n****y
发帖数: 6260 | 1 impulse control 有问题，需要监督力度比较大。 |
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l****k
发帖数: 48 | 4 它COVER的有：
Rehabilitation Services Outpatient Therapy and Manipulative Treatment
Short‑term outpatient rehabilitation services for:
● Physical therapy;
● Occupational therapy;
● Manipulative treatment
● Speech therapy;
· Cognitive rehabilitation therapy;
● Pulmonary rehabilitation
therapy; and
● Cardiac rehabilitation therapy.
For all rehabilitation services, a licensed therapy provider, under the
direction of a Physician, must perform the services.
Benefits can be denie... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****g
发帖数: 3623 | 5 俺家的boy快10岁了, 四年级. 今天被老师抱怨在学校不听指挥,反复警告不要乱跑说话
就是不听...平时上课不听课,找人说话或者自己忙其他事,用了impulse这个词,叫我们
去找counselor. 我感觉她暗示我们ADHD啥的.
娃是皮点,有点早产. 从小就比较闹.停不下来.我们以前就担心这个ADHD. 早早就跟儿
科医生谈过.她说不要担心.上学再说.从prek一路走来.complaint是不少,就不follow
direction牙,不听指挥牙,爱找人说话娅.但都还好. 大部分老师都还喜欢他.也不知是
客气还是啥.K的老师更是早早就推荐考GT. 第一次语言差一点. 第二年换了个学校新老
师又推荐, 就考上了. 期
间有个临时代客的老师抱怨比较多. 这个老师也恰恰是小孩说不喜欢的老师.
小家伙成绩还好,就是太好动好说话,容易兴奋,一兴奋就听不进警告了.
看起来这个四年级的老师有点不对路了.估计够呛...
我们该怎么办?
小孩确实不听话,闹...
要不要真的去看ADHD? |
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A********e
发帖数: 535 | 6 不是，不用担心。
给您看看那个典型的ADHD的症状描述：
Be easily distracted, miss details, forget things, and frequently switch
from one activity to another
Have difficulty maintaining focus on one task
Become bored with a task after only a few minutes, unless doing something
enjoyable
Have difficulty focusing attention on organizing and completing a task or
learning something new
Have trouble completing or turning in homework assignments, often losing
things (e.g., pencils, toys, assignments) needed to complete tasks or... 阅读全帖 |
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A***u
发帖数: 3714 | 7 成年人无法抑制自己的Impulsive behavior 是情商低下的表现。
不过我也在努力。 呵呵。
ABC学中文没有你想象的那么容易，等你的孩子10岁你就会明白了。你的回帖让我仿佛
也看到了过去的自己的一部分。呵呵 |
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t*******r
发帖数: 22634 | 8 另外如果是真的 strong-willed child，俺个人觉得父母的确还是
要和娃，两者都需要 negotiation and compromise。。。因为我
觉得 will power 不是 emotional impulse 那么简单，转天可能
就忘记的。虽然 distraction 的战术很多时候可以暂时缓和，但是
will-power 大部分情况 stands / persistent （所以叫
will-power 嘛），转天多半又 bite back 。。。 |
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p*******y
发帖数: 133 | 9 这是很老的一片文章，反思关于批评式教育。写的很好。
读了它，帮助我认识到如何教育孩子，和如何理解和原谅自己父母从前的教育方式。
如文中所说，批评式教育很多时候源于父母的这样一种心理： expect too much of
youth and measure kids by the yardstick of the parents own years.
Father Forgets
by W. Livingston Larned
Listen, son; I am saying this as you lie asleep, one little paw crumpled
under your cheek and the blond curls stickily wet on your damp forehead. I
have stolen into your room alone. Just a few minutes ago, as I sat reading
my paper in the library, a stifling wave of remorse swept ove... 阅读全帖 |
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z****0
发帖数: 3942 | 10 Ed. Note: Wesley Yang's piece, "Paper Tigers", presents fascinating insight
into the lives of Asian-Americans faced with life and career disappointment
after the diplomas, along with ways Asian-Americans are changing the game
to avoid these pitfalls, stemming from their values, upbringing, and
cultural norms. The take-aways are many, and we've selected only a few to
highlight in this venue. It's a recommended read in its entirety to
appreciate the full context and nuances.
