g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 1 Professor Norpoth: Trump Has 87% of Winning November Election (VIDEO)
Jim Hoft Aug 16th, 2016 7:02 pm 246 Comments
Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University today told Lou Dobbs
Donald Trump has an 87% chance of winning the November presidential election.
Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stoney
Brook University.
His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.
This 2016 forecast rests on a model that tracks cyclical movements in
American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting
became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two
centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle.
This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last
30 years or so, but a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the
White House.
Norproth made the prediction in March and says he still stands by his
election prediction.
视频在这里：
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/professor-norpoth-trump-87-winning-november-election-video/ |
g********2
发帖数: 6571 | |
d*********t
发帖数: 4279 | 3 不会吧，昨天美国之音报希拉里有80%可能。
简直是nba final cavs vs warriors |
s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 4 回禀大人，我觉得此事有蹊跷。
我猜背后一定有一个天大的秘密。
【在 g********2 的大作中提到】
: 坐等甜妈评论。
|
d*********t
发帖数: 4279 | 5 http://www.voachinese.com/a/us-election-20160816/3468392.html
【在 d*********t 的大作中提到】
: 不会吧，昨天美国之音报希拉里有80%可能。
: 简直是nba final cavs vs warriors
|
r*********e
发帖数: 7733 | 6 美国之音，哈哈。
难道你不认为CNN, ABC, MSNBC这些左媒更有说服力？你要把这个旁门左道的VOA抬出来。
【在 d*********t 的大作中提到】
: http://www.voachinese.com/a/us-election-20160816/3468392.html
|
d*********t
发帖数: 4279 | 7 关键是谁也不知道结局，所以各种砖家都跳出来预测了。human nature |
g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 8 Professor Norpoth: Trump Has 87% of Winning November Election (VIDEO)
Jim Hoft Aug 16th, 2016 7:02 pm 246 Comments
Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University today told Lou Dobbs
Donald Trump has an 87% chance of winning the November presidential election.
Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stoney
Brook University.
His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.
This 2016 forecast rests on a model that tracks cyclical movements in
American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting
became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two
centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle.
This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last
30 years or so, but a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the
White House.
Norproth made the prediction in March and says he still stands by his
election prediction.
视频在这里：
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/professor-norpoth-trump-87-winning-november-election-video/ |
g********2
发帖数: 6571 | |
d*********t
发帖数: 4279 | 10 不会吧，昨天美国之音报希拉里有80%可能。
简直是nba final cavs vs warriors |
|
|
s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 11 回禀大人，我觉得此事有蹊跷。
我猜背后一定有一个天大的秘密。
【在 g********2 的大作中提到】
: 坐等甜妈评论。
|
d*********t
发帖数: 4279 | 12 http://www.voachinese.com/a/us-election-20160816/3468392.html
【在 d*********t 的大作中提到】
: 不会吧，昨天美国之音报希拉里有80%可能。
: 简直是nba final cavs vs warriors
|
r*********e
发帖数: 7733 | 13 美国之音，哈哈。
难道你不认为CNN, ABC, MSNBC这些左媒更有说服力？你要把这个旁门左道的VOA抬出来。
【在 d*********t 的大作中提到】
: http://www.voachinese.com/a/us-election-20160816/3468392.html
|
d*********t
发帖数: 4279 | 14 关键是谁也不知道结局，所以各种砖家都跳出来预测了。human nature |
g********2
发帖数: 6571 | |
