q***o
发帖数: 734 | 1 https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/525845-prediction-trump-will-resign-
pence-will-pardon-him
With high confidence, here is what I see as the most likely ending to the
Trump presidency.
First, President Trump has been defeated for reelection. The campaign is
over. The results are in, and decisive. Donald Trump has lost. His chance of
succeeding in being reelected through any strategy or tactic is
mathematically zero.
Second, Trump will issue pardons to his immediate family and whoever else he
may feel a residual loyalty to.
Third, Trump will be told by his attorneys that he has no option to pardon
himself. He probably has already been told this. The worst case for Trump,
both legally and politically, is that he tries to pardon himself, creates a
wave of national outrage, and his pardon of himself is overturned by the
courts.
Fourth, Trump will resign from the presidency before his term officially
ends, and he will be pardoned by Vice President Pence, when Pence becomes
president.
A presidential pardon by Pence would not offer protection from cases
originating in states, but those cases will be far more manageable if they
are not sunk into a morass of federal cases that only a federal pardon can
protect him from.
Fifth, while I suspect we will learn that he is not nearly as wealthy as he
claims, Trump can reap extravagant financial rewards from the mother of all
business deals which he could conclude shortly after he leaves office.
While Trump will go down in history as a horrifically bad president, whose
major legacies will be responsibility for the widespread damage of the COVID
-19 virus and his collaboration with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell
(R-Ky.) to pack the Supreme Court (a subject I will address later and
separately), Trump has one humongous asset that is undeniable: he has no
upward limit to his profit-making potential if he executes his departure
from the presidency and his post-presidency business strategy well.
Sixth, whatever else one thinks of Trump, he is a genius at brand marketing,
media manipulation, audience building and monetizing his humongous audience
in television, radio, publishing and social media, selling products that
bear his name to masses of customers throughout the empire he is well
capable of creating.
Seventh, though it’s been floated Trump could run for president in 2024, he
probably won’t. Trump would have much more fun, and make infinitely more
money, becoming the mother of all media moguls — a Trumpian Citizen Kane.
Trump will negotiate a mega-deal with Fox, Newsmax or another television
enterprise. He will synchronize his television audience with blockbuster
publishing deals, a potential national radio show, and a social media
audience that would be gigantic on any platform he chooses.
If Trump takes the course I predict, and handles the remainder of his
presidency with more discretion than he is showing today, he will emerge
with billions of dollars of new and recurring wealth and would be, by far,
the most powerful voice in the Republican Party.
What could prevent this scenario from unfolding as I suggest? |
F*****t
发帖数: 3219 | 2 他绝对不敢！请千万别傻！
彭修养会直接把床破送进去！ |
S*******W
发帖数: 1352 | 3 大统领已经问过旁边人好多次了，自己能不能pardon自己，搞笑。 |
d******k
发帖数: 76 | 4 pardon for what?
what crimes did Trump commit? |
S*******W
发帖数: 1352 | 5 你要问它自己啊 是他要求的啊
: pardon for what?
: what crimes did Trump commit?
【在 d******k 的大作中提到】
: pardon for what?
: what crimes did Trump commit?
|
x****u
发帖数: 32 | 6 这.....是段子还是真有其事
【在 S*******W 的大作中提到】
: 大统领已经问过旁边人好多次了，自己能不能pardon自己，搞笑。
|
S*******W
发帖数: 1352 | 7 https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/11/donald-trump-self-pardon
提前声明 可能是hearsay 但是肯定比川粉那些来源可靠
: 这.....是段子还是真有其事
【在 x****u 的大作中提到】
: 这.....是段子还是真有其事
|
d********f
发帖数: 43471 | 8 vanity, lol.真的你这智商也是刚刚的
【在 S*******W 的大作中提到】
: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/11/donald-trump-self-pardon
: 提前声明 可能是hearsay 但是肯定比川粉那些来源可靠
:
:
: 这.....是段子还是真有其事
:
|
s*******0
发帖数: 7 | 9 hill 和 neocon， project lincoln 是同一套人马，这个垃圾，你拿出来贴什么？想
念死去的马肯茅坑啦? |
b********e
发帖数: 1100 | 10 川逼们认为川普已经赢了
你这么写他们岂不是崩溃了 |
|
|
s*********r
发帖数: 1 | 11 这就是tg的路数，跟tg学来的。
【在 s*******0 的大作中提到】
: hill 和 neocon， project lincoln 是同一套人马，这个垃圾，你拿出来贴什么？想
: 念死去的马肯茅坑啦?
