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全部话题 - 话题: inflated
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L***n
发帖数: 6727
1
对不了解此人的兄弟,一点背景介绍,此人任Financial Times 的
associate editor and chief economics commentator,
自吹"widely considered to be one of the world's most
influential writers on economics"(见wiki), 典型的犹太人,
骨子里极端反华, 表面上道貌岸然, 纵观其对中国评论的历史记录, 即使
是貌似公正的为中国经济发展进言, 其隐藏的立场也无不是损害中国的利益
以维护西方白人的利益. 现在连这层遮羞布也不要了, 赤裸裸的宣传美国用
印纸钞票的办法来迫使人民币升职. 此文发表于 FT 网站, 显示其道德水准
之底下, 以基本接近海平面的海拔高度. 一言以蔽之, 其中心思想即是, 我
就是要发烂渣, 就是要耍赖来搞你. 现在QE已经成为美国迫使人民币升值之
基本武器, 未来中国压力会很大.
Why America is going to win the global currency battle
By Martin Wolf
Publ... 阅读全帖
t*******h
发帖数: 2882
2
来自主题: Military版 - 印度的GDP是咋算的?
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/LL18Df01.html
India's growth not all shine
By Kunal Kumar Kundu
BANGALORE - India's gross domestic product (GDP) figures for the second
quarter of its fiscal year surprised on the upside as year-on-year growth
was pegged at 8.9%. While the numbers are confidence boosting, it is
important to realize that there is a statistical element to the latest
number, while being very positive, rather than the data indicating a
substantial improvement in actual perform... 阅读全帖
M******8
发帖数: 10589
3
来自主题: Military版 - 偶尔在网上发现这样一篇文章
http://www.raskb.com/transactions/VOL64/VOL64-3.docx
“You are Dead, the Square is Dead”: The 1989 Chinese Pro-Democracy
Movement
by Karen EGGLESTON
You are dead, the Square is dead.
They say now is a great victory,
thinking that death can protect their criminal existence.
We live on,
We give our hearts to you,the dead ones,
to let you live again through our lives,
to complete the mission which you left incomplete.
by Gu Cheng and Yang... 阅读全帖
z**********e
发帖数: 22064
4
来自主题: Military版 - 中国的“贪官经济学”
http://cn.nytimes.com/opinion/20140512/c12yu/
New York Times ChinaFollow the Money, China-Style
By YU HUA May 12, 2014
余华 2014年05月12日
BEIJING — Since China introduced a floating exchange rate on July 21, 2005,
the Chinese yuan has consistently risen in value against the United States
dollar, from a low of 8.28 yuan to the dollar in July 2005 to a high of 6.06
in January of this year. But the appreciation of the yuan has failed to
convince ordinary Chinese people that their money buys more; on th... 阅读全帖
s******r
发帖数: 5309
5
来自主题: Military版 - 终于有人说出真相
关税导致通胀预期增加,迫使美联储加息是这次股灾的原因。
President Donald Trump during a news conference in the Rose Garden of the
White House in Washington, October 1, 2018.
Kevin Lamarque | Reuters
President Donald Trump during a news conference in the Rose Garden of the
White House in Washington, October 1, 2018.
While President Donald Trump has directed his ire at the Federal Reserve for
the recent stock market decline, he also has himself to blame.
The president's escalating trade battle with China has added another la... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
6
来自主题: USANews版 - OBAMA'S LEGACY: STAGFLATION
By DICK MORRIS
Published on TheHill.com on March 1, 2011
Obama's failure to support America's allies in the Middle East and his
dithering endorsement of chaos in the region will send oil and gasoline
prices skyrocketing, triggering a massive bout of stagflation. This vicious
cycle of rising prices, decreased consumption, and ever higher prices (as
vendors seek to recover higher fixed costs) will cripple the American
economy for years to come.
This is Obama's true legacy.
