q*z
发帖数: 715 | 1 In presidential elections, size doesn't always matter
It's the most deceptive sign in politics.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/27/politics/2016-election-crowd-size/index.html |
q*z
发帖数: 715 | 2 In fact, extrapolating electoral prospects from the size of rally crowds is
often a misleading metric -- for evidence, look no further than the
campaigns of Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney.
Bernie Sanders thrilled thousands of people in mega-rallies over the past
year and a half as well. |
q*z
发帖数: 715 | 3 Yet every election, candidates and aides, seeking silver linings when beset
by bad polls, indulge the wishful thought that bulging rallies will mean a
stampede at the ballot box. |
q*z
发帖数: 715 | 4 But history shows, that for all its faults, polling is a better predictor of
electoral success in a broad electorate, than crowd size. |
y***z
发帖数: 136 | 5 Trump's supporters don't care.
is
【在 q*z 的大作中提到】
: In fact, extrapolating electoral prospects from the size of rally crowds is
: often a misleading metric -- for evidence, look no further than the
: campaigns of Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney.
: Bernie Sanders thrilled thousands of people in mega-rallies over the past
: year and a half as well.
|
b********t
发帖数: 1776 | |
a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 7 楼主不就是那个坚决相信MSM职业操守，长篇大论连载要大家允许他支持希拉里的那个？ |
R**********9
发帖数: 1487 | 8 Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney. 这些人的对手也
是rally填不满一个高中gym的？三德子那是初选，而且被黑。
is
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 13
【在 q*z 的大作中提到】
: In fact, extrapolating electoral prospects from the size of rally crowds is
: often a misleading metric -- for evidence, look no further than the
: campaigns of Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney.
: Bernie Sanders thrilled thousands of people in mega-rallies over the past
: year and a half as well.
|
j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 9 楼主就是老大爷马甲，还跳坑？我把那个贴顶上来你们都不看么？
【在 a*********a 的大作中提到】
: 楼主不就是那个坚决相信MSM职业操守，长篇大论连载要大家允许他支持希拉里的那个？
|
H****S
发帖数: 1359 | 10 Trolling is not your speciality, knock yourself out somewhere else.
【在 q*z 的大作中提到】
: In presidential elections, size doesn't always matter
: It's the most deceptive sign in politics.
: http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/27/politics/2016-election-crowd-size/index.html
|
|
|
a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 11 哦， 原来是方舟林。
that list is getting too long, hard not to miss any.
【在 j*********r 的大作中提到】
: 楼主就是老大爷马甲，还跳坑？我把那个贴顶上来你们都不看么？
|
f********a
发帖数: 4239 | 12 川普支持者明显更有热情，以本版为例。真投票就不一定了，希拉里支持者总体来说没
有那么热情，很多人也是无所谓，随便听听媒体怎么说就投了
但是Sanders就不要拿出来说事了
【在 q*z 的大作中提到】
: In presidential elections, size doesn't always matter
: It's the most deceptive sign in politics.
: http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/27/politics/2016-election-crowd-size/index.html
|
G***o
发帖数: 5158 | 13 because your crooked candidate has an army of hackers to rig the voting
machines at the polls.
【在 q*z 的大作中提到】
: In presidential elections, size doesn't always matter
: It's the most deceptive sign in politics.
: http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/27/politics/2016-election-crowd-size/index.html
|
f********a
发帖数: 4239 | 14 你在西版还挺中间派的，前一阵子，最近是因为来这里多了吧，急剧变化中
【在 G***o 的大作中提到】
: because your crooked candidate has an army of hackers to rig the voting
: machines at the polls.
|
G***o
发帖数: 5158 | 15 很复杂，我老过去八到十年来一直是观念上的自由意志党（Libertarian），很多社会
议题上和极为激进的左派类似，少数社会议题和经济议题上是茶党，实际操作上支持右
派，政治捐款也一直捐给右派。
【在 f********a 的大作中提到】
: 你在西版还挺中间派的，前一阵子，最近是因为来这里多了吧，急剧变化中
|
q*z
发帖数: 715 | 16 玩不起就别玩 甭跟我这儿臭来劲
【在 G***o 的大作中提到】
: because your crooked candidate has an army of hackers to rig the voting
: machines at the polls.
|