......
Sometimes I... 阅读全帖 |
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M****o
发帖数: 13571 | 11 好好和孩子坐下来平心静气地谈谈，关心他一下，看看是否有啥在困扰他。
昨天刚开始读以前买的书，里面很多话都很有益：
"For parents, this quality of 'emotional intelligence' - as many now call it
- means being aware of your children's feelings, and being able to
empathize, soothe, and guide them. For children, who learn most lessons
about emotion from their parents, it includes the ability to control
impulses, delay gratification, motivate themselves, read other people's
social cues, and cope with life's ups and downs."
"We have found that most parents fa... 阅读全帖 |
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G*******X
发帖数: 1101 | 12 re这个。应该让孩子意识到，物质的欲望是无穷无尽的，而且只会越来越膨胀。适当的
满足可以，但一定有度。买东西不是因为买得起或者买不起，而是因为你需要并且在价
格合理的范围内。这个原则不只体现在物质上，任何事情都一样，比如吃东西有度（抵
制垃圾食品，少吃甜食），放松时间有度（不能无止无休的看电视打游戏）。如何学会
impulse control，delay gratification，从小就要有意识培养。
说。 |
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u*****a
发帖数: 6276 | 13 WE SPEAK SO LITTLE OF SUICIDE that the issue might seem esoteric. But
according to survey data by suicide experts, about 10 percent of the country
’s college students think about killing themselves (what health
professionals call “suicidal ideation”) at some point in their college
careers. Almost one percent make an attempt. If these numbers sound small,
do the math: Penn has about 24,000 students, meaning that roughly 2,400 of
them will suffer so profoundly from a sense of pain or depression th... 阅读全帖 |
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s****7
发帖数: 1873 | 14 为什么要压抑呢？为什么不能超脱的cool到底？我希望孩子cool,所以我要给他做榜样
。他现在非常impulsive.
negative |
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c*********h
发帖数: 102 | 15 版里头痛的gt娃家长看来不少啊！我们来分享一下心得。我家娃4岁多某iq测试是99.9%
，超过ceiling的部分测不出来了；我们没当回事；自打开始上学就不停被老师骚扰，
今天上课插嘴，明天和别人说话，不胜其烦。我们真是十八般武艺全用尽了，老师的抱
怨还是不见减少。终于我们决定找儿童心理医生看看怎么对付这娃。结果人家又用老版
的某iq测试测了一遍，据说可以测出超过ceiling的那部分，结果又爆表了。。。就不
举别的栗子了，不是来bso的。
总之这个心理学家自己家有两个gt娃，都是homeschool的。她一开始极力想劝我们
homeschool，看我们实在负担不起也就作罢了。她举了很多数据和研究来教育我们娃一
方面先进，另一方肯定是有代价的！ gt娃的exacutive function skill会一直不成熟
于正常同龄人，低龄2-4岁，同理，低智商娃也是这个情况。但这个exacutive
function skill会最终在青春期左右长上来，追成和正常智商儿童一样。这也是她觉得
我娃需要homeschool的原因，一方面学校上课上得太简单，他们没法忍受bored；另一
方面因为他... 阅读全帖 |
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h**r
发帖数: 8078 | 16 大家看这个帖子
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Parenting/32499805.html
简单分析一下：
1，“心理学家认为，对于IQ奇高的天才娃，一方面先进，另一方肯定是有代价的！ gt
娃的exacutive function skill会一直不成熟于正常同龄人，低龄2-4岁。这就是说，
那些真正的小神童，exacutive function skill一直不成熟于正常同龄人。”反而推之
，executive function skill发育正常的娃，不会是真正的神童。
2，“这个exacutive function skill会最终在青春期左右长上来，追成和正常智商儿
童一样。”根据前面说的，“一方面先进，另一方肯定是有代价的！”，等GT娃
