s*****c
发帖数: 753 | 1 来自主题: Mathematics版 - 赌徒问题续 Do you have ANY math sense at all?
Just lay it down step by step. Assume you start with 0 money, you borrow
money to bet, assume you make initial bet of x, the winning chance is 50% (
which can be change to P if you want).
start 0, first round, borrow (you have -x), 0.5 chance to win (you have x), 0.
5 chance to lose it (you have -x).
When you lose (you have -x), you borrow 2x to bet(you have -3x), 0.5 chance to
win (you have 4x-3x=x), 0.5 chance to lose (-3x).
So now you have 1/2 + 1/2*1/2 ch |
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h***y
发帖数: 834 | 2 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
LiuDier (Dier) 于 (Thu Jun 23 20:14:50 2011, 美东) 提到:
点好玩的八卦？呵呵
遵版主吩咐：
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
LiuDier (Dier) 于 (Thu Jun 23 20:19:05 2011, 美东) 提到:
Case 1. 发生在某ACGME accredited residency program的对话, 原文是英文：
Dr. Nightlife：C国首都冰城, 曾爆发一起食物Ａ中毒事件，导致死伤多人，C国政府
的独裁统治应该负全部责任！
Dr. Carlos：（随手查了查PubMed）在美国也有非常类似的疫情发生啊？而且不止一起
，就譬如《ＮＥＪＭ》报道的内华达州Tenk中毒事件，以及华盛顿ＤＣ的ＸＸＸ事件…
…美国可是民主政体啊。所以，食物Ａ中毒致死事件，不能说是C国特色，也不能把发
生机制完全归咎于C国政府的独裁统治，还应该从两国政府的相同点上寻找原因，譬如
说食品... 阅读全帖 |
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v**********a
发帖数: 11 | 3 Recently, I was happy to see quite a few people are interested in
Ophthalmology. I’d like to share my two cents with folks who are
considering Ophthalmology residency, and for how much I appreciate all I
learned from all of you and our pioneers in this forum. I apologize for
using English, my typing in Chinese is embarrassingly slow..
Know your competition
As you know, Ophthalmology has been a competitive residency for many reasons
, which are also why you may be extremely interested. Moreover, ... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******i
发帖数: 12823 | 4 放狗便知的东西...
http://www.lhc-closer.es/php/index.php?i=1&s=4&p=21&e=0
Sigma is the decisive parameter of the Gaussian curve, a mathematical
function that describes the distribution of data from many experiments.
Citing a certain number of sigma directly translates into a probability.
1.5 sigma means just noise (backgroud), but three sigma is equivalent to a
99.75 percent chance that a future experiment will yield a compatible result
. So something interesting has been observed, Well, technically it... 阅读全帖 |
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g*********n
发帖数: 119 | 5 An introduction of AdaBoost/AdaCost algorithm, and a metaphor for life
(slides我就不贴这里了)
Today I gave my co-data-scientists at Kingstowne office a presentation of
the introduction of AdaCost. The feedback is surprisingly well so that I
think it might be a good idea to highlight some interesting thoughts in a
blog post to share with larger audience. The full deck of slides is attached
on the post.
The purpose of the presentation was to describe a classification algorithm,
which could be boring by n... 阅读全帖 |
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w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 6 来自主题: _TexasHoldem版 - 这手牌 Of course it can be a bluff.
Because it doesn't look like a bluff,and it makes no sense to bluff, that is
the reason to bluff.
Albeit the probability of a bluff is small.
He could also have Qx(including AQ).
He could even make a misplay, or simply wrong click.
You just can't fold.
