i*****s 发帖数: 4596 | 1 有一个不怎么准确的译文,不过可读性倒是不低,我把原文附在后面:
祖神来归式科学
费曼(Richard Feynman)
在中世纪,有各种类型的古怪观念,如象一块犀牛角会增强权力。后来找到一种方
法将各种观念进行分类 --- 行得通就弄明白它,行不通就取消它。尔后,这种方法
就逐步形成科学。而且它发展得很好,所以我们现在是处在科学的时代。然而使我
们很难理解的是,就在这样一个科学时代巫医怎么会存在,巫医提出的事,从没有
真正行得通 --- 或者很少行得通。
但是时至今日,我遇到不少人,他们总会和我说到飞碟(UFO),或者星相学,或者
某些神秘主义,扩大的知觉,新型意识,超感觉力,等等。我得到结论,这都不属
于科学世界。
许多人相信那些荒诞不经的事物,使得我决意研究他们为什么这样。我的好奇心促
使我去进行研究,而所涉及到的内容却使我陷入困境。居然有这么多糟粕,真使人
吃惊。首先我由研究神秘主义,神秘经验的各种思想入手。我进到隔离的试验槽,
并有过许多小时的幻觉经历,所以我知道关于神秘主义的某些东西。我还去过埃萨
伦,这里是各种思想的温床(这是一个很好的地方,你们应当去看看)。然后我变
得不... 阅读全帖 |
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H**r 发帖数: 10015 | 2 胡温已经政治上够backward了,薄熙来更backward
当然胡温经济搞太差,当年薄熙来红歌的问题大家也想不起来了 |
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m***k 发帖数: 37 | 3 It's a 4x4 Range Rover, a Real full size SUV. not your little cheap japs
crossover or camry. Have you driven 4x4 SUV or truck?
At Lien's last stop, it's city street. He did not need drive fast. The
bikers had to get off bike and walked or ran to his SUV to attack him. He
just need to moving his SUV backward 10 feet then kept moving backward and
forward. The thugs could not attack him when his SUV moving.
I thought it was not necessary to explain the strategy in Military forum.
Now I'm still wond... 阅读全帖 |
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w*********r 发帖数: 42116 | 4 http://news.yahoo.com/obama-anti-gay-bill-step-backward-ugandan
President Barack Obama warned Uganda Sunday over its plans to further
criminalize homosexuality, saying it would "complicate our valued
relationship."
Defending gay rights around the world, as he has done at home, Obama said a
bill that President Yoweri Museveni has pledged to sign will mark a "step
backward" for all Ugandans and reflect poorly on the country's commitment to
protect the human rights of its people. It also would repr... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******s 发帖数: 9926 | 5 本文的网路版本在这里: http://nosca5.blogspot.com/2014/02/sca5.html
反对SCA5, 不要浪费时间, 要这样做才有帮助, 请转发
从我做起, 从现在做起! 我们还来得及反对SCA5. 目前, 加州众议院的80席中, 有55席
民主党, 25席共和党. 对这个法案SCA5的支持是党派分票, 所以我们只需要保证 2个以
上民主党议员勇敢地站出来, 投票反对, 我们就可以让法案胎死腹中. 现在我们可以做
的是写信给代表我们选区的加州众议员, 去他们的网站给他们写.
Step 1: 下面网站里选Act Now有两个请愿投票, 有时间先去投票, 这样才能壮大声势.
http://www.saynosca5.com/
Step 2: http://findyourrep.legislature.ca.gov/
住在加州的朋友先寻找自己选区的州众议员
Step 3:
可能被影响的民主党州众议员列表, 这一份名单有被精心筛选过, 确定是机率比较高,
不会让大家浪费子弹, 集中火力攻击, 先写好篇文章, 这篇下面有很多范例, 不想写直
接找一篇贴上发给对方也没... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*******s 发帖数: 9926 | 6 本文的网路版本在这里: http://nosca5.blogspot.com/2014/02/sca5.html
反对SCA5, 不要浪费时间, 要这样做才有帮助, 请转发
从我做起, 从现在做起! 我们还来得及反对SCA5. 目前, 加州众议院的80席中, 有55席
民主党, 25席共和党. 对这个法案SCA5的支持是党派分票, 所以我们只需要保证 2个以
上民主党议员勇敢地站出来, 投票反对, 我们就可以让法案胎死腹中. 现在我们可以做
的是写信给代表我们选区的加州众议员, 去他们的网站给他们写.
