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USANews版 - AZ还有希望
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: 9pm话题: total话题: az话题: votes话题: var
进入USANews版参与讨论
1 (共1页)
d**e
发帖数: 1124
1
如果按照9pm eastern的这次dump的比例,就是trump拿到剩下选票的58%, 那最后AZ是
红的
如果trump赢了AZ, 最后还能到达270,那真是god blessed
算是最神奇的presidential election comeback in history
***605,000 MAIL IN BALLOTS LEFT BEFORE 9PM UPDATE***
PRE-9PM UPDATE NUMBERS:
D: 1,411,235
R: 1,318,219
TOTAL:2,729,454
VAR: 93,016
POST 9PM UPDATE
D: 1,444,213
R: 1,365,040
TOTAL: 2,809,253
VAR: 79,173
9PM VOTE DUMP ONLY:
D: 32,978 -41.33%
R: 46,821 -58.67%
TOTAL: 79,799
THEORETICAL REMAINING VOTES: 525,201 (605,000 -79,799)
PROJECTED TOTALS IF 9PM VOTE DUMP IS APPLIED TO REMAINING BALANCE:
D: 217,065 -41.33%
R: 308,135 -58.67%
FINAL GRAND TOTAL:
D: 1,661,278
R: 1,673,175
VAR: 11,897
TRUMP WILL WIN IF THESE PERCENTAGES HOLD AND THERE WERE REALLY 605K VOTES
OUTSTANDING.
THIS. ISN'T. OVER.
S*******o
发帖数: 71
2
如果AZ红了,GA,PA,NC 蓝了。
说明黑人发功了啊。
这次拉丁裔支持老船的多了不少啊。
d**e
发帖数: 1124
3
最后这批选票是election day drop off的
不是early voting的
所以我怀疑甚至能超过58%的得票率
AZ要是能回来,绝对amazing
o******2
发帖数: 1
4
是有希望,人家赌场早算好了,15%的赢率。

【在 d**e 的大作中提到】
: 如果按照9pm eastern的这次dump的比例,就是trump拿到剩下选票的58%, 那最后AZ是
: 红的
: 如果trump赢了AZ, 最后还能到达270,那真是god blessed
: 算是最神奇的presidential election comeback in history
: ***605,000 MAIL IN BALLOTS LEFT BEFORE 9PM UPDATE***
: PRE-9PM UPDATE NUMBERS:
: D: 1,411,235
: R: 1,318,219
: TOTAL:2,729,454
: VAR: 93,016

m******c
发帖数: 830
5
大家一起希望我们去家离国来美国是值得的吧。
b上台大赦1100万非法移民,从此再无普选,华裔生生世世永无翻身之日!
W*****t
发帖数: 2425
6
我跟川粉来有样学样:“ Stop the count!! 这些票明显是和党州右臂连夜打印作弊做
出来的
!!” 哈。
没数完就踏踏实实等着数完呗,翻了就翻了,翻了就认。就算AZ50%希望翻红,GP,PA有
50%希望翻蓝。那就是老川还有12.5%的希望。等着就是了,非得一会打官司滥诉,一会
作弊阴谋论?
p*******t
发帖数: 43
7
but most of them from biden county?
x****u
发帖数: 134
8
这28万是drop off 的,和其它州的邮寄选票不太一样,共和党占多数。

【在 p*******t 的大作中提到】
: but most of them from biden county?
d**e
发帖数: 1124
9
biden has 55% vs 45% trump in that county mail in votes
but now what's left are election day drop-off votes
based on the last drop last night 9pm, these election day drop-off votes
favor trump 58% vs 42% biden
we will see when those county bureaucrats finish counting

【在 p*******t 的大作中提到】
: but most of them from biden county?
p*******t
发帖数: 43
10
according to data 88% now. means only less than 400k.
c**********o
发帖数: 1941
11
40万票,追快7万票
24-16=8, Trump还是要拿下快60%才有可能
good news是最近开的这两批都是这个比例
bad news需要每批都这个比例,看起来mission impossible
d**e
发帖数: 1124
12
it's happening:
d****z
发帖数: 75
13
你累不累啊。 到哪都能看到你的身影, 反复同一句话。。。。

【在 m******c 的大作中提到】
: 大家一起希望我们去家离国来美国是值得的吧。
: b上台大赦1100万非法移民,从此再无普选,华裔生生世世永无翻身之日!

1 (共1页)
进入USANews版参与讨论
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相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: 9pm话题: total话题: az话题: votes话题: var