The opponent's style could help a lot in deciding his hand.
chance of Qx,AA,AK: 30%
chance of bluff: 7%
chance of misplay,wrong click and other possibilities: 5%
chance of either A or Q on river: 9%
Chance of a card on |
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i*******r
发帖数: 377 | 8 http://www.ifitweremyhome.com/compare/CN/IN
中国和印度比
have 3 times higher chance of dying in infancy
have 2.5 times more chance of being unemployed
use 81.27% less electricity
have 75.35% more babies
consume 62.15% less oil
make 53.03% less money
die 8.05 years sooner
spend 60.19% less money on health care
be 3 times more likely to have HIV/AIDS
experience 11.33% less of a class divide
中国和美国比
spend 31.1 times more money on health care
consume 10.5 times more oil
make 7 times more money
use 4.8 time... 阅读全帖 |
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r*c
发帖数: 85 | 9 今天mailing list收到的。两个月的deadline，已经过去10天了，怎么都没看到人讨论
这个。写得这么好的文案，不广为传播真是浪费了
小声说一句，潜水员求置顶。。。
（以下为转载）
历史性的时刻已经到来了：2/21/2012，美国最高法院决定审理用“族裔”的理由来提
高亚裔和白人高校入学门槛的做法是否违宪。您--关爱孩子未来的父母--现在就可以花
一分钟时间来帮助孩子增大孩子上他们理想大学的机会。请您立即投票赞成（FOR） 80
-20全美亚裔教育基金会的民调书，清楚明白地表明亚裔在这件案子上的立场。
http://admin.80-20nj.info/cgi/80/e?l=8/11e/f&w=no
资料显示，亚裔在美国要比其他族裔成绩优秀许多才能上同样的学校。要上同样的名校
，亚裔SAT要考1550分，白人1410分，而非裔只需要1100分*（英文和数学满分是1600）
。亚裔入学这么高的门槛使得许多亚裔的大学申请者非常害怕，有些干脆拒绝列出他们
是亚裔—其实学校一看名字还是能知道哪些孩子是亚裔。。。
下面几周内，我们需要征集到至少五万个签名，让结果写入Amicus Cu... 阅读全帖 |
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y***o
发帖数: 145 | 10 这就是美国的法律， obstruction of justice
USC › Title 18 › Part I › Chapter 73 › § 1511
prev
next
18 USC § 1511 - Obstruction of State or local law enforcement
USC-prelim
US Code
Notes
Updates
This preliminary release may be subject to further revision before it is
released again as a final version. As with other online versions of the Code
, the U.S. Code Classification Tables should be consulted for the latest
laws affecting the Code. Those using the USCP... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****s
发帖数: 4596 | 11 Curley murder inspires parole hearing bill
By Bob Kalinowski (Staff Writer)
Published: April 10, 2013
Article Tools
Font size: [A] [A] [A]
Share on facebook Share on twitter Share on google Share on linkedin Share
on email Share on print More Sharing Services 16
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Photo: N/A, License: N/A, Created: 2013:04:09 13:14:52
Susan Hooper holds a picture and memorial of her brother Robert Curley, who
was slowly poisoned to deat... 阅读全帖 |
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p****s
发帖数: 3184 | 12 sometime chance和all-the-time chance是完全不一样的两回事。咋没人注意这一点？
说得通俗些，就是非要全天候一直盯住某一艘具体的航母(比如里根号 比如老布什号)
这是all-the-time chance，土共在可见的将来还做不到；
但是侦察卫星全天候专门扫描西太的某一片海域，如果有航母出现在这片海域(无论这
艘航母是哪号) 就盯住这艘航母半个小时到两个小时，这是sometime chance，这还是
不难做到的。 |
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n*********a
发帖数: 1956 | 13 你这是胡扯了。我在4楼说的sometime chance和all-the-time chance你根本没搞明白。
all-the-time chance别说鳖共，就是美帝也没有这能力，否则MH370一失联就可以导致
报警被追踪了。
sometime chance只要盯住航母舰队的主要停泊地点和主要路线即可，哪来的几千T的数
据这么危言耸听的胡扯 |
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l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 14 Remarks of President Barack Obama – State of the Union Address As Delivered
The White House is once again making the full text of the State of the
Union widely available online. The text, as prepared for delivery, is also
available on Medium and Facebook notes, continuing efforts to meet people
where they are and make the speech as accessible as possible. Through these
digital platforms, people can follow along with the speech as they watch in
real time, view charts and infographics on key areas... 阅读全帖 |
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l******8
发帖数: 11 | 15 看看下面NY Times和AP的文章
Liu of China Crashes Out of 110-Meter Men’s Hurdles
By ANDREW DAS
761 words
8 August 2012
NYTimes.com Feed
NYTFEED
English
Copyright 2012. The New York Times Company. All Rights Reserved.