Step 1: 下面网站里选Act Now有两个请愿投票, 有时间先去投票, 这样才能壮大声势.
http://www.saynosca5.com/
Step 2: http://findyourrep.legislature.ca.gov/
住在加州的朋友先寻找自己选区的州众议员
Step 3:
可能被影响的民主党州众议员列表, 这一份名单有被精心筛选过, 确定是机率比较高,
不会让大家浪费子弹, 集中火力攻击, 先写好篇文章, 这篇下面有很多范例, 不想写直
接找一篇贴上发给对方也没... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*******s 发帖数: 9926 | 7 本文的网路版本在这里: http://nosca5.blogspot.com/2014/02/sca5.html
反对SCA5, 不要浪费时间, 要这样做才有帮助, 请转发
从我做起, 从现在做起! 我们还来得及反对SCA5. 目前, 加州众议院的80席中, 有55席
民主党, 25席共和党. 对这个法案SCA5的支持是党派分票, 所以我们只需要保证 2个以
上民主党议员勇敢地站出来, 投票反对, 我们就可以让法案胎死腹中. 现在我们可以做
的是写信给代表我们选区的加州众议员, 去他们的网站给他们写.
Step 1: 下面网站里选Act Now有两个请愿投票, 有时间先去投票, 这样才能壮大声势.
http://www.saynosca5.com/
Step 2: http://findyourrep.legislature.ca.gov/
住在加州的朋友先寻找自己选区的州众议员
Step 3:
可能被影响的民主党州众议员列表, 这一份名单有被精心筛选过, 确定是机率比较高,
不会让大家浪费子弹, 集中火力攻击, 先写好篇文章, 这篇下面有很多范例, 不想写直
接找一篇贴上发给对方也没... 阅读全帖 |
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o********t 发帖数: 1655 | 8 The 12 Unspoken Rules For Being A Liberal
http://youngcons.com/the-12-unspoken-rules-for-being-a-liberal/
1) You justify your beliefs about yourself by your status as a liberal, not
your deeds. The most sexist liberal can think of himself as a feminist while
the greediest liberal can think of himself as generous. This is because
liberals define themselves as being compassionate, open minded, kind, pro-
science and intelligent not based on their actions or achievements, but
based on their ideolog... 阅读全帖 |
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V****n 发帖数: 651 | 9 Norg Haven 19catsandcounting • 2 days ago
I have looked into a number of historical texts.
I've also read "Eugenics: A Reassessment", "The Bell Curve: Intelligence and
Class Structure in American Life", "Dysgenics: Genetic Deterioration in
Modern Populations", "The 10,000 Year Explosion: How Civilization
Accelerated Human Evolution", and "The Global Bell Curve: Race, IQ, and
Inequality Worldwide".
Thanks to racial integration, Black America currently resides within a
nation that was princ... 阅读全帖 |
|
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h******k 发帖数: 15372 | 11 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: gemini2012 (双子AB), 信区: USANews
标 题: 议会通过动议,禁止美国向伊朗交纳赎金
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 23 10:23:01 2016, 美东)
UPDATE: On Thursday night, the House passed Foreign Affairs Committee
Chairman Ed Royce's (R-CA) Prohibiting Future Ransom Payments to Iran Act (H
.R. 5931).
