q*****y
发帖数: 470 | 1 AMEX does it again, says Goldman
American Express' (AXP +4.9%) expense management and lower credit losses
allowed it to again pull a rabbit out of the hat despite a top line earnings
miss, says Goldman's Ryan Nash, reiterating a Neutral rating and $100 price
target."We believe the bar for 2014 will likely be higher as its provision
will likely be a further headwind (we model 7% increase) and we sensed AXP
is less optimistic on large buybacks given the run shares have had." Any
upside this year, ... 阅读全帖 |
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E******2
发帖数: 88 | 3 Still undervalued and former headwind = tailwind jmho
high yield +cash distributions/steady growth with increasing AUM/fee
just throwing some names:BX AMG KFN VOYA etc. |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 4 微信公众平台 usoptions
Today's US Research Highlights and Market Update
Market Intelligence – Morning Update
By Chris Hussey
Published 18 Mar 2014 6:43:46 am CDT
Stocks in Asia were mostly higher Tuesday as indices reacted to the
surprisingly bullish tone set in the US on the back of two potentially
troubling bits of news over the weekend: Ukraine and China FX band widening.
Japan's Nikkei saw the strongest gains as the yen devalued against the
dollar against a backdrop of relaxing tensions. But afte... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 5 Today's US Research Highlights and Market Update
Market Intelligence – Morning Update
By Chris Hussey
Published 19 Mar 2014 6:26:35 am CDT
Stocks in Asia traded directionless Wednesday as calm returns to markets
after a bout of elevated anxiety mostly centered on emerging markets and geo
-political risks. News overnight was fairly scarce. Japan's Tankan survey
and February trade report point to an industrial complex that is hopeful but
quite frankly still falling short of the promised lift that... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 6 Americas : Market Intelligence – Morning Update
微信公众平台 USOPTIONS
by Chris Hussey
Published March 27, 2014
Stocks in Asia were decidedly mixed Thursday with the Nikkei gaining ground
while China stocks declined on little meaningful incremental news. Stocks in
India rose again and are now up 5% ytd - one of the best performing stock
markets in the world. Investors appear to be establishing bullish positions
ahead of India's once every 5 years national elections this year - the
subject of Tushar... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 7 Americas : Market Intelligence – Morning Update
微信公众平台 USOPTIONS
by Chris Hussey
Published April 1, 2014
Stocks in Asia traded Tuesday with a slight positive bias as China's
official March PMI Manufacturing survey came in a touch better than expected
(50.3 vs 50.1 consensus). Japan's Nikkei index was the notable
underperformer as the country implements a 300bp higher sales tax today and
the February Monthly Labor Survey showed a disappointing 30bp decline in
wages - this despite concerted eff... 阅读全帖 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 8 Chief Economist Qian Keming of China’s Agriculture Ministry summed it up by
telling the audience at the Third China International Agribusiness Forum:
“Fresh water resources are only 2100 cubic meters per capita, which is only
28% of the world’s average level.”
and
“The shortage of [water for agricultural irrigation] each year is about 30
billion cubic meters. China imported about 148.6 billion cubic meters of
water in 2013, which was equivalent to 38% of China’s agricultural water.”
Here’s that ... 阅读全帖 |
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z****w
发帖数: 621 | 9 对冲基金经历2011年来最大损失
Misery Widespread at Hedge Funds
Market Turmoil Inflicts Losses in Industry’s Worst Period Since 2011
This month’s turmoil in financial markets has been a “bloodbath” for
hedge funds, inflicting large losses at an array of multibillion-dollar
firms in the industry’s worst stretch since late 2011.
It isn’t unusual for one segment of the $2.8 trillion hedge-fund world to
find itself caught in a downdraft. But in October, the pain has been
widespread.
