f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | |
s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | |
p*****n
发帖数: 3678 | 3 只能谨慎乐观。 Breitbart 是 pro-trump 的网站。 |
f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | 4 其实是支持Cruz比较多。我都没敢转新闻。：)
【在 p*****n 的大作中提到】
: 只能谨慎乐观。 Breitbart 是 pro-trump 的网站。
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s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | 5
【在 p*****n 的大作中提到】
: 只能谨慎乐观。 Breitbart 是 pro-trump 的网站。
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | |
s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | 7 Inspiring
【在 T*********I 的大作中提到】
: another one, this morning
: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michi
: TRUMP: 42
: Kasich: 20
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H**r
发帖数: 10015 | |
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 9 Byron York: Showing strength in Michigan, Trump feeds on hostility to GOP,
Romney
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/byron-york-showing-strength-i
In many of Trump's victories this year, commentators have noted that late-
deciding voters have chosen another candidate, either Marco Rubio earlier in
the campaign, or Ted Cruz more recently. Trump would then "underperform"
poll estimates, while still winning. That inevitably led to the suggestion
that GOP voters were changing their minds and that Trump was fading. Late
deciders moved away from Trump in Iowa on Feb. 1 and in South Carolina on
Feb. 20 and in the Super Tuesday states on March 1, and yet Trump has still
won the majority of contests so far.
What's taking place, Dowd explained, is that "undecided voters are solidly
against Trump, but just haven't settled on another candidate yet, and make
up their mind in last days or on Election Day." The good news for Trump is
that his voters are solid. The bad news, Dowd continued, is that "Trump's
behavior and the conduct of his campaign are limiting him on expanding to a
more dominant position. Because of his flaws, Trump is preventing himself
from running away with this. If he could somehow become a better, more
expansive leader, he would gather momentum and could not be stopped. The
attacks on Trump haven't hurt Trump. Trump has hurt Trump in not picking up
speed faster." |
h******k
发帖数: 15372 | 10 这些民调是怎么弄出来的？最近很多民调和实际投票结果差距太大，特别是对川普的。 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 11 The latest FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll has around 10% undecided votes. Per
Washington Examiner, most of these votes will go to Cruz/Kasich/Rubio. I
just hope Cruz/Kasich/Rubio will split these votes evenly.
【在 h******k 的大作中提到】
: 这些民调是怎么弄出来的？最近很多民调和实际投票结果差距太大，特别是对川普的。
|
p*****n
发帖数: 3678 | 12 也有很多是 caucus, 极不容易预测结果, 这些 poll 基本不可信。如 Maine.
Caucus 是 Cruz 的长项。只要搞定几个 community leader, church leader, 就可以
大幅左右结果。 |
t***8
发帖数: 27 | |
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 14 Another one, Monmouth.
Looks 7% votes have not decided yet.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michi
TRUMP: 36
CRUZ: 23
Kasich: 21
Rubio: 13 |
p*****n
发帖数: 3678 | 15 不错，不能让 Kaisch gain momentum，关键是不能让 Kaisch 赢 OH. |
m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 16 Looks Monmouth poll has an unfriendly bias toward Trump.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michi
Trafalgar Group (R)
TRUMP: 41
CRUZ: 23
Kasich: 23
Rubio: 8
FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell.
TRUMP: 42
CRUZ: 19
Kasich: 20
Rubio: 9
【在 m****g 的大作中提到】
: Another one, Monmouth.
: Looks 7% votes have not decided yet.
: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michi
: TRUMP: 36
: CRUZ: 23
: Kasich: 21
: Rubio: 13
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