z*****8 发帖数: 2546 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: zhang88 (david), 信区: Stock
标 题: 新型的,懒人笨人凡人比股票还好的投资存在吗?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue May 13 11:22:56 2014, 美东)
Powerball 滚不多大就有人赢。有人赢 并不证明lotto的投资的大方向对的。股票长期
还行,短期抄赢了,平均下来能有多大好处?
为什么这么多人在这板上?是因为大赚了?为什么这么多 “最底部了 ”,“预测一下
今天和明天“, 根据什么?
每天看股票有什么意思?是上瘾了?传统的股票真有什么赚头?大家真不信“
efficient-market“ 理论(只有心理学理论更好)?在这里真有比别人聪明的?
因为我同意:“股票Excess returns cannot be earned in the long run by using
investment strategies based on historical share prices or other historical
data. Technical analysis tec... 阅读全帖 |
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d*******a 发帖数: 30 | 2 You earn a reward based on a percentage of the dollar amount of eligible
purchases you make each billing period. On purchases in certain categories,
called Everyday Purchases, you can earn a higher percentage reward. The
reward percentage is based on the type of purchase and your prior spend
during the reward year at the time of purchase. For your first $6,500 of
eligible purchases in the 12 billing periods in a row beginning with the one
that starts in the calendar month in which your Card acco... 阅读全帖 |
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y****3 发帖数: 959 | 3 直接从t&c copy过来的,别听不懂得瞎说
For your first $6,500 of eligible purchases in the
12 billing periods in a row beginning with the one
that starts in the calendar month in which your
Card account anniversary occurs (reward year),
you will receive a reward of 1% on Everyday
Purchases and a reward of 0.5% on all other
eligible purchases. For each dollar spent on
eligible purchases in excess of $6,500 in that same
reward year, you will receive: (a) a reward of 5%
on up to $50,000 of Everyday Purchases; (b) a... 阅读全帖 |
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y****3 发帖数: 959 | 4 直接从t&c copy过来的,别听不懂得瞎说
For your first $6,500 of eligible purchases in the
12 billing periods in a row beginning with the one
that starts in the calendar month in which your
Card account anniversary occurs (reward year),
you will receive a reward of 1% on Everyday
Purchases and a reward of 0.5% on all other
eligible purchases. For each dollar spent on
eligible purchases in excess of $6,500 in that same
reward year, you will receive: (a) a reward of 5%
on up to $50,000 of Everyday Purchases; (b) a... 阅读全帖 |
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d***y 发帖数: 299 | 5 顶一下
normal. 要4周后去看消不消掉, 消不掉就一直监测知道出生,然后我就问有什么
complication, 他就说没事, 我说没事为什么还要查,他就说因为有stomach有excess
fluid,然后我就说stomach有excess fluid有什么问题, 他又说normal, 没什么问题,反
正比较搞, 比较郁闷.
每两天就会有这样的case, 可我好象也没见谁说过啊. |
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c*******u 发帖数: 12899 | 6 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
roubaozi (roubaozi) 于 (Fri Mar 18 00:34:27 2011, 美东) 提到:
我家小妞三个半月大,今晚第一次进行了真正意义上的sleep train. 9点送上床之后开
嚎,期间几次
差点背过气去。一小时后终于在我和她爹为其翻身抚背后抽抽噎噎的睡着了。。。
我想问的问题是:白天的nap是不是要接着训?她白天的nap质量恶化的很厉害,平时要
抖着才能睡着,
现在经常10分钟就醒,最后为了帮助她撑过1小时只好挂在人身上睡。
可是如果白天也要sleep train的话,等吃饱了休息好了(她有比较严重的reflux)犯困
了再送上
床,等哭够了估计又该到下顿吃饭时间了。。。而且要命的是,我自己一个人在家还不
知道能不能顶住
小妞的哭声和爷爷奶奶的压力。。。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
huhuyouyou (忽悠) 于 (Fri Mar 18 01:07:00 2011, 美东) 提到:
三个半月大就训太早了... 阅读全帖 |
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x*****a 发帖数: 7797 | 7 The wait-and-see approach is fine for some kids' health problems. But not
these.
