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全部话题 - 话题: chances
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s*****j
发帖数: 6435
1
来自主题: Parenting版 - 小学的概率数学题难死了.
在我女儿借的本书上见过, 女儿问我怎么回事. 我是完全糊涂了. 我好歹也是Ph.D.
呀.
记得题大概如下. 前提条件生男生女各50%概率.
Mrs. Smith is second grader Karen’s new math teacher. She is very nice
lady, Karen likes her very much.
1. Karen heard from her classmate Maggie, that Mrs. Smith has two kids.

What is the chance that Mrs. Smith has two daughters?
2. Karen heard from her classmate Maggie, that Mrs. Smith has two kids.
And Karen also heard Mrs. Smith one day mentioned that her daughter Jessica
loves skating.
What is ... 阅读全帖
c**********3
发帖数: 32
2
来自主题: SellAbroad版 - 收香奈儿香水 量大
NAME 品名
CHANCE EAU TENDER EDT 1.7FL OZ 50ML PINK 粉色 20
CHANCE EAU TENDER EDT 3.4FL OZ 100ML PINK 粉色 5
CHANCE EAU FRAICHE EDT 1.7FL OZ 50ML GREEN 绿色 10
CHANCE EAU FRAICHE EDT 3.4FL OZ 100ML GREEN 绿色 5
CHANCE SILVER EDT 1.7FL OZ 50ML YELLOW 黄色(银字) 20
CHANCE SILVER EDT 3.4FL OZ 100ML YELLOW 黄色(银字) 10
COCO 小姐 EDT 50ml 白 20
COCO 小姐 EDT 100ml 白 10
h***m
发帖数: 57
3
长期大量求购以上品牌的化妆品,如各位有其他牌子价格好的也可以单独询问,并收购
各种小样礼包,价格请单独询问。
有意者请将手上的货发邮件至4******[email protected] 电话209-743-8637(平时很忙,
不一定有时间接电话,请先发邮件或加微信cindy071022,请注明是化妆品)
黄油有油与无油比例1:1,收货价22.5,如单出有油,收货价22元。其他品牌的收购价
格如下:
品牌 产品 规格 收货价 每月采购数量
chanel CHANCE EDT(黄机) 50ml 57 大量
CHANCE EDT(黄机) 100ml 74 大量
COCO MADEMOISELLE EDT 50ml 57 大量
COCO MADEMOISELLE EDT 100ml 74 大量
TENDER EDT(粉机) 50ml ... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
4

.............................
多数股票是在被打压的情况。
i.e. Bear Raid
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: BKS AS OF 20111122 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111122 was 17.9000
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.5348 (-3.00%)
Short-Term Price Target: 17.3652
At Price Target, profit is 29.8771 on $1000 investment. (+2.99%)
Close out >= half of your short pos... 阅读全帖
M*****8
发帖数: 17722
5

.............................
