s********n
发帖数: 151 | 1 March 2009 low of 666 to 1360 in May 2011, 38% retracement is 1100. Next
support would be 50% retracement 1020. |
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y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 3 zt
S&P 500 STALLS IN RETRACEMENT CLUSTER... The previous charts were based on
daily bars, but chart 10 shows weekly bars for the S&P 500. Considering the
fractals, I am going to apply some of the lessons learned from the prior
peaks to the current situation. There are many reasons to believe the S&P
500 has hit a major resistance level. First, we can see that the S&P 500 hit
resistance in a retracement cluster around 1150. There is always debate on
drawing the Fibonacci Retracements Tool so I ju |
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N***i
发帖数: 2063 | 4 与大家共享, 大牛多指教，并请贡献自己心得，让我们这些蝌蚪的尾巴能多学点.
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/05/playinggaps.asp
摘要
1 Gap是因为交易的剧烈变化而产生的.
2 Gap是FA/TA变化的结果
3 Gap分四种
Breakaway gaps: 旧价格趋势的尾端，新趋势的开始
Exhaustion gaps：价格趋势的末端，冲击新高或者新低的最后一搏
Common gaps：无法归类到价格的趋势
Continuation gaps：延续趋势
4 Gap是否回填.
Irrational Exuberance(非理智的)，过分乐观或者悲观而产生的回填.
Technical Resistance:价格上下剧烈变动时，没有支撑和阻力
Price Pattern: Exhaustion gaps最容易回填. Continuation gaps and
breakaway gaps回填的可能性则较小一些.
5. 如何利... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****h
发帖数: 3386 | 5 2nd wave finished an abc retrace (up), now the 2nd wave was
either ended, or it is in an X transistion.
If the latter case is right, after X wave, another abc retrace(up) comes,
with canonical target 1056 (38.2% retrace). |
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w******s
发帖数: 16209 | 6 "Breakout Trade: The current price is resting around the support level of 81
.8. If the low price of the day is above 81.8, then look for going long.
Retracement Trade: Consider buy when the price retraces around 81.8 if you
are aggressive. Alternatively, a conservative buy would be around 78.01.
Risk Management: Consider risking somewhere between 2.682(3.26%) and 4.47(5.
43%) points on your position. Risk management is an important part of
trading. Our risk management strategy is based on the a... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 7 1325 zone is 38.2% retracement for gold from July low to December high.
50% retracement will be at 1294. I think we are close to the end of this
correction
We have gold OE & state of union speech on Tuesday, FOMC Wednesday, GDP
Friday. So lots key moments for volatility. You may wanna sit them out
before making a move. Use your own best judgment, anyway. |
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d*******r
发帖数: 3875 | 8 Corn is the most volatile commodity around
First things first.
Gold: the 1450 target was reached. I exited a small long position, flipped
and am now short. I am looking for a pull back down to 1428 and then 1418.
If, however, we rotate up to to a new high, I will be stopped out with a
small loss.
Dow cash traded up to 12,438 today for a high. Dow Futures have yet to trade
above 12,377. The old high on Feb 18th in the futures was 12,379. I am
being patient with my short position. However, if we h... 阅读全帖 |
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s********n
发帖数: 151 | 9 Looking at the SPY chart, the bull market started in March, 2009 was over on
or around Aug 1. The decline recently is so decisive that there is little
doubt in my mind we are entering a major correction now.
Support levels are 1100 for S&P, which is 38% retracement for the move from
09 low to May 11 peak, and 1030, which is the 50% retracement for the same
period. |
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t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 10 so about 50% retracement. 127 --> 118 <--107.5.
这周三你怎么看，现在版上好象没人谈欧洲债务危机，
你感觉会有比较大的RETRACEMENT吗？ |
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t**e
发帖数: 2379 | 11 Either we win or we die, it is gonna be a week of fun.
Retracement is very likely next two there days. Depending on how big the
retracement is, we will decide which side we will be in future. HOLD up your
positions, don't get easily squeezed. Don't be so excited by news, never
trade on news. SPX has its own way of winding ahead. Right now, it is
overbought.
I still believe the big money are shorting.
Anyway, the week will feature a breakout of Amazon stock price, see chart.
