w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 1 据我观察，对于个股来说，超买就是一个伪概念，
超买可以再超买，所以我一般不看个股的RSI什么的。
但对于大盘来说，不知道有没有超买这个概念?
刚才看了一下$SPX的周线图,RSI(14)=73.58
已经超过了去年2010年4月的时候，
也远远超过2007年10月大顶时候的RSI值 |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 2 I thought some TA are valid in range market, others are valid in trending
markets. |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 3 100
RSI = 100 - --------
1 + RS
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
seems it try to quantify the process.
where I think level is more important.
So if the process is slow, you will see RSI overbought/sold
but trend will not change until level reached.
just my $0.02. |
q*********u
发帖数: 9501 | 4 超买，超卖都是伪概念，骗骗新手的，俺过去也被骗过多回。
其实道理很简单，就是超买了之后还可以超买，超卖之后还可以超卖，
那么前一个超还是后一个超有意义? |
l******n
发帖数: 507 | 5 what do you mean by 'the level'?
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 100
: RSI = 100 - --------
: 1 + RS
: RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
: seems it try to quantify the process.
: where I think level is more important.
: So if the process is slow, you will see RSI overbought/sold
: but trend will not change until level reached.
: just my $0.02.
|
N***i
发帖数: 2063 | 6 超是超了点，不过可以继续超,,,我前几天贴的说大盘的分析我觉得不错，比较到位，
我等下找找 |
N***i
发帖数: 2063 | 7 http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/observations.aspx?
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: 据我观察，对于个股来说，超买就是一个伪概念，
: 超买可以再超买，所以我一般不看个股的RSI什么的。
: 但对于大盘来说，不知道有没有超买这个概念?
: 刚才看了一下$SPX的周线图,RSI(14)=73.58
: 已经超过了去年2010年4月的时候，
: 也远远超过2007年10月大顶时候的RSI值
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | |
G*********8
发帖数: 644 | 9 Most economic data in this 2 weeks and some ER missed market expectation.
Only JPM, APPL and IBM have good ER.
AA ER is not good too. |
k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | |
|
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 11 1286 at stake right now.
likely to break, next stop 1277. |
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 12 我刚才1282.25捞了ES.
都说要Follow the trend，
但这个点位买到底算Follow the trend
还是Agaist the trend? 我都糊涂了
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 1286 at stake right now.
: likely to break, next stop 1277.
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 13 follow the trend for sure. at least 4 bottle of soy sauce.
even for top, we should see some dip first.
But market internal did look strange. |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 14 1284 should be a good scalp short. after 1286. |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 15 why dow and spx diverge so much?
otherwise I would short with no hesitation. |
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 16 搞了半天我还是Against the trend啊，C博.
刚才差点就Stop out了，看有没有运气留到收盘前
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 1284 should be a good scalp short. after 1286.
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 17 I am not too sure either.
I would be very aggressive if 1286 broken before lunch hour.
During lunch hour, market is kind of fishy.
So 1984 scalp can only target inside play, which has one one point space.
if outside of lunch hour, then I would target new low.
I think it is still ok if we close above 1286. |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 18 SPX drop 10 point and DOW drop only less than 20. very wired. |
G*********8
发帖数: 644 | 19 IBM is up more than 3%.
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: why dow and spx diverge so much?
: otherwise I would short with no hesitation.
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | |
|
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 21 wait to see if 1277 close. |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | |
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 23 4 points stopped out at 1278.25
Kao,这年头打瓶酱油咋这么难呢，
这不Follow the trend了吗? |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 24 胆小又挣不到大钱，胆大了又亏得快。难。：-（
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: 4 points stopped out at 1278.25
: Kao,这年头打瓶酱油咋这么难呢，
: 这不Follow the trend了吗?
|
T********e
发帖数: 363 | 25 hmmm
sometimes this is bad
【在 G*********8 的大作中提到】
: IBM is up more than 3%.
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 26 据我观察，对于个股来说，超买就是一个伪概念，
超买可以再超买，所以我一般不看个股的RSI什么的。
但对于大盘来说，不知道有没有超买这个概念?