executive function skill在青春期追上来时，他们的IQ就是付出代价的部分。
总结：
绝大部分小神童，是因为付出了executive function skill发展滞后为代价而来的。无
非就是普通孩子平衡发育，他们却先发育了IQ部分，后发育executive function ski... 阅读全帖 |
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C*****d
发帖数: 2253 | 17 我家是从5岁开始按周发零用钱，几岁发几块，加上压岁钱，都是自己管。
我觉得还是有效果的。老大8岁，完全做到理智购物，几乎不买什么乱七八糟的东西了，
完全没有impulsive buy,要买什么都会先想几天。以经存到了快200块。
小的5岁，还是乱买的阶段，但是买之前至少知道看自己有没有这么多钱，
买了大件钱清空了之后会知道要等一阵才能买新东西。 |
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J*******p
发帖数: 1129 | 18
哈哈，这两条和我娃很像！属于impulsive 性格。 |
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u*****a
发帖数: 6276 | 19 "The fact that groups rise and fall this way punctures the whole idea of “
model minorities” or that groups succeed because of innate, biological
differences. Rather, there are cultural forces at work.
It turns out that for all their diversity, the strikingly successful groups
in America today share three traits that, together, propel success. The
first is a superiority complex — a deep-seated belief in their
exceptionality. The second appears to be the opposite — insecurity, a
feeling that you ... 阅读全帖 |
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k****r
发帖数: 851 | 20 完全不宅,最好是24小时养在外面的一个孩子. 如果可以出去玩的话,他是不要看电视的
.问题是我们下了班,做完菜都很累了,他9点半到10点才睡,除去吃饭有三个多小时,没人
有精力可以Intensive的陪他玩那么长. 大概我带出去大半小时,或陪puzzle, 老公陪大
半小时,playdoh,火车桌,打篮球, 看电视半小时,其他时间,我们希望他能自己玩玩,我
们在旁边passive的陪着,人家就不乐意了. 三岁多点的娃,我们这样期待不过分吧.
我娃是一个非常demanding的娃, 出个门都能提10个要求,大家出门要按一定次序,有人
没按他的次序必须重来,garage door必须交给他开关,我出门衣服他要帮挑,睡衣睡裤也
要挑.人家娃睡前要求妈妈讲一个故事,妈妈可以读书的.我娃什么书都不爱听,就是要让
我命题作文:
讲一个小朋友死掉的故事
讲一个小朋友死不掉的故事.
讲一个小朋友吵架的故事.
讲一个哭了又不哭的故事.
我每天都要在保证趣味性的同时加点教育的东西在里面,绞尽脑汁啊!
最令人嫉妒的是那种天使娃的父母,娃娃从来就一说就听,没有这么许多怪要求,还能学
点中文什么的.
说到最后,... 阅读全帖 |
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h**w
发帖数: 4510 | 21 我又想了想月光，黄三姐和我的三观和阶级看法。我也同意三观决定现在的状况的说法
，不过我起初的意思是一个人的出身和环境决定了他的三观。比如月光和薄瓜瓜都藤了
，都牛了，但他们的三观不一定相同。不过三观命题太大，成功者必有其相似之处。
这又回到父母版的唐僧议题，怎么推成功。虎妈对包括亚裔的几个族群成功的总结是：
1.A superiority complex
2.Insecurity
3.Impulse control
版上讨论热度比较高的＂情商＂，显然是不在公式里的。虎妈本身的情商高不高，可能
缺乏判断，不过月光情商高不高，版上判断了不少次了。(插播一句，其实我的判断和
版上主流不同，我觉得版上的判断多带点中国式的乡愿。)如果套用虎妈的成功模式，1
月光肯定是没跑的，这楼月光的＂万事皆可有错＂也体现了2。3的话，月光多次提到的
＂no pain no gain＂信条，也充分表现。－－所以你信不信虎妈的成功方程式？这里
面没有智商，也没有情商，或者说影响极小。
而且，这三点都是后天的，都是靠父母＂推＂下去的，也是可为之处。我的观点一直是
，天才是没有讨论价值的，因为，除了他的定义之外，你无... 阅读全帖 |
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y*******g
发帖数: 1395 | 22 Dr. Richard Bromfield, a psychologist at Harvard Medical School and author
of “How to Unspoil Your Child Fast: A Speedy, Complete Guide to Contented
Children and Happy Parents” says yes, restaurants can be a learning
experience for children, but no, other diners do not have to suffer through
the lesson.
