b*****d 发帖数: 61690 | 1 Sabermetrics pioneer: There aren’t enough 'morons' to elect Trump
By Nick Gass
02/24/16 12:31 PM EST
The father of Sabermetrics is clearly not a fan of Donald Trump, and he is
using his own statistical analysis to explain why the Republican front-
runner will not be the 45th president of the United States.
In a post published this week to his website titled "Trump, as in Rump,"
author Bill James, who is known as one of the pioneers of the analysis of
baseball and in-game statistics, broke down his reasoning in a variety of
ways.
"I don’t think that Trump can win, frankly, because I don’t think there
are enough morons to elect him. A certain percentage of the American public
is just morons; that’s the way it is," James wrote in one section. "When
you divide the public in two then divide the voters in one of those halves
among five candidates or more, a candidate can win by dominating the moron
vote because it only takes about one-seventh of the total population to take
the 'lead' under those circumstances."
But in a general election situation, James posited, "when you’re talking
about needing 51 percent of the whole population, rather than needing 30
percent of half of the population, you run out of morons. I hope we will."
"I hope Trump will lose, because I hope he runs out of morons to vote for
him. Again, I stress that I am not trying to tell you what you should think
about Donald Trump. I am merely telling you what I think about him," he said
. (In his Tuesday night victory speech, Trump noted his support among
Americans without college degrees, remarking, "I love the poorly educated.")
Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/02/donald-trump-sabermetrics-bill-james-219731#ixzz4179VKT1q | P*O 发帖数: 4324 | 2 呵呵,只敢骂白人是moron, 因为他知道那些白人不认为自己是moron,丫不敢骂吃福利
的是moron,因为这样会侮辱了那些moron。 |
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