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Y***a
发帖数: 193 | 2 http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/juan-williams/265805-opin
Opinion: A Romney win would be a victory for shameless cynicism
By Juan Williams - 11/05/12 05:00 AM ET
Tweet
If Mitt Romney defeats President Obama in his bid for reelection on Tuesday,
it will mark the success of one of the most deeply cynical political
campaigns in American history.
It is hard to beat an incumbent no matter the economic climate.
It is even harder to be a Republican in the aftermath of President Bush’s
still widel... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 3 Ramssason and Gallup are among worst ones.
Here's the full list (polls with an asterisk were more favorable to Obama,
and polls without were more favorable to Romney):
1. PPP (D)*
1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP*
3. YouGov*
4. Ipsos/Reuters*
5. Purple Strategies
6. NBC/WSJ
6. CBS/NYT
6. YouGov/Economist
9. UPI/CVOTER
10. IBD/TIPP
11. Angus-Reid*
12. ABC/WP*
13. Pew Research*
13. Hartford Courant/UConn*
15. CNN/ORC
15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA
15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
15. FOX News
15. Washington Times/JZ A... 阅读全帖 |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 4 Poll aggregators 538 site and Princeton election consortium are best
predictors with 50 out of 50 states correct as of now. Saying as of now is
FL has been formally called out yet. |
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f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 6 Karl Rove used Gallup as his argument that Romney would get 300 + , it tuns
out he is almost right, except it is Obama, not Romney, an unforgetble joke
. He is dead politically. |
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p***i
发帖数: 2119 | 7 Newt Gingrichsaid the same thing. He also said GOP would take Senate. LOL.
GOP is controlled by clowns now.
tuns
joke |
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c*****n
发帖数: 14445 | 8 10月31号大选前一周我预测的是
Obama: 290
Romney: 248
Obama: NV,CO,IA,WI,NH, Ohio
Romney: FL, NC, VA
现实结果还是比较准备的，就差FL和VA。现在说说当初为啥这么预测和大选的启示吧。
一方面是自己的理性分析（而不是本版很多为了几百美元税钱，为了AA,为了同性恋，
为了黑人而骂奥巴马的），一方面是poll。
第一，poll还是很准的，以前那个啥效应（黑人在民调中被种族主义者支持，但投票时
被种族主义者抵制的）现在根本不灵了。美国民主发展到今天，民族平等已经深入人心
，极少数种族主义者和极右派不会影响投票结果。如果你看最近两个月的poll,
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-general-elect
看各个摇摆州的很多不同的poll，奥巴马只是在NC明显落后,FL略微落后一点，
VA几乎是平手，NV,CO,IA,WI,NH一直领先，几乎没有落后过，所以这些州其实根本算不
上真正意义上的战场州。就剩下一个Ohio,奥巴马也是一直领先3-5%，大家觉得Oh... 阅读全帖 |
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d*****y
发帖数: 1365 | 9 i think pollsters recalibrated their model based on the election result |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 11 President Barack Obama’s approval rating dropped a shocking 8 percentage
points over the last month -- one of sharpest, fastest plunges in his
presidency, according to a new CNN poll released early Monday morning.
For the first time in Obama's time in office, more than half of the public
doesn’t feel that the president is honest and trustworthy, the CNN/ORC
International poll showed.
Specifically, Obama's approval rating stands at 45 percent, down from 53
percent in mid-May, CNN reported. A sho... 阅读全帖 |
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s********2
发帖数: 763 | 12 无知的左派，难道不知道法国等一部分欧洲国家以“共产主义”为荣么？
这可不是我说的，可是法国人自己说的
Communist China Loves Capitalism, France No
There was a recent story in the media that France is more anti-capitalist
than even communist China.
A survey by pollster IFOP published in the French newspaper La Croix said
that 33% of French people said that their country should abandon capitalism,
the highest ratio in 10 countries surveyed.