***Original Post***
The Obama administration recently threatened to veto legislation that would
prevent America from sending future ransom payments to Iran. The threat
comes after reports that the White House pa... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 12 12月 谈谈间谍问题
我一直感觉Reuters 有日本的间谍,他们会通过报道来传递针对华人屠杀的计划,和发
布不利于华人的报道,制造舆论。最重要他们后边的势力和犯罪集团有关。有必要好好
调查这个组织。
How top U.S. colleges hooked up with controversial Chinese companies
By Steve Stecklow and Alexandra Harney
Filed Dec. 2, 2016, noon GMT
New Oriental, China’s biggest private educator, has been accused of
academic fraud. Thanks to two enterprising Americans, it has also gained
access to leading U.S. college admissions officers.
SHANGHAI/SHELTER ISLAND, New York - Thomas Benson once ran a small... 阅读全帖 |
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F****y 发帖数: 145 | 13 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/X86
X86 is a family of backward-compatible instruction set architectures[a]
based on the Intel 8086 CPU and its Intel 8088 variant. The 8086 was
introduced in 1978 as a fully 16-bit extension of Intel's 8-bit-based 8080
microprocessor, with memory segmentation as a solution for addressing more
memory than can be covered by a plain 16-bit address. The term "x86" came
into being because the names of several successors to Intel's 8086 processor
end in "86", including t... 阅读全帖 |
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a********x 发帖数: 1502 | 14 http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/aug/01/london-2012
Bravo to the Chinese badminton players – they're just trying to win medals
Criticising a nation's athletes for wanting to win as many medals as
possible is to forget what the Olympics is really about
The attacks on Chinese and Korean badminton players are grossly unfair. They
were doing their best with added cunning. Day and after day we read
relentless hyperbole about the vital importance to national pride of winning
obsessed is th... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1 发帖数: 19713 | 15 Cuomo Robo-Calls for Marriage Equality
By Julie Bolcer
CUOMO x390 (getty) | ADVOATE.CO
A new robo-call from Gov. Andrew Cuomo urges New Yorkers to call their
lawmakers and ask them to vote in support of marriage equality. "It is a
question of New York going forward or backward," says the governor.
The New York State Democratic Committee released a transcript of the call on
Monday afternoon. Calls will go out to regions across the state starting
this week.
Cuomo, who enjoys high approval ratings ... 阅读全帖 |
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g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 History 讨论区 】
发信人: gogo2004 (挑灯看剑), 信区: History
标 题: Evolution of Chinese intellectuals' thought over two decades
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 15 17:38:31 2012, 美东)
Working at a top political think tank of the government, the author of the
patriotic Chinese tome Paradoxes of American Hegemony today delights in
contrasting Western economic failures with the successes of China’s chosen
economic path.
Back in the 1980s Ding Yifan had idealistically believed in Western models
as offering solut... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i 发帖数: 6973 | 17 Jonathan Ansfield, Michael Wines (writer) and Sharon LaFraniere, China's
Premier Falls Into a Role: Reformer Fighting for Relevance; Is Wen Jiabao a
true maverick, or just playing good cop in a bad-cop system?. New York Times
, Aug 8, 2011, page A1 (title in print).
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/08/world/asia
/08china.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=china%20wen%20&st=cse
Quote:
"The official state media took Mr Wen’s broadside as a pass to keep digging
into Railways Ministry incompetence.
"And it showed tha... 阅读全帖 |
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g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 18 【 以下文字转载自 History 讨论区 】
发信人: gogo2004 (挑灯看剑), 信区: History
标 题: Evolution of Chinese intellectuals' thought over two decades
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 15 17:38:31 2012, 美东)
Working at a top political think tank of the government, the author of the
patriotic Chinese tome Paradoxes of American Hegemony today delights in
contrasting Western economic failures with the successes of China’s chosen
economic path.