LONDON — The champion hurdler Liu Xiang, the most prominent athlete from
China competing in the London Games, suffered another painful Olympic exit
on Tuesday morning.
Four years after Liu had to withdraw from the men’s 110-meter hurdles in
the Beijing Olympics, devastating his millions of ad... 阅读全帖 |
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S*********k
发帖数: 507 | 16 原文来源：
http://www.newsday.com/opinion/oped/feldman-playing-to-lose-is-
Playing to lose is smart, not an Olympic scandal
Published: August 9, 2012 9:03 PM
By NOAH FELDMAN, Bloomberg News
Olympic athletes want to win -- we all know that. So why are they being
disqualified for trying to lose? After the badminton scandal that marred the
early days of the games, the latest athlete to be kicked out was Algerian
middle-distance runner Taoufik Makhloufi, who walked off the course in an
800 meters semifin... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 17 Legal Experts See a Close Win for Health-Reform Law
By By Dennis Thompson
HealthDay Reporter | HealthDay – 2 hrs 47 mins ago
Email
2
Print
THURSDAY, March 22 (HealthDay News) -- The U.S. Supreme Court seems likely
to uphold the sweeping health-reform legislation known as the Affordable
Care Act when it takes up the case next week, according to a small survey of
legal experts.
The experts base this prediction on a number of factors linked to the nine
justices' legal history, political considerati... 阅读全帖 |
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y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 18 Vice President Joe Biden, seeking to repair damage done by President Barack
Obama’s subdued debate last week, gave an assertive performance while
clashing with Representative Paul Ryan over the direction of the U.S.
economy, foreign policy, Medicare and taxes.
Enlarge image Biden Combative in Ryan Debate Gives Obama Chance to Reset
Race
U.S. Vice President Joe Biden, left, and Republican vice presidential
candidate U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan participate in the vice presidential debate at
Centre College... 阅读全帖 |
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l*y
发帖数: 21010 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: ldy (大才001), 信区: Military
标 题: Obama的告别State of the Union Address演讲全文！太精彩了！
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 14 01:37:09 2016, 美东)
Remarks of President Barack Obama – State of the Union Address As Delivered
The White House is once again making the full text of the State of the
Union widely available online. The text, as prepared for delivery, is also
available on Medium and Facebook notes, continuing efforts to meet people
where they are and make the speech as accessible as... 阅读全帖 |
|
m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 20 这左疯婆子一看又要悲愤了
I was wrong: Trump WILL be the next president
Jake Novak | @jakejakeny
COMMENTSJoin the Discussion
A few months ago, I wrote that Donald Trump would win the GOP presidential
nomination – but that would be the end of the line for him. I was sure that
Trump just couldn't shore up enough of the already too small Republican
base to win in November, thus nearly guaranteeing not only a loss but a big
loss to Hillary Clinton in the general election.
Well, I was wrong.
Presidential Repub... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 21 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 22 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
|
g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 23 打烂老婊砸走狗的碧莲
Criticism of presidential forecasts[edit]
In a series of posts in 2011 and 2012, FiveThirtyEight criticized the
forecasting methods that relied on macro-economic modeling of the electoral
outcomes.[538 80][538 81] According to Silver, models based primarily on the
macro-level performance of the economy (such as unemployment, inflation,
and the performance of the stock market), presidential approval ratings (
when an incumbent is running for re-election), and the ideological
positionin... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 26 老太花钱雇专业公关攒了80多个竞选口号备案，被床铺拍脑袋的MAGA给干了。
Via an Aug. 18, 2015 email from Oren Shur, the director of paid media at the
Clinton campaign, to various other staffers and advisers, a list of
potential Clinton campaign slogans. "For the organizing principle/slogan
part, BSG put the attached doc together for discussion," Shur wrote to
explain an attached Word document; BSG is Benenson Strategy Group. The
potential slogans are organized by theme.