Only thing is that France has never even been a capitalist nation. So what
the heck are these people talking... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 13 Christie vetoes 3 gun-control bills
By Matt Katz, Inquirer Trenton Bureau
Posted: August 18, 2013
Gov. Christie rejected three major pieces of gun-control legislation Friday
that Democrats passed following last year's fatal school shootings in
Connecticut.
Despite proposing a ban on purchases of the Barrett .50-caliber gun and
similar weapons in April, Christie vetoed a bill that would have done just
that.
He said Friday that the bill went too far, in that it would have
criminalized current and ... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 14 September 11, 2013 Posted by Warner Todd Huston
Today we have a great example of a polling firm allowing its political
ideology to get in the way of its work. On Tuesday, Sept. 10, two anti-
Second Amendment State Senators in Colorado were recalled by huge margins.
In the days before the recall vote took place, Public Policy Polling (PPP)
had conducted a poll that showed that the senators were about to be
eliminated by voters but the firm refused to publish its own poll because
the left-wing pol... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 15 Fighting a law that is unfair, unworkable and unaffordable is reasonable and
necessary.
Now that the government shutdown has ended and the president has preserved
ObamaCare for the time being, it's worth explaining why my organization, the
Heritage Foundation, and other conservatives chose this moment to fight—
and why we will continue to fight. The reason is simple: to protect the
American people from the harmful effects of this law.
I spent a good part of my summer traveling around the country... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 16 MSNBC Focus Group Agrees Obama’s a Total Failure: ‘He’s a big
disappointment’
by Jammie
You know things are bad when even the Obama supporters, on NBC no less,
realize what a disaster Obama has been.
Once staunch supporters of the President, former Obama voters are now
expressing their disappointment in him, MSNBC’s Chuck Todd reported.
A focus group conducted by Peter Hart, a Democratic Pollster, found that
President Obama is losing credibility with his faithful allies.
Eight of the... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 17 by Jammie
Weird how they don’t mention this in the headline. Seems newsworthy.
Dissatisfaction with guns among people in the United States has reached
its highest level in more than a decade, a new poll suggests.
Fifty-five percent of the public is dissatisfied with the country’s gun
laws and policies, close to the 57 percent who said the same in 2001,
according to a Gallup poll released Thursday.
The poll indicates 40 percent are satisfied with such policies, but that
’s down from G... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 20 via Breitbart Feed
On Monday’s broadcast of Fox News Channel’s “Your World,” former Carter
pollster Pat Caddell discussed what strategies the Republican Party should
employee despite finding themselves at a cash disadvantage in the upcoming
November midterm elections.
According to Caddell, the best path for the GOP would be to nationalize the
midterm election and make it a referendum on the issue of immigration.
“[I]f I were the Republicans would stop and say, ‘Wait a minute, we're
having a nati... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 21 Debate Crowd Laughs As Democratic Senator Dodges Question On Support For
Obama [VIDEO]
10:33 PM 10/21/2014
Derek Hunter
At a time when being seen as too close to President Barack Obama is a
political liability, Democratic candidates are rushing to distance
themselves from the man. But two things are standing in their way – their
voting records and the president himself.
The president this week told Al Sharpton:
“We’ve got a tough map. A lot of the states that are contested this time
are states t... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 24 Poll: Yes to more aggressive deportations, no to welfare, citizenship for
kids of illegals
Despite President Obama's efforts to cool the nation's views on illegal
immigrants storming over the U.S.-Mexico border, Americans have reached a
new level of anger over the issue, with most demanding a more aggressive
deportation policy — and reversal of a law that grants citizenship to kids
of illegals born in the U.S.