Consider what he has don... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
7
深陷债务危机的西班牙失业率达到21.3%,另一个深陷债务危机的国家希腊的零售额比
去年下降10%
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/apr/29/euro-nations-fal
Greek and Spanish economies falter ahead of expected rise in interest rates
Spanish Job Centers as Spain Meets Deficit Goal
Jobseekers wait for an employment centre to open in Madrid, Spain. Almost
five million workers are unemployed in the country. Photograph: Bloomberg/
Getty
Europe's north-south divide has worsened as figures show Spain and Greece
faltering, with rising unemploymen... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
8
来自主题: USANews版 - How the Free Market Can Cure Health Care
December 17, 2011
By Matt Palumbo
There are many myths that proponents of socialized medicine commonly use to
advance their cause. One thing that is true, however, is that rising costs
are a major flaw in the current system. In due time, this problem could
well constitute a "crisis."
There are many different ways to combat rising costs: rationing and price
controls, increasing subsidies to health care (and thus further masking
costs), or market competition. Rationing has its obvious consequen... 阅读全帖
L*******e
发帖数: 334
9
来自主题: USANews版 - GOP or DEM?
The good government is the one who raises the living standard. The economy,
more specified, the inflation, will decide who wins. Inflation will reduce
living standard.
This depends on how long US can keep borrowing or printing money. In 4 years
, US debt will reach 20 trillions.
At that time, if US can still borrow or print money, and inflation is still
less than 3 percents, DEM will win again. Japan keeps inflation low for many
many years.
If inflation raised to higher than 5% a year, GOP will ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
10
Argentina freezes prices to break inflation spiral
Posted: Feb 04, 2013 11:51 AM Updated: Feb 04, 2013 11:51 AM
ALMUDENA CALATRAVA, Associated Press
BUENOS AIRES, Argentina (AP) — Argentina announced a two-month price freeze
on supermarket products Monday in an effort to break spiraling inflation.
The price freeze applies to every product in all of the nation's largest
supermarkets — a group including Walmart, Carrefour, Coto, Jumbo, Disco and
other large chains. The companies' trade group, repr... 阅读全帖
g***y
发帖数: 1268
11
来自主题: USANews版 - 美国中产是TM最倒霉的群体
It's inflation. Just that simple. 从食品,油,医疗,教育,乃至房价,股价,都
是inflation.
都怪中国人的cheap goods和非法移民的cheap labor, 在很长一段时间压低了相应方面
的inflation.
使得中产阶级产生幻觉,以为房价股价上涨是真实的wealth. 相信政府没有inflation
的crap。现在随着fed越来越疯狂,inflation 越来越压不住了。
想想五六十年代,一个人可以养一家五口。孩子靠summer打工就可以念完大学。现在的
中产阶级的日子还不如半个世纪前。
l****z
发帖数: 29846
12
查韦斯,一个独裁者,死了. 看到好来污的左棍如Sean Penn之流如丧考妣我一点不奇怪.
我奇怪的是为什么还有人华人出来替查韦斯洗地.
委内瑞拉国家虽小,但有着丰富的石油资源, 被proven的石油储量世界第一.石油出口量
, 2006年排名第9, 2012年排名12.
照理来说,这个国家应该是非常富裕的.
但查韦斯干了这么多年 (14年吧),连任4届,看看现在委内瑞拉什么情况吧,我认为是完
全fucked up.
想替Chavez洗地的同学不妨来解释一下吧.
inflation rate,这里有连接,可以自己看,就没一年低于10%的,通常都在20%以
上.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/venezuela/inflation-cpi
委内瑞拉被认为是hyper inflation 的国家.
犯罪率, 看这里好了:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_Venezuela
委内瑞拉被认为是西半球最violent的国家,犯罪率被美国和欧盟加起来还高.
人们都喜欢说委内瑞拉porverty rate现在降低了,但同时... 阅读全帖
t*******s
发帖数: 492
13
Devalue currency is referred as a measure against foreign currency. If other
currency stay the same, then Yes, you introduce inflation, at the same time
, encourage export. These 2 benefits are major reasons a lot of countries
are trying to do that. But, if all countries try to do this at the same time
, then really no net inflation is introduced.
We already have minimal wage, this is just simple fact. We should leverage
on this to achieve inflation. Most of the things you mentioned are simply
u... 阅读全帖
s**w
发帖数: 499
14
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/principles-for-the-conduct-of-
monetary-policy.htm
FED利率政策三大原则,第一和第三说如何调整利率,第二说根据什么调整利率。
A second principle is that the central bank should provide monetary policy
stimulus when economic activity is below the level associated with full
resource utilization and inflation is below its stated goal. Conversely, the
central bank should implement restrictive monetary policy when the economy
is overheated and inflation is above its stated goal.