Theme: Fairness/Families
A fair shot and a fair deal
Hillary... 阅读全帖 |
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x***e
发帖数: 38 | 27 精华区已经有不少东西，我就长话短说了
08 g35x， invoice 价买入。总结买车过程，有几点体会
(1)找internet sales department联系，不要一开始就walk in
(2)提早准备,能有一个月时间最好。我从问价格开始到签合同大概3星期。
(3)年底/月底买时机较好。尤其从现在到圣诞节是购车的黄金时间，有些dealer要完成
年终销售任务，不得不低价出售。
(4)充分调查，对价格心中有数。我大概看了edmunds价格查询, edmunds论坛，$50买了
fighting chance。edmunds价格查询是必读，不用多说大家肯定看过。edmunds论坛很有
用，你可以找一找你要买的车型最近的售价，一般发帖的人拿到的价格都不高，是很好
的参考。fighting chance的特点是资料多，从市场供求到价格到讨价还价技巧。不过到
底有没有用，很大程度上处取决于车型。对于g35感觉一般,因为fighting chance说这个
车型销售很好，不好讲价。fighting chance提供hold back数据，有点小用。
另外说一句，能不能拿到低价(跟invo |
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S******a
发帖数: 1426 | 28 IF not doing research, rather do the master
Chances of finding a good school 30%
chances of finding a okay school 70%
After good school, chances of finding a good job is 30% (happiness, 9), a
okay job is 60%(happiness 6), lost job is 10%(happiness 0)
After okay school, chances of finding a good job is 5%, a okay job is 75%,
lost job is 15%
the expected value is 0.3*(0.3*9+0.6*6)+0.7*(0.05*9+0.75*6)=5.355 |
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A***a
发帖数: 73 | 29 For a rejected proposal with a good score or comments, my guess is:
1) You have a good chance to get support if you address the comments
carefully. Talk with the PM to ask for some suggestions. If he is quite
positive and suggests you to revise and resubmit, your chance will be very
good.
Usually, at least one reviewer feels that your proposal is well written.
The other two reviewers may feel that your proposal has some potential but
it is not good enough for them to give you HC (highly compe... 阅读全帖 |
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A***a
发帖数: 73 | 30 A few suggestions for those of you who are still preparing your package and
thinking of applying the faculty position next year.
1) Before you apply, make sure you already know you fit for the school you
apply for. If you don't do your homework and you are not a superstar, no
matter how many schools you apply for, you will have very little chance to
get even a phone interview.
-- with your publiation record, the ranking of the school you graduated,
the reputation of your advisor, the funding rec... 阅读全帖 |
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n***n
发帖数: 139 | 31 Let's show here how you've been taking care of your wife:
就在2005年， 你大女儿出生乹3，4天， 你们赶上Rita飓风， 不得以到另一城市， 月
子头2周你老婆睡得门板， 2周后做了4hr车回自己家， 从此落下腰病。小孩刚2月大，
又跟着你搬家（TX to NY, still because you select to leave, not your boss
asked you leave).Everynight she couldn't sleep because of her low back pain.
