b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: Military
标 题: 绝了，美国人用孙子兵法一步一步解释中美贸易战
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Nov 22 13:50:25 2018, 美东)
What you are seeing is rerun of the Apprenticeship President attempting to
bully china once again before the "Big Meeting" at the G-20. Why would Trump
and his band of midget liberal trade poodles be taking turns at the media
with their hard line poodle yapping at China? Somebody is trying convince
you of something. What could that be? Don't waste your time. China knows
what it's doing. US Soy has 30 days to ship before it starts rotting.
Meanwhile US Soy farmers and Hog farmers are on Trump Welfare.
Who wishes to fight must first count the cost - Sun Tzu
Trade wars are good and easy to win... Ding Dong Orange Daddy show his
ignorance. First Trade wars are not good and everyone loses. Shows
thoughtless ignorance by Trump as US is getting hit hard in Ag and the
supply chain. Trump Tariffs will amount to a mere $2 billion a year. Yet he
has paid out 25 Billion in Soy Farmer and Hog Farmer welfare in the first
six months. The largest check going to Smithfield farms ... a Chinese owned
company. Ag receipts are down over 44% this year. It is the worst farm year
in two decades.
"Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall
like a thunderbolt."- Sun Tzu
China quietly outsourced all soy to Brazil, Argentina and Russia. They set
up oil seed operations in those countries, having bought Dupont Ag several
years ago. Brazil is doubling the US Soy production. Russia the largest
wheat producer will rotate into Soy which provides 50 pounds of nitrogen per
acre. China cut off pork and US Beef imports without a word and outsourced
to Brazil and others. China also started buying oil from Iran and cut off
Shale purchases. China didn't broadcast this to the USA.
What was Trump and the poodles doing? Every minute of every day they were
shouting in the media about increasing US Tariffs. Bragging that China
couldn't match them because China bought less American Goods than China
bought US Goods. Think of the lunacy of that expression! The US is more
dependent because they can't outsource supply chain. Trump is an empty
headed broadcaster. The mark of the bully is a loud threatening mouth. China
had already removed any material dependence off US imports and they did it
quietly with the speed of a thunderbolt.
"Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors
go to war first and then seek to win."- Sun Tzu
Trump blew off out of the heel spurs War room with Tariffs and blowhard
sanctions. Sanctions covering 30% of the global population. With that he
said this was negotiation strategy. That did not work at all. No negotiation
, no deals. This is also why NAFTA 2 failed. Trump failed to understand that
a NAFTA deal is impossible as long as he has Tariffs on the other parties.
They now have retaliatory tariffs on the US. Any trade deal with Trump is
easily defeated by Trump's arbitrary and capricious application of Tariffs.
Bottom line Canada and Mexico would not accept hard terms. The deal came out
as essentially NAFTA1 but Canada and Mexico were in no hurry to ratify.
They wanted to wait for the midterms. Trump got blown out and now the
Libtards say they want changes or won't ratify NAFTA2. Net result NAFTA 1
remains. Trump bullying lost the day again.
Trump continue to use the same bullying techniques with China with even
worse results. China trade is 4.2 Trillion and rising. Exports to the US are
up. Meanwhile with all the retaliatory Tariffs on the USA all US trade is
down 12% globally. Heel Spurs went to war then tried to figure out how to
win after he started losing. US Trade is a mere 15% of China Trade. The US
will never topple Asia. Further US Companies like China and Asia and are not
going to bend to a reckless Trump and his laughing stock of midget poodles.
China won this battle long ago. Farmers in shambles on welfare, US Auto
industry flatlined. US economy cooling at a rapid rate. US stock drop hard
with each new hardline Trump poodle that gets in front of a microphone.
Trump is in trouble and losing badly.
Read any account of late. China continues to "regret" the Trump's trade war.
They say there is little they can do. Meanwhile the US press such as CNBC
is always attacking China and claiming the US will mop the floor with China.
This was very similar to the kind of propaganda that surrounded America's
starting the War in Vietnam. It would be a "good war and easy to win" and
over in a few months. Sun Tzu says, "Feign weakness and inferiority and
encourage arrogance and overconfidence in your opponent." It takes next to
nothing to encourage arrogance in Trump. Trump is on autopilot arrogance at
all times.
"If you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float
by"- Sun Tzu
Trump is in a hurry. He wants ACTION NOW! Trump is a NOW MAN! China always
plays the long game. They know that in ten short years they will be the
largest economy in global history. In 20 years the China economy will be
twice the size of the US economy or larger. The Trump actions are so
disorganized that he has already lost. So China will play the long game.
That was Ho Chi Mihn's game too.
Trump celebrated his Tremendous victory in the Midterms. He lost the house
and is now a lame duck. China knows that Trump is now weak and desperate and
gone in two years or less.
They sent Trump a letter informing him that any trade deal arrangement with
China would be limited. The letter was cordial and not threatening. But it
was truthful. China is simply informing Trump that his trade war has been
lost. This is called the "Golden Bridge Letter"
"Build your opponent a golden bridge to retreat across."- Sun Tzu
Americans are going to lose as they lost from Smoot Hawley. The problem with
Tariffs is they generally keep them until the protected industry is
obliterated. Soy in America is obliterated. Autos are coming close right
now. The US economy is falling off a cliff. Corp earnings and guidance have
hit a brick wall.
Once in recession then Consumer products become unaffordable. Service
businesses collapse and soon the economy is in collapse. The 25% tariffs
against European Trucks and SUVs were put in place by Clinton to prevent the
"gas guzzlers" remember. It's still there for no reason at all. And you
know what... It didn't save the car industry from bankruptcy or the oil
industry. Nor did it reduce air pollution or reduce the carbon footprint or
global warming. All it did was hurt the consumer and the Auto industry in
America which no longer felt the need to compete when the competition was
blocked. Tariffs only block competition and destroy the industry's need to
compete, innovate, or control waste. Trump will walk the golden Bridge.
As a point of fact I am opposed to all Gov deals on Trade. Gov always
attempts to weaponize any trade deal and they are ultimately only a form of
soft protectionism. Hong Kong has little regulation and no Tariffs. They are
the world's best traders for their size. Further the US has a treaty with
Hong Kong and may not implement Tariffs against Hong Kong. Trump stupid
Tariffs don't apply to Hong Kong. | s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 2 "Build your opponent a golden bridge to retreat across."- Sun Tzu
这是孙子兵法里的话吗
原文是啥？ | s*********r
发帖数: 9493 | 3 穷寇莫追？
【在 s*********r 的大作中提到】
: "Build your opponent a golden bridge to retreat across."- Sun Tzu
: 这是孙子兵法里的话吗
: 原文是啥？
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