p***n
发帖数: 1987 | 1 Actually, I turn to moderate Bullish in mid-term, following Dalelaw.
But still not sure whether this bottoming attempt will fail or not. |
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d******e
发帖数: 6945 | 2 Till now, My opinion is not changed.
This time the market can be bullish to April with several small adjustments. |
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HQ
发帖数: 19201 | 3 这么跟你说吧,股版上有一类人就是喜欢攻击别人,你也是其中之一,银杏也是
你们这类人,大多数人不愿意得罪而已,说实话,跟你们这帮颠倒黑白编造事实的人吵架
确实是没意思.黑白无所谓,你们就是屁股决定大脑就开始说.
你们这类人本身也臭气相投,不会互相攻击.
至于你们的话,别人也懒得攻击你们.
其实你看,你自己本版已经几次反指表现了,我模仿你的口气来几句你不仅是受不了,比
我还反应激烈的多.你自己想象一下把,如果你面对一个人同样一个事情反复跟你纠缠了
几年几十遍的,而且如果你面对几个甚至几十个这样的人,呵呵,你能有啥反映?
至于那个银杏,远的不说,就说最近的,他从5月初开始攻击我这么久了,市场如何走得?他
上周二号召熊熊们集合,说要做空了,晚上还有人称赞timing好,哈哈,事实是从上周三到
这个星期
naz天天涨,连涨了4天.我都懒得去说了.
最可笑的是对于c帅的去年9.26的most bullish ever的攻击.说实话,凭良心说,股版上
除了我谁有资格攻击人家c帅的帖子?还记得否那天下午c帅发贴时候的状况?我印象最深
的是我的唱空贴,而且说的是血洗,我认为大跌马上就要到了,还被xiao |
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HQ
发帖数: 19201 | 4 是啊,9.26下午我的血洗NAZ帖子被支持C帅的MOST BULLISH EVER的帖子的支持者鞭挞的
一无是处.可是这次确实是踩点好,转过来星期一全都哑口无言了.
1月下旬我发了长贴美国要大跳水,结果又是被围攻了快1个月.
5月初我说BUY ON DIP,结果呢?
注意,整个五月份,NAZ最低点在1650,最高点在1760
整个六月份,NAZ最低点在1760附近,最高点高于1850
不知不觉中,NAZ涨了100点了,呵呵,恐怕大多数人都没有感觉. |
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m**********d
发帖数: 1818 | 9 KDJ向上，RSI向下
这算是背离吗？如果是，是bearish还是bullish
多谢！ |
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m**********d
发帖数: 1818 | 10 如果除去复权的因素，这应该是bullish信号吧？？ |
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HQ
发帖数: 19201 | 11 大家可以安心耐心的持仓到下周了
就算是跌，最早也要下周了 |
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q******7
发帖数: 1309 | 12 说一丁点儿的理由与大伙儿一起分享，可以吗？
你是版上除了数一还是数一的元老了，具有绝对的权威性。这不是吹捧，至少在目前看
来是事实。 |
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j****l
发帖数: 33 | 17 今天来个bullish engulfing就完全negate掉这一大堆bearish whatever。他喜欢用的
云层俺看着比较晕，感觉他的ta也是so so而已。
has
(
will |
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d******e
发帖数: 6945 | 18 刚才看帖子，郁闷的看到一个短线高手也在说000973和熊猫烟花相似的问题。比较郁闷
，因为一般这种时候越是大家观点相似，越是容易出错。
大家小心了，别被我的bullish分析给蛊惑了。 |
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b********y
发帖数: 5829 | 19 大盘做了个lower high， 不冲破3400恐怕很难认为是bullish |
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V***o
发帖数: 678 | 21 Mutual funds in China cut their recommended equity weightings to 84.8% from
a record high in October while raising allocations to cash and bonds, as
expectations of inflation and further monetary tightening reduce risk
appetite, a monthly Reuters poll of fund managers showed.
Suggested equity weightings over the next three months fell from 88.9% last
month, while recommended allocations for bonds rose to 3.2% from a record
low of 2.4% in October, the poll of nine China-based funds showed. Sugges... 阅读全帖 |
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HQ
发帖数: 19201 | 22 这么乐观阿
这一次又是地产先行
去年年底以来每次都是地产先行
地产现在距离阶段性顶部/阻力位已经不远了.
个人观察的中期趋势规律来看,过去这一个来月的跌势太猛,市场需要继续折腾至少1,2
个月校正各种技术指标.