Once she told you about that, you just say she was normal, all the feeling
she had was from her mind not from the body.Your old daughter very easily
woke up in the evening, your wife herself took care of her in... 阅读全帖 |
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l*****r
发帖数: 131 | 32 刚收到的，请大家转发给自己的朋友。
紧急动员：决战最高法院， 请投庄严一票
捍卫你孩子公平竞争入学名校的机会
（必须是绿卡或公民才可以投票，谢谢合作。）
历史性的时刻已经到来了：2/21/2012，美国最高法院决定审理用“族裔”的理由来提
高亚裔和白人高校入学门槛的做法是否违宪。您--关爱孩子未来的父母--现在就可以花
一分钟时间来帮助孩子增大孩子上他们理想大学的机会。请您立即投票赞成（FOR） 80
-20全美亚裔教育基金会的民调书，清楚明白地表明亚裔在这件案子上的立场。
http://admin.80-20nj.info/cgi/80/e?l=8/11e/f&w=no
资料显示，亚裔在美国要比其他族裔成绩优秀许多才能上同样的学校。要上同样的名校
，亚裔SAT要考1550分，白人1410分，而非裔只需要1100分*（英文和数学满分是1600）
。亚裔入学这么高的门槛使得许多亚裔的大学申请者非常害怕，有些干脆拒绝列出他们
是亚裔—其实学校一看名字还是能知道哪些孩子是亚裔。。。
下面几周内，我们需要征集到至少五万个签名，让结果写入Amicus Curiae (“法庭之
友”的文书)作为证... 阅读全帖 |
|
m****u
发帖数: 229 | 33 I said 2 because 2 gloves are needed to make a pair. And yes, i know the
chance of geetting 2 gloves that are in the same color and one is left hand
one and another is right hand one is less than 100% which means this can
happen but it doesn't always happen.
And I think based on your wording, the color and left/right hand info are
not important, I think it's just a way to misguide me.
icn9's answer promises you a pair of gloves with the same color and one is
right hand and one is left hand at th... 阅读全帖 |
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s******c
发帖数: 99 | 34 在本地的考试中心预约的上机考试。考试有三个部分，1.数学题，2.给出一种新的编程
语言的语法，回答相应问题，3. Programming Test 要求速度和准确性both important
Programming test 答得不好，肯定不行了，把面试题发上来让大家做做。做了3个半小
时，快累死了。
数学题基本上就是脑筋急转弯，举几个例子
1. You have three kinds of magazines, all but two are Times, all but two are
Science, all but two are Nature. How many magazines in total do you have?
2. Only one of the answers is true
A. All of the below are true
B. All answers are true
C. One of the above is true
D. All of the above are true
E. None of the above are true
F... 阅读全帖 |
|
s******c
发帖数: 99 | 35 在本地的考试中心预约的上机考试。考试有三个部分，1.数学题，2.给出一种新的编程
语言的语法，回答相应问题，3. Programming Test 要求速度和准确性both important
Programming test 答得不好，肯定不行了，把面试题发上来让大家做做。做了3个半小
时，快累死了。
数学题基本上就是脑筋急转弯，举几个例子
1. You have three kinds of magazines, all but two are Times, all but two are
Science, all but two are Nature. How many magazines in total do you have?
2. Only one of the answers is true
A. All of the below are true
B. All answers are true
C. One of the above is true
D. All of the above are true
E. None of the above are true
F... 阅读全帖 |
|
R***y
发帖数: 14 | 36 某阿三论坛上看到的关于抽签公平性与公司的讨论，看来ICC真是毒瘤！
原帖：
http://redbus2us.com/unofficial-h1b-2014-news-high-mail-volume-
gt April 6, 2013 at 6:53 am
Is it a dumb lottery process or is it smart enough to check which company
applied? Is it fair to not give let’s say 20 visas google applied and give
5000 visas to TCS. I believe there is some intelligence, there is some
criteria to distinguish us based companies from Indian based companies. I
really don’t know though. What do you guys think.
REPLY
San Ch April 6, 2013... 阅读全帖 |
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c*********g
发帖数: 73 | 37 Please read this post first before reading the content below.
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t0/Living/32629439.html
The optimal bidding strategy will need to be optimal in two components: (1)
how to determine the price for your bid; (2) when to submit your offer. This
post will not even try to help you how to determine the price for your bid:
actually you should always be confident and comfortable to determine that
price on your own: if you are not comfortable, then don't submit the offer.