所以说inflation... 阅读全帖
t**********1
发帖数: 7316
15
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
young22 (no) 于 (Fri Jun 17 09:13:35 2011, 美东) 提到:
一看到路上有人爆胎,就怕自己会遇到这种情况
一般什么时候或什么原因会发生
谢谢
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
leshan (乐) 于 (Fri Jun 17 09:16:19 2011, 美东) 提到:
1.胎压
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
imrobot (robot) 于 (Fri Jun 17 10:55:28 2011, 美东) 提到:
胎压,速度注意就行了
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
cloudgreen (norton) 于 (Fri Jun 17 11:16:46 2011, 美东) 提到:
速度快了会爆吗?
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
imro... 阅读全帖
w**e
发帖数: 2424
16
这好像是honda因为同样的问题第五次还是第六次召回了,还是老话,死一批,招一次
In a rare supplier-side rippling effect, six automakers are issuing the same
recall to fix at least 3.4 million cars due to defective airbags shipped
from the Japanese supplier Takata Corp.
Certain Honda, Mazda, Nissan, Toyota, BMW and Pontiac models have front
passenger airbags with inflators that could rupture and injure occupants
during a crash. Honda said the airbags could deploy with too much pressure
and cause the casing of the inflator to break apa... 阅读全帖
n**********o
发帖数: 713
17
来自主题: Automobile版 - BMW三系E46 召回,安全气囊问题
昨天收到信了,说不知道什么时候零件才available,这封信只是通知我有这么个质量
问题,可能在未来的几个月再收到一封信,告知具体的召回时间和地点。只是针对E46
的某些年份的车。
We just can't seem to get away from recalls involving the faulty airbag
inflators supplied by Takata. There are already millions of vehicles in need
of repair as a result of these ever-expanding campaigns, and BMW is adding
another 1.6 million worldwide. The Bavarian automaker is issuing a recall
for certain 3 Series models, including 574,000 of them in the US, to replace
the passenger-side, front airbag ... 阅读全帖
X***9
发帖数: 7385
18
详细列表
BMW
Affected owners in Florida, Hawaii, or Puerto Rico have been prioritized in
this recall and will receive parts first. If you live in these regions, make
sure to contact your local BMW dealer immediately to schedule an
appointment to have your front driver and/or passenger airbag replaced. BMW
recommends that no one sit in the front passenger seat until that airbag is
replaced.
Recalled cars:
Driver's side airbag
2002-2005 BMW 3 Series sedan and wagon
2002-2006 BMW 3 Series coupe and con... 阅读全帖
E****a
发帖数: 3088
19
来自主题: Automobile版 - 胎压应是多少
国内到处都充斥着这些所谓内幕消息。特么胎压该多少不就是个普通工程技术问题么?
你特么读了那么多年大学研究生还要去听个换油的小工给你内幕消息,才知道该怎么给
汽车打气。国外网站上关于这个问题的讨论一抓一大把。
老色狼这回也不算全错。但思维逻辑方式还是一如继往的糟糕。
1. 车主手册上(或车门上)的数值是制造厂推荐的充气压力数值。这个数值考虑了安
全,燃油经济等诸方面的因素。以下是摘自 Dodge Challenger SRT 的手册
Underinflated tires will increase tire rolling resistance resulting in
higher fuel consumption.Ride Comfort And Vehicle Stability Proper tire
inflation contributes to a comfortable ride. Over-inflation produces a
jarring and uncomfortable ride.
2. 制造厂规定的胎压是指冷态的胎压
Inflation pressure... 阅读全帖
T*******y
发帖数: 560
20
WASHINGTON — American Honda Motor Co. is recalling 4.5 million vehicles to
replace defective Takata front-passenger inflators in two new campaigns, the
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration announced on Friday.
More than half of those vehicles (2.3 million) have been recalled previously
for similar issues.