Back in the 1980s Ding Yifan had idealistically believed in Western models
as offering solut... 阅读全帖 |
|
l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 19 Jamie M. Fly — April 2012
Following the killing of American soldiers and the recent protests sparked
by the accidental burning of Korans by coalition forces, Republican
presidential candidate Newt Gingrich went so far as to suggest that the
United States should abandon Afghanistan unless the Afghans apologize,
adding that we should tell them, “figure out how to live your own miserable
life.” This is the increasingly frequent refrain of war-weary
conservatives who question President Barack Obama’... 阅读全帖 |
|
m********a 发帖数: 1041 | 20 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-08/how-dumb-is-immigratio
Everything you know about immigration, particularly unauthorized immigration
, is wrong.
So says Princeton University’s Doug Massey, anyway. Massey is one of the
nation’s preeminent immigration scholars. And he thinks we’ve wasted a
whole lot of money on immigration policy and are about to waste a whole lot
more.
Massey slices the history of Mexico-to-U.S. migration in five periods. Early... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******s 发帖数: 9926 | 21 本文的网路版本在这里: http://nosca5.blogspot.com/2014/02/sca5.html
反对SCA5, 不要浪费时间, 要这样做才有帮助, 请转发
从我做起, 从现在做起! 我们还来得及反对SCA5. 目前, 加州众议院的80席中, 有55席
民主党, 25席共和党. 对这个法案SCA5的支持是党派分票, 所以我们只需要保证 2个以
上民主党议员勇敢地站出来, 投票反对, 我们就可以让法案胎死腹中. 现在我们可以做
的是写信给代表我们选区的加州众议员, 去他们的网站给他们写.
Step 1: 下面网站里选Act Now有两个请愿投票, 有时间先去投票, 这样才能壮大声势.
http://www.saynosca5.com/
Step 2: http://findyourrep.legislature.ca.gov/
住在加州的朋友先寻找自己选区的州众议员
Step 3:
可能被影响的民主党州众议员列表, 这一份名单有被精心筛选过, 确定是机率比较高,
不会让大家浪费子弹, 集中火力攻击, 先写好篇文章, 这篇下面有很多范例, 不想写直
接找一篇贴上发给对方也没... 阅读全帖 |
|
a*********a 发帖数: 3656 | 22 LOL, a journalist, on national TV, called out by her own subject which she
presumed as friendly: "u got the story backwards".
what the governor said was not "your opinion is wrong", or "you
misunderstood".
the governor said, I quote, "U GOT THE STORY BACKWARDS" for pete's sake.
what could be lower than this. |
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a*********a 发帖数: 3656 | 23 This is the same argument as "yes we can because bush did it too".
Softball 归softball, 现场被嘉宾斥责"u got the story backwards" 还
是很表明人
品问题,和职业素养的。
像你这样还要继续推当事人都明说是”backwards"的料,也很说明人品问题。
希拉里也娴熟这一套,但是人家鲍威尔也不买帐。
: Live interview也有作弊的。。。
: Christ Wallace also throw the softballs.... or give the
questions
: beforehand.....
: 谁知道这个世界天天什么的事情有几份真,几份假。。。完全在于被吸收
者的判
断力。
: 。。。
: 这个版的川粉的目标就很明显,就是影响大家给trump投票而已。。。。
否则根
本不会
: 没有讨论的态度。。
|
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g********2 发帖数: 6571 | 24 UPDATE: On Thursday night, the House passed Foreign Affairs Committee
Chairman Ed Royce's (R-CA) Prohibiting Future Ransom Payments to Iran Act (H
.R. 5931).
***Original Post***
The Obama administration recently threatened to veto legislation that would
prevent America from sending future ransom payments to Iran. The threat
comes after reports that the White House paid Iran $1.7 billion to ensure
the release of four American prisoners. In a Republican leadership press
briefing on Wednesday, Hous... 阅读全帖 |
|
p*********b 发帖数: 47 | 25 9,Unix file path化简,写code
例如 /a/./b/../../c/ ,化简为 /c/
用stack或者d-queue,有些细节需要考虑,例如 /..//.. 还是输出 /
这题不需要额外的数据结构,从尾部向前反过来做。
我之前写的代码
/* The algorithm runs in O(n) time and O(n) space
* It works backwards so that no stack or other buffer is
* needed to skip the parents folder if a "../" is encountered.
