u**********n
发帖数: 8905 | 1 当初如果有人非常肯定地对我说：PCX要破产，我也不会损失那3万多块了。这种高风险
的股
，我劝楼主也别玩。俺当初也一样想法，在yahoo message board上很反感bash PCX的
人。结果呢？
我觉得秋发生他们救了你一把。
Feb 15, 2013 Momentum Short-Term Bearish 7.31 n/a Daily
Feb 14, 2013 Engulfing Line (Bullish) Short-Term Bullish 7.49 n/a Daily
Feb 13, 2013 Short-term KST Short-Term Bullish 7.39 n/a Daily
Feb 11, 2013 Pennant (Bearish) Short-Term Bearish 7.40 4.80 - 5.30 (target)
Daily
Feb 08, 2013 MACD Short-Term Bullish 7.46 n/a Daily
Feb 07, 2013 Shooting Star Short-Term Bearish 7.62 n/a Dai... 阅读全帖 |
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u**********n
发帖数: 8905 | 2 马前出了个假突破，差点把俺引进去. 但俺上个月出掉完全是基于前一个预测。
Jun 26, 2013 Continuation Diamond (Bullish) Intermediate-Term Bullish
14.91 18.10 - 18.80 Daily
Jun 26, 2013 Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish) Intermediate-
Term Bullish 14.91 17.70 - 18.30 Daily |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 3 TICKER SYMBOLS FOR WHICH DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE
AND/OR CONTAIN SERIOUS MISSING OR ERRONEOUS
ITEMS ARE NOT SHOWN AT ALL. EVEN AMONG THE ONES
SHOWN, ERROR IS INDICATED WHERE RESULT IS FAULTY.
APOLOGIES FOR STOCKS THAT WERE REQUESTED BUT MISSING
FOR THE ABOVE REASONS.
LATEST PRICE FORECASTS, WHERE AVAILABLE, ARE AS
SHOWN BELOW WITH STOCKS SORTED IN ALPHABETICAL
ORDER BY TICKER SYMBOL.
BULLISH COLUMN IS NEAR-TERM BUY/COVER PRICE LEVEL
BEARISH COLUMN IS NEAR-TERM SELL/SHORT PRICE LEVEL
THE BULLISH & B... 阅读全帖 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 4 Market timer Tom McClellan sees stocks set up for ‘ugly decline’
By Tomi Kilgore
Published: Aug 20, 2015 11:09 a.m. ET
McClellan is bullish, but he expects a definitive peak in within the next
week
Tom McClellan expects ‘nothing good for bulls’ the rest of the year
Tom McClellan loves doing what financial advisers tell you not to do. He
tries to time the financial markets — to the exact day, if his charts align
just right.
At the moment, they are telling him to be bullish on the stock mark... 阅读全帖 |
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T******u
发帖数: 1025 | 5 由几天前的深红bearish变成浅绿bullish
price站上了conversion line，加上conversion line和baseline bullish crossover
，这两个是bullish信号，但由于在cloud以下，所以是谨慎的bullish signal。
前几天说了，Ichimoku看的是中期的走势，对短期走势有时不是太准 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 145 | 6 UUP - PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish Fund –
A pair of bullish risk reversals on the PowerShares US Dollar Bullish Fund
suggests today’s sharp rally for the dollar will likely continue over the
next several months. We observed massive bullish plays on the UUP over the
past couple of weeks, some tied to machinations of whether or not the fund
had enough shares in circulation. But today’s activity predicts far more
extreme movements in the price of the dollar index. The UUP is current up 1.
4% to |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 7 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Caspia (情人草) 于 (Thu May 5 11:30:06 2011, 美东) 提到:
2011/05/05
可以考虑买入的：
Capital Goods
Chemical Manufacturing
除了金银铜相关的basic material
另外今天Tech/Resaurant/transportation/retail走的不错，赞一个。不过实在不敢追ANF/LTD之类的了。
其实除了能源之外，其他的版块都没有什么breakdown
虽然指数跌了很多，但还是觉得是一个rotation的行情。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xixi77 (宝意) 于 (Thu May 5 11:43:45 2011, 美东) 提到:
请教一下板块信息是从finviz看吗？
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
KeepBuying (雁过留声) 于 (Thu May 5 11:45:4... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****p
发帖数: 348 | 8 Andy Xie
The purported text of his leaked e-mail:
I participated in the panels on Commodity (sic) and China-India and in some
obligatory dinner parties. On Friday night the Singapore prime minister
invited the speakers at the meeting that the Singapore government organised.