60% down to 180 then ... 阅读全帖 |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 12 For Dow Jones Index:
wave high 13662
wave low 12035
61.8% fibonacci retrace target: 12656
previous high 13662
previous low 13040
recent high 13291
measured move target: 12669
For S&P 500 Index:
wave high 1474.5
wave low 1266.7
50% fibonacci retrace target: 1370.6
previous high 1475
previous low 1412
recent high 1434
measured move target: 1371 |
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b**********5
发帖数: 7881 | 13 我从1300 到2130区间， 搞个fib， 你这个是基本全部retracement了， retrace到
2011年low。。。 这个我觉得有点太persimistic。。。我觉得还是1700-1600之间。。。 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 14 原油价格从28.45->34.21这波run里回调，精确的跌到了31.34，这个fibonacci的50%
retracement价位后反弹。
虽然这些数字都是玄学，但是很明显机器人有在用这个系统交易。。。
那么再从高点的34.21跌到31.34，反弹可能的价位分别是32.02, 32.44和32.78(50%),
这些数字我们可以这周和下个礼拜验证。感觉目前的strong downtrend,retrace到32.
78有点难度，32.02非常有可能，32.44今天有点难度。 |
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k*****i
发帖数: 102 | 15
Are we looking at the same stock? OCUL came down 12% today, a bit too much
for retracement. (see chart)
Yes, in general, there are a lot of accumulation from weekly chart at the
base. So it may not retrace too much tomorrow. Need to observe price actions
tomorrow.
CAAS is good, no overhead resistance until 9. May take some time to get
there since it is based on weekly chart. |
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D********g
发帖数: 533 | 16 确实很正常 不过为什么topology上面看不出这个呢？反向我也扫过 就是反方向了。
不过奇怪的是height是用的trace+retrace成图的 所以应该是看不大出来这种pattern
为啥phase上面不用trace+retrace成图呢？
all right. 其实这些问题也不是很大 这样的图拿去发表也是可以接受的 |
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w******e
发帖数: 1038 | 17 我觉得顶部形态可以一组一组的看，必然有一个retracement会100%retrace最近一个连
续涨幅。比如今天将昨天的涨幅100%慢慢跌完，那么等反弹后大概就会剧烈的跌了。反
弹是不是又创新高在这种情况下没有很大关系，很可能是翻转日。
大家怎么看呢？ |
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d****7
发帖数: 2241 | 18 From TA point of view, sounds right.
From FA or the big picture of market perspective, retracement is imminent.
Or simply put, what drives the market to go even higher (without at least
short-term retracement)?
Thanks for the great post, mmz.
片面的, 因为我只用了我比较熟悉的几个INDICATOR.
而已, 不怕说错. |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 19 welcome to post your question and join the discussion.
Qiuyueshifu is lazer accurate with drawing those line and triangles, I hope
I can do that one day. Here is my wild-chicken TA for my trades, low 1158 on
Nov 25th is 0.618 fab retrace from high 1292 on Oct 27th to low 1074 on Oct
4th; so for a 0.618 fab retrace from high 1267 on Dec 7th to low 1158 on
Nov 25th, sp500 should touch bottom at about 1200.
Another observation is that the 490 points DJI up on Nov 30th with high
volume is a very str... 阅读全帖 |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 20 welcome to post your question and join the discussion.
Qiuyueshifu is lazer accurate with drawing those line and triangles, I hope
I can do that one day. Here is my wild-chicken TA for my trades, low 1158 on
Nov 25th is 0.618 fab retrace from high 1292 on Oct 27th to low 1074 on Oct
4th; so for a 0.618 fab retrace from high 1267 on Dec 7th to low 1158 on
Nov 25th, sp500 should touch bottom at about 1200.
Another observation is that the 490 points DJI up on Nov 30th with high
volume is a very str... 阅读全帖 |
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p**********e
发帖数: 177 | 21 I agree with the chart.
One thing I suggest to think, is the retrace to triangle support complete?
