n*********e
发帖数: 180 | 1 也是企业家，分散了老布什的票箱，导致败给克林顿。这一次肯定也是同样结果。就是
个轮回。当年老布什reelection一开始兆头就很差，和布三一个情况。 | b******i
发帖数: 1183 | 2 现在看起来是反过来
布三想分川普的票。
【在 n*********e 的大作中提到】
: 也是企业家，分散了老布什的票箱，导致败给克林顿。这一次肯定也是同样结果。就是
: 个轮回。当年老布什reelection一开始兆头就很差，和布三一个情况。
| t******r
发帖数: 8600 | 3 搅局说不上吧。Lee Atwater病（死）后，老布什就没戏了。
At one point in June, Perot led the polls with 39% (versus 31% for Bush and
25% for Clinton). 后来，共和党使了很多阴招，基本上是要和佩罗同归于尽。佩罗曾
一度退选，声誉受损。最后败下阵来。 | s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 4 共和党不分票，还不一定能赢呢。共和党如果分票，那就更没戏了。 | t******r
发帖数: 8600 | 5 A detailed analysis of voting demographics revealed that Perot's support
drew heavily from across the political spectrum, with 20% of his votes
coming from self-described liberals, 27% from self-described conservatives,
and 53% coming from self-described moderates. Economically, however, the
majority of Perot voters (57%) were middle class, earning between $15,000
and $49,000 annually, with the bulk of the remainder drawing from the upper
middle class (29% earning more than $50,000 annually).[39] Exit polls also
showed that Ross Perot drew 38% of his vote from Bush, and 38% of his vote
from Clinton, while the rest of his voters would have stayed home had he not
been on the ballot.[40]
如果和佩罗一样，Trump应该会得到很多中间选民和民主党的票， 而不光是共和党内部
分票。
【在 s*********r 的大作中提到】
: 共和党不分票，还不一定能赢呢。共和党如果分票，那就更没戏了。
| s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 6 这个分析真好。赞Boxer。
这么看起来，佩罗的支持者还真是有点像Trump的支持者。难道历史要重演？
,
upper
not
【在 t******r 的大作中提到】
: A detailed analysis of voting demographics revealed that Perot's support
: drew heavily from across the political spectrum, with 20% of his votes
: coming from self-described liberals, 27% from self-described conservatives,
: and 53% coming from self-described moderates. Economically, however, the
: majority of Perot voters (57%) were middle class, earning between $15,000
: and $49,000 annually, with the bulk of the remainder drawing from the upper
: middle class (29% earning more than $50,000 annually).[39] Exit polls also
: showed that Ross Perot drew 38% of his vote from Bush, and 38% of his vote
: from Clinton, while the rest of his voters would have stayed home had he not
: been on the ballot.[40]
| t******r
发帖数: 8600 | 7 现在的共和党当权者和1992年失去了最优秀的谋士后的共和党一样愚蠢。当然，Trump
比佩罗更坚强更有魅力。而且，Hillary和1992年的Bill完全不在一个级别。 所以，历
史不会重演。
【在 s*********r 的大作中提到】
: 这个分析真好。赞Boxer。
: 这么看起来，佩罗的支持者还真是有点像Trump的支持者。难道历史要重演？
:
: ,
: upper
: not
| j*******r
发帖数: 167 | 8 甜妈已经湿了,你却泼了一盆冷水,唉.
Trump
【在 t******r 的大作中提到】
: 现在的共和党当权者和1992年失去了最优秀的谋士后的共和党一样愚蠢。当然，Trump
: 比佩罗更坚强更有魅力。而且，Hillary和1992年的Bill完全不在一个级别。 所以，历
: 史不会重演。
| b******i
发帖数: 1183 | 9 hehe
【在 j*******r 的大作中提到】
: 甜妈已经湿了,你却泼了一盆冷水,唉.
:
: Trump
| t******r
发帖数: 8600 | 10 不了解甜妈。她还有水吗？
【在 j*******r 的大作中提到】
: 甜妈已经湿了,你却泼了一盆冷水,唉.
:
: Trump
|
|
