g***c
发帖数: 11523 | | l***x
发帖数: 1761 | 2 你找那个什么westout，他饥渴
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 只跟一个人赌，只赌1000伪币
| f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 3 如果川普选了罗姆尼，就等于抛弃康威和朱利安尼。
哈哈哈，我倒是乐见狗咬狗。
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 只跟一个人赌，只赌1000伪币
| l******c
发帖数: 2555 | 4 罗姆尼是目前trump 能找到的个人能力气质最好的， 朱利安尼的长相谈吐不适合做
【在 f*******y 的大作中提到】
: 如果川普选了罗姆尼，就等于抛弃康威和朱利安尼。
: 哈哈哈，我倒是乐见狗咬狗。
| s*********y
发帖数: 6151 | 5 romney国务卿了你给我1000伪币
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 只跟一个人赌，只赌1000伪币
| k******0
发帖数: 2438 | | f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 7 老朱上船早。现在上船早的chris，医生，牛金贵，老朱，没有一个入阁。
呵呵
我估计川普手下会造反的。
【在 l******c 的大作中提到】
: 罗姆尼是目前trump 能找到的个人能力气质最好的， 朱利安尼的长相谈吐不适合做
| l****u
发帖数: 279 | | f****g
发帖数: 23666 | 9 jeff session,
sb
【在 f*******y 的大作中提到】
: 老朱上船早。现在上船早的chris，医生，牛金贵，老朱，没有一个入阁。
: 呵呵
: 我估计川普手下会造反的。
| f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 10 我猜测，川普想向建制派靠拢。他一开始选mike pence做vp就是一个很强烈的信号。
mike pence可是不再建制派的建制派了。
他把交通部长给了Mitch McConnell的老婆，我觉得这个意思已经很清楚了。
财政部长给了soros的代理人
这个国务卿的位置8成是建制派的。
【在 l****u 的大作中提到】
: 看不懂老川。为啥要选一个那么反对自己的人
| | | f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 11 AG不是什么肥缺，也没多重要。
【在 f****g 的大作中提到】
: jeff session,
: sb
| j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 12 发信人: fakestory (fakestory), 信区: USANews
标 题: 关于早投随便转篇新闻吧，省得版上分析来分析去的
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Nov 7 16:16:11 2016, 美东)
简单的讲就是trump在nc，nv，fl这三个州惨败。除非明天有奇迹，否则扳不回来。
都有数据，省得你们传粉分析来分析去的。
http://www.inquisitr.com/3685927/early-voting-results-2016-election-polls-for-hillary-clinton-and-donald-trump-in-florida-north-carolina-and-nevada-battleground-states/
As reported by the Associated Press, early voting results across the country
are largely breaking in Hillary Clinton’s favor. There are some exceptions
of course – such as Texas and Arizona – but for the most part Democrats
benefit from early voting more than Republicans. In the Hillary Clinton and
Donald Trump contest for battleground states, Clinton is particularly
benefiting from early voting in Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada.
Early voting surged among Hispanics in key swing states this weekend,
lifting Hillary Clinton's presidential hopes https://t.co/Y5Wm6TS7gF
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 6, 2016
Early Voting Themes
One of the principal themes seen in the early voting in all three of these
states is the influence of minority voters on the 2016 election. The African
-American vote in these states is going for Hillary Clinton in a big way,
although not in the numbers they voted for Barack Obama.
Black turnout is down, but it's not 'low.' They're voting like nonblack
voters. Half of black midterm vt still left. https://t.co/KIIGJ6Wxqf
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 2, 2016
The Hispanic vote is particularly relevant in Florida, North Carolina, and
Nevada, since all have sizable Hispanic populations. Donald Trump has
antagonized Hispanics throughout the country, and these voters are turning
to Hillary Clinton in droves. In fact, early voting results suggest a much
higher Hispanic turnout in this election than in previous ones.
Florida Early Voting Results
As reported by CNN, in Florida early voting a slightly larger number of
Democrats than Republicans have already voted. But even though the early
voting numbers in Florida – 2,268,663 Democrats and 2,261,383 Republicans
– show only a 7,280 vote advantage for Democrats, this is a bit deceptive.