多数股票是在被打压的情况。
i.e. Bear Raid
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: BKS AS OF 20111122 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111122 was 17.9000
STOCK RATING: ESSENTIALLY NEUTRAL
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN: -0.5348 (-3.00%)
Short-Term Price Target: 17.3652
At Price Target, profit is 29.8771 on $1000 investment. (+2.99%)
Close out >= half of your short pos... 阅读全帖
p**8
发帖数: 3883
6
来自主题: Stock版 - 现在,就看明天下午2点了。
发信人: p838 (挣钱快乐!), 信区: Stockcafeteria
标 题: Re: 善意提醒一下:Barron在看牛,最好不要太看熊。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Feb 14 21:30:55 2012, 美东)
现在,就看明天下午2点了。
///
发信人: p838 (挣钱快乐!), 信区: Stockcafeteria
标 题: 善意提醒一下:Barron在看牛,最好不要太看熊。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Feb 11 12:33:57 2012, 美东)
看了一下,我们这里很多人看熊。但是,市场可能还很牛。如果秋月在的话,他一定会
提醒大家。希望他早日回来。
我上周也做空 RIMM 和 LCC,不过我昨天关了RIMM的空仓。由于他不在,我就胡说一下
:Barron在看牛,最好不要太看熊。
---- Barron's Cover:Enter the Bull ----
Barron's Cover | SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2012 Enter the Bull
By GENE EPSTEIN | MORE ART... 阅读全帖
d****n
发帖数: 97
7
Let's face the reality,
1 in 2014, dem's win control of congress and hold at least 57 seats of
senate, a form of cir will be passed with terms benefiting both illegal and
legal immigrants
Chance of DEM's win: < 20% (no need to blame those eb2/3c fooled by GOP,
since their contribution is zero)
Chance of Cir after the Win: 75%
Overall chance: < 15%
2 otherwise, a divided and entrenched congress will do nothing just as what
happened in past. Of course, many bills will be proposed to fool those
new... 阅读全帖
d****n
发帖数: 97
8
来自主题: EB23版 - CIR discussion
I paste my old posting here
Let's face the reality,
1 in 2014, dem's win control of congress and hold at least 57 seats of
senate, a form of cir will be passed with terms benefiting both illegal and
legal immigrants
Chance of DEM's win: < 20% (no need to blame those eb2/3c fooled by GOP,
since their contribution is zero)
Chance of Cir after the Win: 75%
Overall chance: < 15%
2 otherwise, a divided and entrenched congress will do nothing just as what
happened in past. Of course, many bills will b... 阅读全帖
o*******g
发帖数: 1300
9
§ 47.01. DEFINITIONS. In this chapter:
(1) "Bet" means an agreement to win or lose something
of value solely or partially by chance. A bet does not include:
(A) contracts of indemnity or guaranty, or life,
health, property, or accident insurance;
(B) an offer of a prize, award, or compensation
to the actual contestants in a bona fide contest for the
determination of skill, speed, strength, or endurance or to the
owners of a... 阅读全帖
p***r
发帖数: 20570
10
来自主题: Bridge版 - State of the match
With SQx, partner might bid 3S to show that specific hand type. Qx AQx Jxx
T9xxx, it looks like a 3S bid to me (or 3H).
4C is probably more like xx Axx KJx xxxxx
6C is a contract that always has some chances to make and the chances are
usually bad.I guess the average chance to make 6C is about 20% facing a bad
C suit, which is likely the case. Even facing CKxxxx, the chance can still
be under 40%.
6NT can be wrong sided even if partner holds SQ, like SQx HAQx Dxxx CT9xxx.
So, it's probably wiser... 阅读全帖
R*3
发帖数: 11814
11
来自主题: Football版 - 本周几场关键比赛天气预报
来源:NFL。COM
Week 16 probably won't be the widespread glorious winter wonderland it was a
few weeks back, but it looks like weather could play a big factor in many
of Sunday's crucial games.
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs: A winter storm warning has been
issued for Kansas City Saturday night into Sunday morning. It will involve
rain, sleet and snow. There is a chance of snow and precipitation throughout
Sunday, according to Weather Underground. Defenses haven't been able to
stop Alex Smi... 阅读全帖
t******y
发帖数: 5040
12
来自主题: GunsAndGears版 - 休斯敦军分区活动通知
NAVASOTA今晚天气
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog
overnight. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
明天天气:
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of
81F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon
. Chance of rain 30%.