There were casualties among fu... 阅读全帖 |
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k*********2
发帖数: 98 | 10 同意油不会很快回到以前的高位，但是sentiment会给AAL很大压力因为它没有任何
hedge。还有PRASM 最近几个月都不行，加上mixed pricing trend，international
slowdown, FX headwinds, 航空股近期很难outperform。JBLU目前算是基本面最好的。
AAL整合，industry consolidation这些东西已经priced in stock valuation。 |
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k*********2
发帖数: 98 | 11 花姐喜欢它这样 它就不能停。貌似大家不怎么关心EPS （里面还包括不小的FX
headwinds）。它虽然EPS miss了，contribution profit margins, streaming
numbers看上去还行。这个大概是花姐炒作的重点。它的 2Q guidance 有一个问题就是
international profit contribution margins miss了，不知明天花姐怎么defend。
international的表现对这股挺重要的。 |
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q**x
发帖数: 1636 | 12 aglee, either shit or pee. sometimes with headwinds and pee/shit yourself.
so better wear umbrella and remember to fart at the same time to save time
and energy. anyway, have fun over the weekend. |
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s******Y
发帖数: 2085 | 13 不错的分析， 股版需要这样的讨论。
Another attractive point is that its forward PE is 6.9x thanks to its
healthy growth as well as the low gas price. If the earning report next
quarter confirms the forward PE(it should be no problem for MM at wallstreet
usually won't make such mistake), in conjunction with the dissipation of
headwind, there will be an explosion.
VA is hedging gas but will stop hedging by the third quarter of 2015, which
I don't know is bad or not.
The most important point for me is that VA is... 阅读全帖 |
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s******Y
发帖数: 2085 | 14 Forward PE ~4 to 5, 必须上爆
It will soar above 50 after dissipation of headwinds.
市场最终回归价值， 时间将证明这是真理。 |
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M***n
发帖数: 5815 | 15 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
broswer (沙暴河马) 于 (Wed May 13 19:00:07 2015, 美东) 提到:
盘后一下就28了
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
xiaomihezi (雷布斯) 于 (Wed May 13 19:32:22 2015, 美东) 提到:
就5股捣乱分子。。。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
euphoriant (euphoria) 于 (Wed May 13 19:42:10 2015, 美东) 提到:
盘后为啥涨起来了啊？
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
wormsoldier (虫虫也疯逛) 于 (Wed May 13 20:06:28 2015, 美东) 提到:
这种盘后一点用也没有，直接忽视。
[在 euphoriant (euphoria) 的大作中提到：]
：盘后为啥涨起来了啊？
：
... 阅读全帖 |
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c**********0
发帖数: 55 | 16 本文主要专注于IBM的经济特性分析（Economic Characteristics Analysis），同时带
有少部分的证券分析（Security Analysis）。没有经济特性的分析，单纯的证券分析
对投资的帮助很有限。
1. 业务特点和基础数据情况
IBM公司有四大类业务：全球技术服务（GTS）、全球商业服务（GBS）、软件、系统与
技术。根据2014年10K表格，它们的收入总额为927亿美元，各部门的收入分配情况如下：
部门 收入(十亿美元) 毛利润率 占总收入的百分比
全球技术服务 $37.1B 38.3% 40%
全球商业服务 $17.8B 30.8% 19.2%
软件 $25B 88.6% 27%
系统与技术 $10B 39.5% 10.8%
其它 $2B... 阅读全帖 |
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N****p
发帖数: 1691 | 17 "The second quarter 2015 market environment remained extremely challenging
for our steel and metals recycling operations," said Mark D. Millett, Chief
Executive Officer. "The ongoing flood of steel imports continued to pressure
steel product pricing to a greater degree than the benefit realized from
lower scrap costs, compressing second quarter steel margins. However, due
to continued solid U.S. steel demand, our second quarter steel shipments
improved, which offset most of the margin compressi... 阅读全帖 |
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s**h
发帖数: 477 | 18 下面是 schlumberger CEO 关于下一年油价的分析, 刚发出来的， 组后两段是结论
http://www.slb.com/news/presentations/2015/2015_0909_pkibsgaard
--------------------
So far this year, global GDP growth has faced a series of headwinds, but in
spite of slower US growth in the first quarter, uncertainty in the Eurozone
linked to Greece and a continuing slowdown in China, the growth is still
expected to end up around 2.6%.