By Kristyn Kusek Lewis
When you become a parent, you earn a medical merit badge of sorts. Whether
you're sopping up a goopy nose or extracting a dangling-by-a-thread baby
tooth, eventually few things faze you. But sometimes it's tough to tell what
warrants a call to your doctor's office: Which temperature actually
classifies as a "high fever"? What kind of tummy ache means your child has
more than your average stoma... 阅读全帖 |
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i*******7 发帖数: 265 | 8 我在网上看到如下信息:
One of the following infant articles may be carried on board, in addition to
the maximum carry-on baggage allowance:
Diaper bag
Small collapsible stroller (space permitting)
Government-approved child seat (infant carrying seat or car seat)
Infants traveling internationally on 10 percent of an adult fare will be
granted a free baggage allowance of one stroller or one carseat and one
other item (linear dimensions must not exceed 62 inches (157 cm) and weight
must not exc... 阅读全帖 |
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c******e 发帖数: 263 | 9 挺典型的,看下面的文章,希望有帮助。
http://www.cpnonline.org/CRS/CRS/pa_bnegativ_hhg.htm
Negative, Stubborn Toddler
Why is my child so negative?
Negativism is a normal phase most children go through between 18 months and
3 years of age. It begins when children discover they have the power to
refuse other people's requests. During this time, children respond
negatively to many requests, including pleasant ones. In general, they are
stubborn rather than cooperative. They delight in refusing a suggestion,
whether i... 阅读全帖 |
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a****n 发帖数: 8553 | 10 没座位的infant能托运多大行李啊?我在ua网站上查到的信息是
Infants traveling internationally on 10 percent of an adult fare will be
granted a free baggage allowance of one stroller or one carseat and one
other item (linear dimensions must not exceed 62 inches (157 cm) and weight
must not exceed 50 pounds (23 kg). If the infant’s free baggage allowance
is exceeded, the excess will become part of the fare paying adult's baggage
allowance and all restrictions and excess charges will apply.
是不是说能免费托一个跟大人一样的157啊?记得以前大家都说是免费托运... 阅读全帖 |
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n*******3 发帖数: 5232 | 11 除了免费托运个carseat和gate check in个stroller,娃还能有个小箱子免费托运么?
我看这个看着很迷惑:
http://www.united.com/web/en-US/content/travel/baggage/infant.a
Infants traveling internationally on 10 percent of an adult fare will be
granted a free baggage allowance of one stroller or one carseat and one
other item (linear dimensions must not exceed 62 inches (157 cm) and weight
must not exceed 50 pounds (23 kg). If the infant’s free baggage allowance
is exceeded, the excess will become part of the fare paying adult's baggage
a... 阅读全帖 |
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w***1 发帖数: 9 | 12 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: yecao (野草), 信区: Military
标 题: 看一看美国的司法腐败, 法官是怎样把一个无故孩子从妈妈身
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Nov 23 20:28:00 2012, 美东)
这是真人真事, 请大家舆论支持。
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
... 阅读全帖 |
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r*****g 发帖数: 682 | 13 VD 不能随便自己加剂量的呀, 会over dose的。 我在哪里看到过之所以医生推荐的都
是1ml 滴管一次的就是因为不容易过量, 那种一次一滴的容易滴多了量。看看这个FDA
网上的:
However, excessive vitamin D can cause nausea and vomiting, loss of appetite
, excessive thirst, frequent urination, constipation, abdominal pain, muscle
weakness, muscle and joint aches, confusion, and fatigue, as well as more
serious consequences like kidney damage.
全文在这里:
http://www.fda.gov/forconsumers/consumerupdates/ucm214343.htm |
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r*****g 发帖数: 682 | 14 千万别! 刚在你帖子后面跟了。
VD 不能随便自己加剂量的呀, 会over dose的。 我在哪里看到过之所以医生推荐的都
是1ml 滴管一次的就是因为不容易过量。看看这个FDA 网上的:
However, excessive vitamin D can cause nausea and vomiting, loss of appetite
, excessive thirst, frequent urination, constipation, abdominal pain, muscle
weakness, muscle and joint aches, confusion, and fatigue, as well as more
serious consequences like kidney damage.
全文在这里:
http://www.fda.gov/forconsumers/consumerupdates/ucm214343.htm |
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a*****g 发帖数: 19398 | 15 反对 PARCC考试的大潮——PARCC Refusal Campaign
High school students in Bloomington and Normal, Illinois, have organized a
student union, called the Blono Student Union, to oppose PARCC. it is called
the Blono Student Union.