Trichet, Larry Summers, Paul Volker (sic) Chuck Price, the finance
ministers of ASEAN countries were there. No government official from China
was there …guess I was there to make it look like China was represented.
The dinner... 阅读全帖 |
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t***s
发帖数: 163 | 9 来自主题: Investment版 - 转两个帖子 GTR (缤纷生活) 于 (Mon Jul 9 21:29:09 2007) 提到:
for a beginner, you don't decide what to buy.. but rather, u decide how much
to buy....
if you are bullish on the broad market, just put more money in the market (
80% stock, 20% cash for example)...
if you are kinda bullish but not very bullish, just put 50% in stock market
and 50% in cash or short term CDs
in terms of what to buy, always buy Spiders or some other broad market ETFs
(QQQ, Mid-cap.. etc) depending on your risk profile .. those ETF gives |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 10 is not reading their reports for individual casual investors. There are too
many accounting tricks that we are not able to fully appreciate until it
reveals itself.
What I believe is a good approach for FA analysis is identifing strong
sectors in the near future, and invest in the leader of sectors. You will be
better off. No need to understand their report. For example if you are
bullish to techs, investing in GOOG INTC. If you are bullish in consumer
electronics, investing in AAPL, bullish in |
|
p********a
发帖数: 6437 | 11 you and i may both have faith in China in the long term.
but can you explain why you have faith in RMB in long term?
how long? 10 yrs? or 2~3 yrs?
or care to argue against that " anywhere in this world, 6.5 rmb or 1 usd,
which can buy more
stuff? "
i didn't expect USD to go bullish for long-term.
but for the coming 2~3 yrs, I feel it is USD time. the reason is simple,
currency
fundamentally reflects the economy, U.S. economy is and going to be
healthier.
the difference between you and me is that... 阅读全帖 |
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a***r
发帖数: 146 | 12 Bullish outlook on European and emerging market stocks, as well as
commodities.
By Jurrien Timmer, co-manager of Fidelity Global Strategies Fund, Fidelity
Viewpoints – 12/19/2012
It has been a year of confusion, of tail risks anticipated and averted,
fiscal cliffs, and quantitative easing (QE). It has been a year of a housing
recovery in the United States and a growth recession in China. It has been
a year when the eurozone stared into the abyss. It has been a year of an
against-all-odds rally i... 阅读全帖 |
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h*****n
发帖数: 3270 | 13 在股市里大家都知道，在别人恐慌的时候，就是买进的最佳机会。
以下是衡量恐慌程度的三大指标(Vix, put/call, bullish/bearish Investment
advisors spread).
1. Bullish/bearish Investment advisors spread
Over the past few weeks is that the % of Bearish Investment Advisors is once
again 10% greater than the % of Bullish Investment Advisors (point A).
Since the mid 1990's this has been a very rare occurrence as shown by the
chart below as there has only been "4" of them (points B) prior to this
latest occurrence. Also note that each one was even |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 14 Checkout S&P weekly chart's MACD.
bullish crossover.
Checkout Crude, bullish crossover.
and Eur, GBP, blah blah blah...
Agricultures...
All bullish crossover on at least weekly chart.
A big wave is coming. A much bigger one than previous one!!!!!!