The recalled Honda and Acura vehicles are:
2003-'06 Acura MDX
2005-'11 Acura RL
2009-'11 Acura TSX
2010-'11 Acura ZDX
2008-'11 Honda Accord
2010-'11 Honda Accord Crosstour
2006-'11 Ho... 阅读全帖
h*******y
发帖数: 864
21
来自主题: Investment版 - 看着401k帐户,有种绝望的感觉
首先,你这八万到底是inflation adjusted还是不是先说清楚. 你不能只花的时候算是
inflation钱的, 401K的涨幅算inflation后的. 投资股市,不就是hedge正常的
inflation么?
社保破产是个很夸张的说法,30年之后,也会有人工作,也可以从他们的收入里扣社保金
给你花,所谓的社保破产,是说不能按现在的预算中你会拿到的钱给你了,按照现在的预
算,如果是不adjust inflation的,现在年薪十万的,社保一人一年有八万左右. 我看到
的最坏的预测,也就是打个七折罢了.
至于医疗保险,medicare现在就是有的,不需要教主的医疗改革,年龄到了就有了.
另外,我总觉得这种退休金的算法很小农. 似乎,自己存够了,老婆孩子热炕头的那种满
足. 如果,真的要假设社保完全破产,医疗保险完全破产,美国不要乱了?世界不要大战了
?还算401K有多少钱有意思么? 就好比去年经济低谷的时候,很多人在这里说要三到五年
的emergency fund. 如果,真的到有热门研究生学位的能吃苦耐劳的中国人都因为失业
花光三年的应急基金的话,隔壁老黑不早就在你们家抢劫
S**C
发帖数: 2964
22
It may suggest two different things
1) The investors, especially the retirees, get led/scared by the talking
heads to believe inflation is on the horizon **AND** TIPS is the best hedge
against it, so they bought up TIPS, albeit market says otherwise.
2) Or the market is wrong, and the future inflation is much higher than the
market implied.
My thinking is on the former camp. People tend to forget the TIPS are, first
and foremost, treasury bonds. It has not been inflation tested since it is
prett... 阅读全帖
z********e
发帖数: 8818
23
来自主题: Investment版 - 求人帮说一下TIPS
tips 和 ibond 很相似。但是 ibond 仿佛更保守些。
http://www.retireearlyhomepage.com/tipsbond.html
上面这个链接说的是它们的区别:
Series I Savings Bonds (I-Bonds) and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities
(TIPS) both protect investors against the ravages of inflation. They are
both available from the US Treasury's Department of Public Debt. You may buy
I-Bonds on-line from Savings Bonds Direct or at your local bank without
fees or commissions. TIPS may be bought through Treasury Direct at auction
without fees or commissions... 阅读全帖
r****m
发帖数: 1204
24
来自主题: Investment版 - 买黄金。。。。。。。。
You can consider the gold ETF - GLD.
Its current price is $121, one year ago, its price was $155, 2 years ago,
its price was $148, is this what makes you feel 现在黄金便宜?
If you extend the time further back, 5 years ago, its price was about $95,
10 years ago, its price was less than $50 ...
I don't have the crystal ball to tell if Gold is cheap or expensive right
now, but it's OK to allocate a small % of your asset to commodities.
Also, if your primary concern is inflation, there are two types of in... 阅读全帖
M********r
发帖数: 278
25
the closest thing to what you want is probably TIPS (Treasury Inflation-
Protected Securities). Google it up to learn how it works. In theory it
should beat inflation consistently. Problem is the history of TIPS is
relatively short. It is not time-tested, especially in a rising interest
rate
environment. In my opinion, the best way to beat inflation is to buy and
hold a balanced portfolio with stocks, bonds (including TIPS), and maybe
some gold. It is not a guarantee to beat inflation at any giv... 阅读全帖
M********r
发帖数: 278
26
the closest thing to what you want is probably TIPS (Treasury Inflation-
Protected Securities). Google it up to learn how it works. In theory it
should beat inflation consistently. Problem is the history of TIPS is
relatively short. It is not time-tested, especially in a rising interest
rate
environment. In my opinion, the best way to beat inflation is to buy and
hold a balanced portfolio with stocks, bonds (including TIPS), and maybe
some gold. It is not a guarantee to beat inflation at any giv... 阅读全帖
w*****e
发帖数: 721
27

sounds like a sure thing. Then why preferred stocks have a yield of ~6-8%
while 30-year t-bond rate is ~3%? Why Wall street money is not smart enough
to arbitrage away the gap?