|
h*********n
发帖数: 11319 | 12 友提，我是买买提第一个做此预测的
川普会在败选后主动辞职
作者：helloterran (hi you)
换取彭斯特赦和共和党网开一面么？
虽然我觉得以他的认知能力应该想不到这一招
链接：https://www.mitbbs.com/article/Military/58462865_0.html
resign-
of
he
a
he
all
COVID
McConnell
marketing,
audience
he
【在 q***o 的大作中提到】
: https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/525845-prediction-trump-will-resign-
: pence-will-pardon-him
: With high confidence, here is what I see as the most likely ending to the
: Trump presidency.
: First, President Trump has been defeated for reelection. The campaign is
: over. The results are in, and decisive. Donald Trump has lost. His chance of
: succeeding in being reelected through any strategy or tactic is
: mathematically zero.
: Second, Trump will issue pardons to his immediate family and whoever else he
: may feel a residual loyalty to.
|
a****1
发帖数: 634 | 13 你大概看到“虛榮心“三個字就嘲笑。你有點無知，其實這是一本有百年歷
史的雜誌，內容偏向娛樂，但它的政治版面也是個嚴肅的新聞媒體。
Overall, we rate Vanity Fair Left Biased based on editorial positions that
always favor the left and Mostly Factual in reporting, rather than High, due
to a failed fact check.
注意：Mostly factual，很多主流媒體都未必有這評分！
【在 d********f 的大作中提到】
: vanity, lol.真的你这智商也是刚刚的
|
S*******W
发帖数: 1352 | 14 智商一般，逻辑在线
【在 d********f 的大作中提到】
: vanity, lol.真的你这智商也是刚刚的
|
d********f
发帖数: 43471 | 15 你上次预测的florida已经结束了，都已经成为我培训ds的入门教材了。lol
【在 h*********n 的大作中提到】
: 友提，我是买买提第一个做此预测的
: 川普会在败选后主动辞职
: 作者：helloterran (hi you)
: 换取彭斯特赦和共和党网开一面么？
: 虽然我觉得以他的认知能力应该想不到这一招
: 链接：https://www.mitbbs.com/article/Military/58462865_0.html
:
: resign-
: of
: he
|
i********r
发帖数: 139 | 16 教你点中文：Vanity Fair = 名利场。
虚荣心个毛啊。
due
【在 a****1 的大作中提到】
: 你大概看到“虛榮心“三個字就嘲笑。你有點無知，其實這是一本有百年歷
: 史的雜誌，內容偏向娛樂，但它的政治版面也是個嚴肅的新聞媒體。
: Overall, we rate Vanity Fair Left Biased based on editorial positions that
: always favor the left and Mostly Factual in reporting, rather than High, due
: to a failed fact check.
: 注意：Mostly factual，很多主流媒體都未必有這評分！
|
h*********n
发帖数: 11319 | 17 haha. 一个月前我还预测TX GA AZ大概率翻蓝
2/3的正确率可还行？
发信人: helloterran (hi you), 信区: Military
标 题: 预测：TX, GA, AZ都有可能翻蓝
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 13 21:35:54 2020, 美东)
的【 在 daemonself (新晋川粉，前mit行为艺术专业博士后导师) 的大作中提到: 】 |
c**s
发帖数: 3796 | |
d******0
发帖数: 3640 | 19 就算今天Trump让位，这Pence能接受上台2个月就下台的总统大位？
resign-
of
he
【在 q***o 的大作中提到】
: https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/525845-prediction-trump-will-resign-
: pence-will-pardon-him
: With high confidence, here is what I see as the most likely ending to the
: Trump presidency.
: First, President Trump has been defeated for reelection. The campaign is
: over. The results are in, and decisive. Donald Trump has lost. His chance of
: succeeding in being reelected through any strategy or tactic is
: mathematically zero.
: Second, Trump will issue pardons to his immediate family and whoever else he
: may feel a residual loyalty to.
|