Might still be some retrace action to watch for intraday |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 22 http://www.minyanville.com/trading-and-investing/stocks/article
By David Banister May 23, 2012 3:50 pm
The IWM ETF represents the Russell 2000 small cap growth index. This ETF
peaked at 84.66 this spring and has fallen in 74s before the recent two-day
bounce. What we are looking at is a possible 5 wave rally from October into
March, and now a possible 3 wave correction (Wave 2) of 38% - 50% of that
entire 5 wave rally. Elliott Wave Theory is broken down into 5 wave and 3
wave movements in the m... 阅读全帖 |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 23 如果以10/4的低点来算？
wave 1: 1074-1292, 218 points
wave 2: 1292-1158, 134 points, 61.8% of 1
wave 1 of 5 of 3: 1158-1422,264 points
wave 2 of 5 of 3: 1422-1267,155 points,
wave 3 of 5 of 3: 1267-1474,207 points
wave 4 of 5 of 3: 1474-1407,67 points, 32% retrace.
我原来喊过要回调到1394，大致是38.2% retrace，现在我认为不会到那个点位了，今
天基本差不多了。 |
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J*V
发帖数: 3150 | 24 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25523952
A scientific mission ship, trapped in dense pack ice off East Antarctica
since Christmas Day, is close to being rescued as a Chinese icebreaker nears.
The crew can see the Snow Dragon icebreaker, which will try to cut a path
through the ice allowing the research vessel to reach open water.
The Russian Academic Shokalskiy ship has 74 on board and is being used by
the Australasian Antarctic Expedition.
They are following the route explorer Douglas Maws... 阅读全帖 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 Arts 讨论区 】
发信人: choi (choi), 信区: Arts
标 题: The Transport of China's Imperial Treasures
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jul 10 14:49:52 2010, 美东)
David Barboza, Rival Museums Retrace Route of China’s Imperial Treasures.
New York Times, July 7, 2010.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/07/arts/design/07treasures.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=museums%20taiwan&st=cse
("only about 20 percent of the collection made its way there" to Taiwan)
Note:
(1) Caption of the slide show:
(a) Emperor Xuanzong of the Ming dynasty |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 26 Yawn.
Wendell Minick, Sea Trials Expected for China’s 1st Carrier. Defense News,
Apr 18, 2011
http://minnickarticles.blogspot.com/2011
/04/sea-trials-expected-for-chinas-1st.html
("Taiwan defense analysts speculate that the Varyag’s first deployment will
be a circumnavigation of their self-ruling island, or perhaps a partial
retracing of the route the Imperial Japanese Navy took leading to its 1941
attack on Pearl Harbor, Hawaii")
Go ahead. It is international waters. Unlike China which jealousl... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 27 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 今天做空，赚不少。 只要发这种，就赚。 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 18 14:29:52 2011, 美东)
现在的市场暂时比较适合玩上下波动。
主要是因为墙街干涉，不让股票自由跌或起。
墙街为何如此？ 主要是使散户的计划落空。
例如，股票正常的短期高峰和谷底是Ｔ和Ｂ。
如果估计正确的散户很多，墙街必然捣蛋。
捣蛋的方法就是抢先在 Ｂ＋b 的价买进，
而反弹到 T-t 的价卖出，使散户失去机会。
所以散户必需根据观察，适当的调整波动宽度。
算出调整之前的理论波动宽度极限是有备无患。
无论如何现在分析一下 SPY 短期波动的极限。
参考不久前的最负值是 -4.1%。
参考不久前的最正值是 +6.0%。
昨晚最新结果如下：
SPY, 20111017, 120.0000, 0.2594, 0.2,
4.1 - 0.2 = 3.9%
120 X 0.039 = 4.68
6.0 - ... 阅读全帖 |
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a****0
发帖数: 159 | 28 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-25523952
A scientific mission ship, trapped in dense pack ice off East Antarctica
since Christmas Day, is close to being rescued as a Chinese icebreaker nears.
The crew can see the Snow Dragon icebreaker, which will try to cut a path
through the ice allowing the research vessel to reach open water.
The Russian Academic Shokalskiy ship has 74 on board and is being used by
the Australasian Antarctic Expedition.
They are following the route explorer Douglas Maws... 阅读全帖 |
|
t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 29 The Russian-built Akademik Shokalskiy ship was retracing Sir Douglas Mawson'
s Antarctic expedition and doing scientific research when sea ice closed in
on Christmas Eve.
The ship has 74 people onboard, including scientists, crew members and
paying passengers.
The first of three icebreakers sent to the area, about 1,500 nautical miles
south of Hobart, was within sight last night.