Early voting polls make it clear that Democrats are almost uniformly voting
for Hillary Clinton – losing only 6 percent of their voters to Trump. On
the other hand, some early voting results suggest that up to 28 percent of
Republicans in Florida may be voting for Hillary Clinton. If this number is
confirmed when the ballots are counted on Election Day, it will be
devastating for the Trump campaign.
Donald Trump at NC rally. Early voting results don't look good for Trump.
Donald Trump at NC rally. Early voting results don’t look good for Trump. [
Image by Sean Rayford/Getty Images]
Apart from the early voting results, general 2016 election polls for Florida
show Clinton with a 1-2 point lead over Donald Trump, but — with the early
voting results seen above – these broader polls may be underestimating
Clinton’s support in Florida.
North Carolina Early Voting Results
In North Carolina, early voting is a big deal and the results are quickly
reported by state officials. The early voting in this state indicates a nine
-point Hillary Clinton lead over Donald Trump. As of Saturday, 2,892,000
people had already voted, with the expectation that only about 1.8 million
more will vote on Election Day.
The New York Times points out in their early voting results tracking that,
while Donald Trump is getting 57 percent of the white vote in North Carolina
, Hillary Clinton is winning the Hispanic vote by 78 percent and the black
vote by 95 percent. These are significant numbers.
Democratic Party volunteers outside early voting site in Asheville, NC
telling people that the FBI email investigation is a GOP conspiracy pic.
twitter.com/pZrF4RHvC3
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) November 5, 2016
This means that Donald Trump would have to see a staggering and
unprecedented shift in votes on Election Day to have any chance whatsoever
of beating Hillary Clinton in North Carolina. It seems more likely – based
on these numbers – that Clinton will finish 4-5 percentage points ahead of
Donald Trump in this vital battleground state.
Nevada Early Voting Results
Another battleground state where the Hispanic vote seems to be having a very
significant impact in early voting results is Nevada. While some recent
general election polls had indicated Trump was closing in on Clinton in
Nevada, the results of early voting suggest that this might not be the case.
According to some calculations, #Clinton is already leading #Trump by
six per cent in early voting in Nevada
https://t.co/tLREyBytPU
— Haaretz.com (@haaretzcom) November 5, 2016
As reported by ABC News, early voting is particularly high in Hispanic areas
of Nevada like Clark County. Polling places were established in grocery
stores and marketplaces in Hispanic communities, and the lines were
literally around the block. Hours for these polling places had to be
extended to accommodate all of the voters.
Not surprisingly, these early voting results in Nevada among Hispanic voters
indicate that the likelihood of Donald Trump winning this particular
battleground state is much lower than some previous polling had suggested.
Moreover, registered Democrats were twice as likely to be voting in these
areas than registered Republicans. All of this bodes ill for Donald Trump’s
2016 presidential aspirations. | n******1
发帖数: 3756 | | l***x
发帖数: 1761 | 14 穆斯林和gay咬起来好看不？
【在 f*******y 的大作中提到】
: 如果川普选了罗姆尼，就等于抛弃康威和朱利安尼。
: 哈哈哈，我倒是乐见狗咬狗。
| n******1
发帖数: 3756 | | g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 16 确认
romney当上国务卿，你给我1000伪币
其他人当上国务卿，我给你1000伪币
正好你我都有超过1000伪币
confirmed
【在 n******1 的大作中提到】
: lz确认一下
: 十个字太多
| n******1
发帖数: 3756 | 17 OK. 反正输也是输老大爷的
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 确认
: romney当上国务卿，你给我1000伪币
: 其他人当上国务卿，我给你1000伪币
: 正好你我都有超过1000伪币
: confirmed
| j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 18 你们需要一个中间人，比如版主，双方先各打1000伪币给中间人，出结果后再由中间人
转账，这样可以避免有人赖帐。
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 确认
: romney当上国务卿，你给我1000伪币
: 其他人当上国务卿，我给你1000伪币