Students in Bloomington and Normal, Illinois, Join to Oppose PARCC Tests
Refusing the PARCC
An effective way to resist standardized testing is to simply not participate
in it; refusing state tests is a common, legal strategy used all over the
nation. Students and parents around the co... 阅读全帖 |
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p*****y 发帖数: 1049 | 16 我这个学期是RA。系里有邮件说本科生考试需要额外的监考,每次可以给50块钱,我就
报名了。但是监考之后突然收到了学校邮件,说我超过了20hours. 而且说得很严厉,
甚至会注销F-1。 请问现在有什么严重后果吗?只是帮忙监考,没想到这么严重。
Employment in excess of the 20-hour limitation during the academic term (
without first obtaining the special work approval described above) is a
violation of both University policy and of the applicable U.S. laws and
regulations. Any work performed in excess of the 20-hour limitation will be
considered to be unauthorized employment by the United States government
and can r |
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w***w 发帖数: 16 | 17 Sorry I can't input Chinese here.
My son started blinking his eyes excessively around 2 and half year hold. It
came and go for about 3 months. Sometimes he would blink his eyes nonstop.
I checked all kinds of online sources in both Chinese and English websites.
We brought him to see his pediatrician as well as a pediatric eye doctor.
The eye doctor gave him an eye exam and everthing looked fine. He suggested
that it might be dry eyes and certain allergic reaction. He said there was
nothing to be... 阅读全帖 |
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x*****a 发帖数: 7797 | 18 【 以下文字转载自 NextGeneration 讨论区 】
发信人: xuxihua (xixi), 信区: NextGeneration
标 题: 12 Kids' Symptoms You Should Never Ignore
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 6 15:29:38 2012, 美东)
The wait-and-see approach is fine for some kids' health problems. But not
these.
By Kristyn Kusek Lewis
When you become a parent, you earn a medical merit badge of sorts. Whether
you're sopping up a goopy nose or extracting a dangling-by-a-thread baby
tooth, eventually few things faze you. But sometimes it's tough to tell what
warran... 阅读全帖 |
|
M********t 发帖数: 1718 | 19 朋友发给我的网上的材料,挺有道理的:
Negative, Stubborn Toddler
Why is my child so negative?
Negativism is a normal phase most children go through between 18 months and
3 years of age. It begins when children discover they have the power to
refuse other people's requests. During this time, children respond
negatively to many requests, including pleasant ones. In general, they are
stubborn rather than cooperative. They delight in refusing a suggestion,
whether it's about getting dressed or taking off their clothes... 阅读全帖 |
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y***o 发帖数: 145 | 20 请看这法律问件, 美国的法官是怎样腐败, 把孩子从妈妈身边强走的。请舆论只持。
IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA
SECOND APPELATE DISTRICT
DIVISION TWO
Wan (aka Winnie) Tin ) Case #: B222712
)
Plaintiff and Respondent, ) (Sup. Ct. No. CK71139)
v. )
Los Angeles County Superior Court )
)
In re Joshua Tin )
)
-------------------------------------... 阅读全帖 |
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d****g 发帖数: 7460 | 21 不好意思,抢风头。
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-esteem
这个WIKI LINK看的我后心发凉啊。带着一棵沉重的心,欢迎所有爱"思考","探索
"的大娃小娃家长,介绍成功经验,分享教训。
抛砖引玉的话,我们老二占了LOW ESTEEM的好几条。哭。
A healthy level of self-esteem:
1.Firmly believe in certain values and principles, and are ready to defend
them even when finding opposition, feeling secure enough to modify them in
light of experience.
2.Are able to act according to what they think to be the best choice,
trusting their own judgment, and not feeling guilty when others do not like
thei... 阅读全帖 |
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u*****a 发帖数: 6276 | 22 貌似维州可以打!
连维州的老师都可以体罚学生。
Quote:
Over the past several years, I've seen an increase in child-abuse charges
filed against parents arising from punishment that, even as recent as ten
years ago, would have not caught the eye of a prosecutor. For all of you new
parents out there, this is something that certainly needs to be on your
radar.
