病毒擴散是有純數學規律的。最怕的就是這種純數學。這意味著無論你採取什麼現實世
界的措施，後果都是一樣的。3月第一個星期是第一個peak (全球來看)。後面的事是誰
也無法預測的。因為各地都是互相關聯的。這就像蒲公英種子一樣，灑滿大地，節奏湊
到一起之後，就是一波peak，一起開花。這個病毒最後就是拚國力。拼物資。不是拼政
治。
對個人來講。這是個達爾文過程。適者生存。個人能做的是改變生活方式。首先就是不
要人扎堆。人与人，闲话都不要多说一句。
下面是我之前的預測：
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chebyshev
2020-02-15 19:57
楼主
Human beings did not have much knowledge about the global stability of the
delayed different equations. Empirically rules worked only for very limited
cases.
From my qualitative (not quantity) simulation to the delayed transmission
dynamics, there would be other peaks due to the nonlinear resonances.
The phase lag between the infected population and the confirmed population
changed randomly.
Another resonance peak could be induced by that phase lag with a high
probability after two weeks (beginning week of the March).
