d*2
发帖数: 2053 | 1 这些所谓市场分析员，经济学家，一直在证明他们的弱智么？
“The 38,000 jobs created in May fell well short of consensus expectations
of around 160,000”
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/el-erian--here-s-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-interesting--if-not-confusing-jobs-report-134627722.html#
Here is what you need to know about Friday’s interesting, if not confusing,
US jobs report:
Job creation disappointed: The 38,000 jobs created in May fell well short of
consensus expectations of around 160,000. In addition, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics revised its estimates for prior months downwards by 59,000. Put
the two together and you get a highly unusual negative net number for the
combined multi-month number released this morning.
Despite disappointing job creation, the unemployment rate fell to 4.7%: This
is the lowest jobless rate since November 2007. The driver was a fall in
what, already, was an historically low labor participation rate. At 62.6% (
down 0.2 percentage points for the month), the participation rate is very
near all-time historic lows.
Part time employment numbers also point to less labor market slack:
Involuntary part time workers, that is those who would opt for full time
jobs were they available, rose by 468,000 to 6.4 million.
Wages continued to grow, albeit at a modest rate: Monthly earnings rose by 0
.2% in May bringing the yearly increase to 2.5%.
Bottom line: It’s a weak report at the headline level. Yet the message for
policymakers is far from unambiguous as timid job creation is offset by
indicators of less labor market slack.
This puts the Federal Reserve in a tricky situation – reducing the
probability for a rate hike in June but keeping July very much on the table. | i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 2 明显是这些人出于某些目的，故意歪曲事实。
【在 d*2 的大作中提到】
: 这些所谓市场分析员，经济学家，一直在证明他们的弱智么？
: “The 38,000 jobs created in May fell well short of consensus expectations
: of around 160,000”
: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/el-erian--here-s-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-interesting--if-not-confusing-jobs-report-134627722.html#
: Here is what you need to know about Friday’s interesting, if not confusing,
: US jobs report:
: Job creation disappointed: The 38,000 jobs created in May fell well short of
: consensus expectations of around 160,000. In addition, the Bureau of Labor
: Statistics revised its estimates for prior months downwards by 59,000. Put
: the two together and you get a highly unusual negative net number for the
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