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Sales of U.S. New Homes Unexpectedly Drop to Seven-Month Low
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By Bob Willis
Dec. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Purchases of new homes in the U.S. unexpectedly fell
last month, indicating a recovery from the worst housing slump since the
Great Depression will be slow to develop.
Purchases dropped 11 percent to an annual pace of 355,000 after a 400,000
rate in October that was lower than previously estimated, the Commerce
Department said today in Washington. The median sales price decreased 1.9
percent from November 2008.
The prospect that a government tax incentive would expire, combined with a
10 percent jobless rate and competition from foreclosed properties hurt
builders such as Beazer Homes USA Inc. Last month’s decrease signals a
sustained housing recovery may be difficult to secure without additional
assistance from policy makers.
“ There are still some potholes on the road to recovery,” Chris Rupkey,
chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd in New York,
said before the report. “A lot of sales have been brought forward to take
advantage of the stimulus dollars and low mortgage rates, and who knows how
much more ammunition the government has in store.”
Sales were projected to climb to a 438,000 annual pace from an originally
reported 430,000 rate in October, according to the median estimate in a
Bloomberg survey of 72 economists. Forecasts ranged from 400,000 to 460,000.
Consumer spending increased in November less than anticipated as Americans
cut back on services after buying more autos and electronics, others figures
from the Commerce Department also showed. The 0.5 percent increase in
purchases was the sixth gain in the past seven months and followed a 0.6
percent increase in October.
Incomes Rise
The report also showed incomes climbed 0.4 percent, the biggest increase
since May, and inflation cooled.
The median price of a new home in the U.S. decreased to $217,400, from $221,
600 a year earlier.
Sales of new homes were down 9 percent from November 2008.
Construction cutbacks helped bring inventories down. The number of homes for
sale fell to a seasonally adjusted 235,000, the fewest since April 1971.
The supply of homes at the current sales rate increased to 7.9 months’
worth.
New home purchases, while accounting for less than 10 percent of the housing
market, are considered a timely indicator because they are based on
contract signings. Sales of previously owned homes, which make up the
remainder, are compiled from closings and reflect contracts signed weeks or
months earlier.
Existing Homes
Sales of existing homes in November rose 7.4 percent to a 6.54 million
annual rate, the highest level in almost three years, the National
Association of Realtors said yesterday. Foreclosures accounted for 33
percent of all sales, while 51 percent were to first-time buyers, NAR said.
Sales dropped in three of four regions last month, led by a 21 percent
plunge in the South that took purchases in that area down to the lowest
level since 1991. The Midwest showed the only increase, gaining 21 percent.
President Barack Obama and Congress extended an $8,000 first-time buyer
credit and expanded it to include current homeowners in a bid to boost
demand. Still, the measure may have pulled sales forward and could result in
fewer purchases in coming months.
The Federal Reserve last week signaled it would keep lending rates low for
“an extended period” to foster growth. The average rate on a 30-year fixed
mortgage was 4.94 percent last week and has averaged 4.85 percent since the
end of October, according to Freddie Mac.
Fed Concerns
“The housing sector has shown some signs of improvement over recent months,
” Fed policy makers said in their statement. “Household spending appears
to be expanding at a moderate rate, though it remains constrained by a weak
labor market, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit.”
Record foreclosures are also restraining housing by driving down prices.
Foreclosure filings in the U.S. will reach a record for the second
consecutive year with 3.9 million notices sent to homeowners in default,
RealtyTrac Inc. said on Dec. 10. This year’s filings will surpass 3.2
million for all of 2008, the Irvine, California-based company said.
Homebuiilders remain cautious. Beazer last month said orders rose 2.4
percent in the fourth quarter, and early debt repayment contributed to its
first quarterly profit in three years.
“We experienced some moderation in negative market trends,” Chief
Executive Officer Ian McCarthy said in a statement. “Elevated unemployment
and rising foreclosure activity make it difficult to predict when and to
what extent the housing market will sustainably recover.”
To contact the report on this story: Bob Willis in Washington at bwillis@
bloomberg.net
Last Updated: December 23, 2009 10:00 EST |
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