* "//" is preserved as is, and "/./" is changed to "/
* I was able to do a inplace version, but string cut and cat are
* essentially array element revomal, which will make running time
* O(n^2).
*
* My ... 阅读全帖 |
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z******w 发帖数: 36 | 26 1 time DFS is enough, find the backward edge. If the backward edge exist,
there are cycles in the diagram. |
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S**I 发帖数: 15689 | 27 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
recursive (递归) 于 (Mon Apr 11 10:56:49 2011, 美东) 提到:
大半夜收到HR的thank you note。不用管什么NDA了
本人ECE fresh PhD,背景是电路/EDA,跟G业务基本没什么关系
同学内部推荐的,很简单的一次电面就给了onsite
题都不难,但是自己没把握好机会,出了一些小bug。
总的感觉,出错就是硬伤,宁可从最简单的算法写起,也不能出错。
电面:
1,Skip list, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skip_list
写code实现struct skip_list * find(struct skip_list *head, int value)
2,sorted array with repeated elements
for given element, find out its range.
e.g. A A B B B B B C C D D E F G, given B, the out... 阅读全帖 |
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l******c 发帖数: 2555 | 28 来自主题: JobHunting版 - 一道面试题 a little change from a very old msft interview question
"
A helicopter drops two trains, each on a parachute, onto a straight infinite railway line. There is an
undefined distance between the two trains. Each faces the same direction, and upon landing, the parachute
attached to each train falls to the ground next to the train and detaches. Each train has a microchip that
controls its motion. The chips are identical. There is no way for the trains to know where they are. You need
to write the cod... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******n 发帖数: 493 | 29 你是对的。我原本以为Graco Nautilus 3-in-1 Car Seat可以face backward,因为我
记得babiesrus店里介绍的就是可以face backward。这样的话就不适用我家宝宝,只有
10个月,呵呵。大家还是有什么好的建议吗?谢谢!
not |
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m**********g 发帖数: 981 | 30 看看这些
Cognitive Milestones
By one:
follows moving object with eyes
recognizes differences among people; responds to strangers by crying or
staring
responds to and imitates facial expressions of others
responds to very simple directions
imitates gestures and actions
puts small objects in and out of container with intention
Between one and two:
imitates actions and words of adults
understands and follows simple, familiar directions
responds to words or co... 阅读全帖 |
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l*********e 发帖数: 5385 | 31 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
wahaha2013 (娃哈哈啊) 于 (Sun Jul 14 00:29:12 2013, 美东) 提到:
我家宝宝刚满一周岁。不会用手指指东西,不会挥手再见,不会show东西给我看,不会
传东西给我。
请问如何教会啊,我天天教,就是不会啊。我教别的,比如谢谢,挠痒等,很快就会。
就是不会这几样。而这又是最重要的。用什么方法呢?我和儿医说出了我的顾虑,是不
是autism啊?儿医说等18个月再看。
我都等不急了。
真诚请教,怎么教会宝宝啊?急啊急。
拜谢各位!!!
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
wahaha2013 (娃哈哈啊) 于 (Sun Jul 14 22:54:04 2013, 美东) 提到:
顶顶啊,没人回复我啊
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
snowshine (snowshine) 于 (Sun Jul 14 23:13:25 2013, 美东) 提到:
我怎么觉... 阅读全帖 |
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W******e 发帖数: 3319 | 32 1. Introduction
My interest in studying creativity was inspired by the frustrations that I
felt as a student, then as a professor. I wanted to know how I could
encourage creativity in myself, my students, and my colleagues.
