n********e
发帖数: 254 | 1 Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally,a new
Bloomberg Politics pollshows.
Clinton has 49% support to Trump's 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9%,
according to the poll of 750 likely voters. The poll was conducted Friday
through Monday and released Tuesday evening, meaning many of those polled
were surveyed before the Orlando terrorist attack. |
l********k
发帖数: 14844 | 2 什么平台的统计？统计对象有没有filter,有没有bias? |
p*******m
发帖数: 20761 | 3 EMBARGOED UNTIL TUESDAY, JUNE 14, 2016, 5:00 P.M. ET
Bloomberg Politics National Poll
SELZER & COMPANY Study #2140
1,000 U.S. adults ages 18 and over June 10-13, 2016
Margin of error for full sample: ± 3.1 percentage points Weighted by age
and race
Includes 750 likely voters in the November general election
Margin of error for likely voter subsample: ± 3.6 percentage points |
j***j
发帖数: 1997 | 4 墨西哥法官效果出来了
%,
【在 n********e 的大作中提到】
: Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally,a new
: Bloomberg Politics pollshows.
: Clinton has 49% support to Trump's 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9%,
: according to the poll of 750 likely voters. The poll was conducted Friday
: through Monday and released Tuesday evening, meaning many of those polled
: were surveyed before the Orlando terrorist attack.
|
S*******h
发帖数: 7021 | 5 上周川普的墨西哥法官言论确实失分, 恐攻后, 下周就加回来了 |
c*******4
发帖数: 1874 | 6 看到bloomberg就不用看了
%,
【在 n********e 的大作中提到】
: Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally,a new
: Bloomberg Politics pollshows.
: Clinton has 49% support to Trump's 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9%,
: according to the poll of 750 likely voters. The poll was conducted Friday
: through Monday and released Tuesday evening, meaning many of those polled
: were surveyed before the Orlando terrorist attack.
|
R*********0
发帖数: 3242 | 7 我十分期待他俩的debate
%,
【在 n********e 的大作中提到】
: Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally,a new
: Bloomberg Politics pollshows.
: Clinton has 49% support to Trump's 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9%,
: according to the poll of 750 likely voters. The poll was conducted Friday
: through Monday and released Tuesday evening, meaning many of those polled
: were surveyed before the Orlando terrorist attack.
|
S**H
发帖数: 1256 | |
n********e
发帖数: 254 | 9 卧槽 250个是不投票的统计进去干毛
【在 p*******m 的大作中提到】
: EMBARGOED UNTIL TUESDAY, JUNE 14, 2016, 5:00 P.M. ET
: Bloomberg Politics National Poll
: SELZER & COMPANY Study #2140
: 1,000 U.S. adults ages 18 and over June 10-13, 2016
: Margin of error for full sample: ± 3.1 percentage points Weighted by age
: and race
: Includes 750 likely voters in the November general election
: Margin of error for likely voter subsample: ± 3.6 percentage points
|
S**H
发帖数: 1256 | |
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N*********8
发帖数: 161 | 11 关于墨西哥法官言论实在是不应该，确实非常容易生出是非来。他可以说那个法官以前
的记录怎么怎么，但不能攻击人家的族裔，那怕确实是那么回事也不能说，这是底线。
对他上周的这个言论挺失望的。
【在 S*******h 的大作中提到】
: 上周川普的墨西哥法官言论确实失分, 恐攻后, 下周就加回来了
|
z****0
发帖数: 3942 | 12 没事！这些都是左臂作假。
真相是川普领先希拉里12%。
%,
【在 n********e 的大作中提到】
: Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally,a new
: Bloomberg Politics pollshows.
: Clinton has 49% support to Trump's 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9%,
: according to the poll of 750 likely voters. The poll was conducted Friday
: through Monday and released Tuesday evening, meaning many of those polled
: were surveyed before the Orlando terrorist attack.
|
s*******1
发帖数: 16479 | |
v*******e
发帖数: 11604 | 14 初选各个州poll床铺都落后，最后投票大幅领先。
到现在还信poll的都是傻逼，那些东西是媒体的洗脑工具。 |
d*******p
发帖数: 2525 | 15 250个不投票或者没投票权的人.....你觉得他们是支持哪个的？把那些人扣除后呢？ |
J*8
发帖数: 616 | 16 Bloomberg poll诚实地造假: 把原始数据给你，你自己修正。
【在 d*******p 的大作中提到】
: 250个不投票或者没投票权的人.....你觉得他们是支持哪个的？把那些人扣除后呢？
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 17 关键是这750人代表了投票的人的种族和比例吗，他们是真正的选民吗？这里面估计学
问多了去了。连电视采访要露脸报名的都能作假去找群众演员，这些poll里的人里又有谁
知道是些神马人哈。
媒体这么疯狂，是想让共和党逼老川退？ |
b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 18 那一次初选民调显示trump落后，最后trump赢了。举个例子？
【在 v*******e 的大作中提到】
: 初选各个州poll床铺都落后，最后投票大幅领先。