To be clear, Virginia allows for “corporal punishment.” That means that
spanking and physical punishment is permitted. However, it is limited to “
reasonable” physic... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****g 发帖数: 19398 | 23 反对 PARCC考试的大潮——PARCC Refusal Campaign
High school students in Bloomington and Normal, Illinois, have organized a
student union, called the Blono Student Union, to oppose PARCC. it is called
the Blono Student Union.
Students in Bloomington and Normal, Illinois, Join to Oppose PARCC Tests
Refusing the PARCC
An effective way to resist standardized testing is to simply not participate
in it; refusing state tests is a common, legal strategy used all over the
nation. Students and parents around the co... 阅读全帖 |
|
a*****g 发帖数: 19398 | 24 反对 PARCC考试的大潮——PARCC Refusal Campaign
High school students in Bloomington and Normal, Illinois, have organized a
student union, called the Blono Student Union, to oppose PARCC. it is called
the Blono Student Union.
Students in Bloomington and Normal, Illinois, Join to Oppose PARCC Tests
Refusing the PARCC
An effective way to resist standardized testing is to simply not participate
in it; refusing state tests is a common, legal strategy used all over the
nation. Students and parents around the co... 阅读全帖 |
|
L********r 发帖数: 758 | 25 感觉英文定义蛮好懂的
excessive pride in or admiration of one's own appearance or achievements.
个人理解这个关键字是excessive。自豪才有动力,可是如果放任自豪膨胀到超出对世
界及自身的认知时,人生就成了盲目而危机四伏的旅程。如同近视或是半瞎的驾驶员激
动地以100mph飚车,爽是爽了,要是有危险时,躲都来不及。 |
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t******l 发帖数: 10908 | 26 Characteristics of Obsessive-Compulsive Personality Disorder:
Obsessive-compulsive personality disorder (OCPD) reflects a chronic,
maladaptive pattern of dealing with other people and life challenges
characterized by:
. an excessive need for perfectionism and control over all aspects of your
environment
. preoccupation with details, rules, lists, order or organization to the
extent that you often forget the major point of the activity
. excessive devotion to work at the expense of time spent wit... 阅读全帖 |
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L**i 发帖数: 22365 | 27 学习也麻烦你先看明白
列的第二个link,跟你说的没啥关系。自己看看那个increase percentage,1%不到
Results:
We found significant effect modification of influenza (p < 0.05) for effects
of ozone. When influenza intensity is assumed to increase from 0% to 10%,
the excess risks per 10-μg/m3 increase in concentration of O3 increased 0.
24% and 0.40% for hospitalization of respiratory disease in the all-ages
group and ≥ 65 year age group, respectively; 0.46% for hospitalization of
acute respiratory disease in the all-ages group; and 0.40... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****a 发帖数: 19262 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 Automobile 讨论区 】
发信人: alvdena (Groundwater), 信区: Automobile
标 题: 请教新车保险购买问题
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Apr 28 13:44:29 2014, 美东)
之前开旧车我是不买自保的,这会儿要买新车我想请教大家保险问题
(1)comprehensive
这个是在非碰撞情况下使用的,比如我们自己不小心趁坏的?
(2)Collison
这个我觉得是不是应该deductible越低越好?250刀差不多嘛?一旦修车有时候就是
1000刀的事儿,但是自己出太多这个保险似乎作用都不大了。
(3)Emergency Road Service
这个需要吗?我每年都会购买AAA中级会员,是不是有AAA的会员就不要这个了?
(4)Transportation Expense
这个貌似是必备的
(5)Mechanical Breakdown Insurance 785913
这个是我最不懂的,这个engine之类的厂商一般都会保,这个MBI不包maintenance,那
出问题也不会找他们,一边先找厂... 阅读全帖 |
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x*****o 发帖数: 441 | 29 J2 EAD 最关键的就是说明J2工作不是为了养活J1,是为了自己的娱乐和发展. 而且申请
的时候, J1和J2都要在美国,就是从中国来到美国之后才能申请.