Politicians, industrial managers, academic administrators, and other leaders
often say that innovation is critical to the future of civilization, our
country, their company, etc. But in practice, these same people often act as
if innovation is an evil that must be suppressed,... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******r 发帖数: 22634 | 33 或者说,这里最基本的概念是:
(1) The gravity of the water above the fish "crush" that
fish, (if the fish do not take water in).
(2) The water stream flowing facing to the fish "pushing
backward" the fish.
For the simplistic model of ideal liquid, the above two are
unrelated. "Unrelated" means, if the water stream speed is
the same no matter the depth, and if the fish is not swimming,
then:
a) the speed that fish being "pushing backward" is expected
the same, no matter how deep the fish swim.
b) However, the m... 阅读全帖 |
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f**r 发帖数: 865 | 34 大概10%的小朋友是左撇子。:-) 关于写字的顺序,你们孩子多大了?有些小朋友一开
始是反的,慢慢就好了。转一段小学老师的建议:
I am a primary age teacher and we do not look for directional dominance (
left to right reading) until halfway through kindergarten. This is a
perfectly normal situation. You can help him in a few ways, if it bothers
you:
1) read him very simple 8 page books, with lines like "I like to walk." "I
like to jump." (extremely predictable). Read these a few times, until he has
memorized them. Then sit next to him and ask for his pointer ... 阅读全帖 |
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t******l 发帖数: 10908 | 35 Ministers insist the Government's new compulsory assessment can help schools
spot slow readers. Teachers argue the brightest pupils fail it. Here,
Jennifer Jackson gives a parent's perspective.
Word games: experts say phonics tests can create problems for children and
hold them back Alamy
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/education/schools/why-phonics-tests-spell-trouble-8364917.html
Parents are up in arms about the state of reading and writing in primary
schools. Not only, they claim, are teach... 阅读全帖 |
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t******l 发帖数: 10908 | 36 我测了一下下面这个 link 里的 Backward Corsi Block Test。
My "spatial loop": (Backward Corsi Block Test) is better than 2-back,but
the longest I do is only 4 (and I have to click very fast to avoid fading
the spatial phonological loop). I cannot even do 5. (Average people do 6 - 8
).
http://www.memorylosstest.com/free-working-memory-tests-online/
从 |
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t***s 发帖数: 1247 | 37 转帖youtube评论
this is another proof that china is a third world country. God dam sad.
Backward, backward that poor woman will die of internal bleeding soon. tall
buildings in city does not mean that you are a developed country. In any
developed country an ambulance would have been there in five minutes. Sad
女,肯定后悔的要奔溃了----如 |
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b*****9 发帖数: 8922 | 38 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
THINKway (t90) 于 (Thu Oct 6 21:15:31 2011, 美东) 提到:
ding!
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
marclee (marc) 于 (Thu Oct 6 21:16:09 2011, 美东) 提到:
你有种。。。。
不过,俩小孩亏了。。遇人不淑啊。。。为啥不实现了你这么大个愿望后再要小孩?
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
lyu (住宾馆住五星#蹲监狱蹲秦城) 于 (Thu Oct 6 21:29:15 2011, 美东) 提到:
我看好你哟……
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
lovemmit (二进制居士) 于 (Thu Oct 6 21:30:12 2011, 美东) 提到:
顶。有梦的汉字
☆────────────────────────────────────... 阅读全帖 |
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g******u 发帖数: 30 | 40 不懂还是不要搞。 soft commodities usually have very strong term structure. i
would recommend commodities with small backwardation, like sugar. avoid
commodities with strong contangos, like rice or wheat. cotton and corn
have very strong backwardation, which might make you lots of money in the
short term if u are long, but need to put a tight stop, because when it
drops, it is going to be big. |
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N********n 发帖数: 8363 | 41
Do you understand what backwardation is? Silver is in backwardation now.
What does that tell you about silver's supply and demand?
CRIMEX has settled 1317 March silver contracts and only 81 of them were
by physical delivery while the rest were by cash bribery. What does that
tell you about silver's 存量产量?