b******n
发帖数: 2328
13
来自主题: astrology版 - Aquarius Horoscope for February 2011 zz
Aquarius Horoscope for February 2011
By Susan Miller
The past few months might have been all right, although perhaps a bit
lackluster, but February will be simply beautiful for you. It comes all
wrapped in a big blue box and tied with a big red bow. February is due to be
a glorious month, for Neptune, Mars, the Sun, and new moon will be having a
party in Aquarius, and from the date of that new moon onward, February 2,
those planets will begin to work together to create a dramatic and exciting
se... 阅读全帖
t***y
发帖数: 182
14
source:
http://www.astrologyzone.com/forecasts/monthly/libra_full.php
Libra Horoscope for February 2012
By Susan Miller
In life, we often strive for a balance, with hard work sprinkled liberally
with moments of pleasure. Lately, this balance has been off for you, and
responsibilities and hard work have dominated your life. You may have felt
that, at times, that life is a never-ending series of demands, and you may
have wondered if this was to be how life would be from now on. No, dear
Libra. Thi... 阅读全帖
t***y
发帖数: 182
15
来自主题: astrology版 - 苏珊米勒2012年3月白羊运势 (zz)
source:
http://www.astrologyzone.com/forecasts/monthly/aries_full.php
Aries Horoscope for March 2012
By Susan Miller
You area getting closer to birthday time of the year, so before you get to
the end of the month, take a weekend off to think about what you hope the
next year will bring you. Visualize the new elements of your life as if it
were a movie. See each scene clearly, down to the tiniest detail. Experts
say that the mind processes a dream that you design, like this one, in the
same way t... 阅读全帖
f****y
发帖数: 2612
16
来自主题: Fashion版 - 常吃VE有什么副作用?
Vitamin E is LIKELY SAFE for most healthy people when taken by mouth or
applied to the skin. Most people do not experience any side effects when
taking the recommended daily dose, which is 15 mg.
Vitamin E is POSSIBLY UNSAFE if taken in high doses. If you have a condition
such as heart disease or diabetes, don’t take doses of 400 IU/day or more.
Some research suggests that high doses might increase the chance of death
and possibly cause other serious side effects. The higher the dose, the
greate... 阅读全帖
j******u
发帖数: 41683
17
来自主题: Heart版 - [合集] 是谁 [给你写的是谁]
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
choo (斗星移朝暮, 秋叶落成田) 于 (Sun Mar 11 23:35:18 2012, 美东) 提到:
答应了就做到,小小可惜是应该在周末开始之前写完,现在才收尾,望喜欢。
---------------------------------------------------------------
是谁
一杯清水唤醒的清晨,
思绪遗忘在零乱枕隙,
落空空似无一物的冰箱,
冰冻着旧日情愫,不愿触碰,
关门书写清肠寡欲那一刻,
却挤散出过期水果的气息。
台灯从傍晚亮到日出,
电视小声放了排行榜一夜,
床边残留红酒干如血迹,
好像有人揉碎玫瑰花瓣的盟誓,
却在唇印浅叠里解惑是谁,
曾在异度空间爱我如故。
只剩下靠窗的白色沙发,
绒布渗透着昨夜的体温,
和丝丝欲罢难休的眷恋,
轻身贴紧梦里残余的身影,
光脚乏陈空架扶手的旁侧,
在阳光下懒散一个人的周末。
改2个小字,加首歌,这歌是周末刚听到的,没有细品歌词,喜欢旋律。
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zh_1dQ... 阅读全帖
m**y
发帖数: 18546
18
来自主题: Love版 - 贴歌吃包子(结束)
Ashes and Wine
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=us818dZgdp8
Don't know what to do anymore
I've lost the only love worth fighting for
And I'll drown in my tears, don't they see?
And that would show you, that would make you hurt like me
All the same I don't want mudslinging games
It's just a shame to let you walk away
Is there a chance, a fragment of light
At the end of the tunnel, a reason to fight?
Is there a chance you may change your mind
Or are we ashes and wine?
Don't know if our fate's alread... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
19
Dear Daughter:
亲爱的女儿:
As we drove off from Columbia, I wanted to write a letter to you to tell
you all that is on my mind.
当我们开车驶出哥伦比亚大学的时候,我想写一封信给你,告诉你盘旋在我脑中的想法

First, I want to tell you how proud we are. Getting into Columbia is a
real testament of what a great well-rounded student you are. Your academic,
artistic, and social skills have truly blossomed in the last few years.
Whether it is getting the highest grade in Calculus, completing your elegant
fashion design, successfully selling you... 阅读全帖
E*****m
发帖数: 25615
20
要反進化論好歹要反人家相信的東西,自己樹立個稻草人打得不亦樂乎
做什麼?