比较特别的是中石油走出了A股特有的非常bullish的形状. |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 23 炒股的问题确实是这样。
10个股，暴涨暴跌，你如何保证都暴涨。
炒股无非是2种。
1种是炒的理念，暴涨暴跌，但是每次跌，都控制stop loss，这样，只要赚钱的时候多
余亏钱的时候，就是赚钱，很多厉害的trader是这个模型。
1种是巴菲特型，做长线，不亏钱。从来不亏钱，那么只有赚钱，不管赚多赚少，只是
一直往前走。
我不是反对炒中小型的，创业的，每个人都有自己的投资风格，就像雪球的银行粉和创
业板fighting一样，招商银行好还是乐视网好，这个不是一个答案，市场给的答案就是
乐视网好。
我的point是，大家看到的是成功，但是没有看到成功take的risk，今天市场给出了这
样的反应，很多hide了任何缺陷，但是当市场逆风的时候，答案也许立马是另外一种了。
BTW，我虽然margin了，但是完全可以承担。风险可控。 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 5277 | 24 关键是现在市场顺风，你讨论的时候把risk高的股票的return限制在一个严重不符合市
场环境的数字（5%），就很不合适了。 |
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k*****o
发帖数: 1486 | 25 再这个版上只有peashooter (BullishSolar)是巴菲特型...
其它人都是trader充其量算speculator |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 27 是这样考虑的。
1. 考虑到前期的整盘幅度，这样的防火量，其实肯定放不完。bearish
2. 考虑到均线MA20， 这里的确有support，而且上一波是在这里结束的。bullish
考虑这2点操作。
现阶段不能过分bearish，像前几天一样，一味的出货，橙色警报和红色警报的时候应
该把货放出来了。
所以，
现在可以小量加仓。今晚继续跌，继续加，加到SM30 均线。
加什么，我就不说了，我以前会说，骂的人太多了，明明share information，结果被
几个追着骂。 |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 28 In the U.S. the savings rate is 5.1%2 with 25% of net worth going into the
markets3. In China the savings rate is an impressive 50%4, however,
according to China economic research firm PRC Macro, the average household
only has 4.4% of their net worth5 invested in the stock market.
###xiaoxiaoren's comments:
Yes, in my family, my parents contribute less than 1% in stock market. I am
doing the exact reverse way 200% in stock market.
401k in china is absolutely a game change policy. It will happen,... 阅读全帖 |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 29 请注意：
我说的是美股！
should reach 203 without effort。
break 210 by the end of this year！ |
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C*****5
发帖数: 8812 | 30 想回贴的人先冷静下。你越搭理这个attention whore他越来劲。大家都不不要搭理他
。让他自摸吧。 |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 31 wanna bet？
you short
i long |
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i*********e
发帖数: 5295 | 32 天天喊有个鸡巴用
把账户贴上了 满仓马金个股也好 指数也好
一周贴一次证明你没有跑路
否则你喊年底210 就是2100也不过是嘴皮轻轻一动 |
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x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 34 wrong again。
大volume要看趋势，
大volume可以是bearish，也是bullish。
小volume才是反转。
TA基础，美女。别瞎预测了，没几个人TA弄成大湿这样的。 |
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q**c
发帖数: 179 | 35 provide a few reasons?
I sold more yesterday, and now only have 1/5 of the total.
The only reason I realized that I might be so wrong
was that I saw lots of people did the same thing
yesterday on the discussion boards.
A few days ago, there was a good discussion about being bullish
or bearish in the SZ board. Actually half vs. half. Each side
has seemingly solid reasons. I guess that's why mkt is side-walking
these days. I would think mkt is waiting for a signal and each way
is possible. |
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g****t
发帖数: 31659 | 36 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: guvest (我爱你老婆Anna), 信区: Stock
标 题: [bssd]A股全面建仓
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jul 1 00:13:40 2016, 美东)
美股，A股都是三个士兵。一个刚过200天线，一个刚过20天线。
都有技术趋势。H股，恒生也没事。very bullish. 美债，中国债
都好。如果这是牛套，认了。
[感谢昨天马前炮提出三个士兵的高人，呵呵]
我选了油，标普ETF,各种分级A,银行股，神创ETF,
国债ETF等25个品种。周末算一下风险预期。
每天监控，超出forecast 就逐步清仓。不然就拿20天。
主要想法还是晚进早走。仓位分布为对齐方差，
不考虑关联。另外如前几天有个哥们说的那样，A股债有优势。
所以我配的债比较多。
以上只是个人随便写写，切勿影响情绪，各种追骂。
并非任何建议。 |
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h**v
发帖数: 2010 | 37 a is moving up.
i will unload when gurus turn bullish on A share. |
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HQ
发帖数: 19201 | 38 呵呵，明显自相矛盾的两句话
从中签率就能看出来，你说的gurus一直都保持bullish
其实2016最好的投资就是拿着抗跌的，稳定的股票天天抽奖。 |
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D*********t
发帖数: 370 | 39 Once upon a time there was bullish guy who joined a top Ivy League faculty.