A new Rasmussen Reports survey released Monday also finds Americans
questioning spendi... 阅读全帖 |
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f***e
发帖数: 5443 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: feebe (码农共和国), 信区: Military
标 题: 跪舔民主党的结果是喝尿
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jun 21 12:44:50 2015, 美东)
民主党粉丝换了一种方式忽悠，因为黑魔将来会更多，所以要跪舔民主党，
没有用，
假设你是民主党，面对华人一直跪舔，恩将仇报，仇将恩报，
你会改变对华人态度吗？你不会担心，对华人好了，反而被仇将恩报？
难道不是更狠的搞？一旦有事，难道不是往死里搞？
舔民主党，民主党用各种法案接尿在你嘴里，忽悠大家接下来要吃屎，或被砍头，
所以用尿很好喝回应
记住，跪下来，没人看的起你，
恩将仇报，仇将恩报，民主党不会因此给你甜头，美国社会，就是爱哭有奶
华人要做的是
http://studentsforfairadmissions.org/apply-to-join/
花一分钟注册！
诉讼哈佛的推手ed blum上周六与华人社区面谈，做了精彩讲解。现阶段最需要的是有
更多的人在他的网站： http://studentsforfairadmissions.org/a... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 26 Answering Glenn Beck’s Question: Why Do Conservatives Trust Trump?
by John Hawkins | August 18, 2015 3:23 am
Over at Hot Air, they’re discussing the back and forth between Glenn Beck
and Sean Hannity over Donald Trump[1].
Beck asks a good question here and then offers a good answer to it. Why,
he says, do conservative opinion-makers like Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity
give Trump a pass on his many, many ideological heresies when normally they
’re bulldogs in calling out centrists like Romney... 阅读全帖 |
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b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 28 这算一家之言吧，认为trump效应影响了KENTUCKY州长选举。另外KENTUCKY是红州，共
和党赢了不稀罕。但trump效应导致茶党turnout高倒是值得注意的。
Democrats stunned by Matt Bevin’s victory in the race for Kentucky governor
blamed “Trump-mania” for the Tea Party candidate’s unlikely 53%-44% win
over Democrat Jack Conway.
“Attorney General Jack Conway ran a strong campaign focused on the issues
that matter to Kentuckians: good schools, good-paying jobs and economic
opportunity,” said Elisabeth Pearson, executive director of the Democratic
Governors Associat... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********I
发帖数: 10729 | 29 一只欢乐的歌
A new poll of 2,000 citizens shows that Donald Trump’s immigration stance
has more support among Hispanic Americans than Gov. Mitt Romney won in 2012,
even after the pollsters reminded respondents of Trump’s most
controversial statements on immigration.
Twenty-eight percent of Hispanic Americans agreed with Trump’s June
statement that “When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their
best. They’re sending people that have lots of problems. They’re bringing
drugs. They’re bringing c... 阅读全帖 |
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t******r
发帖数: 8600 | 33 LZ是听不懂英语还是故意断章取义？
Trump‘s sentence started with “they said....". "They" meaning those
pollsters. |
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i***a
发帖数: 4718 | 34 哈哈，赶快找出来，哪个pollsters posed THIS question, 还Fifth Ave呢？
床铺sell loyalty, 但先要恭维粉丝"SMART"，very classic. |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 35 pollster们打电话问出来的。然后把电话结果，放到各种model里算算，就出来了。
trump肯定是frount runner.只不过很多人都不信。今天看cnn,一个GOP的专家还在哪里
喋喋不休的说，caucus没开呢，人们没下定决心呢。trump不一定赢。主持人没好意思
说，醒醒了。 |
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m****s
发帖数: 494 | 36 根本不是
DMR的poll里问过这个问题 Pollster分析结果是zero impact |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 37 这个要动态看，床铺缺席给rubio发挥空间.
: 根本不是
: DMR的poll里问过这个问题 Pollster分析结果是zero impact
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 38 看这次能脏到什么程度。
As the White House hopefuls descend on South Carolina, site of the crucial
Feb. 20 GOP primary and then the Democratic contest a week later, they're
also heading straight into what might be the seamiest underbelly of American
politics. This is a state famous for telephone pollsters implying John
McCain had an illegitimate child and the bogus Mitt Romney Christmas card
with controversial quotes from the Book of Mormon. Fliers dropped on South
Carolina doorsteps have told people the wr... 阅读全帖 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 40 So as Americans were roaring a big cry of pain this past decade, few in the
political and media hierarchy were hearing them. And when the roar got
louder, the elites simply saw it as a reality TV show that was entertaining
but not all that serious. Little did they realize that the roar was aimed
directly at them.