But after coming within six-and-a-half nautical miles of the expedition boat
, the Chinese icebreaker had to stop.
An... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******d
发帖数: 16 | 30 【 以下文字转载自 NewYork 讨论区 】
发信人: walkcloud (cloudy), 信区: NewYork
标 题: Craig Spencer lied about his NYC trip
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 29 23:53:06 2014, 美东)
http://nypost.com/2014/10/29/ebola-doctor-lied-about-his-nyc-tr
The city’s first Ebola patient initially lied to authorities about his
travels around the city following his return from treating disease victims
in Africa, law-enforcement sources said.
Dr. Craig Spencer at first told officials that he isolated himself in his
Harlem apartment — and d... 阅读全帖 |
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n*******w
发帖数: 6708 | 31 refresh rate 低了，对眼睛真的没有区别吗？
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Refresh_rate
On cathode ray tube (CRT) displays, increasing the refresh rate decreases
flickering, thereby reducing eye strain. However, if a refresh rate is
specified that is beyond what is recommended for the display, damage to the
display can occur.[1]
Contrary to popular belief, liquid-crystal displays (LCDs) do suffer from
flickering problems. It is still necessary to avoid modifying graphics data
except during the retrace phase to pr... 阅读全帖 |
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d*********2
发帖数: 48111 | 32 Fibonacci retracement 就是这样算的 |
|
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m**c
发帖数: 7349 | 34 Millions will converge on Mecca this week. They follow the footsteps of
millions more who have made the spiritual journey to the valley of Mecca
since Abraham.
Last of the five Pillars of Islam (the others being affirmation of one God,
five daily prayers, regular charity, and fasting in Ramadan), hajj is a once
-in-a-lifetime obligation for those physically and financially able.
Hajj is essentially a re-enactment of the rituals of the great prophets.
Pilgrims commemorate the experience of exile ... 阅读全帖 |
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T********N
发帖数: 2680 | 35 China's yuan never suffered sharp fall overnight
Rumors swirled on social media on Tuesday that China's currency dropped
sharply in overnight trade, but the purported move may have been an isolated
hiccup from some providers.
Some currency data providers were showing that the yuan tumbled, with the
dollar fetching as much as 7.49 yuan in overnight trade. It wasn't clear if
the data were indicating the offshore yuan or the onshore currency, but the
onshore currency does not trade overnight. That ... 阅读全帖 |
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c****3
发帖数: 10787 | 36 Researchers who have examined the genomes of two coronavirus infections in
Washington State say the similarities between the cases suggest that the
virus may have been spreading in the state for weeks.
Washington had the United States’ first confirmed case of coronavirus,
announced by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Jan. 20.
Based on an analysis of the virus’s genetic sequence, another case that
surfaced in the state and was announced on Friday probably was descended
from that ... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 37 企业号战后报告：
PRELIMINARY
On the afternoon and evening of June 3, 1942, the general situation
prior to the battle was as follows (times throughout are Zone plus 10): Task
Force Seventeen and Task Force Sixteen had previously rendezvoused in the
general vicinity of "Point Luck", approximately 350 miles northeast of
Midway Island and were operating in that area closing Midway during darkness
and opening during the day, remaining east of the longitude of Midway. Both
Task Forces has complete... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 38 企业号战后报告：
PRELIMINARY
On the afternoon and evening of June 3, 1942, the general situation
prior to the battle was as follows (times throughout are Zone plus 10): Task
Force Seventeen and Task Force Sixteen had previously rendezvoused in the
general vicinity of "Point Luck", approximately 350 miles northeast of
Midway Island and were operating in that area closing Midway during darkness
and opening during the day, remaining east of the longitude of Midway. Both
Task Forces has complete... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 39 几百人在Austin集会抗议性取向仇恨
Hundreds Rally Against Hate in Austin
By Advocate.com Editors
Austin x390 (Statesman) I Advocate.com
Hundreds of people in Austin, Texas, on Saturday marched behind a banner
that read “Austin March Against Hate” as they walked from a downtown gay
bar to city hall, the Austin Statesman reports.
