T******r
发帖数: 90 | 1 North Carolina
Democrats have built a large lead ahead of Republicans in North Carolina,
and their lead has grown in recent days are voters hit the polls early.
Right now, they lead the GOP by about 149,000 votes, or 18.4 percentage
points of the state's nearly 812,000 votes cast.
However, for the first time since in-person early voting started last week,
Democrats are behind their 2012 pace. At this point four years ago, they led
Republicans by 167,401, or 20.5 points, in the early vote. And even with
that advantage, it wasn't enough for Obama to win the Tar Heel State against
Mitt Romney.
North Carolina reduced its early voting window, but the total ballots cast
so far are largely on track with 2012 -- when 61% of the vote was cast early.
If Clinton wants to flip North Carolina blue this year, she'll need strong
turnout from African-Americans. At this point in 2012, black voters were 30%
of the electorate. They're only about 24% today. Meanwhile, the share of
white voters has climbed from 64% at this point in 2012 to 72% now.
Ohio | f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 2 扯淡吧。2012年罗姆尼一直在北卡领先。
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html
今年一直是希拉里领先
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-5951.html
,
led
against
【在 T******r 的大作中提到】
: North Carolina
: Democrats have built a large lead ahead of Republicans in North Carolina,
: and their lead has grown in recent days are voters hit the polls early.
: Right now, they lead the GOP by about 149,000 votes, or 18.4 percentage
: points of the state's nearly 812,000 votes cast.
: However, for the first time since in-person early voting started last week,
: Democrats are behind their 2012 pace. At this point four years ago, they led
: Republicans by 167,401, or 20.5 points, in the early vote. And even with
: that advantage, it wasn't enough for Obama to win the Tar Heel State against
: Mitt Romney.
| R**********9
发帖数: 1487 | | a******o
发帖数: 16625 | 4 北卡很有意思的，2012年，民主党150万投票，共和党100万人，但是罗姆尼拿下了北卡
，因为北卡有100万独立选民。今年独立选民更加红，所以，NC应该没事。如果北卡拿
不下，FL和OH更没戏，就可以洗洗睡了。
【在 R**********9 的大作中提到】
: 你这是2012年的poll，又不是early vote的结果。
:
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 13
| A**d
发帖数: 13310 | 5 你们不要搭理精神病ldy
【在 R**********9 的大作中提到】
: 你这是2012年的poll，又不是early vote的结果。
:
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 13
| R**********9
发帖数: 1487 | 6 没认出来
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 13
【在 A**d 的大作中提到】
: 你们不要搭理精神病ldy
| f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 7 obama当年在early vote也领先，但是最后输掉了nc。
但是romney其实一直在所有的poll里面都领先的。
今年的情况不同。
【在 R**********9 的大作中提到】
: 你这是2012年的poll，又不是early vote的结果。
:
: ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 13
|
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