I am sure you must have heard the term "rating" before ? Different ratings ,
different returns. (but why does this gap matters anyway ? who cares ?
Unless you believe these tier 1 banks can fail again ?)
Under current Basel III regulation, all big banks are required to raise
capital and it is almost impossible that these... 阅读全帖
o*******n
发帖数: 2035
28
来自主题: Living版 - 看来利率要降了
Treasury Five-Year Yield Falls to Record as Fed Targets Midterm Securities
bloomberg
Wes Goodman, On Thursday November 4, 2010, 2:56 am EDT
Treasuries rose, pushing five-year yields to a record low, after the Federal
Reserve said it will focus its asset purchases on medium-maturity debt as
it tries to spur the economy.
Thirty-year bonds declined for a second day on speculation the U.S. central
bank’s plan to pump $600 billion into the economy by buying Treasuries will
cause inflation to accele... 阅读全帖
a****i
发帖数: 4783
29
来自主题: Living版 - 利率涨,但房价没跌
随大流才是最stupid的idea,如果大家认为inflation会到来,那么我们就绝对不可
以买黄金。从这个意义上说,save money for inflation是非常明智的方法。美国有
很多似是而非的理论,比如所谓的inflation expectation,inflation只由货币发行
量决定,还有就是买黄金对付inflation。显然买黄金最好的时间是2000年附近,那
候一切大好。所以真正应该做的是,经济大好的时候买黄金,经济crash的时候买股
票,高利率的时候买房子,低利率的时候存cash。

with
't
q**j
发帖数: 10612
30
抛砖引玉,希望能够引起大家讨论。
ibond adjust for inflation by changing the floating component of the rate.
TIPS adjust for inflation by changing the principle.
So suppose there is a big inflation jump, i bond will not compensate you
for the money you lost from that jump to next interest adjustment date,
while TIPS can fully account for this. So the point is that i bond only
provide imperfect hedge against inflation, while TIPS provide perfect
inflation hedge. (in the case of deflation, uncle sam guarantee tha
b*********k
发帖数: 118
31
来自主题: Returnee版 - 2013年,人民币兑美元10:1
You are talking about another question: whether shall we increase or
decrease the currency rate right now. It seems you might prefer increasing
it to 3:1. However, it is another trap.
Benefit:
(1) to somewhat reduce the pain of inflation, especially control the cost of
import oil, iron ore, and etc.
(2) Rich people can buy more luxury good and invest abroad.
Nightmare:
(1) destroy the export, leading to unemployment. let's say now the rate is 6
each. Now consider 3:1, we at least need to sell at... 阅读全帖
o**y
发帖数: 3065
32
There is a concern on this when the external debt is
over 95% of the GDP. However, 1/3 of the spending is going to military and
another 1/3 is going to social security and medicare. Those spending can be
cut, though a very difficult decision for polictician
~~~~~~~~~~~Spending cut on national security and medical care is very very
difficult, if any politician wants to do so, he will not be elected. This is
the disadvantage of democracy, nobody wants to be backbones, and everyone
only cares abo... 阅读全帖
o**y
发帖数: 3065
33
来自主题: Returnee版 - 关于目前中国问题的一些看法

大体看了看今天版上的发言,让我先从几个例子入手:
1. M2,请先google什么叫M0,M1,M2,M3,有些人的发言真的让我都怀疑他是否真的
明白M2的定义是什么,就中国而言,(好像)上个月M2已经回落到15.3%,一般意义上
而言,当M2超过gdp+CPI 3%时,容易出现多出的货币无法被gdp和inflation所吸收,容
易出现通胀,2011年Q1中国在外需为负值的情况下gdp是9.6%,cpi数据大家都知道了吧
,15.3%意味这什么不用我解释了吧,中国政府一个强大的地方就在于行动非常快,而
且强度大,立竿见影,不像美联储看看,再看看,讨论来讨论去,当然这样有时候也容
易出事,不过这是另一个话题了;
The US is actually exporting inflation to China, because RMB is stick to USD
, when FED prints more US dollars, China has to print more RMB. Nowadays,
Chinese government is trying to divers... 阅读全帖
r*m
发帖数: 16380
34
来自主题: Stock版 - question about TIP bond
Currently, 100% of my 401K is in stocks, now that it is out of water and
actually with some profit, I would like to rebalance it.