拜託讀點書,讓別人有理由尊重你。
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/evolution/library/faq/cat01.html
7. Is evolution a random process?
Evolution is not a random process. The genetic variation on which
natural selection acts may occur randomly, but natural selection itself is
not random at all. The survival and reproductive success of an individual is
directly related to the ways its inherited traits function in the context
of its local environment. Whether or not an individu... 阅读全帖
C******r
发帖数: 790
21
来自主题: MedicalCareer版 - [合集] 一个特别tough的面试
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fionaww (加州无鱼) 于 (Mon Nov 22 22:43:23 2010, 美东) 提到:
刚刚面试回来,可以用心力憔悴来形容。
行程顺利,旅馆舒适,医院漂亮,伙食不错,但是,interview的过程真是艰难。
5个interviewee,我是最老的一个。其他四个都是AMG,Fresh的简直不能再Fresh了,还
有一个还正在那个医院rotation。看着他们,我顿时自我感觉矮了一截。不过转念一想
,既然我来了,即使不能说明我们在一个起跑线上,但是最起码也说明我们在一个跑道
,我还有拼一把的机会。
从头到尾没见着PD,我和那个名校毕业的AMG都是面试这个program以前的 旧PD,只见一特和蔼老头来招
呼我进办公室。我一看,心里还挺开心,这么慈祥的长者,应该搞定!
没想到悲剧开始了。
先是简单问问我为什么research, 为什么又不做了。
接下来就着重强调他认为我的前程异常tough.因为 我毕业久,gap 大,又是外国学生
,什么什么的,说得很慢,但是说了很久。我说,“虽然我有什... 阅读全帖
S*******s
发帖数: 13043
22
【 以下文字转载自 Parenting 讨论区 】
发信人: shanggj (shanggj), 信区: Parenting
标 题: 小学的概率数学题难死了.
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 10 13:08:00 2014, 美东)
在我女儿借的本书上见过, 女儿问我怎么回事. 我是完全糊涂了. 我好歹也是Ph.D.
呀.
记得题大概如下. 前提条件生男生女各50%概率.
Mrs. Smith is second grader Karen’s new math teacher. She is very nice
lady, Karen likes her very much.
1. Karen heard from her classmate Maggie, that Mrs. Smith has two kids.

What is the chance that Mrs. Smith has two daughters?
2. Karen heard from her classmate Maggie, that M... 阅读全帖
p**8
发帖数: 3883
23
看了一下,我们这里很多人看熊。但是,市场可能还很牛。如果秋月在的话,他一定会
提醒大家。希望他早日回来。
我上周也做空 RIMM 和 LCC,不过我昨天关了RIMM的空仓。由于他不在,我就胡说一下
:Barron在看牛,最好不要太看熊。
---- Barron's Cover:Enter the Bull ----
Barron's Cover | SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 2012 Enter the Bull
By GENE EPSTEIN | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR
Even by conservative measures, the Dow Jones Industrials could top 15,000 in
two years. Dow 17,000 is a 50-50 bet.
Article Comments (18)
Email Print Reprints smaller Larger
Based on cyclical patterns of market history, the odds are bette... 阅读全帖
y*****l
发帖数: 5997
24
来自主题: _pennystock版 - Biotech Stock Live Chat
11:55 Do you think there is > 50% chance someone buys HGSI in next 12 mos.?
Yes
( 68% )No
( 32% )
Thursday October 20, 2011 11:55
11:56 adam feuerstein: Hello! Welcome to the October edition of Biotech
Stock Live Chat.
Thursday October 20, 2011 11:56 adam feuerstein
12:02 adam feuerstein: hi everyone
Thursday October 20, 2011 12:02 adam feuerstein
12:02 adam feuerstein: I'll get started in a minute or so, let folks log in
.
