in Illinois Saturday, the latest in a string of
: such wins for the GOP presidential hopeful. Supporters say the mainstream
: media are ignoring him, but such polls are not scientific and they can favor
: an enthusiastic following like Paul's
: Ron Paul won another Republican straw poll this weekend, in Illinois this
: time.
: It’s starting to become routine for Paul, points out The State Column, an
: online source of state political news:
: “Paul has consistently demonstrated his ability to rally his supporters to
: straw polls throughout the nation. Paul took second place in the Ames Straw
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