刚才看了一下$SPX的周线图,RSI(14)=73.58
已经超过了去年2010年4月的时候，
也远远超过2007年10月大顶时候的RSI值 |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 27 I thought some TA are valid in range market, others are valid in trending
markets. |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 28 100
RSI = 100 - --------
1 + RS
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
seems it try to quantify the process.
where I think level is more important.
So if the process is slow, you will see RSI overbought/sold
but trend will not change until level reached.
just my $0.02. |
q*********u
发帖数: 9501 | 29 超买，超卖都是伪概念，骗骗新手的，俺过去也被骗过多回。
其实道理很简单，就是超买了之后还可以超买，超卖之后还可以超卖，
那么前一个超还是后一个超有意义? |
l******n
发帖数: 507 | 30 what do you mean by 'the level'?
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 100
: RSI = 100 - --------
: 1 + RS
: RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
: seems it try to quantify the process.
: where I think level is more important.
: So if the process is slow, you will see RSI overbought/sold
: but trend will not change until level reached.
: just my $0.02.
|
|
|
N***i
发帖数: 2063 | 31 超是超了点，不过可以继续超,,,我前几天贴的说大盘的分析我觉得不错，比较到位，
我等下找找 |
N***i
发帖数: 2063 | 32 http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/observations.aspx?
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: 据我观察，对于个股来说，超买就是一个伪概念，
: 超买可以再超买，所以我一般不看个股的RSI什么的。
: 但对于大盘来说，不知道有没有超买这个概念?
: 刚才看了一下$SPX的周线图,RSI(14)=73.58
: 已经超过了去年2010年4月的时候，
: 也远远超过2007年10月大顶时候的RSI值
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | |
G*********8
发帖数: 644 | 34 Most economic data in this 2 weeks and some ER missed market expectation.
Only JPM, APPL and IBM have good ER.
AA ER is not good too. |
k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 36 1286 at stake right now.
likely to break, next stop 1277. |
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 37 我刚才1282.25捞了ES.
都说要Follow the trend，
但这个点位买到底算Follow the trend
还是Agaist the trend? 我都糊涂了
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 1286 at stake right now.
: likely to break, next stop 1277.
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 38 follow the trend for sure. at least 4 bottle of soy sauce.
even for top, we should see some dip first.
But market internal did look strange. |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 39 1284 should be a good scalp short. after 1286. |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 40 why dow and spx diverge so much?
otherwise I would short with no hesitation. |
|
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 41 搞了半天我还是Against the trend啊，C博.
刚才差点就Stop out了，看有没有运气留到收盘前
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 1284 should be a good scalp short. after 1286.
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 42 I am not too sure either.
I would be very aggressive if 1286 broken before lunch hour.
During lunch hour, market is kind of fishy.
So 1984 scalp can only target inside play, which has one one point space.
if outside of lunch hour, then I would target new low.
I think it is still ok if we close above 1286. |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 43 SPX drop 10 point and DOW drop only less than 20. very wired. |
G*********8
发帖数: 644 | 44 IBM is up more than 3%.
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: why dow and spx diverge so much?
: otherwise I would short with no hesitation.
|
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | |
c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 46 wait to see if 1277 close. |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | |
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 48 4 points stopped out at 1278.25
Kao,这年头打瓶酱油咋这么难呢，
这不Follow the trend了吗? |
S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 49 胆小又挣不到大钱，胆大了又亏得快。难。：-（
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: 4 points stopped out at 1278.25
: Kao,这年头打瓶酱油咋这么难呢，
: 这不Follow the trend了吗?
|
T********e
发帖数: 363 | 50 hmmm
sometimes this is bad
【在 G*********8 的大作中提到】
: IBM is up more than 3%.
|
|
|
w*******o
发帖数: 6125 | 51 上次说中了，这次$DJI weekly chart "超买更严重" RSI 76.18
估计可以称得上"Most over bought ever"了。
当然，前提是，有Overbought这个概念，有时候我都挺怀疑。
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: 你看看。还让你说中了。
|
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 52 NASDAQ上5000点前面那段找找看？！
【在 w*******o 的大作中提到】
: 上次说中了，这次$DJI weekly chart "超买更严重" RSI 76.18
: 估计可以称得上"Most over bought ever"了。
: 当然，前提是，有Overbought这个概念，有时候我都挺怀疑。
|