Run??! No where! Join the party while it's not too late! |
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r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 15 大盘有点点overbought了，不过还不够我正式用overbought做title。老读者也许能记
得，我不轻易用overbought做 title的，因为我观察的overbought信号并不是普通的信
号，因此他们的准确率是相当高的(so don’t tell me overbought can be more
overbought, just search my past record to see what happened when I
officially used overbought as the title. The most recent time I used
overbought as the title was in 07/26 Market Recap)。之所以今天提前说可能要
overbought，意思是提醒牛牛，明天如果还涨的话，注意套利，pullback就在眼前了。
当然，pullback if indeed，多半仅仅是个short-term pullback而已。
下面看看几个我所谓不是普通的overbought信号。
Percent of SPX ... 阅读全帖 |
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r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 16 今天收盘前的大反弹以及盘后GOOG的ER可能给人感觉pullback已经结束了，不过，今天
的low多半不是the low，因此下面最可能的走法是SPX rebound to higher high后
pullback，但也不能完全排除明天继续pullback的可能，毕竟从SPY daily图看，
Shooting Star plus Hanging Man都是有反转可能的棒棒。
下面谈谈为什么我说今天的low不是the low，当然最bullish的情况是两三周后才visit
today’s low。
Percent of SPX stocks 1 std dev above MA(50)还是很高，see highlighted in red
，虽然后面都有higher high，但是今天的low是guaranteed will be revisited。
Institutional Selling Action from Stocktiming. 这个象极了四月份的情形，
institutions selling一直在增加，牛牛还是要小心。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: B... 阅读全帖 |
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E**O
发帖数: 1980 | 17 狗剩昨天号召大家买call。请看：
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-13/buy-bullish-google-opt
Buy Google’s Bullish Options Before Earnings, Goldman Says
By Jeff Kearns - Apr 13, 2011 1:15 PM PT
inShare
More
Print
Email
Google, Microsoft Gain Share of U.S. Searches
Google Inc. signage is displayed at the company's headquarters in Mountain
View, California. Photographer: Tony Avelar/Bloomberg
Ben Edelman Interview on Google
Play Video
April 12 (Bloomberg) -- Ben Edelman, an assistant professor... 阅读全帖 |
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u****r
发帖数: 478 | 18 ESI and AFAM
buy price at market opne price on first day of first week of July.
NYSE:ESI Technical Analysis
NYSE:ESI - ITT Educational Services, Inc.
ESI - Sector: Services, Industry: Schools.
ESI gained 3.35% on 07/01/11.
ESI is trading in the range of $66.22 - $92.13 in the past 30 days.
Money Flow Index (MFI) is bearish and moving down for ESI.
The 10-day simple moving average is bullish and moving up for ESI.
Average True Range (Atr) is bullish for ESI.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is bulli... 阅读全帖 |
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y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 19 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
updownlife (渔夫) 于 (Fri Jun 24 09:30:43 2011, 美东) 提到:
比赛办法:
*每个参赛人员选择最多2个股票, 按照所选股票的6个月总体收益排名,前三名获大奖,所有报名都有奖
*比赛时间: 7/15/2011 - 1/15/2012
*报名时间: 6/23/2011 - 7/15/2011
报名办法:
* 每个参赛者选择 1-2 个在美国时常交易的公司(or industry etf etc)
* 每个参赛者提供自己对所选公司的分析报告
* 每个参赛者提供自己对所选公司股票的中长期操作数据:
(1) 买入点价格 : 买入点可以在参赛后15日调整,15天后还没有合适买入价的话将按
弃权处理
(2) ６个月内止损价格：若无止损,可设此价格为0
(3) ６个月内卖出价格: 若无target, 可设此价格为999999
* 报名者回此贴或单独开贴并著名参加中长期选股比赛
* 报名时间: 6/23 - 7/15
* 报名审核办法: 由版务审核通过的报名... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 20 We have remained bullish over the last ten weeks; however that doesn’t mean
we have sat idly back 100% allocated to equities, riding the S&P back and
forth within the 100 point congestion zone. We remain bullish as the market
passed an important test last Friday by settling well above 1204.00 (1219.
00 to be
exact). 1204.00 represented the upper region of our congestion zone (1114.00
– 1204.00) which captured 90% of price action for the last 11 weeks.
Regardless of the upside break-out, for the... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 21
................................
