h*******n 发帖数: 8906 | 1 今天雅虎转的文 这么悲观的看法 不容易
Ohio Democrats watch in dismay as their state tilts red
https://thinkprogress.org/ohio-democrats-watch-in-dismay-as-their-state-
tilts-red-ad045b8921c6?ref=yfp#.dcd2ezgpy
有一段谈early vote
Early voting tallies paint a darker picture. So far, 300,000 fewer people
have voted this year than at this same point in 2012 — in large
part because the state slashed the entire first week of early voting
— and the biggest drop-offs have been in blue strongholds.
还有college town全面右转的问题 这个如果是真的话 那全国都有一定的效应
Democratic elected officials and voters who spoke to ThinkProgress in
Cleveland, Lorain, Columbus, and Youngstown had many theories about how a
diverse, student-heavy state could be lurching to the right. They cite
apathy, voting restrictions, a depressed economy, a longtime undercurrent of
anti-immigrant populism, and an avalanche of outside spending. | G**Y 发帖数: 33224 | 2 Trump肯定赢下OH。现在看FL也应该拿下了。
下面是NC, NV, PA, CO, NH。之后是MI,WI,Minnesota
按早期的趋势,FL能拿下,NC,NV就应该也能拿下。
large
8202;
【在 h*******n 的大作中提到】 : 今天雅虎转的文 这么悲观的看法 不容易 : Ohio Democrats watch in dismay as their state tilts red : https://thinkprogress.org/ohio-democrats-watch-in-dismay-as-their-state- : tilts-red-ad045b8921c6?ref=yfp#.dcd2ezgpy : 有一段谈early vote : Early voting tallies paint a darker picture. So far, 300,000 fewer people : have voted this year than at this same point in 2012 — in large : part because the state slashed the entire first week of early voting : — and the biggest drop-offs have been in blue strongholds. : 还有college town全面右转的问题 这个如果是真的话 那全国都有一定的效应
| s******n 发帖数: 6806 | 3 很正常啊,Ohio民调一直是Trump领先啊,连主流媒体都基本把这个州划给trump了。
其他摇摆州却不一样,至少polls上跟Ohio相反。 | G*******h 发帖数: 4091 | 4 呵呵,我现在就在看Trump能不能赢下纽约、加州、伊州。今年希拉里肯定会被摧枯拉
朽击败的。
Trump不见得能赢得这些州的多数选民,但希拉里很可能已经被他们抛弃。 | h*******n 发帖数: 8906 | 5 NC应该没问题啊 毕竟罗姆尼12年都拿下了 最蓝的三角洲今年就见到2个希拉里的牌子
一大波老中烙印全是床铺的票 early vote tuenout看着也很高 都指向有利于床铺 |
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