Talk ... 阅读全帖 |
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l*****r
发帖数: 131 | 38 借人气，请大家转发给自己的朋友。
紧急动员：决战最高法院， 请投庄严一票
捍卫你孩子公平竞争入学名校的机会
（必须是绿卡或公民才可以投票，谢谢合作。）
历史性的时刻已经到来了：2/21/2012，美国最高法院决定审理用“族裔”的理由来提
高亚裔和白人高校入学门槛的做法是否违宪。您--关爱孩子未来的父母--现在就可以花
一分钟时间来帮助孩子增大孩子上他们理想大学的机会。请您立即投票赞成（FOR） 80
-20全美亚裔教育基金会的民调书，清楚明白地表明亚裔在这件案子上的立场。
http://admin.80-20nj.info/cgi/80/e?l=8/11e/f&w=no
资料显示，亚裔在美国要比其他族裔成绩优秀许多才能上同样的学校。要上同样的名校
，亚裔SAT要考1550分，白人1410分，而非裔只需要1100分*（英文和数学满分是1600）
。亚裔入学这么高的门槛使得许多亚裔的大学申请者非常害怕，有些干脆拒绝列出他们
是亚裔—其实学校一看名字还是能知道哪些孩子是亚裔。。。
下面几周内，我们需要征集到至少五万个签名，让结果写入Amicus Curiae (“法庭之
友”的文书)作为证据... 阅读全帖 |
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m********8
发帖数: 161 | 39 刚准备发这个贴，发现已经置顶了！
请转发你认为合适的地区版或其他版！以email形式转发你认识的人， 谢谢！
关注我们的下一代，给他们争取公平的机会！
－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－
紧急动员：决战最高法院， 请投庄严一票
捍卫你孩子公平竞争入学名校的机会
历史性的时刻已经到来了：2/21/2012，美国最高法院决定审理用“族裔”的理由来提
高亚裔和白人高校入学门槛的做法是否违宪。您--关爱孩子未来的父母--现在就可以花
一分钟时间来帮助孩子增大孩子上他们理想大学的机会。请您立即投票赞成（FOR） 80
-20全美亚裔教育基金会的民调书，清楚明白地表明亚裔在这件案子上的立场。
http://admin.80-20nj.info/cgi/80/e?l=8/11e/f&w=no
资料显示，亚裔在美国要比其他族裔成绩优秀许多才能上同样的学校。要上同样的名校
，亚裔SAT要考1550分，白人1410分，而非裔只需要1100分*（英文和数学满分是1600）
。亚裔入学这么高的门槛使得许多亚裔的大学申请者非常害怕，有些干脆拒绝列出他们
是亚裔—其实学校一看名字还是能知道哪些孩子是亚... 阅读全帖 |
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l******a
发帖数: 16364 | 40 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
yonghehong (yonghehong) 于 (Tue Nov 26 16:00:05 2013, 美东) 提到:
我儿子3岁7个月,今年9月正式上pre school.之前都是我自己在家带.
我儿子说话很晚2岁半左右才开始说话,现在能说很简单的句子和父母简单的对话,复杂
的还是说不来.
我们在家说汉语,老公也让我在家推汉语.孩子会认几十个汉字和背几首唐诗.我们在家
基本没有交过孩子英语,除了简单的几个单词,比如食物和上厕所.
现在孩子在学校表现很不好,我每天接孩子都被留下跟老师谈话.孩子表现不好主要是
behavior的问题,比如上gym课总是到处跑不听话,玩gym里面emergency exit的门.老师
跟他说了很多次no,他都不听.(我儿子英语不好,但是知道No的意思).今天学校搞活动,
换了地方上课,我儿子就大哭.老师今天跟我说经过一段时间的观察,她觉得我儿子特别
不喜欢change,喜欢consistency和routine.