第一步, 写一封cover letter, 模板如下:
J-2 Name (as listed on DS-2019)
J-2 Residential Address
United States Citizenship & Immigration Services
(USCIS Address)
(Date)
J-2 EMPLOYMENT AUTHORIZATION APPLICATION
Dear Sir/Madam:
I would like to apply for J-2 dependent work authorization, as allowed by
the federal regulations. My J-1 spouse, (list J-1 Name), receives a monthly
salary in the amount of ($ amount) from (s... 阅读全帖 |
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B*********s 发帖数: 306 | 30
不是说了free么?怎么这么多问题?
Baggage in excess of the free / checked baggage allowance will be charged
at the applicable rate. The excess baggage charge is determined by the
number of pieces, size, and weight of your baggage. Please contact our
reservations office for exact rates. |
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d*******u 发帖数: 1181 | 31 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: delta2013 (第99头驴), 信区: Military
标 题: ZT:top 1% of earners enjoyed 95% of the income gains since the recession ended
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 13 12:39:25 2013, 美东)
A recent study reveals that the top 10% of earners in the U.S. took home
more than half the country’s total income in 2012. That's the highest level
recorded since the government began collecting the data a century ago,
according to a New York Times analysis.
Related: Why Incomes Could Fall For the Next 30... 阅读全帖 |
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s********n 发帖数: 411 | 32 Can you explain more about "The excess of foreign tax credit" and how can we
use to deduct our taxes owned in the following years when we don't have
foreign taxes? I am asking because I worked in China in 2015, not 2016. I
have paid more taxes in China and have excess of foreign tax credit.
expire
tax |
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w****l 发帖数: 6122 | 33 想抄底的同学最好还是多存钱吧。
http://www.rgemonitor.com/roubini-monitor/254354/the_dismal_out
The Dismal Outlook for the US and Global Economy and the Financial Markets
Email PrintShare
Delicious Digg Facebook reddit Technorati Nouriel Roubini | Nov 11, 2008
Here is a below brief summary of many of the points that I have made for the
last few months on the outlook for the U.S. and global economy and for
financial markets:
The U.S. will experience its most severe recession since WWII, much worse
and longer and... 阅读全帖 |
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w*********s 发帖数: 2136 | 34 Rothschilds Stage Revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt To Kill Islamic Banks In
Emerging North African Markets
PwP Exclusive ©Feb 9 2011
Background: Tunisia has undergone increasing economic liberalization over
the last decade: In the 2010-2011 World Economic Forum’s Global
Competitiveness Report, it was ranked as the most competitive country in
Africa, as well as the 32nd most economically competitive country globally.
North Africa’s large Muslim populations are a vast business opportunity
... 阅读全帖 |
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a****b 发帖数: 3588 | 35 RDN 也是
在YAHOO 上看到些贴子
这里贴1个
FYI
These stocks trade a lot on sentiment. Right now is "housing is getting
worse, the MIs are exposed to housing, short them into the ground", a year
ago it was "housing is improving, the MIs are exposed to housing, let's pile
into them."
The reality of RDN's situation is quite different. It's financial situation
changes slowly. Borrowers don't default just because the Case Shiller index
dropped 2%, nor do delinquent borrowers cure because it rose 2%.
What is clear is... 阅读全帖 |
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r****c 发帖数: 2585 | 36 昨天short那么多tna, sell call option还被IB警告了一把
Margin Violation Warning(Excess Liquidity) for acct UXXX001
ALERT: ALERT: the financial capacity in this account is less than 5% above
the current margin requirement. To avoid a possible liquidation, please
monitor the account to ensure that there is positive excess liquidity.
发10个小包子 |
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w**********2 发帖数: 764 | 37 Rampant silver manipulation? Rampant gold manipulation? Rampant LIBOR
manipulation? Hiding MF Global client assets? These are all happening at
JP Morgan according to an open letter reportedly written by an anonymous
employee of the firm. The whistleblower also warns of a "cascading credit
event being triggered" by derivatives related to Greek government debt.