He suggests some rules, as follows:
1. Plan to take your toddler or school-age child to a restaurant that he
or she loves (preferably a modestly priced one).
2. Share her excitement about... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******r
发帖数: 22634 | 23 我刚才以老军医的态度快速 wiki 了一下。撇开 boring 这个词不说，根据我
对娃的观察，我觉得猜测的原因是 overly AMC 8 problem solving（相对娃
而言的 overly）引起的 (temporary) mental fatigue 的一种，具体而言，
我胡乱猜测有可能是 (temporary) directed attention fatigue (DAF)。
Directed attention fatigue (DAF) is a neurological phenomenon
that results from overuse of the brain’s inhibitory attention
mechanisms, which handle incoming distractions while maintaining
focus on a specific task.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Directed_attention_fatigue
我猜测这有可能跟 structured close-ende... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 24 You may want to get your kid evaluated for autism (since he has severe
communication problem and impulsive behavior). If he is diagnosed, then he
may get a one-on-one aid, who can walk with him to your home if he does the
same. |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 25 UPDATE:
今天和老师开会，本来２０分钟，因为参加的人多，说了around３５分钟（我们最后一
个）。细节如下：
1. 学术(regular teacher, around 5 minutes)：说用的是common core standard
based report card。说common core之后，对K学业要求比以前高了，所以K花在学业上
时间比以前长。说小孩读和写远超过班上别的小孩，学业其他方面1st quarter也算好
的。现在正在进行第二quarter的assessment。增加了listening comprehension和
single-digit addition。说 listening comprehension common core前只要求小孩能
大概说说书里讲了什么，common后要求能说故事的beginning, middle, and end，而且
要能predict后面可能发生什么。要我们给他读书的时候问他这些问题。
2. Language, social, & behavior (therapist, one-on-one aid, sp... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****g
发帖数: 19398 | 26 The 21st century learning skills are often called the 4 C's: critical
thinking, creative thinking, communicating, and collaborating. These skills
help students learn, and so they are vital to success in school and beyond.
See videos of each main area below at the website - https://k12.
thoughtfullearning.com/FAQ/what-are-learning-skills
Critical Thinking
Critical thinking is focused, careful analysis of something to better
understand it. When people speak of "left brain" activity, they are usual... 阅读全帖 |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 27 http://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Why-are-Palo-Alto-s-kids-
While specialists disagree on how often teen suicides are driven by impulse
versus premeditation, they are in accord that the greatest risk factor is
another youth suicide. Still, “most kids who are depressed don’t take
their life,” says Joshi. “If you have academic stress and you also
experience depression or anxiety, that amplifies that stress. Plus, I’m not