: 到现在还信poll的都是傻逼，那些东西是媒体的洗脑工具。
|
r*****x
发帖数: 6988 | 19 现在离大选还有5个月，初选任何一个州的选举日期，往前推5个月，你查查那个时候的
民调。
【在 b*****d 的大作中提到】
: 那一次初选民调显示trump落后，最后trump赢了。举个例子？
|
r*********e
发帖数: 7733 | 20 跟我昨天发的帖子一样，1000人，250个没有投票权。这就25%了。尼玛狗屎民调。
【在 p*******m 的大作中提到】
: EMBARGOED UNTIL TUESDAY, JUNE 14, 2016, 5:00 P.M. ET
: Bloomberg Politics National Poll
: SELZER & COMPANY Study #2140
: 1,000 U.S. adults ages 18 and over June 10-13, 2016
: Margin of error for full sample: ± 3.1 percentage points Weighted by age
: and race
: Includes 750 likely voters in the November general election
: Margin of error for likely voter subsample: ± 3.6 percentage points
|
|
|
z****0
发帖数: 3942 | 21 是啊！左臂媒体的民调，谁信谁脑残。
【在 r*********e 的大作中提到】
: 跟我昨天发的帖子一样，1000人，250个没有投票权。这就25%了。尼玛狗屎民调。
|
m**k
发帖数: 1503 | 22 正解，5个月呢，多数人还没开始关心政治，中间变数也很多，再来一个恐怖袭击或者
华尔街撑不住了都会把Trump推上去，更何况辩论还一场都没有呢
【在 r*****x 的大作中提到】
: 现在离大选还有5个月，初选任何一个州的选举日期，往前推5个月，你查查那个时候的
: 民调。
|
p*****n
发帖数: 3678 | 23 忍不住为 trump 担心。
但是，希望11月快点来到，穆斯林奥巴马快点滚。
现在看到奥巴马那种脸就要呕吐，听到那个穆斯林总统的声音都觉得特别恶心，奥巴那
张烂脸比最脏最烂的屎还臭。 |
d******r
发帖数: 1247 | |
o******l
发帖数: 2324 | 25 又来阴阳怪气了？
【在 z****0 的大作中提到】
: 是啊！左臂媒体的民调，谁信谁脑残。
|
d******r
发帖数: 1247 | 26 another one:
National poll: Clinton lead grows over Trump
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/poll-trump-clinton-who-is-winning-224298
"Clinton narrowed Trump’s lead among men and white voters to single digits
over the past week and now leads Trump by 25 points — 58 percent to 33
percent".
"The poll was conducted online from June 6 to 12, surveying 10,604 adults,
including 9,355 who are registered to vote. The margin of error is plus or
minus 1.4 percentage points."
【在 c*******4 的大作中提到】
: 看到bloomberg就不用看了
:
: %,
|
m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 27 This poll number means that Hillary will win almost all states.
Hillary has to go to jail for Trump winning the election.
Otherwise, a piper dream for GOP.
The poll of TRUMP is much much worse than Mccain and Romney.
Trump polls always lead in GOP primary. Please do not lie. |
T******g
发帖数: 21328 | 28 左臂媒体无耻没下限呀！
【在 r*********e 的大作中提到】
: 跟我昨天发的帖子一样，1000人，250个没有投票权。这就25%了。尼玛狗屎民调。
|
f****g
发帖数: 23666 | 29 恭喜，那左逼们还这么疯狂的在这挖坑造谣骂街干嘛？吃太多没事干？
【在 m*********a 的大作中提到】
: This poll number means that Hillary will win almost all states.
: Hillary has to go to jail for Trump winning the election.
: Otherwise, a piper dream for GOP.
: The poll of TRUMP is much much worse than Mccain and Romney.
: Trump polls always lead in GOP primary. Please do not lie.
|
x***m
发帖数: 345 | 30 Don't forget, unfavorable view of Trump is 71%, no candidate won presidency
on that number
%,
【在 n********e 的大作中提到】
: Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump nationally,a new
: Bloomberg Politics pollshows.
: Clinton has 49% support to Trump's 37%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9%,
: according to the poll of 750 likely voters. The poll was conducted Friday
: through Monday and released Tuesday evening, meaning many of those polled
: were surveyed before the Orlando terrorist attack.
|
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r*********e
发帖数: 7733 | 31 哈哈，左逼对初选的预测也是基于一些狗屁民调，错的太离谱。
presidency
【在 x***m 的大作中提到】
: Don't forget, unfavorable view of Trump is 71%, no candidate won presidency
: on that number
:
: %,
|
z****0
发帖数: 3942 | 32 你如果这么有信心，干嘛这么积极上蹿下跳。你应该替你们川教主高兴才是啊！
事实是，即使在共和党内，现在跳出来支持川普的政客也屈指可数。更不要说共和党前
候选人Romney和Mccain，以及众院参院领袖都反对川普的极端穆斯林和修墙提议。
【在 r*********e 的大作中提到】
: 哈哈，左逼对初选的预测也是基于一些狗屁民调，错的太离谱。
:
: presidency
|
x***m
发帖数: 345 | 33 病从口入，祸从口出，你教教你的教主，不要太失望欧
【在 r*********e 的大作中提到】
: 哈哈，左逼对初选的预测也是基于一些狗屁民调，错的太离谱。
:
: presidency
|
M*****l
发帖数: 4478 | 34 “according to the poll of 750 likely voters”
你问这些都多余
【在 l********k 的大作中提到】
: 什么平台的统计？统计对象有没有filter,有没有bias?
|
x********o
发帖数: 2092 | 35 不是没有投票权，每个poll统计的都是税后的
【在 r*********e 的大作中提到】
: 跟我昨天发的帖子一样，1000人，250个没有投票权。这就25%了。尼玛狗屎民调。
|
b******n
发帖数: 3103 | 36 这些poll 都是每段时间（譬如每周）定时做，并且随时报道的？还是随机做，但只有
川普落后的时候才报道？应该像天气预报一样有长期曲线图啊，我记得我以前提过个综
合链接。如果川普一直都落后的属于常态，那干嘛隔三差五上个头条，搞得跟个新闻似
的？ |
H**G
发帖数: 563 | 37 Agreed. Media都是傻逼!
【在 r*********e 的大作中提到】
: 跟我昨天发的帖子一样，1000人，250个没有投票权。这就25%了。尼玛狗屎民调。
|