Unlike Greg Smith at Goldman Sachs, this whistleblower has chosen to remain
anonymous for now. According to the letter, the whistle... 阅读全帖 |
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v****e 发帖数: 19471 | 38 【 以下文字转载自 Chinook 俱乐部 】
发信人: vankie (新浪微博@洛城王二), 信区: Chinook
标 题: 今天闲着没事儿,玩玩AAPL估值
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Apr 24 18:27:10 2012, 美东)
I. FCFF倍数法。苹果没有长期债务,所以直接用CFO-Net CAPEX作为free cash flow,
算equity倍数。
假设60%的yoy free cash flow growth(远低于刚公布的Q2和之前Q1的90%左右业绩增
长率), 今年的fcf也会有$55B(去年是大约$35B),也就是说522B的市值除去不参与运
营的excessive cash 100B, 目前的估值只有7倍的forward fcf。高一点估,假设60B的
2012现金流,那么800块钱的目标价也都不是太高了。
II. 现金流折算。again,没有财务杠杆,所以直接用FCFF作为equity cash flow的替
代。
1,假设cost of equiqyt是15%(超级大盘权重股,beta接近于1)
2,去年全年free cash ... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********s 发帖数: 50 | 39 新浪财经讯 北京时间5月12日凌晨消息,周四晚华尔街巨头摩根大通(JPM)宣布一位绰
号为“伦敦鲸鱼”的交易员导致公司亏损约20亿美元。这一事件令全球市场雪上加霜,
JPM周五开盘即暴跌近10%。尽管事件曝光,但迄今全部细节仍不为人知,监管机构、市
场人士甚至摩根大通自己都在努力探寻来龙去脉。本文将以尽可能简单清晰的语言为您
解读这一事件。
本文的结构是十问伦敦鲸鱼门,通过10个自设自答的问题,力图达到一贴道尽的目
的。应指出的是,目前这些问题有些还没有答案,设问主要是为了抛砖引玉。
1)谁是绰号为“伦敦鲸鱼”的交易员?为什么一个外界了解如此之少的人能建立如
此庞大的头寸?
“伦敦鲸鱼”是摩根大通驻伦敦的交易员埃克西尔(Bruno Iksil),他任职于摩根
大通的首席投资部门(CIO)。他可不是一个小人物,美国双线资本公司的主管巴哈(
Bonnie Baha)指出:“伯南克对国债市场的地位有多重要,埃克西尔在衍生品市场的地
位就有多重要。”
但是,相对他的业界地位而言,埃克西尔在圈外实在是不为人知,要知道近年来他
每年都为摩根大通赚取约1亿美元。当然,现在他一下子亏了20亿。目前外界... 阅读全帖 |
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D******e 发帖数: 11265 | 40 The reasons are simple.
1.) There wasn't any bad Intel news in the earnings report. There was the
same ole mantra about sluggishness in PC sales of course but we knew that.
And it's been baked in for six months now. For two quarters in a row, Wall
Street has projected huge misses and they just didn't happen.
2.) There was the red herring about excessive Capex, which is, of course,
not excessive. Otellini explained it but the analysts simply aren't smart
enough to understand. No surprise there. I... 阅读全帖 |
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C*****g 发帖数: 162 | 41 NOMURA: Apple Is Moving Into Its 'Ex-Growth' Phase, And The Stock Could Go
As Low As $336
Joe Weisenthal | Jan. 24, 2013, 5:49 AM | 4,720 | 12
There are sure to be lots of brutal Apple takedowns from Wall Street today.
Here's one from Nomura, which declares that the company is now in its "ex-
growth" phase, which is very ominous sounding.
The weak Q2 dynamics seem to support our view that Apple is moving into an
ex-growth phase in which unit growth is likely to come increasingly at the
expens... 阅读全帖 |
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C*****g 发帖数: 162 | 42 NOMURA: Apple Is Moving Into Its 'Ex-Growth' Phase, And The Stock Could Go
As Low As $336
Joe Weisenthal | Jan. 24, 2013, 5:49 AM | 4,720 | 12
There are sure to be lots of brutal Apple takedowns from Wall Street today.
Here's one from Nomura, which declares that the company is now in its "ex-
growth" phase, which is very ominous sounding.
The weak Q2 dynamics seem to support our view that Apple is moving into an
ex-growth phase in which unit growth is likely to come increasingly at the
expens... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2 发帖数: 355 | 43 微信公众平台 USOPTIONS
http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA4MDQzNDIyNQ==&mid=200081094&
Goldman Sachs Research
Global Markets Daily: EM FX: China slowdown risk not fully priced
Published 06:05 AM Tue Mar 18 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Chinese growth has slowed significantly; sequential IP growth in Jan-Feb was
near 0%.
