b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: badcompany (哥玩的不是股票，是心跳！), 信区: Stock
标 题: 大盘走的无懈可击
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Oct 29 16:14:21 2009, 美东)
略破支撑位后然后强反弹，又是一个bear trap. 这个bullish trend没有任何问题，还
会接着往上走。如果说前端时间的大涨是机构刻意拉高大盘股以掩护出货，那么怎么解
释今天RUT超级强劲的表现呢？从seasonality上看10月的最后两天和11月的最初三个交
易日是非常bullish的。下一个重要日期是下周三的联储会议声明，估计那天会再出一
根200点的大阳棒。总的来说大盘两周内创新高很有可能。
重温一下我一个月前的预测，那次给出了第四季度的两种可能，现在看来大盘就是在走
第二种可能:走正弦波至11月中下旬然后开始year end rally.
【 以下文字转载自 Stockcafeteria 俱乐部 】
发信人: badcompany (哥玩的不是股票，是心跳！), 信区: Stockcafeteria
标 题: 第四季度 |
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 2 bulls need follow through tomorrow
9950-9980(0.618) area not break yet |
w******e
发帖数: 1038 | 3 and next Monday, next Tuesday ....
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: bulls need follow through tomorrow
: 9950-9980(0.618) area not break yet
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 4 anyway it's supper strong today |
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 5 i will not be surprised if tomorrow drops back to 9900 area
9980-10000 need to be break for safe play
【在 w******e 的大作中提到】
: and next Monday, next Tuesday ....
|
b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 6 GDP过了，嫌疑是定时炸弹的咚咚被证明是臭弹。即使跌一点，
恐慌效应也没多大了吧？
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: i will not be surprised if tomorrow drops back to 9900 area
: 9980-10000 need to be break for safe play
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 7 i do not know
pure 6-sense :)
【在 b*****h 的大作中提到】
: GDP过了，嫌疑是定时炸弹的咚咚被证明是臭弹。即使跌一点，
: 恐慌效应也没多大了吧？
|
w******e
发帖数: 1038 | 8 I think tomorrow will be fine, because it usually corrects the weekly trend,
people covering short, taking profit, etc.
I think it will stay good for 4 days at least, this is just a guess.
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: i will not be surprised if tomorrow drops back to 9900 area
: 9980-10000 need to be break for safe play
|
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 9 会调整或者小阳几天，下一个focal point 是周三的 FOMC meeting
trend,
【在 w******e 的大作中提到】
: I think tomorrow will be fine, because it usually corrects the weekly trend,
: people covering short, taking profit, etc.
: I think it will stay good for 4 days at least, this is just a guess.
|
k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | 10 到到年底之前，还会不会出现一个像这次一样的上规模的调整呢？还是说一路北上，一
直到年底？
【在 b********y 的大作中提到】
: 会调整或者小阳几天，下一个focal point 是周三的 FOMC meeting
:
: trend,
|
|
|
b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 11 估计不会了，再下一次恐怕就是真的跌了 :)
【在 k*******n 的大作中提到】
: 到到年底之前，还会不会出现一个像这次一样的上规模的调整呢？还是说一路北上，一
: 直到年底？
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 12 this is why i think there's some retreat today
trend,
【在 w******e 的大作中提到】
: I think tomorrow will be fine, because it usually corrects the weekly trend,
: people covering short, taking profit, etc.
: I think it will stay good for 4 days at least, this is just a guess.
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 13 another suspect one is
breaking 9950 did not bring a real squeeze |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 14 great move on your retirement account.
I didn't follow and was regret last night.
yesterday's volumn was less than the day before yesterday's. This is not good combination.
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: this is why i think there's some retreat today
:
: trend,
|
w******e
发帖数: 1038 | 15 good move, did not expect it retreats so soon, now I'm again hesitating
whether to buy hedge or not, probably need to do it now.
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: this is why i think there's some retreat today
:
: trend,
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 16 i'm lucky this time
but i do think 9980-10020 need to be broken to have a safe play
good combination.
【在 S******t 的大作中提到】
: great move on your retirement account.
: I didn't follow and was regret last night.
: yesterday's volumn was less than the day before yesterday's. This is not good combination.
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 17 the market confidence is destroyed
the sell off this morning is crazy
【在 b*****h 的大作中提到】
: GDP过了，嫌疑是定时炸弹的咚咚被证明是臭弹。即使跌一点，
: 恐慌效应也没多大了吧？
|
f******e
发帖数: 6488 | 18 rebounce from here?
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: this is why i think there's some retreat today
:
: trend,
|
b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 19 Maybe. 一冷一热最伤人了。
【在 f******e 的大作中提到】
: the market confidence is destroyed
: the sell off this morning is crazy
|
