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发帖数: 29846 | 1 11:16 PM 01/27/2015
Voters will side with the GOP if they fight President Obama’s effort to
print work permits for millions of migrant workers, according to a new poll.
The large poll shows that 47 percent of the 1,593 respondents approve of
Obama’s overall performance — but also shows lopsided opposition to his
amnesty among the critical independent voters and lower-income voters that
the GOP needs to persuade and turn out in 2016.
Just 19 percent of 691 people who earn less than $50,000 a year strongly
support Obama’s amnesty move, while 40 percent strongly oppose. One in six
of 693 blue-collar respondents, or 15 percent, strongly supported Obama’s
decision, while 47 percent strongly opposed it.
The Paragon Insights poll gives cautious GOP senators an armory of darts in
their pending effort to pin Democrats to Obama’s unpopular amnesty policy.
By the end of February, the Senate’s GOP leadership is expected to force a
floor vote on a House bill that would defund Obama’s November amnesty, and
restore enforcement of many immigration laws that he and his deputies have
ignored since 2010.
The amnesty is strongly backed by Democrats, progressive, business groups,
Hispanic advocacy groups, most reporters covering the issue and by the
cannery operators and meatpackers who want a reliable source of cheap
migrant labor.
“This striking polling data underscores just how badly American workers are
hoping Congress will protect them from the President’s imperial edicts,”
said Stephen Miller, communications director for Alabama Sen. Jeff Sessions.
The poll is a problem and an opportunity for the GOP leadership, which is
struggling to balance the business demand for more cheap migrant labor, and
the voters’ emotional demands for better jobs and higher wages.
If the GOP sides with the high-immigration alliance of business executives
and Democratic progressives, “history may record this as the biggest missed
opportunity a political party has ever faced,” said a Hill staffer.
It is also a problem for Senate Democrats, who need to pick up five GOP
seats in the 2016 election to regain a Senate majority. High profile support
for Obama’s amnesty won’t help them hold the four Senate seats in red
states in 2016. On Tuesday, all 46 Senate Democrats tried to scare off GOP
senators by signing a letter saying they would oppose defunding of Obama’s
amnesty.
The poll reported that 54 percent of 563 independents, 29 percent of 575
Democrats and 81 percent of 455 Republicans said they would support “
Republicans in Congress taking away federal funding for this executive order
.”
The defunding proposal was supported by 58 percent of 524 middle-income
people, 45 percent of 691 lower-income people, 41 percent of 142 Hispanics
and 55 percent of 673 blue-collar respondents.
In the Midwest, whose voters will likely tip the presidential election to
the winner in 2016, 28 percent strongly support defunding, while 23 percent
strongly oppose defunding. Twenty-four percent somewhat support the
defunding, and 14 percent somewhat oppose the defunding.
Among western voters, 35 percent strongly support defunding, while 26
percent strongly oppose defunding.
In most questions, roughly 10 percent of respondents declined to give an
opinion.
The strong support for Obama’s aid to illegal immigrants is concentrated
among male Democrats, liberals, post-graduates and younger voters — nearly
all of whom will vote for whoever wins the Democratic nomination.
The strong support for defunding the amnesty is driven by lopsided
opposition to Obama’s amnesty program, which would give work-permits to
perhaps five million migrants who entered the country as children or who
have U.S.-born children, and also would end repatriations for nearly all 12
million illegals in the country.
In turn, that opposition is partly based on the public’s personal and
private assessment of immigration’s economic impact on jobs and wages, and
on their communities lifestyle and culture. |
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