COH: BULLISH IF PRICE <~ 58.2156; BEARISH IF >~ 65.6316
KR: BULLISH IF PRICE <~ 25.7802; BEARISH IF >~ 27.6758
TXRH: BULLISH IF PRICE <~ 17.4005; BEARISH IF >~ 18.6120
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/34569971.html |
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J*******r
发帖数: 2945 | 23 ft，有啥不一样的，不用vega，这不就是风别买了两个spread，一个用call bearish
spread，一个用put bullish spread
这个纯粹就是赌猪，对大波动无感。
这里唯独一点小trick，就是可能PUT的VOL略高，价格贵一点，用PUT做bullish比用
CALL做BULLISH如果猪可能多赚一点点而已。但从油工构造的这个点来看，没区别。
330的ATM点，上下20，CALL/PUT的spread价格一样，如果明天到期，基本没区别。
另外，你说的这种arbitrary的机会在option里不是没有，但很快会被修正的。
less |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 24 微信公众平台 usoptions
Today's US Research Highlights and Market Update
Market Intelligence – Morning Update
By Chris Hussey
Published 18 Mar 2014 6:43:46 am CDT
Stocks in Asia were mostly higher Tuesday as indices reacted to the
surprisingly bullish tone set in the US on the back of two potentially
troubling bits of news over the weekend: Ukraine and China FX band widening.
Japan's Nikkei saw the strongest gains as the yen devalued against the
dollar against a backdrop of relaxing tensions. But afte... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 25 Americas : Market Intelligence – Morning Update
微信公众平台 USOPTIONS
by Chris Hussey
Published March 27, 2014
Stocks in Asia were decidedly mixed Thursday with the Nikkei gaining ground
while China stocks declined on little meaningful incremental news. Stocks in
India rose again and are now up 5% ytd - one of the best performing stock
markets in the world. Investors appear to be establishing bullish positions
ahead of India's once every 5 years national elections this year - the
subject of Tushar... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 26
The approach used here is to buy at or near price bottoms and sell/short
price tops. Therefore Bullish price level is always less than Bearish price
level.
Bullish level is where you expect a price bottom and where you would buy/
cover because the stock would then be bullish
Bearish level is where you expect a price peak and where you would sell/
short because the stock would then be bearish. |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 27 MMs can change a stock very quickly, e.g.
Ticker Date Bullish Close Bearish
Z ,20140616,113.4987,130.0100,137.0305
Z ,20140617,112.2216,131.1000,135.9507
Z ,20140618,113.3154,129.8000,136.8092
Z ,20140619,117.8140,131.0500,141.5340
Z ,20140620,119.6238,134.5600,143.9792
Z ,20140623,118.5723,133.9800,142.8227
Z ,20140624,118.8054,132.3000,142.7517
The Bullish price above is the buy level and Bearish the sell/short level.
Most of the time, they do not change mu... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 28
下继
As you get near Bearish price, you should rely on uptrend line to help you
get out, i.e. sell long. For selling short, it is the same. Your chance of
loss is very small because at Bearish level, the stock's downside potential
is typically a few times of the error margin you can make. If you use
uptrend line, your error margin will be very small as well.
股票
票继
Once you get near the Bullish level, you use downtrend line to trigger your
buy signal. Of course, if you're already short, you al... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 29
41.13 是 MO 短期的底，也是今天的最低价。
虽然你买高了，但未来高峰更高，所以还是会赚的。
我用这软件几乎5个月以来的经验是：
如果这Bullish 或 Bearish 100% 到达时就买或卖空，
事后即使MM大力压价或逼空，还没有股票不在2到4星期内，
反弹回来，朝原先预测的方向走，并且突破最先的价位。
也就是说，Bullish 和 Bearish 的 价位是非常安全的。
我最近花很多时间讨论的是如何充分利用MM的砸盘和逼空。
因为砸盘和逼空制造了更加有利的价格，不充分利用很可惜。
利用并不是必要，但能大幅度增加利润，同时让风险变更低。
另外，MM捣蛋如果屡次无利可图，以后就比较不敢捣蛋了。
COF 的MM就是很好的例子，它们不久前在短期高峰逼空的很凶。
但最后价格跨下来，估计和他们勾结去逼空的基金损失不小。
所以昨天COF一达到100%Bullish，就马上反弹，MM不敢压价捣蛋。 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 30
Top Bullish reading of 100% is good assurance of eventual profit
but not a guarantee that it is the actual, final, true low.
For that, you need to use downtrend line to detect. Where the
reading is not yet 100%, you can use a more relaxed, gentle
slope for the downtrend line. Once it flashed 100% bullish,
you can use a steeper downtrend line. In MO's case, the price
would cross above the downtrend line before price reached
41.20.