Looking forward to 2016, the global GDP growth forecast is still higher than
2015 at 3.2% driven by stronger g... 阅读全帖 |
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s******Y
发帖数: 2085 | 19 捂住， bac不用割肉。
It will rise when headwind dissipates. |
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s******1
发帖数: 4987 | 20 我说的看好就是不在乎短期的波动，价值是基于公司基本面的，有的碰到暂时的
headwinds能回来，有的出现重大利空永远
回不来了
[在 MrRun (跑跑) 的大作中提到：]
：猴哥的意思是，选好了股，就不会在乎一时的损失，因为这个股迟早会涨回来。价格
不会长期偏离价值。
：
：........... |
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m******e
发帖数: 536 | 21 刚出来的中国进出口数据,看来不好,进口继续两位数的下跌,而且下跌幅度加大,出口也
是下跌.估计明天大盘跌.而且明天晚上还要出中国CPI,PPI数据,明天盘后银行ER的也要
出了.如果
这些消息都不好,本周大盘够呛.
Bloomberg News
October 12, 2015 — 10:04 PM EDT Updated on October 12, 2015 — 10:35 PM EDT
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter
Imports plunged 17.7 percent from a year earlier in yuan terms
Lower commodity prices, tepid domestic demand hurting imports
Share on Facebook
Share on Twitter
China’s imports extended the longest losing streak in six years,
underscoring the headwinds to global growth... 阅读全帖 |
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s******1
发帖数: 4987 | 22 短期headwinds比较多，都是经济大跃进式发展积累的弊病，但不可否认绝大多数人的
生活水平都有显著改善，长期还是有很多看好的理由，现在是经济转型过程中的阵痛，
TG领导人得有魄力接受经济减速的事实，注重质量而不是数量，由投资出口向消费内需
转变，由低端制造向高科技转变。
中国经济是个畸形的怪物，很多西方经济学的理论不适用，很难从某一方面来下结论 |
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s******1
发帖数: 4987 | 23 短期headwinds比较多，都是经济大跃进式发展积累的弊病，但不可否认绝大多数人的
生活水平都有显著改善，长期还是有很多看好的理由，现在是经济转型过程中的阵痛，
TG领导人得有魄力接受经济减速的事实，注重质量而不是数量，由投资出口向消费内需
转变，由低端制造向高科技转变。
中国经济是个畸形的怪物，很多西方经济学的理论不适用，很难从某一方面来下结论 |
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x****y
发帖数: 1853 | 24 Sorry, can't type Chinese on this stupid company computer.
The DUST price now is pricing in a decent job report tomorrow. If that turns
out true, the next test is $22, the 200 DMA. But my gut feeling is there is
no major headwind against DUST to pass that barrier. |
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s******Y
发帖数: 2085 | 25 headwind dissipated, only tailwind left.
target: 65 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 26 Goldman's Incredibly Depressing Predictions for 2016
by Stephen Gandel
@stephengandel
November 25, 2015, 1:23 PM EST
No holiday cheer for investors this year.
In a research note out this week, Goldman Sachs’ top strategists predict
that stocks will once again disappoint next year. Goldman predicts the S&P
500 will go nowhere in the coming year, ending 2016 at 2,100. The stock
market index is already at 2,090. Include dividends and Goldman predicts
that stocks will return just 3% in 2016... 阅读全帖 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 27 Dow closes worst year since 2008
by Patrick Gillespie @CNNMoneyInvest December 31, 2015: 4:46 PM ET
The new year couldn't come soon enough for many investors.
U.S. markets finished 2015 mostly in the red: The Dow was down 2.2%. The S&P
500 ended the year down 0.7%. It was the worst year for those two indexes
since markets collapsed in 2008.
The Nasdaq finished 2015 up 5.7%. However, it had double digit gains in the
three years prior.
Volatility thrashed investors left and right in 2015. The th... 阅读全帖 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 28 Dow closes worst year since 2008
by Patrick Gillespie @CNNMoneyInvest December 31, 2015: 4:46 PM ET
CNNMoney's 2016 Playbook: Stocks
The new year couldn't come soon enough for many investors.