A clear shift back towards CNY TWI appreciation may not occur until activity
recovers.
But, in our view, positioning for a wea... 阅读全帖 |
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z*****8 发帖数: 2546 | 44 Powerball 滚不多大就有人赢。有人赢 并不证明lotto的投资的大方向对的。股票长期
还行,短期抄赢了,平均下来能有多大好处?
为什么这么多人在这板上?是因为大赚了?为什么这么多 “最底部了 ”,“预测一下
今天和明天“, 根据什么?
每天看股票有什么意思?是上瘾了?传统的股票真有什么赚头?大家真不信“
efficient-market“ 理论(只有心理学理论更好)?在这里真有比别人聪明的?
因为我同意:“股票Excess returns cannot be earned in the long run by using
investment strategies based on historical share prices or other historical
data. Technical analysis techniques will not be able to consistently produce
excess returns 。“ 俺又很懒,没有时间看股票, 还不如找一些非传统的投资,没
有复杂的大理论,只是基本的供求关系, 和大家分享:
有一个诚恳的... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********h 发帖数: 5449 | 45 【 以下文字转载自 StockDueDiligence 俱乐部 】
发信人: marketwatch (市场观察), 信区: StockDueDiligence
标 题: GOLDMAN: The Risk Of A Stock Market Crash Is Low Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 5 19:27:15 2014, 美东)
Elena Holodny
Nov. 4, 2014, 10:15 AM
Stocks have surged to all-time highs. And this has plenty of people worried
that a crash may be looming.
Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius doesn't see a crash coming.
Using a proprietary model that includes the historical price data fro... 阅读全帖 |
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m*****1 发帖数: 2546 | 46 "Fidelity
A handful of Fidelity funds are estimating capital gains distributions in
excess of 10% of NAV, including International Small Cap (FISMX) (13.14% of
NAV), China Region (FHKCX) (12.25%), and Capital Appreciation (FDCAX) (10.
13%). Some of the firm's smaller Select funds are also anticipating capital
gains distributions in excess of 10% of NAV, including Select Consumer
Finance (FSVLX) (12.34% of NAV) and Select Environmental and Energy
Portfolio (FSLEX) (12.02%). Fidelity Contrafund ... 阅读全帖 |
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p******e 发帖数: 17163 | 47 The bank hasn't lent out. So right now only money base expands greatly.
Once banks start to lend, then money supply would expand greatly. Take us
for example, Money base pre-crisis I about 800 bill and since require
reserve is 10 pct, the money supply is 8 trillion. After series of qe, now
the money base is around 4 trill. If the bank were doing wat they do, the m2
would've been 40 trill. Instead, banks wasn't willing to lend, and
put money at the fed, these are excessive reserve. So the m2 is o... 阅读全帖 |
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p*****s 发帖数: 4393 | 48 excess reserve 现在fed interest rate 0.25,
低息情况下银行宁愿在fed吃利息。fed现在在用reverse repo来处理 excess reserve,
最近没跟踪不知道进行如何了。 萝卜这文章是原创吗? 非常不错
m2 |
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y********n 发帖数: 4452 | 49 我每年收入50万左右,工资+投资。床破如果把2017年我的tax rate从39.6%降到33%。
那很不错。
而且股市盈利税也从42.4%降到20%。
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Trump has made a big deal of wanting to cut taxes. His plan would lower
income tax rates and reduce today's seven brackets to just three: 12%, 25%
and 33%. Today's top rates are much higher, ranging from 28% to 39.6%.
He would increase the standard deduction and repeal the Alternative Minimum
Tax, the estate tax and Obamacare -- including the taxes associated with it
Hillary:
Taxpayers with income in exce... 阅读全帖 |
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f*****a 发帖数: 42 | 50 The VelocityShares 3X Long Crude ETN linked to the S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index
Excess Return (NYSE:UWTI), which provides triple leveraged bullish exposure
to oil futures, and the VelocityShares 3X Inverse Crude ETN linked to the S&
P GSCI Crude Oil Index Excess Return (NYSE:DWTI), which offers triple
leveraged bearish (inverse) exposure, will both cease operations in December
. From Credit Suisse:
As part of its continuing effort to monitor and manage its suite of
exchange traded notes, Credit ... 阅读全帖 |
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