The march route retraced the path two gay men, Emmanuel Winston and Matthew
Morgan, took last weekend when they were attacked in what appears to be an
antigay assault. The men said they |
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 40 US became a super power after WWII because they won WWII
If Hitler won, he would have been the super power
the question is how can you make sure you win
you have to have a strong industry and financial resource to support your
battle
today US has neither so even you want to see the US maintian its super power
you have to focus on retracing a bit and building those foundations inside
before you can launch your next marching. Streching out to another war
against
IRAN could only make US more vulner... 阅读全帖 |
|
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d*******3
发帖数: 1156 | 42 One youtube comment: Ok, this is not proof Assange is alive! As a matter of
fact I don't believe he is! You guys need to go back to when Pam Anderson
vivid him, and then there was heavily armed police outside, and Wikileaks
director was killed, and retrace everything from there! And then you will
understand why the 33k emails didn't come out today. When all that happened,
we felt something wasn't right and we were demanding proof he was alive. At
1st Wikileaks put out a poll asking what kind of ... 阅读全帖 |
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p**********1
发帖数: 1458 | 43 gonna tough it out. if my stocks need a 10% retracement, so be it. |
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b*****e
发帖数: 1125 | 44 I am bullish on commodity especially energy. Don't be suprise if oil shoot
to $100, there's just too much hot money chasing it. I dont buy the story
that dow or spx will retest march low, however a moderate correction is
feasible (10-15%). If you are actively trading, you need pay attention to
those retracement. But in long term perspective $60-70 oil price sounds
pretty reasonable.
I don't suggest you listen to advice from stock board, ppl in this board
seem to me knowing the economy and market |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 45 Do you mind to share the name if this stock is a large cap.
I believe we are still in a bull market. I will buy dip for every 10%
retrace. What do you think? |
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a**i
发帖数: 608 | 46 another ２４小時之后, hehe
Wall St rallies to 2-year high after tax cut deal
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks jumped to a fresh two-year intraday high on
Tuesday as investors bet that a deal to extend tax breaks will prompt
increased spending and buoy the economy.
A stronger euro, rising commodity prices and an acquisition in the energy
sector also combined to push Wall Street higher.
U.S. President Barack Obama announced the deal to renew Bush-era tax cuts
for wealthier Americans -- as Republicans had wan... 阅读全帖 |
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n*******w
发帖数: 6708 | 47 太低了，对眼睛没有伤害吗？
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Refresh_rate
On cathode ray tube (CRT) displays, increasing the refresh rate decreases
flickering, thereby reducing eye strain. However, if a refresh rate is
specified that is beyond what is recommended for the display, damage to the
display can occur.[1]
Contrary to popular belief, liquid-crystal displays (LCDs) do suffer from
flickering problems. It is still necessary to avoid modifying graphics data
except during the retrace phase to prevent tearing ... 阅读全帖 |
|
m*****1
发帖数: 2546 | 48 RULE 就是可以重复一遍,RETRACING, 但不能改上次字母顺序.
我也觉得不太合理, 应该让至少改一遍.但RULE就是RULE.
这就是看运气.我儿子前写日子去比赛, 被拼了个很长的词, 于是........
product |
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s****7
发帖数: 1873 | 49 看看这个原来是普遍现象啊。。。。
The use of disposable devices has become an increasingly common component of
medical and dental patient care. Items classified as disposable are defined
as single-use, and are intended to be used on one patient, then discarded.
They are not to be processed for reuse on another patient. The advantage
disposable products have as compared to reusable products is inherent in the
reality that disposable devices reduce the potential for patient-to-patient
cross-contamination and possi... 阅读全帖 |
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q*******6
发帖数: 129 | 50 1）我在股版主贴里解释过这个问题，不过贴被删了，就再在这里解释一遍，因为一开
始为了省option交易手续费，用小broker，结果每个月交易次数太少，没有monthly
report，只有quarterly report，一开始没想开fund觉得不重要，去年想开fund了所以
转到了fidelity，能不能证明，您往下看呗
2）您对对冲基金行业可能不太了解，大盘指数是不能作为对冲基金的benchmark的，因
为大盘是有趋势性的，等大盘持续下跌时您还会拿大盘来做benchmark吗？
3）纠正下您错误的说法，从去年年底到现在的情况叫Retracement（回调），不叫loss
（亏损）；能否达到40%，您最好看到今年年底，因为按您的衡量方法，我2013年的年
化收益率能超过70% |
|