sleeping, my parents are fighting, my girlfriend broke up with me—many of... 阅读全帖 |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 28 当然死磕的哥们会问，凭啥后边的海马回的部位不能是高级神经活动？
这个小学四年级的娃娃就知道，NFL 的 TBI/CTE 的案子和研究，明摆着告诉我们
brain frontal lobes / cortex are involved in motor function, problem solving
, spontaneity, memory, language, initiation, judgement, impulse control, and
social and sexual behavior。。。这些才是大脑高级活动。。。海马回这 explicit
memory 相比而言，也就是个大脑的 TI-82 计算器功能。。。否则以后考 SAT 数学的
话，只要用 Amazon Prime 把 TI-82 计算器 delivery 到场，考生就可以缺席考试了。
：这个理由是，analytic psychology 万变不离其宗是首先基于语言和逻辑的分析，也
就是 explicit memory。而其认为直觉和 implicit memory 相对语言逻辑 explicit
：me... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 29 你说的是对的。
我对自闭有一点研究，娃的preschool和学校班上有一些自闭学生。他的preschool附近
有个自闭preschool(针对中等自闭的, 里面只有十几个娃，每个娃one-on-one＋3个
therapists），有时那里的学生会到他们preschool待一阵，会和他们一起去游泳和
fieldtrip。
那小孩自闭症状很不明显。虽然他在里面说我不喜欢被碰（sensory issue)，不理解怎么
回事，我总感觉他实际上知道怎么回事, 后来警察碰了他也乖乖听话了。即使自闭，也
确实是高功自闭里轻的。
我一儿医朋友曾经说过，干预自闭3－6岁很关键，如果6岁以后才干预，效果会大打折
扣。我注意了一下我娃学校和网上一些自闭小孩的情况，好像确实如此。还有些娃有
明显自闭症状，不过父母没发现。
对那些很多东西不理解的自闭小孩有时positive enforcement比管教有用很多。
positive enforcement让他们知道什么行为是好的。 social story和训练小孩解决问题
也很有帮助。多接触sensory environment, 小心的推小孩到他能达到的... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 30 攻击行为不管什么小孩都是必须punish并且不停remind好行为的. 我说的是很多
别的行为，比如meltdown. 有的自闭小孩transition困难，如果强迫transition
会有meltdown. 这种情况用positive enforcement会有效）。social story
是针对自闭小孩对很多东西不理解的措施。到sensory-rich environemtn时
让小孩sensory发展，减少anxiety.
事实上，很多自闭小孩没有攻击行为。rigidity (hard to transit, meltdown when
routinechanges, meltdown when an activity is interrupted)，impulsive,
anxiety是自闭的几个重要诊断。攻击行为不是自闭小孩的诊断。 自闭小孩
很多只有meltdown的时候被强行要求做某事时才有攻击行为，其他时候
一般不会有。事实上，我见过的自闭小孩没有攻击人的，meltdown的有
几个，meltdown的时候也没有攻击行为，主要是大哭并且拒绝人碰。
攻击行为本身和... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 31 是这样的。上小学前的诊断基本根据自闭的几条标准来诊断：rigidity, anxiety,
sensory integration disorder, impulsive, 重复action, language delay,
development delay. 有时有误诊。那些误诊的小孩到7，8岁时rigidity,
anxiety什么就没了。没有误诊的7，8岁的时候通常还有明显症状，所以
通常每年都要去developmental 儿医那re-evaluate。一旦发现没有症状
了就更新诊断结果。
上小学后诊断成自闭和ADHD的很多是为了小孩能拿到aide才诊断的（这样
的小孩多数是扰乱课堂纪律或者不听话的，真正自闭但没
诊断的一些小孩很安静，反而不会被老师要求去evaluate)。这样诊断的好处
是这些小孩能上学。坏处是容易被家长滥用，孩子一有行为问题，就说是自闭，
ADHD导致的。其实即使是真正自闭的小孩，很多行为也不是因为自闭导致的。
家长要分清什么是自闭特有的行为什么不是才能正确handle小孩。
现在的自闭太广了，所以前几年从自闭中划出一个social communica... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******e
发帖数: 3433 | 32 攻击行为我同意用严厉punishment, 非攻击行为严厉的punishment并不适用于
高功自闭。很多高功自闭的impulsive, 但是并不一定disruptive. 说no是肯定要的，
但很多时候要和孩子讲道理，训练自我控制能力，光靠punishment不行。手段
是positive+negative enforcement. 鼓励好的行为，对不好的行为采取一些手段，
比如今天没有ipad玩。对好的行为拥抱鼓励或者给个小的巧克力。那个video中
的小孩看不出什么自闭症状，我觉得就是捣蛋的正常小孩。你说他妈应该用严厉
punishment还是讲道理？我觉得正常小孩的攻击行为也需要严厉punishment.