If JPMorgue decides to run a Kamikaze attack on silver market with 100M
paper silver sale tomorrow they can certainly drive the (paper) price
down for a while but your understanding of silver F... 阅读全帖 |
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j***b 发帖数: 5901 | 42 vxx is realized by rolling futures contracts. When vix is high, people
expect it to drop, so the 2 month futures are cheaper than current month
futures. This is backwardation. Backwardation means the vxx fund can buy
futures contracts cheap, and gains, which helps vxx go up faster or go down
slower. |
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z****g 发帖数: 4616 | 43 Stanford Report, June 14, 2005
'You've got to find what you love,' Jobs says
This is a prepared text of the Commencement address delivered by Steve Jobs,
CEO of Apple Computer and of Pixar Animation Studios, on June 12, 2005.
I am honored to be with you today at your commencement from one of the
finest universities in the world. I never graduated from college. Truth be
told, this is the closest I've ever gotten to a college graduation. Today I
want to tell you three stories from my life. That's ... 阅读全帖 |
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h*******g 发帖数: 205 | 44 刚看到这个帖子,说是Cramer把Belviq and Qunexs 完全说反了。个人觉得他是为MM低
价进ARNA做托儿,如果你的进价低,没准再hold一下。我还拿着,进点比较低,但是,
锁利很重要!!
Great post on ARNA message board by a doctor responding to Cramer's show
last night.....
REAL PHYSICIAN: CRAMER REBUTTAL 11-Jul-12 09:14 am A very important (but
never discussed) point about anti-obesity treatment is what real physicians
will prescribe for their patients in coming years. I have discussed with
many of my fellow M.D.s, and almost all of us are going with BELVIQ instead
of QNEXA, ... 阅读全帖 |
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u**********n 发帖数: 8905 | 45 "We can expect the market will continue to sell the stocks, given headlines
and uncertainty, and then begin to buy them back when the companies report
manageable losses," the Bernstein analysts said. "For many, this passing and
predictable weakness presents an opportunity to build positions, now at
more attractive levels, in the leading non-life writers to take advantage of
a cyclical pricing recovery."
如果真是那样,不动或适当做空就是最好的对策。
While Hurricane Sandy is on its way to causing untold billions of doll... 阅读全帖 |
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B**********r 发帖数: 7517 | 46 我为什麽要说说这些呢?过去不到一个月VIX大跌,引起这些交易基金很大的波动。股
版也关注了。我在这里做点简单的定量分析,让大家知道它们的风险/回报,不至于做
些危险的操作。股版有些人是懂VIX的运作的,希望指正我说的不妥之处。如果不懂而
对我挖苦攻击的,请不必了,毕竟我是完全好意帮助大家。
1)VIX,VIX Futures
大家都知道VIX是衡量市场波动率的指数。它是一个导出指数derivative,根据S&P 500
指数后面30天的期权价格,经过换算而得出。VIX也经常被称为恐慌指数,因为市场的
大幅波动,是不确定性的表现,而对投资者产生畏惧心理。当然,理论上牛市也可以有
较高的VIX指数。
VIX指数本身是不可交易的,所以很多机构推出了一些机制(所以是derivative of
derivative),这些包括VIX futures定约,VIX指数期权,和基本的VIX futures交易
基金。这里VIX futures反映的是未来一段时间的VIX的期望值,可以是短期的1个月或
中期的半年。这些Futures其实跟VIX指数期权(也有1,2个月或半年的)的定价是一致
的。
VI... 阅读全帖 |
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d********1 发帖数: 3828 | 48 backwardation很少发生是因为身处牛市。
牛市cantongo,熊市backwardation。就这么简单。 |
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t******y 发帖数: 6206 | 49 呵呵,总拿08-09年就是抬杠了。
在最差的年份,backwardation平均发生两个月/年,普通的年份有显著的
backwardation平均也就10天。 |
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