U.S. markets finished 2015 mostly in the red: The Dow was down 2.2%. The S&P
500 ended the year down 0.7%. It was the worst year for those two indexes
since markets collapsed in 2008.
The Nasdaq finished 2015 up 5.7%. However, it had double digit gains in the
three years prior.
Volatility thrashed investo... 阅读全帖 |
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x****y
发帖数: 1853 | 29 这才是真正的bearish信号。 跟最近的Baltic Dry Index一起看，recession 离我们不
远了。
Highlights (From Bloomberg)
The factory sector ended 2015 with a giant thud. Durable goods orders fell 5
.1 percent in December vs expectations for a 0.2 percent gain and a low-end
estimate of minus 3.0 percent. Aircraft orders didn't help but they weren't
the whole cause of the problem as ex-transportation orders fell 1.2 percent
vs expectations for no change and a low-end estimate of minus 0.4 percent.
Core capital goods, which exclud... 阅读全帖 |
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m*****t
发帖数: 1987 | 30 不痛不痒的，快像我党领导人的讲话了
In a get together with the prior three chairs of the Federal Reserve, Janet
Yellen repeated that the Fed remains on path for a gradual set of rate hikes
. Yellen said the U.S. consumer, supported by progress in the labor market,
is propelling the U.S. economy forward despite global headwinds and that she
does not see the December rate hike as a mistake. She said most of her FOMC
colleagues expect to overshoot the Fed's long-term 4.5 percent unemployment
goal but are not seeking... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 31 STX 今天大跌18%。
以下是我司3月30日发布的空方报告。更多请看timelylongshort.com or .cn
投资假设：看空
希捷科技 Seagate Plc 代码：STX
希捷科技全面致力于在硬盘驱动器（HDD）市场发展，但是随着这个市场逐渐被固态硬
盘（SSD）所取代，希捷科技面临着长期的发展困境。此外，西部数码通过收购美国晟
碟公司（SNDK）布局SSD，限制了希捷科技通过大规模收购快速布局SSD的前景。
Hypothetical Short Case published on 3/30/2016
STX is fully concentrated in the hard disk drive (HDD) segment. As this
segment is losing market share to Solid State Drive (SSD), STX will face
secular headwinds. In addition, while WDC has entered SSD market by
acquiring SNDK, STX is le... 阅读全帖 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 32 Sales of Existing U.S. Homes Unexpectedly Declined in August
[Bloomberg]
Sho Chandra
September 22, 2016
Sales of previously owned U.S. homes unexpectedly declined to a six-month
low in August, signaling buyers are getting discouraged by a limited
selection of properties that’s kept prices high, National Association of
Realtors data showed Thursday.
Key Points
Contract closings fell 0.9 percent to a 5.33 million annual rate (
forecast was 5.45 million)
Sales rose 7.3 percent from August ... 阅读全帖 |
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d********1
发帖数: 2462 | 33 同感是short squeeze，不知道当选总统也有“满月”这个jinx，但是依然强劲的美元
，和欧洲ECB的不明朗，外汇市场过来的headwinds会在美国产品的输出的不利和，国内
基础建设未成形的gap之间，有一个小小struggle，估计在12/18附近profit taking.. |
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h********o
发帖数: 3320 | 36 是很低， 但是VI X可以在低位持续很长一段时间。VI X是 follow mean reversion,
但不是简单的 mean reversion,. VIX 可以在低位几个月不反弹。 |
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m********n
发帖数: 208 | 37 管他的，这么高的位置，我dt为主。今天这个跳空缺口不补，涨起来不太安心。
盘感明天会跌。 |
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d********1
发帖数: 2462 | 39 Iron ore价格刚走出谷底，还是在历史新低附近，不会崩，clf还会北上，就是美元dxy
走高，对整个commodities原材料价格和美国输出来说是headwinds |
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L*****d
发帖数: 5093 | 40 Existing-home sales hit a 10-year high in March as homes fly off the market
Published: Apr 21, 2017 10:00 a.m. ET
Sales of previously-owned homes churned higher in March as sturdy demand for
housing bolsters the market.