事实上，正常孩子和一些被诊断的高功自闭看不出什么差别（e.g. 过度诊断）。
还有一些没被诊断的有明显高功自闭。我的朋友说有些小孩自闭特征很不明显，
但因为学校认为小孩需要aide帮忙, 才暂时诊断高功自闭(否则小孩拿不到service)，
等小孩能independent再诊断小孩outgrow了高功自闭。
punishment有时有坏作用，不管是对正常儿童还是自闭儿童. 我... 阅读全帖 |
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c****x
发帖数: 2674 | 33 【 以下文字转载自 Fashion 讨论区 】
发信人: ctmcmx (马瘦毛长), 信区: Fashion
标 题: 送几个macy's的10 off coupon给没睡的同学们
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Apr 26 02:18:09 2011, 美东)
$10* off Your next Macy's Credit Card purchase of $30 or more.
Valid February 2, 2011 through April 26, 2011 in-store or online. Save on
sale, clearance and selection of regular-priced items. *Exclusions apply.
EXCLUDES ALL: Everyday Values (EDV), specials, Super Buys, furniture,
mattresses, rugs/floor coverings, cosmetics, fragrances, electrics and
electroni... 阅读全帖 |
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w******i
发帖数: 429 | 35 这是细则 站内短
**Get $10 off a future purchase of $75 or more from macys.com. Extra savings
are taken at checkout and apply to sale, clearance and regular prices, with
exceptions listed. EXCLUDES: 7 For All Mankind, Asics, Birkenstock, Born,
CWX, Coach, Converse, Chantelle, Donatella, Ed Hardy, Emporio Armani,
FitFlops, Goddess, Joe's Jeans, Lacoste, Levi's®, Minnetonka Moccasin,
Nike footwear, Puma footwear, Reebok footwear, Skechers Shape-ups, Sofft,
The North Face, Tretorn, Va Bien, baby gear,... 阅读全帖 |
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F*********u
发帖数: 12190 | 36 Opening for a postdoctoral fellow at the Department of Electrical & Computer
Engineering at the University of Iowa in Iowa City, Iowa, USA starting in
the fall of 2009.
Our research group is looking for a talented researcher whose
responsibilities would primarily include the research and development of a
novel graph searching method for medical image segmentation. The graph
searching approach developed in our group has been demonstrated to be an
innovative segmentation method, which impulses us |
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z********6
发帖数: 852 | 37 Chappaquiddick incident
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Chappaquiddick incident
Location Chappaquiddick Island, Massachusetts, U.S.A.
Date July 18, 1969
Result Kennedy pleaded guilty to leaving the scene of the accident;
refused to run for president in 1972 and 1976
The term "Chappaquiddick incident" refers to the circumstances
surrounding the death of Mary Jo Kopechne, whose body was discovered
underwater inside an automobile belonging to Senator Edward M. Kennedy.
Kopechne's bod... 阅读全帖 |
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s********g
发帖数: 142 | 38 好像很难找啊。15寸的笔记本包会不会太大？对wenger Impulse挺感兴趣但是只有15寸
的 |
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b*****g
发帖数: 2727 | 39 是很近。我在长岛。一个warehouse就在 Quees,另一个远点，在宾州。虽然ny州因
为amazon要收税所以有些东西比新蛋高，但如果只是相差几块钱的话还是选amazon.
Perfect for impulse buy :)
新蛋上次送我的卡，先从新泽西送到巴尔的摩以南，再扭头向北运到长岛。。。 |
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r*s
发帖数: 2555 | 40 Black Friday: What not to buy
12:00 pm November 13, 2012, by Nedra Rhone
With holiday shopping season fast approaching — actually it is here —
advertisements for the latest and greatest goods are surely flooding your
snail mailbox and email inbox.
Avid shoppers are gathering Black Friday ads, making lists and setting
shopping budgets — and the super savvy ones know that not everything out
there is a deal.