Thursday October 20, 2011 12:02 adam feuerstein
12:02 adam feuers... 阅读全帖
C********g
发帖数: 9656
25
转基因玉米的神话
http://www.rainbowplan.org/bbs/topic.php?topic=107689
送交者: 六指 于 2010-03-25 12:25:45
转基因现在是网上的热门话题,这其中自然少不了在转基因食品上市前就已试吃过的方
老师的身影。学习完他的科普熊文“转基因玉米更有益健康”后,再做延伸阅读,稍加
搜索就看到一篇2004年的洋文”Bt corn reduces serious birth defects”【http://westernfarmpress.com/news/10-27-04-Bt-corn-birth-defects/ 】。方老师的文章基本观点,数据,内容编排都和这篇雷同,不少句子更是原文照译。这进一步验证了一条世人皆知的谣言“方老师写的东西,也有成段的引文献或者直接是英语文章翻过来的”。方老师打开门辟谣,关上门立马就造谣,此等大无畏的勇气和人格力量实在是让我等折服。
方老师涉嫌抄袭早已不是什么新鲜话题,这里说说转基因。这篇洋文的两位作者实际上
是做”二阶科学传播“,主要介绍了当年在“营养学杂志”发表的一篇综述【http://jn... 阅读全帖
t***h
发帖数: 40
26
来自主题: ChinaNews版 - 这就是美国的司法
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
----------------------------------------------------------------)
APPELLANT’S... 阅读全帖
e**s
发帖数: 4638
27
0-50 rads - No obvious short-term effects
80-120 rads - You have a 10% chance of vomiting and experiencing nausia for
a few days
130 -170 rads - You have a 25% chance of vomiting and contracting other
symptoms
180-220 rads - You have a 50% chance of vomiting and having other severe
physical effects
270-330 rads - 20% chance of death in 6 weeks, or you will recover in a few
months.
400-500 rads - 50% chance of death
550-750 rads - Nausia within a few hours ; no survivors
> 1000 rads - immediate i... 阅读全帖
b*********d
发帖数: 3539
28
来自主题: Military版 - 辐射,求辟谣
0-50 rads - No obvious short-term effects
80-120 rads - You have a 10% chance of vomiting and experiencing nausia for
a few days
130 -170 rads - You have a 25% chance of vomiting and contracting other
symptoms
180-220 rads - You have a 50% chance of vomiting and having other severe
physical effects
270-330 rads - 20% chance of death in 6 weeks, or you will recover in a few
months.
400-500 rads - 50% chance of death
550-750 rads - Nausia within a few hours ; no survivors
> 1000 rads - immediate i... 阅读全帖
x*********g
发帖数: 11508
29
http://theorstrahyun.blogspot.com/
Millions Of Americans Will Not Be Killed By Nuclear Fallout In Two Weeks, It
's Just A Fake Map
By @DarrylMason
Australian Radiation Services finds itself inadvertently caught up in a fast
spreading online hoax, following the unnerving explosion at the Fukushima
nuclear plant in Japan, after yesterday's 8.9 earthquake and 10 metre
tsunami.
This is the hoax :
The authorative looking logo was stolen from here :
The Nuclear Fallout Map is fake simply because Austr... 阅读全帖
z******i
发帖数: 721
30
no.
chinaman is close to chink.
slang: a chinaman's chance: slightest chance or no chance.
for example, you have not a chinaman's chance of receiving a blowjob from
kubiak's bitches, which means you has no chance to get a blowjob by kubiak's
wife.
G***G
发帖数: 16778
31
来自主题: Military版 - 这就是美国的法律
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: tshch (大丈夫), 信区: USANews
标 题: 这就是美国的法律
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Nov 19 02:57:27 2012, 美东)
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin ... 阅读全帖
y***o
发帖数: 145
32
这是真人真事, 请大家舆论支持。
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
------------------------------------------------------------... 阅读全帖
s*******s
发帖数: 9926
33
这一篇才是完整的
本文的网路版本在这里: http://nosca5.blogspot.com/2014/02/sca5.html
反对SCA-5具体有效的步骤, 请转发
从我做起, 从现在做起! 我们还来得及反对SCA5. 目前, 加州众议院的80席中, 有55席
民主党, 25席共和党. 对这个法案SCA5的支持是党派分票, 所以我们只需要保证 2个以
上民主党议员勇敢地站出来, 投票反对, 我们就可以让法案胎死腹中. 现在我们可以做
的是写信给代表我们选区的加州众议员, 去他们的网站给他们写.
