T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 1 Good news for Donald Trump: Your poll numbers are now better than Hillary
Clinton’s
President Trump has had a trying first six weeks as president. But at least
Americans don't seem to have buyer's remorse.
As Hillary Clinton makes her reemergence with a speech at the Kennedy Center
in Washington on Wednesday night, a new poll shows her with her worst image
numbers ever. The Suffolk University poll shows that just 35 percent of
registered voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, compared with 55
percent who have an unfavorable one.
The same poll, meanwhile, shows Trump — for the first time ever — in
significantly better shape than Clinton: 45 percent favorable and 47 percent
unfavorable.
A couple of polls toward the end of the 2016 race showed Clinton in
territory similar to where she is in the new poll, but Suffolk's own polling
at the time showed her in relatively good shape: 46 percent favorable vs.
47 percent unfavorable. This is also the first public poll testing views of
her since December — when her loss was fresher in people's minds and Trump
hadn't yet assumed the presidency. And, if anything, Clinton's poll numbers
have gotten worse over that span.
The decline is due to both Democrats and independents apparently souring on
Clinton. While 88 percent of Democrats and 32 percent of independents liked
Clinton in October, today those numbers are 74 percent and 25 percent,
respectively. Clearly, even some who voted for Clinton — she won 89 percent
of Democrats' votes and 42 percent of independents' — don't have as much
affection for her as they did at the tail end of the election. |
t*****n
发帖数: 2578 | 2 who cares about polls
poll名声完全烂了
就算是负的又如何？ |
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 3
poll还是挺准的，大选前老头-2-3%，最后真输这么多。
【在 t*****n 的大作中提到】
: who cares about polls
: poll名声完全烂了
: 就算是负的又如何？
|
i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 4 扯淡！只有一两家专业民调预测-2-3%，米犹媒体大部分都是-6%-10%左右，尤其是摇摆
州一边倒压老婊子赢。
从这次选举中才知道，原来poll可以作假用来打击对手选民的士气，并且影响选民投票
意向。
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
:
: poll还是挺准的，大选前老头-2-3%，最后真输这么多。
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 5
RCP 平均Clinton +3.2%， 结果+2.1%。
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
【在 i**********k 的大作中提到】
: 扯淡！只有一两家专业民调预测-2-3%，米犹媒体大部分都是-6%-10%左右，尤其是摇摆
: 州一边倒压老婊子赢。
: 从这次选举中才知道，原来poll可以作假用来打击对手选民的士气，并且影响选民投票
: 意向。
|
a******o
发帖数: 16625 | 6 你看看，密西根，宾夕法尼亚的选前民调再来说。川普选前民调在这些摇摆州普遍是落
后3-5个点。
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
:
: RCP 平均Clinton +3.2%， 结果+2.1%。
: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
|
T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 7 很多单个州的公共民调密集度和及时度不够形成不了平均统计优势， 因为资金问题。
全国民调准多了，最后差1%
: 你看看，密西根，宾夕法尼亚的选前民调再来说。川普选前民调在这些摇摆州普
遍是落
: 后3-5个点。
【在 a******o 的大作中提到】
: 你看看，密西根，宾夕法尼亚的选前民调再来说。川普选前民调在这些摇摆州普遍是落
: 后3-5个点。
|
s*x
发帖数: 8041 | 8 记得abc的poll三天变了10%，十一月份了trump好像还落后15%。 |
t******g
发帖数: 1667 | 9 希拉里因为poll领先2%当选美国第44.5届总统，这下～你们～满意了吧 |
a******o
发帖数: 16625 | 10 但是川普知道他在铁锈州是领先的。说明还是有更加准确的POLL。
全国民调因为投票率的分布，其实意义不大。
【在 T**********e 的大作中提到】
: 很多单个州的公共民调密集度和及时度不够形成不了平均统计优势， 因为资金问题。
: 全国民调准多了，最后差1%
:
:
: 你看看，密西根，宾夕法尼亚的选前民调再来说。川普选前民调在这些摇摆州普
: 遍是落
:
: 后3-5个点。
:
|