Existing-home sales ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.71 million
, a 4.4% monthly increase, the National Association of Realtors said Friday.
That was the strongest selling pace since February 2007 and was 5.9% higher
than a year ago.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatc... 阅读全帖 |
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|
E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 42 corporate buyback 是很强的 supply 啊。科技公司税改省下这么多钱，buyback是回
报股东的最好方式。headwind主要是对贸易战的担忧，担心中国政府报复跨国科技企业
，所以market sentiment比较复杂。
图形上，NDX 7000 左右支撑很强，这次爬上去之后测了几天都测不下来，我想继续押
大，赌一把。VXN还处于相对低位，买call似乎比卖put明智，直接买QQQ也行。如果要
对冲贸易战的风险，可以考虑烧一些老道或标普。 |
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T*********4
发帖数: 451 | 43 今天跌了个5%， UBS 出来给个sell rating. 50这里可以建仓吗？想进一点。。。
In general, he wrote: The supply chain has struggled to keep inventory
growing anywhere close to revenue growth during the past 4Qs and the
entirety of C2017. This had helped fuel a very favorable cyclical backdrop
for the sector with respect to both revenue and margins, but this factor is
rapidly waning and will likely shift to more of a headwind moving through
C2018, especially in 2H:18." |
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E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 44 Utilities, REITS, and staples are bond proxies, and will encounter headwind
during rate hike.
升息周期里长期还是走空，短期的上涨主要是短期避险的需求。
utility 在牛市末尾是最后上涨的sector，大概也是短期避险的原因。 |
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g*********9
发帖数: 1285 | 45 我是不管那么多，便宜就上，贵了就卖。Utility并不便宜。
: Utilities, REITS, and staples are bond proxies, and will encounter
headwind
: during rate hike.
: 升息周期里长期还是走空，短期的上涨主要是短期避险的需求。
: utility 在牛市末尾是最后上涨的sector，大概也是短期避险的原因。
|
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g******t
发帖数: 18158 | 46 林总能不能谈谈对石油能源类股票和ETF的看法
这类股票算在 Basic Material 里，对吗
美元走强对这类股票是利空，目前还值得继续看好和持有吗？
如果熊市真来了这类股票是不是也和其他类股票一样完蛋
headwind |
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E***r
发帖数: 1037 | 47 通胀抬头，商品长期看涨。我有不少DBC的长线仓位，布局大半年了，其实相当于间接
炒油，因为大宗商品里面油权重最大。另外在耐心等DBA的起涨点。当然最近美元抬头
，对美元计价的商品的确有headwind，就看哪边作用力强了。等到哪天recession如果
真来了，死抱现金、买fixed income就好了，目前市场还能蹦跶蛮长一段时间。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 48 和公司本身无关，这个headwind就像上马金付的利息一样 |
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b*d
发帖数: 3069 | 49 TSLA Q3:
Produced: 80,142
Model 3: 53,239
Model S: 14,470
Model X: 13,190
Deliveries: 83,500
Model 3: 55,840
Model S: 14,470
Model X: 13,190
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-q3-2018-vehicle-production-123000833.
html
PALO ALTO, Calif., Oct. 02, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- In Q3, we produced 80,
142 vehicles, 50% more than our prior all-time high in Q2, including:
53,239 Model 3 vehicles, which was in line with our guidance and almost
double the volume of Q2. During Q3, we transitioned Model 3 p... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 50 EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations)
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
WELCOME TO Q'S IMMIGRATION BLOG
Based on the latest 2010 EB approval reports, this is the current status and
predictions for EB2.
THIS IS THE MOST PESSIMISTIC SCENARIO BEING PAINTED. SO DON'T KILL THE
MESSENGER. TRY AND UNDERSTAND THE RATIONALE BEHIND.
Acronyms
SOFAD - Spillover Fall Across and Down
SO - Spillover
FA - Fall Across
FD - Fall Down
CD - Cutoff Date
PD - Priority Date
PD阅读全帖 |
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