The elite of the RNC/GOPe/Neocon Uniparty elite thugs, who have been the
overseers of the Faux Conservative plantations since 1961. These overseers
keep trying to trick/betray/control u... 阅读全帖 |
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S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 41 Yeah, WSJ pollsters are bunch of RINOs aka GOP establishment. Now Dems and
GOPs are colluding against Don. |
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m****s
发帖数: 494 | 42 Rubio在快速上升 已经到了20多了
和Trump的差距已经不到10了
不知道是pollster搞鬼 还是真的
如果Rubio或者Cruz赢了 真的要对美国失望了 |
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h***1
发帖数: 2263 | 43
http://www.thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/christian-polling-grou
An Evangelical Christian pollster finds that atheists commit less crimes,
divorce less, and are better educated than their fellow Christians. “It is
obvious that you do not have to believe in a higher power in order to live a
moral and successful life. Quite the opposite,” the Knoxville News‘ Al
Westerfield writes of the study, adding that “the groups with the highest
crime rate, the poorest marriages and the lowest education conti... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 44 我认为是高度重合的，都是反establishment的。cruz最开始对川普按兵不动，也是希
望川普的人在川普自爆之后投奔自己。
Trump不用pollster,谈不上计算买卖是否赔本。他是照着自己几十年从商和tv真人秀的
剧本去演，非常成功而已 |
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h*********n
发帖数: 11319 | 46 民主党党棍又来扯jb蛋了
2014年共和党亚裔支持率首次超过民主党，民主党党棍是不是觉得很奇怪？
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/nov/9/asian-vote-break
The GOP won 50 percent of Asian voters compared to 49 percent for Democrats,
according to the latest calculations — a stunning turnaround, given that
they regularly get trounced by 20 points or more.
“Based on the exit polls, there is clearly a significant improvement,”
said David Winston, a GOP pollster. |
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w****y
发帖数: 2952 | 47 莫报老皇历。
Republicans on Election Day had their best showing among Asian voters in
decades, topping Democrats for the first time since the 1990s, according to
exit polls that have analysts wondering if the GOP has found a way to make
inroads with the fast-growing demographic.
The GOP won 50 percent of Asian voters compared to 49 percent for Democrats,
according to the latest calculations — a stunning turnaround, given that
they regularly get trounced by 20 points or more.
“Based on the exit polls, ... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 48 A new statewide poll gives Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton double-digit
leads in the lead up to the Arizona’s March 22 presidential primaries.
But 30 percent of Republican and 26 percent of Democratic voters say they
are still undecided.
Arizona pollster Bruce Merrill conducted the survey along with Phoenix-based
Westgroup Research.
Among Republicans, Trump leads with 31 percent. The business mogul has led
in other Arizona surveys.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is second with 19 percent followed by Flori... 阅读全帖 |
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h******y
发帖数: 351 | 49 坚定不移的反对现有的system。恰到好处的揭露Lyin` Ted的虚伪。把这次CO的选举作
弊狠狠敲打一下。
http://www.wsj.com/articles/let-me-ask-america-a-question-14606
On Saturday, April 9, Colorado had an “election” without voters. Delegates
were chosen on behalf of a presidential nominee, yet the people of Colorado
were not able to cast their ballots to say which nominee they preferred.
A planned vote had been canceled. And one million Republicans in Colorado
were sidelined.
In recent days, something all too predictable has happened: Politi... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 50 These shameless pollsters are tarnishing WSJ brand.
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl- Trump 40 - Cruz 35 |
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