Several years ago, I raced out during Black Friday for a doorbuster deal —
a first generat... 阅读全帖 |
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b****u
发帖数: 1027 | 41 我前一段在 fb 上做广告，发现定点投放很方便。主要体现在：你可以控制看到你广告
的性别，年龄，他们的位置和兴趣。这点比 search engine 要强很多，但问题就在于
最后的效果不如 search engine, 因为 search engine 上 search 的人是有购买意向
的人，所以 search engine 的 conversion rate 高。而 facebook 上虽然你可以非常
严格的控制谁能看到你的广告，但是他们的 conversion rate 很低，因为他们没有在
寻找这些东西,所以购买的动机不强。
我感觉 facebook 更适合 impulsive buy, 应该根据产品而看。 |
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b*********1
发帖数: 205 | 42 I've been impressed by how different successful traders are in their
personalities, their ways of trading, and their ways of viewing markets.
There are, however, a few similarities that stand out among those who
have made their livings from markets:
1) Thinking in Themes - Traders look at different themes across
different time frames, but the good ones synthesize market information
and arrive at a view of how their markets are likely to trade. Instead
of impulsively buying or selling when a mark |
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p***r
发帖数: 20570 | 43 Seems a failed C wave of the flat correction. Now we are heading to either
another large C wave down. A huge impulsive Wave 3 down is quite unlikely
since the correction is rather shallow IMO. If a=c, we are heading to spx
900... |
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n***o
发帖数: 95 | 44 This is only a beginning of the greatest depression. The economy won't
recover in five to six years. The bear market rally from March 2009 ended
when the DOW reached 68% retracement.
The DOW is impulsing down. It has very high probability of losing
50% of its value by the end of the year.
08
09 |
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n***o
发帖数: 95 | 45 看起来
DJIA Wave 2 expanded flat has finished. It retraces 68% of wave one and
beginning of wave 2 of extended wave v in a lower degree.
Wave 2 subdivided into w-x-y, flat-x-zigzig. Timewise wave 1 lasted 29days;
wave 2 lasted 76 days. ratio of 0.382 the square of Fibonacci ratio 0.618.
A logic conclusion would be Wave 3 impulses down breaking the low of
March 2009...
S&P 500 shows the same count, only the expanded flat formation fits even
better.
Dollar index has finished its correction, ready to |
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n***o
发帖数: 95 | 46 Each impulse action wave (1, 3, 5) is made up of 5 smaller waves.
1 2 3 labels the big waves. i, ii, iii labels the subdivision in wave 3.
Wave theory show the fractal nature of the market - self-resemblence
on different time scales.
You will need to know the basic rules of Elliot Wave Theory to understand. |
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n***o
发帖数: 95 | 47 USD/CAD does not mean much though. This currency pair is correlated with
the crude oil price. To really see the SPX turn and go down, the US dollar
has to appreciate against all the major currency. EUR/USD has to go down.
Then the stock market will drop like a stone. The DX is in a wave 2
correction after the impulse wave up from the end of last year. When the
second wave finishes,
the third wave up will be a wonder to behold.
months. The June high of 1130 now is a significant resistance |
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v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 48 apparently, he likes her a lot and believes she's a good candidate for a wif
e. that is why he vists her often and takes her to movies and restaurants
and
writes those emails. but he is not sexually attracted to her. that's why he
doesn't do those impulsive, intimate little things that she mentioned. nothi
ng can replace what a good fuck can do. |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 49 非也，只是综合了个人对EW的认识而下结论。
如果你有Elliott Wave Principle这本书，page 69，可以看到ABC是可以高于之前
impulse wave的端点。
2和4不一定要低于1或3的端点，因为correction可以是expanding triangle（i.e.
broadening patterns)或者是expanded flat（楼上有说），这两种patterns的B都是比
之前的wave高。 |
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u********e
发帖数: 4950 | 50 SPX 是不是开始第一个impulse wave 乐？ |
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