我一听这个我就马上想到儿子是不是有点autism,因... 阅读全帖 |
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q********g
发帖数: 10694 | 41 985正 chance 40% if IF> 30/8
csa正 chance 50% if IF> 20/5
211正 chance 100% whatever
副 chance 100000% whatever whenever however呵呵
里面有人的话，all 100%. |
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f*******6
发帖数: 5640 | 42 现在旺季，但是非常缺货，货量比同期少了很多，很大因素可能是我们付款不给力。最
近资金问题比较严重，付款速度比较慢，但是请大家完全放心货款问题，不会有任何问
题，化妆品价格基本比较稳定，所以对我们来说没有亏钱的问题，所有的运输也都是全
额保险，只是因为客户付款的档期延迟太多，我们已经再申请银行贷款，顺利的话会近
期到账。付款速度问题一定会解决的，这个礼拜预计会付款到10月31号。 希望大家还
是能多出点货（当然是在你有利润的前提下）。
============================================================
所有KIEHLS产品批号必须是16年9月后的。务必打包认真
最近非常多的高保湿面膜当做了大特效保湿霜，请务必注意检查，明显2个不同的产品。
长期需求lamer 产品，有可以做的请直接联系我。折扣大约在65（基本不限量需求）
=======================================
店里采购的，务必提醒店小二，尽量不要贴return label。如果必须贴，请电话或者
email我，告诉贴的位置。 非常非常重要
==... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******6
发帖数: 5640 | 43 鉴于最近资金实在紧张，有些产品库存太大，周转困难，要暂缓某些产品的求购。
年前需要求购以下产品
MAC
Ruby Woo （黑色，红色限量都要）
Lady Danger 黑色暂停 只需求红色限量，不是新款的红色
See sheer
Chili
brick-o-la
cockney
Chanel香水
－－－－－－－－－－
3145891364101 Chanel Chance Eau Fraiche EDT 50ml （85折）
3145891364200 Chanel Chance Eau Fraiche EDT 100ml（78折））
3145891263107 Chanel Chance Eau Tendre EDT 50ml （78折）
3145891263206 Chanel Chance Eau Tendre EDT 100ml（78折）
Lamer 小样 3.5ML
Gel Cream 8.5
soft Cream 8.5
Cream 8.5
EL 系列
ANR 精华 60
ANR 眼霜 37
科颜氏系列
高保湿面膜 28（赠品也行）... 阅读全帖 |
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L*******n
发帖数: 3169 | 44 you hope yhe chance is more than 51%, but actually you don't know the chance
. in the gambling you called, you know the chance is 50%, and you hope you
can win. is there any difference between them? you always hope
chance |
|
r*****t
发帖数: 7278 | 45 when the chances come, you get chickened.
and when the chances go, you get regreted.
hehehe,
ONLY me, du gu da niu, catch the chance, get into the ship,
and when the chance fly, I seat tightly.
I am the BIG BULL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! |
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c*********o
发帖数: 8367 | 46 Bonds Showing 60% Chance of Recession With Bernanke Behind Curve for BofA
Q
By Liz Capo McCormick - Oct 10, 2011 11:09 PM CT
Oct. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond James &
Associates Inc., talks about the outlook for the U.S. economy. Brown also
discusses the U.S. labor market. He speaks with Mark Crumpton on Bloomberg
Television's "Bottom Line." (Source: Bloomberg)
The bond market indicator that has predicted every U.S. recession since 1970
shows that the economy has abo... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 47
...............
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: PCLN AS OF 20111107 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111107 was 517.5000
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-15.9779 (-3.10%)
Short-Term Price Target: 501.5221
At Price Target, profit is 30.8752 on $1000 investment. (+3.09%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 501.5221
There is a small chan... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 48
............................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: SAM AS OF 20111108 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111108 was 99.7600
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.1523 (-0.20%)
Short-Term Price Target: 99.6077
At Price Target, profit is 1.5267 on $1000 investment. (+0.15%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 99.6077
There ... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 49
...................
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: MRVL AS OF 20111111 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111111 was 14.9200
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.2317 (-1.60%)
Short-Term Price Target: 14.6883
At Price Target, profit is 15.5295 on $1000 investment. (+1.55%)
Close out >= half of your short position at about 14.6883
There is a sma... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 50
..................
提醒：目前ＭＭ对多数股票是打击, i.e. Bear Raid。
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: BTU AS OF 20111122 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111122 was 34.5900
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BULLISH
Short-Term Price Potential is UP: 1.0917 ( 3.20%)
Short-Term Price Target: 35.6817
At Price Target, profit is 31.5611 on $1000 investment. (+3.16%)
Close out >= half of your long position at abou... 阅读全帖 |
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