L*********4 发帖数: 883 | 4 Turnout很神。变成R+7了。大好消息。
Ann Selzer是Nate Silver最尊敬的Pollster。她不会乱给一个R+7的turnout的。
The final Iowa poll ahead of the 2008 election showed 33 percent of those
under age 35 identified as Democrats, 26 percent as Republicans, and 38
percent as independents. In this poll, 36 percent identify as independent,
32 percent Republican and just 25 percent Democratic.
Iowa Poll pollster Ann Selzer sees in these results evidence that young
liberals who backed U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders in the Iowa caucuses may be
skipping the general election out of distaste for their final options.
“I just have to wonder if the Bernie lovers are sitting this one out,”
Selzer said.
【在 l***o 的大作中提到】 : Iowa is now solid red as Trump opens 7-point lead over Clinton : http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/
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