So you would have bought slightly below 41.20. Will there be... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 31
INCY: CLOSE(20141015): 48.20; NEAR-TERM FUTURE PRICE BOTTOM & PEAK BELOW:
20141015 INCY: BULLISH IF <~ 44.63[ 45.26]; BEARISH IF >~ [ 48.20] 48.83
SAVE: CLOSE(20141015): 54.11; NEAR-TERM FUTURE PRICE BOTTOM & PEAK BELOW:
20141015 SAVE: BULLISH IF <~ 52.97[ 53.87]; BEARISH IF >~ [ 58.03] 58.93
SGEN.TXT was not found on this server.
SPLK: CLOSE(20141015): 53.46; NEAR-TERM FUTURE PRICE BOTTOM & PEAK BELOW:
20141015 SPLK: BULLISH IF <~ 48.86[ 50.48]; BEARISH IF >~ [ 58.04] 59.66 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 32
AAPL: CLOSE(20141015): 97.56; NEAR-TERM FUTURE PRICE BOTTOM & PEAK BELOW:
20141015 AAPL: BULLISH IF <~ 96.68[ 97.49]; BEARISH IF >~ [101.24]102.05
AMPE: CLOSE(20141015): 3.96; NEAR-TERM FUTURE PRICE BOTTOM & PEAK BELOW:
20141015 AMPE: BULLISH IF <~ 2.78[ 2.99]; BEARISH IF >~ [ 3.95] 4.16
ANV: CLOSE(20141015): 2.61; NEAR-TERM FUTURE PRICE BOTTOM & PEAK BELOW:
20141015 ANV: BULLISH IF <~ 2.35[ 2.40]; BEARISH IF >~ [ 2.66] 2.72
APPL.TXT was not found on this server.
FEYE.TXT was no... 阅读全帖 |
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G***G
发帖数: 16778 | 33 I collect this from website. Hope it can help you with your technical
trading.
Candlestick Pattern:
Doji
(O = C )
Doji Yesterday
(O1 = C1 )
Doji and Near Doji
(ABS(O – C ) <= ((H – L ) * 0.1))
Bullish Engulfing
((O1 > C1) AND (C > O) AND (C >= O1) AND (C1 >= O) AND ((C – O) > (O1 – C1
)))
Bearish Engulfing
((C1 > O1) AND (O > C) AND (O >= C1) AND (O1 >= C) AND ((O – C) > (C1 – O1
)))
Hammer
(((H-L)>3*(O-C)AND((C-L)/(.001+H-L)>0.6)AND((O-L)/(.001+H-L)>0.6)))
Hanging Man
(((H – L) > 4 * (O – C)) A... 阅读全帖 |
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D*****T
发帖数: 126 | 34 每个人对市场的outlook可以是；
strong bullish
bullish-neutral
Neutral
Bearish-neutral
Strong bearish
Binary
default应该是bullish-neutral，任何directional play 都会带来更高的风险，其实
这也是个asset allocation 的问题。how much you want to bet 3% or 2% jump? |
|
x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 35 这次预告准备和大家研讨stock和option的组合。
分为
1 bullish
2 conservative bullish
3 hold
4 conservative bearish
5 bearish
根据这5种评定，来主要讨论一下strategy。有人说了，这个有啥用，这个的目的是，
合理的，规范的，理性的来控制操作。前提是你必须看对方向，你说方向错了，自然就
是错了，只是错的多少。
这5种评定其实1，3，5都没有太多的意义，也没有strategy可以谈，但是2和4，是很多
趣味的。
2. bullish spread, call back spread, short ATM put,等等。
3. 可以有，put back spread，straddle，
嗯。。 |
|
u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 36
看EIA，EIA如果不错的起码圣诞前应该不会暴跌，这几天交易量很小，大trader应该都
度假去了，没人新开空仓，做多保持tight SL应该没事。
特别是现在bullish API抢到个低价contract，亚欧市卖了应该可以90%挣钱的。
我现在的策略是只有bullish的API才持仓到亚洲市交易。如果bearish的话就等第二天
的EIA再做。
亚洲市除了bullish的API，很难预料涨跌，不好做。 |
|
x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 37 今天听讲座，5-6个老头，2个写过TA书，剩下几个自称40+经验。
beginner 1 问：
同一个图，为啥你们有人bullish，有人bearish。
接下去，这些人开始扯……
beiginner 2 问：
你说bullish，为啥8家评级机构都评very bearish？
他说：他很高兴别人都这么认为……
这让我想起了第一次live问大牛，52 week high是不是 bullish sign，大牛说，有时
是，有时不是。
所以TA的精妙在于永远是对的，因为TA的本质是，有时对，有时错……… |
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s*******a
发帖数: 55 | 38 https://friscofastball.com/2017/01/09/after-todays-bullish-options-activity-
is-twitter-incs-near-term-analysis-positive/
After Today’s Bullish Options Activity, Is Twitter Inc’s Near-Term
Analysis Positive?