: 正好你我都有超过1000伪币
: confirmed
| g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 19 ft
屎一样的伪币，有啥可赖账的
俺打赌很多次，都是几百伪币以上，从不赖账
【在 j*********r 的大作中提到】
: 你们需要一个中间人，比如版主，双方先各打1000伪币给中间人，出结果后再由中间人
: 转账，这样可以避免有人赖帐。
| g***c
发帖数: 11523 | | | | l***x
发帖数: 1761 | 21 你找那个什么westout，他饥渴
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 只跟一个人赌，只赌1000伪币
| f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 22 如果川普选了罗姆尼，就等于抛弃康威和朱利安尼。
哈哈哈，我倒是乐见狗咬狗。
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 只跟一个人赌，只赌1000伪币
| s*********y
发帖数: 6151 | 23 romney国务卿了你给我1000伪币
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 只跟一个人赌，只赌1000伪币
| k******0
发帖数: 2438 | | f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 25 老朱上船早。现在上船早的chris，医生，牛金贵，老朱，没有一个入阁。
呵呵
我估计川普手下会造反的。
【在 l******c 的大作中提到】
: 罗姆尼是目前trump 能找到的个人能力气质最好的， 朱利安尼的长相谈吐不适合做
| l****u
发帖数: 279 | | f****g
发帖数: 23666 | 27 jeff session,
sb
【在 f*******y 的大作中提到】
: 老朱上船早。现在上船早的chris，医生，牛金贵，老朱，没有一个入阁。
: 呵呵
: 我估计川普手下会造反的。
| f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 28 我猜测，川普想向建制派靠拢。他一开始选mike pence做vp就是一个很强烈的信号。
mike pence可是不再建制派的建制派了。
他把交通部长给了Mitch McConnell的老婆，我觉得这个意思已经很清楚了。
财政部长给了soros的代理人
这个国务卿的位置8成是建制派的。
【在 l****u 的大作中提到】
: 看不懂老川。为啥要选一个那么反对自己的人
| f*******y
发帖数: 8358 | 29 AG不是什么肥缺，也没多重要。
【在 f****g 的大作中提到】
: jeff session,
: sb
| j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 30 发信人: fakestory (fakestory), 信区: USANews
标 题: 关于早投随便转篇新闻吧，省得版上分析来分析去的
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Nov 7 16:16:11 2016, 美东)
简单的讲就是trump在nc，nv，fl这三个州惨败。除非明天有奇迹，否则扳不回来。
都有数据，省得你们传粉分析来分析去的。
http://www.inquisitr.com/3685927/early-voting-results-2016-election-polls-for-hillary-clinton-and-donald-trump-in-florida-north-carolina-and-nevada-battleground-states/
As reported by the Associated Press, early voting results across the country
are largely breaking in Hillary Clinton’s favor. There are some exceptions
of course – such as Texas and Arizona – but for the most part Democrats
benefit from early voting more than Republicans. In the Hillary Clinton and
Donald Trump contest for battleground states, Clinton is particularly
benefiting from early voting in Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada.
Early voting surged among Hispanics in key swing states this weekend,
lifting Hillary Clinton's presidential hopes https://t.co/Y5Wm6TS7gF
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 6, 2016
Early Voting Themes
One of the principal themes seen in the early voting in all three of these
states is the influence of minority voters on the 2016 election. The African
-American vote in these states is going for Hillary Clinton in a big way,
although not in the numbers they voted for Barack Obama.
Black turnout is down, but it's not 'low.' They're voting like nonblack
voters. Half of black midterm vt still left. https://t.co/KIIGJ6Wxqf
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 2, 2016
The Hispanic vote is particularly relevant in Florida, North Carolina, and
Nevada, since all have sizable Hispanic populations. Donald Trump has
antagonized Hispanics throughout the country, and these voters are turning
to Hillary Clinton in droves. In fact, early voting results suggest a much
higher Hispanic turnout in this election than in previous ones.
Florida Early Voting Results
As reported by CNN, in Florida early voting a slightly larger number of
Democrats than Republicans have already voted. But even though the early
voting numbers in Florida – 2,268,663 Democrats and 2,261,383 Republicans
– show only a 7,280 vote advantage for Democrats, this is a bit deceptive.
Early voting polls make it clear that Democrats are almost uniformly voting
for Hillary Clinton – losing only 6 percent of their voters to Trump. On
the other hand, some early voting results suggest that up to 28 percent of
Republicans in Florida may be voting for Hillary Clinton. If this number is
confirmed when the ballots are counted on Election Day, it will be
devastating for the Trump campaign.