I want to move 50% into a inflation linked bond fund:
"The CREF Inflation-Linked Bond Account seeks a long-term rate of return
that outpaces inflation, primarily through investment in inflation-indexed
bonds—fixed-income securities whose returns are designed to track a
specified inflation index over the life of the bond"
Is it a good time to do so? I have no idea how
s*******e
发帖数: 432
35
来自主题: Stock版 - 熊的噩梦:dow jones将破10万
Here is the inflation adjusted Dow index. The Dow definitely rose throughout
this century after inflation adjusted which contradicts what you just said
Dow only rose with the same amount of inflation.
http://www.dogsofthedow.com/dow1925cpilog.htm
Unfortunately, at this moment we still have to worry more about deflation
than inflation in US due to the Americans' high indebtedness, though, China
has to worry about inflation due to its expansion having reached its
internal structure limit.
w*******g
发帖数: 9932
36
not necessarily a good idea. High inflation + high employment like the 70s
is a definite possibility. In that environment, incredibly high interests
rates will drive down the housing price tremendously. Without recovery of
employment market, rent won't go up either.

过去的一个DECADE 是BOND 的牛市, 在未来的几年, 恐怕很难再指望BOND 每年将近
10%的收益了。
内,都很难说是很好的 INFLATION HEDGE。不过, 因为拥有STCOK 也是拥有对上司公
司拥有的一部分HARD ASSET的CLAIM, 长期看,STOCK是比BOND 更好INFLATION HEDGE
。至于在INFLATION 的环境
的INFLATION 的另外一个办法是购买 RENTAL PROPERTY 出租。首先我们现在还... 阅读全帖
s*********8
发帖数: 901
37
来自主题: Stock版 - Own gold? Who really knows.
At Jim Grant's recent conference in London, David Stockman, director of the
White House Office of Management and Budget under Ronald Reagan, explained
why credit exploded:
American lawmakers have been freed of the classical monetary constraints.
There is no monetary squeeze, and there is no reserve asset drain. The Fed
always supplies enough reserves to the banking system to fund any and all
private credit demand at rates which are invariably low.
By 1990, the total debt-to-GDP ratio in the U.S.... 阅读全帖
x******g
发帖数: 33885
38
来自主题: Stock版 - 2011-2012年度美国股市方向
The overwhelming conclusion is that of stocks remaining in a MULTI-YEAR BULL
MARKET that is being driven higher by a number of fundamental factors such
as corporate earnings OR Fed MONEY PRINTING (POMO). It does not matter which
is prevalent at a particular point in time as the market SPIRALS HIGHER in
reaction to waves of INFLATIONARY buying pressure, something that the dark
pools of capital recognised right at the birth of the Stocks Stealth Bull
Market in March 2009 (15 Mar 2009 - Stealth Bul... 阅读全帖
k********8
发帖数: 7948
39
CICC Says Global Banks Too Bullish on China Stocks as Pimco Buys
April 14, 2011, 1:22 PM EDT
April 15 (Bloomberg) -- China’s biggest investment bank is turning “
cautious” on the country’s stocks, just as six of its overseas rivals and
the manager of the largest mutual fund say it’s time to buy.
China International Capital Corp. predicts slowing economic and earnings
growth will limit equity gains after the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index
rose 6.2 percent this year, the best advance among majo... 阅读全帖
p**8
发帖数: 3883
40
Bernanke Admits Economy Slowing; No Hint of New Stimulus
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke Tuesday acknowledged a slowdown in the
U.S. economy but offered no suggestion the central bank is considering any
further monetary stimulus to support growth.
He also issued a stern warning to lawmakers in Washington who are
considering aggressive budget cuts, saying they have the potential to derail
the economic recovery if cuts in government spending take hold too soon.