January 9, 2017 Marguerite Chambers
In today’s session Twitter Inc (TWTR) registered an unusually high (3,763)
contracts volume of call trades. Someone, most probably a professional was a
very active buyer of the April, 2017 call, expecting serious TWTR increase.
With 3,763 contracts tra... 阅读全帖 |
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X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 39 刚才又再发了一次信给自动回复信箱。
得到的内容如下：
Read Our Tweets & Leapfrog Wall Street In Hours Not Decades
https://twitter.com/forecastall
We update our autoresponder content as new intelligence arises.
Latest information is always place at the top, to save your time.
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a****k
发帖数: 3457 | 40 自己看吧
I participated in the panels on Commodity (sic) and China-India and in some
obligatory dinner parties. On Friday night the Singapore prime minister invi
ted the speakers at the meeting that the Singapore government organised. Tri
chet, Larry Summers, Paul Volker (sic) Chuck Price, the finance ministers of
ASEAN countries were there. No government official from China was there …g
uess I was there to make it look like China was represented.
The dinner was turned into an Oprah with PM Lee Hsei... 阅读全帖 |
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E**O
发帖数: 1980 | 41 Estimated or expected earning是谁定的？Analysts。所以miss或beat还不是机构说
了算。狗剩早就布局好了。请看：
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-13/buy-bullish-google-opt
Buy Google’s Bullish Options Before Earnings, Goldman Says
By Jeff Kearns - Apr 13, 2011 1:15 PM PT
inShare
More
Print
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Google, Microsoft Gain Share of U.S. Searches
Google Inc. signage is displayed at the company's headquarters in Mountain
View, California. Photographer: Tony Avelar/Bloomberg
Ben Edelman Interview on Google
Play Video
... 阅读全帖 |
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o*********r
发帖数: 632 | 42 帮盈利做作业吧.
WLP: 今天收盘: $64.31
基础层面: PE 13.3, EPS: $4.79, Book Value: $49.89, 22 Analysts cover WLP, 13
buy, 9 hold.
技术层面: 今天break through 52 week high - bullish; close above 13 days WMA,
bullish; 50 days WMA above 200 days WMA, bullish. daily chart is near the
upper boundary of the price channel, may see resistance soon. |
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L**********y
发帖数: 2525 | 43 来自主题: _Les_Forum123版 - 股市 熊：“傻钱”进来了
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704405704575596803894464906.html
1. sentiment survey by American Association of Individual Investors is most bullish since Feb 2007
2. $8.4B pourted into equity funds since Sept.; of which $2B are from retail investors
不过这文章自己也承认，进来的钱远比之前出去的为少。八月份总共有 $23B yanked out of equity funds.