Donald Trump at NC rally. Early voting results don't look good for Trump.
Donald Trump at NC rally. Early voting results don’t look good for Trump. [
Image by Sean Rayford/Getty Images]
Apart from the early voting results, general 2016 election polls for Florida
show Clinton with a 1-2 point lead over Donald Trump, but — with the early
voting results seen above – these broader polls may be underestimating
Clinton’s support in Florida.
North Carolina Early Voting Results
In North Carolina, early voting is a big deal and the results are quickly
reported by state officials. The early voting in this state indicates a nine
-point Hillary Clinton lead over Donald Trump. As of Saturday, 2,892,000
people had already voted, with the expectation that only about 1.8 million
more will vote on Election Day.
The New York Times points out in their early voting results tracking that,
while Donald Trump is getting 57 percent of the white vote in North Carolina
, Hillary Clinton is winning the Hispanic vote by 78 percent and the black
vote by 95 percent. These are significant numbers.
Democratic Party volunteers outside early voting site in Asheville, NC
telling people that the FBI email investigation is a GOP conspiracy pic.
twitter.com/pZrF4RHvC3
— Michael Tracey (@mtracey) November 5, 2016
This means that Donald Trump would have to see a staggering and
unprecedented shift in votes on Election Day to have any chance whatsoever
of beating Hillary Clinton in North Carolina. It seems more likely – based
on these numbers – that Clinton will finish 4-5 percentage points ahead of
Donald Trump in this vital battleground state.
Nevada Early Voting Results
Another battleground state where the Hispanic vote seems to be having a very
significant impact in early voting results is Nevada. While some recent
general election polls had indicated Trump was closing in on Clinton in
Nevada, the results of early voting suggest that this might not be the case.
According to some calculations, #Clinton is already leading #Trump by
six per cent in early voting in Nevada
https://t.co/tLREyBytPU
— Haaretz.com (@haaretzcom) November 5, 2016
As reported by ABC News, early voting is particularly high in Hispanic areas
of Nevada like Clark County. Polling places were established in grocery
stores and marketplaces in Hispanic communities, and the lines were
literally around the block. Hours for these polling places had to be
extended to accommodate all of the voters.
Not surprisingly, these early voting results in Nevada among Hispanic voters
indicate that the likelihood of Donald Trump winning this particular
battleground state is much lower than some previous polling had suggested.
Moreover, registered Democrats were twice as likely to be voting in these
areas than registered Republicans. All of this bodes ill for Donald Trump’s
2016 presidential aspirations. | | | n******1
发帖数: 3756 | | l***x
发帖数: 1761 | 32 穆斯林和gay咬起来好看不？
【在 f*******y 的大作中提到】
: 如果川普选了罗姆尼，就等于抛弃康威和朱利安尼。
: 哈哈哈，我倒是乐见狗咬狗。
| n******1
发帖数: 3756 | | g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 34 确认
romney当上国务卿，你给我1000伪币
其他人当上国务卿，我给你1000伪币
正好你我都有超过1000伪币
confirmed
【在 n******1 的大作中提到】
: lz确认一下
: 十个字太多
| n******1
发帖数: 3756 | 35 OK. 反正输也是输老大爷的
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 确认
: romney当上国务卿，你给我1000伪币
: 其他人当上国务卿，我给你1000伪币
: 正好你我都有超过1000伪币
: confirmed
| j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 36 你们需要一个中间人，比如版主，双方先各打1000伪币给中间人，出结果后再由中间人
转账，这样可以避免有人赖帐。
【在 g***c 的大作中提到】
: 确认
: romney当上国务卿，你给我1000伪币
: 其他人当上国务卿，我给你1000伪币
: 正好你我都有超过1000伪币
: confirmed
| g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 37 ft
屎一样的伪币，有啥可赖账的
俺打赌很多次，都是几百伪币以上，从不赖账
【在 j*********r 的大作中提到】
: 你们需要一个中间人，比如版主，双方先各打1000伪币给中间人，出结果后再由中间人
: 转账，这样可以避免有人赖帐。
|
|