A recent spate of weak economi... 阅读全帖
h********r
发帖数: 928
41
来自主题: Stock版 - kao, great rumor is out
The Fed is considering a range of tools to boost growth, William Dudley, the
president of the New York Fed Bank, said in a speech Monday, hinting at the
option of a third round of quantitative easing.
“The Fed seems to be pushing the global agenda towards continued dovishness
and accommodation and easing,” Hastings said. The Fed also is “pressuring
the global yield curve lower in order to force easing around the world,
which would of course prevent the U.S. dollar /quotes/zigman/1652083 DXY +0.
... 阅读全帖
V********e
发帖数: 578
42
来自主题: Stock版 - 还是看空黄金
IMO,这个你是误解FED了。Money supply总量在QE前后确实没有变,那些钱在QE之前已
经在那了。你看到的是一个很不幸的事实,savings在增加是因为cash hoarding。事实
是现在需要inflation。这听起来很counter intuitive。但是inflation有good
inflation backed by productivity,鼓励cash circulation。当然也有bad
inflation backed by over spending through debt。现在你看到黄金,原油,股市上
涨,很不幸都是malinvestment的结果, 是"pocket" inflation,大趋势是debt-
deflation,最终将美国带往double dip甚至great depression。
o****y
发帖数: 1810
43
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/rickards-china-slow
Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
slowdown.
Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the Unite... 阅读全帖
o****y
发帖数: 1810
44
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/rickards-china-slow
Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
slowdown.
Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the Unite... 阅读全帖
o****y
发帖数: 1810
45
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/rickards-china-slow
Rickards: China’s Slowdown Will Be Worse Than You Think
China's Premier Wen Jiabao has just warned that China's economy is now
facing challenges, including higher-than-desired inflation and an economic
slowdown.
Our guest James Rickards, the author of Currency Wars: The Making Of The
Next Global Crisis, says this slowdown will be significantly worse than most
people think. He believes it will trigger a policy response from the Unite... 阅读全帖
i*******e
发帖数: 1904
46
来自主题: Stock版 - FOMC Press Release
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December
suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately, notwithstanding
some slowing in global growth. While indicators point to some further
improvement in overall labor market conditions, the unemployment rate
remains elevated. Household spending has continued to advance, but growth in
business fixed investment has slowed, and the housing sector remains
depressed. Inflation has been subdued in r... 阅读全帖
k********8
发帖数: 7948
47
来自主题: Stock版 - Fed undecided on more easing: Dudley
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/19/us-usa-fed-dudley-idU
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve has not yet decided whether to embark on a
third round of quantitative easing, or QE3, though it remains an option, an
influential Fed official said on Monday.
New York Fed President William Dudley, a close ally of Chairman Ben Bernanke
, painted a mixed picture of the economy, tempering recent signs the
recovery is gaining speed with warnings that it could just as easily stall
out.
"Nothing has been ... 阅读全帖
v**********m
发帖数: 5516
48
来自主题: Stock版 - 中国自2008首次降息
China Cuts Interest Rates for First Time Since 2008
By Bloomberg News - Jun 7, 2012 9:20 AM ET
Timothy Bitsberger on China, Global Central Banks
China cut borrowing costs for the first time since 2008 and loosened
controls on banks’ lending and deposit rates, stepping up efforts to combat
a deepening slowdown as Europe’s debt crisis threatens global growth.
Enlarge image China Cuts Interest Rates to Boost Growth as Inflation Eases
Members of China's military police force stand guard outside the ... 阅读全帖
a********t
发帖数: 4508
49
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April
suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately, notwithstanding
some slowing in global growth. While indicators point to some further
improvement in overall labor market conditions, the unemployment rate
remains elevated. Household spending has continued to advance, but growth in
business fixed investment has slowed, and the housing sector remains
depressed. Inflation has been subdued in recent months, and longer-... 阅读全帖
a*o
发帖数: 25262
50
来自主题: NewYork版 - 为嘛现在都现金买房?
No matter what the yield it is now. TIPS principle is adjusted to the
inflation rate. It's not Uncle Sam that determines the inflation rate. it's
one of Fed's purposes to control inflation rate within a reasonable range.
High inflation is bad, but deflation is worse.
They calculate inflation rate by excluding energy and food sectors which
prices are too volatile.

really
/change
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