******
'Dumb Money' Returns to Stocks
By KELLY EVANS
Individual investors are wading back into the U.S. stock market. That ought
to make über-bulls think twice.... 阅读全帖 |
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h********1
发帖数: 50 | 44 来自主题: _InvestmentClub版 - 一周股市看法 总的来说，market非常bullish, 三个非常明显的bullish信号，第一 oil future向上
突破前期震荡区间，第二job report显示labor market情况好转，经济持续复苏，第三
海外市场全面上涨。
大的picture来看，今年很可能又是一个牛市，长线我比较看好material和energy板块
，中国和印度的需求摆在那里，科技股现在估价也不高，但有一点要注意的是，tech
company和retail store一样，很多并不具备垄断优势，比如AOL,PALM,DELL,网景都曾
红极一时，现在又怎么样？RIMM也许是下一个没落户，谁知道EBAY会不会也出问题？所
以科技股需要仔细研究一下各个公司的技术和business model.相比而言，铁矿，煤炭
都有一定的垄断地位，石油公司价格受油价影响，而油价又跟美元挂钩，有一定的不确
定性，所以我更prefer铁矿和煤炭公司。
至于这个星期，波动幅度较大的high beta股票领涨体现了市场take risk的倾向，而这
又发生在一季度季报公布之前，非常bullish。除非季报超级差，不然我觉得市场的涨
势 |
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S******t
发帖数: 8388 | 45 Measured Move - Bullish (Continuation)
The Measured Move is a three-part formation that begins as a reversal
pattern and resumes as a continuation pattern. The Bullish Measured Move
consists of a reversal advance, correction/consolidation and continuation
advance. Because the Bullish Measured Move cannot be properly identified
until after the correction/consolidation period, it is categorized as a
continuation pattern. The pattern is usually long-term and forms over
several months.
1. Prior T |
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D**p
发帖数: 293 | 46 问题在于，要癫疯也的找个理由才行。在目前经济前提下，很难找到所有人都乐观的理
由。但是，我同意 坏公司的自杀要跳10-楼的说法。 我觉得会有三种可能：
（1） 某一天，真的找到一个大家都认为很 BULLISH 的东东，比如说，失业率一下子
下降了 （不管是不是真的），或者房价大幅攀升了。股市大幅攀升，当然这种趋势无
法 “SUSTAINABLE". 高潮之后，那就只好跳楼了。所以，大家对未来一段时间内的 ”
好消息“要格外小心。
（2）一直找不到让所有人都 BULLISH 的理由，时间久了，多方实力逐渐减弱，空方实
力加强，总有一天空方会突破。但是这种情况下，可能真的死不了人。大概会有10-15%
的调整，然后大盘会处于一个 RANGE MARKET， until some major events break
this pattern.
（3）美国经济在找不到 BULLISH 的理由的情况下，但是也还是预期经济会慢慢复苏。
很少人相信美国经济会 'DOUBLE-DIP". 所以，一旦 DOUBLE-DIP", 市场会从二楼跳到
一个大深坑，照样可以摔死。
从时间点上看，明年三月前后是 |
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n****c
发帖数: 512 | 47 Based on price patterns of many individual stocks, I would say
1)
It still need takes 2-3 weeks for Techs, Financials to be bullish. I mean
20SMA to cross 30SMA, and 50SMA from beneath.
2)
Clearly, airlines, some energy stocks will be bullish sooner. I already
established long positions with LCC, UAUA, CLNE...
Although I'm bullish in short term, one big concern is SPX/SPY is still
under 20SMA. Will see if SPX/SPY will hit 20SMA by this Friday! It will be
a big event to me. |
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E**O
发帖数: 1980 | 48 CHART OF THE DAY: The Best Market-Timing Indicator Says Stocks Are Headed
Down
Joe Weisenthal | Sep. 13, 2010, 11:42 AM | 4,870 | comment 7
In his latest note, Gluskin-Sheff's David Rosenberg explains what indicator
he would like to see that would make him bullish.
His favorite indicator: Revisions to analyst earnings projections.
He explains:
The 12-month forward S&P 500 earnings estimates, for example, peaked at $103
.61 per share right when the market peaked in October 2007. It bottomed,
beli... 阅读全帖 |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 49 http://online.barrons.com/article/SB500014240531119043319045773
First, let's get this out of the way - I fought the trend and the trend won.
Despite my bearish pronouncements, the stock market rumbled its way higher
in the first quarter of the year with nary a hiccup. The Standard & Poor's
500 index's gain of 12% was indeed the best opening to a year since 1998.
And the Nasdaq beat that with an 18% increase.
But expecting the performance of the second quarter to come close to the
performance of ... 阅读全帖 |
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m*z
发帖数: 2356 | 50 during last 2 months, Monday is always very bullish. But since Jan, bullish
Monday becomes weaker and weaker. So will next Monday be bullish again? |
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