He quickly published a top paper in a top journal (using only his Ivy
League affiliation). His old boss was mad, because he thought the guy had done the work mostly in the old school. The guy continued to publish in top
journals....
To make a long story short, the guy lost tenure 10 years later, mostly
because the old boss raised some ethical issues... |
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s******d
发帖数: 323 | 40 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
sleepy (always sleepy) 于 (Wed Apr 14 12:28:38 2004) 提到:
My opinion. Comments welcome.
People are speculating on the increase of interest rates. Recent fall of bond
prices/rise of yields is a piece of evidence. I think the Fed will be cautious
this time. So I'm bullish on bonds.
The reason that US economy recovered so fast is largely due to strong consumer
spending, which support 2/3 of the US economy. Even amid falling employment
and stock market, peo |
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t***s
发帖数: 163 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: bobobobo (haha), 信区: Stock
标 题: zt 美股大势 by Mummy
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 24 17:34:51 2007)
说句老实话，这几年美国股市很牛，如果你就找几个红热牛股，象99年200年初er前买
call，
肯定是能赚不少钱的。
现在美国牛市已经是中年阶段了，各方面矛盾慢慢出来了，能持续多久也不好猜，所以就
不要猜！ Just buy dip and BE BULLISH!
首先，现在美股不是bubble, SP500这个Q ER growth 8%左右，PE才16左右，比2000年
少很多，所以别梦想big crash, that is impossible and not worth betting.换句话
说真要
出现你也就算认了。
现在主要是sub prime 和credit 出问题，这个玩意是黑洞，涉及的资金和利益比股票
大，要是
真出问题，那华尔街就是血流成河， so I won't bet for that.
另外美元贬值，这对股票是大牛，大公司盈 |
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t***s
发帖数: 163 | 42 调整已接近尾声，buy on any dip and keep bullish。
8/16号巨量和之后的无量涨，证明：
1. Hedge fund和散户已经无货可卖
2. 机构已经在1400附近建仓完毕
3. market还没有break out，进入新牛市阶段，还可能有反复
但是只有up一条路可走。
写在前面，免得有人说我马后炮。 |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 44 upward will be delisted if no new predictions within 30 days.
scarface will IPO at next update.
Armor: 88
He remained bearish on the market and kept bullish on gold during
the previous month. The market didn't respond too well.
tonys: 85
Finally a brilliant prediction and S&P500 almost reached his prediction
range in 3 weeks. That's the only reason he didn't get upgraded two
levels at once.
stockdemon: 85
Nothing has changed about his prediction and he decides to go to bonds
for now. His score w |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 45 My long-term SP model turns bearish yesterday with score -20 because the
breath thrust component turns neutral from bullish. This model has captured
all major market movements since its debut in 01/2007. The real-time
performance is even better than historical testing from 1962 to 2006.
Components:
This model has ten components and I use voting mechanism to make the final
long/short/neutral decision. Models components signals right now,
bearish: VIX, Interest Rate, Trending, Support/Resistant
Ne |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 46 Is big unemployment jump a bad sign for the stock market historically? can u take a guess before check the chart below? how far could the market dip/rally in week or three months?
unemployment rate goes back as far as 1948, but i could only get its release date since 1960. just did a quick study if the unemployment rate jumped more than 0.5%. It suprised me a lot just as the rate suprised us today.
It was so bullish for the market if u just consider this factor itself. market's forward 3months r |
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s******d
发帖数: 323 | 47 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xiaozhugou (Most Bullish Ever) 于 (Fri Oct 17 12:24:59 2008) 提到:
Warren Buffett is in the news today attesting to the many bargains he sees.
What we never hear about is how the deals he gets are not available to
anyone else. With his folksy demeanor and pithy insights, Warren Buffett is
a great media story. He also is a fantastic example for traditional Wall
Street that wants us to buy into the "buy and hold" myth, but I bet billions
of dollars have be |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 48 There is a lot to explain but I find myself little time to write too much
in this beautiful place.
Put it simple:
1. First wave of deleveraging is almost over. Although it's hard to say
if there will be a second wave, we should be safe in the next few months.
2. Fed changed their strategy. I finally figured out what happened in the
bond market. Now Fed want to control the long-term interest rate, and
print money directly. This comes along with lower interest rate from
all major central banks.
3. |
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T*******t
发帖数: 9274 | 49
为什么print money directly反而会导致30y T rate变低？
FED不是想印就能印的（至少原则上是不能的），否则美元怎么能代替黄金呢？ |
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S******n
发帖数: 617 | 50 Greaaaaaaaat. Let them pump SPX to 1050 or dump SRS to around 80.
Enjoy the paradise! |
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