Step 1: http://nosca5.blogspot.com/2014/03/sca-5_9.html
上面连结最上面有两个请愿投票, 有时间先去投票, 这两个网站都需要注册, 但是
Change.org和Whitehouse.gov是最常见的请愿网站, 将来一定该还有用到的机会, 花点
时间注册并不吃亏. 不過必須強調這兩個投票實際效果是零, 並不能解決問題, 其主要
功能就僅僅是壮大声势.
Step 2: http://findyourrep.legislature.ca.go... 阅读全帖
t***h
发帖数: 40
34
来自主题: Military2版 - 请读后, 请问美国有法律吗?
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
----------------------------------------------------------------)
APPELLANT’S... 阅读全帖
S*********n
发帖数: 4050
35
Son, you brain is too limited to understand what is bigger -
Big Risk: $1.2 Quadrillion Derivatives Market Dwarfs World GDP
By Peter Cohan Posted 10:45AM 06/09/10 Economy, Investing, Investing Basics
Comments Text Size A A A
213413100
One of the biggest risks to the world's financial health is the $1.2
quadrillion derivatives market. It's complex, it's unregulated, and it ought
to be of concern to world leaders that its notional value is 20 times the
size of the world economy. But traders rule t... 阅读全帖
t***h
发帖数: 40
36
来自主题: USANews版 - 这就是美国的法律
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
----------------------------------------------------------------)
APPELLANT’S... 阅读全帖
t***h
发帖数: 40
37
这就是美国的司法: 腐败至及:
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
-------------------------------------------------------------... 阅读全帖
t***h
发帖数: 40
38
请教这是什麽美国政府????
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
--------------------------------------------------------------... 阅读全帖
L****n
发帖数: 12932
39
来自主题: USANews版 - Ted is done
三座大山压着,
1. Possible criminal investigation. The 500k. Payout to Fiorina SuperPac is
unusual by itself, but if there is a motive, hush money for example, then
it's potentially criminal. Even 马脸 may be implicated, I doubt she will
want to sink along with Ted. She will be the first one was to flip on Ted if
any sign of Criminal investigation.
2. Campaign fund. With a dark cloud hanging on Ted's head. His campaign
donations will dwindle quickly. And the toughest stretch of campaign is
coming up aga... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
40
http://www.breitbart.com/california/2016/06/22/speech-npr-trump-just-gave-republicans-waiting-20-years-hear/
Trump said:
Come November, the American people will have a chance to issue a verdict on
the politicians that have sacrificed their security, betrayed their
prosperity and sold out their country and I mean totally sold out their
country.
(APPLAUSE)
They will have a chance to vote for a new agenda with big dreams, bold ideas
and enormous possibilities for the American people.
(APPLAUSE)
Hil... 阅读全帖
L*A
发帖数: 756
41
来自主题: Automobile版 - 2010 Mazda 5 OTD $17,650,
随便搜了搜,安全应该不错,当时看上它便宜安全,造形前卫,相对空间大才买的。这几年
来为我立下了汗马功劳,都很有感情,舍不得换车了。
5 star: 10% or less chance of serious injury
4 star: 11% to 20% chance of serious injury
3 star: 21% to 35% chance of serious injury
2 star: 36% to 45% chance of serious injury
1 star: 46% or greater chance of serious injury
引用于:http://www.carsdirect.com/mazda/mazda5/safety
l*****8
发帖数: 534
42
【 以下文字转载自 SellAbroad 讨论区 】
发信人: lucky78 (lucky78), 信区: SellAbroad
标 题: [12.10更新长期收购 100磅起收] KIEHLS, CLINIQUE, EL, CHANEL
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Nov 8 21:06:01 2012, 美东)
建议使用支付宝,或者中国国内所有银行, 中间价+0.02
所有产品要求12批号.
CHANEL CHANCE EAU TENDRE EDT TWIST AND SPRAY ------- $61.92
CHANEL CHANCE EAU FRAICHE EDT TWIST AND SPRAY ------- $61.92
CHANEL CHANCE EDT TWIST AND SPRAY ------- $61.92
CHANEL N5 EAU PREMIERE 2.5 oz.  ------- $75.68
CHANEL CHANCE EDT SPRAY 1.7 oz.  ------- $58.48
CHANEL COCO MAD... 阅读全帖
S******a
发帖数: 1426
43
来自主题: Faculty版 - 我这样的能走学术么
To Molii: don't be so sure!
chances of being a faculty = 15% (the average of people who can be faculty
is this value, assume I am the average in my field)
changes of being in a teching school = 40%
chances of being in a low-class job, such as research assistant, or
permanant post-doc=45%
If faculty, the chances of being in a good institure = 20%
the chances of being in a not so good institue= 60%
the chances of being in a bad institute=20%
happiess of being a faculty in a good institure = 9 (the... 阅读全帖
H****y
发帖数: 2992
44
来自主题: Faculty版 - On Procrastination
On Procrastination
“Get it down. Take chances. It may be bad, but it's the only way you can do
anything really good.” (William Faulkner)
It doesn’t feel good, right? The guilt, the self-contempt, when you are
replying non-urgent emails, perfecting powerpoints, checking online news,
while knowing well that you have this impending deadline for an important
project you haven’t even started. Despite all the grand excuses, you knew
what this is all about and loath yourself for ... 阅读全帖
H****y
发帖数: 2992
45
来自主题: Faculty版 - On Procrastination
On Procrastination
“Get it down. Take chances. It may be bad, but it's the only way you can do
anything really good.” (William Faulkner)
It doesn’t feel good, right? The guilt, the self-contempt, when you are
replying non-urgent emails, perfecting powerpoints, checking online news,
while knowing well that you have this impending deadline for an important
project you haven’t even started. Despite all the grand excuses, you knew
what this is all about and loath yourself for ... 阅读全帖
l*****8
发帖数: 534
46
【 以下文字转载自 SellAbroad 讨论区 】
发信人: lucky78 (lucky78), 信区: SellAbroad
标 题: [12.10更新长期收购 100磅起收] KIEHLS, CLINIQUE, EL, CHANEL
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Nov 8 21:06:01 2012, 美东)
建议使用支付宝,或者中国国内所有银行, 中间价+0.02
所有产品要求12批号.
CHANEL CHANCE EAU TENDRE EDT TWIST AND SPRAY ------- $61.92
CHANEL CHANCE EAU FRAICHE EDT TWIST AND SPRAY ------- $61.92
CHANEL CHANCE EDT TWIST AND SPRAY ------- $61.92
CHANEL N5 EAU PREMIERE 2.5 oz.  ------- $75.68
CHANEL CHANCE EDT SPRAY 1.7 oz.  ------- $58.48
CHANEL COCO MAD... 阅读全帖
b***e
发帖数: 383
47
来自主题: JobHunting版 - Epic Written Interview
第二题有点不懂。
player总共有 4.5*162 = 729 次chance.
要使得 hit rate = 0.45, 那么总共的hit数是 729* 0.45 = 328.05.
如果知道目前的hit数,,那么后面的比赛只需要再有 328.05 - hits 就可以了。
那么输入 the number of chances he had, and the number of
remaining games 就没有任何的意义。
或者我们不知道player有多少次chance, 那么,而我们知道the number of (hits) he
has made, the number of (chances) he had, and the number of remaining
(games
).
如果这样,是不是解出这样的方程就可以了?
(hits + X) /(chances + games * 4.5) = 0.45
b***e
发帖数: 383
48
来自主题: JobHunting版 - Epic Written Interview
第二题有点不懂。
player总共有 4.5*162 = 729 次chance.
要使得 hit rate = 0.45, 那么总共的hit数是 729* 0.45 = 328.05.
如果知道目前的hit数,,那么后面的比赛只需要再有 328.05 - hits 就可以了。
那么输入 the number of chances he had, and the number of
remaining games 就没有任何的意义。
或者我们不知道player有多少次chance, 那么,而我们知道the number of (hits) he
has made, the number of (chances) he had, and the number of remaining
(games
).
如果这样,是不是解出这样的方程就可以了?
(hits + X) /(chances + games * 4.5) = 0.45
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