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全部话题 - 话题: spillovers
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b*********3
发帖数: 1709
1
The present outbreak of lower respiratory tract infections, including
respiratory distress syndrome, is the third spillover, in only two decades,
of an animal coronavirus to humans resulting in a major epidemic. Here, the
Coronavirus Study Group (CSG) of the International Committee on Taxonomy of
Viruses, which is responsible for developing the official classification of
viruses and taxa naming (taxonomy) of the Coronaviridae family, assessed the
novelty of the human pathogen tentatively named 2... 阅读全帖
b*********3
发帖数: 1709
2
来自主题: Military版 - 我以人头担保是人造病毒
The present outbreak of lower respiratory tract infections, including
respiratory distress syndrome, is the third spillover, in only two decades,
of an animal coronavirus to humans resulting in a major epidemic. Here, the
Coronavirus Study Group (CSG) of the International Committee on Taxonomy of
Viruses, which is responsible for developing the official classification of
viruses and taxa naming (taxonomy) of the Coronaviridae family, assessed the
novelty of the human pathogen tentatively named 2... 阅读全帖
b*********3
发帖数: 1709
3
The present outbreak of lower respiratory tract infections, including
respiratory distress syndrome, is the third spillover, in only two decades,
of an animal coronavirus to humans resulting in a major epidemic. Here, the
Coronavirus Study Group (CSG) of the International Committee on Taxonomy of
Viruses, which is responsible for developing the official classification of
viruses and taxa naming (taxonomy) of the Coronaviridae family, assessed the
novelty of the human pathogen tentatively named 2... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
4
来自主题: Military版 - 感觉科莫已经跟床铺狼狈为奸了
其实是有一定道理的,制造业搬回来会有positive externalities in terms of
technological know-how and technological spillovers,但是公司只考虑自己的
profit不会take such positive externalities into account,所以应该regulate.
l****z
发帖数: 29846
5
来自主题: USANews版 - WSJ: Welfare Lines Overflow in NY
Crowded Public-Assistance Centers Interrupt Services as Demand for Aid Grows
BY MICHAEL HOWARD SAUL AND ALISON FOX
Growing numbers of New Yorkers seeking food stamps have created an unwelcome
spillover effect at some of New York City's job centers: overcrowding that
in some cases has grown so severe, benefits were jeopardized.
The crush of people grew so large at one Brooklyn center in November that
the Fire Department intervened and prevented anyone from entering the
building.
That was an extre... 阅读全帖
m******n
发帖数: 6327
6
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2008/oct/13/
The country's economic woes were a somber topic at the presidential debate
in Nashville, Tenn., on Oct. 7, 2008, with both candidates explaining their
thoughts on the root of the crisis.
"I wrote to Secretary Paulson, I wrote to Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke,
and told them this is something we have to deal with, and nobody did
anything about it."
It's undisputed that Obama wrote the two officials a letter on March 22,
2007.
"The... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
7
来自主题: USANews版 - US won't send checks to Europe: Romney
AFPAFP – Sun, 17 Jun, 2012
US presidential hopeful Mitt Romney addresses a campaign rally at
Cornwall Iron Furnace …
The United States will not bail out European countries if the eurozone
economy falls apart under a spiraling debt crisis, Republican White House
hopeful Mitt Romney said Sunday.
"We're not going to send checks to Europe. We're not going to bail out the
European banks. We're going to be poised here to support our economy,"
Romney told CBS television's "Face the Nation" program.... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
8
来自主题: USANews版 - America’s Suicidal Cities
By John Fund
January 31, 2013 12:00 P.M.
Some major American cities are dying, and the worst part is that these
grievously ill patients often are refusing to take even the mildest medicine
that would make things better.
Take Detroit, a city that has become a synonym for urban failure. The murder
rate of one per 1,719 people last year was more than eleven times the rate
in New York City. One contributing factor may be that two-thirds of Detroit
’s streetlights are broken.
Once the fourth-largest ... 阅读全帖
c*****g
发帖数: 21627
9
来自主题: USANews版 - 美国下一次繁荣的宠儿
Excellent article
英文原文:
Barron's Cover | MONDAY, JANUARY 28, 2013
The Next Boom
By KOPIN TAN
Cheap natural gas and increasingly competitive labor costs are bringing
factories and jobs back to the U.S. Eight ways to win.
As the only industrialized superpower not decimated by World War II, the
United States once made nearly 40% of the planet's goods. These days, that
number has shrunk to 18%. We make American Girl dolls in China, Levi's jeans
in Mexico, and enough movies in Vancouver to nickname ... 阅读全帖
n******h
发帖数: 2482
10
来自主题: USANews版 - 一个有趣的现象
Yeah right. Assuming you are speaking the truth, all you would do is to hire
a bunch of illegal immigrants, pay them the minimum wages or lower, fire
the hardworking American people, and deliver worse products or services.
This is how the spillover effect works. This is how global elites enrich
themselves and make the global working class poor. This is the modern day
slavery.
End the Fed. Fuck the Wall Street.
> 我不是你的敌人。川总要给我们减corporate tax,每年可以少付几十万美金的税。这
笔钱我会用来雇更多的人,创造更多的就业机会,制造更多的中产阶级。我是你的朋友。... 阅读全帖
l*****6
发帖数: 7881
11
来自主题: USANews版 - 一个有趣的现象
哥公司80%都是老美,20%是h1b. 你是在搞笑吧。


: Yeah right. Assuming you are speaking the truth, all you would do is
to hire

: a bunch of illegal immigrants, pay them the minimum wages or lower,
fire

: the hardworking American people, and deliver worse products or
services.

: This is how the spillover effect works. This is how global elites
enrich

: themselves and make the global working class poor. This is the modern
day

: slavery.

: End the Fed. Fuck the Wall Street.

:
s******y
发帖数: 1117
12
印度从几年前开始就没有spillover了,i.e. 每年绿卡轻松到达7万。别的类别就算空
出来90万个名额也和印度无关了
W*****B
发帖数: 4796
13
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: WCNMLGB (CCC), 信区: Military
标 题: 最新研究发现连黑人自己都不愿意跟黑人住在一起
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon May 15 11:54:11 2017, 美东)
下面这个研究发现黑人搬离黑人聚居区到白人区之后,心情舒畅,连血压都下降了。黑
人们住在一起,他们相互对对方也是非常紧张的。
Leaving Segregated Neighborhoods Lowers Blacks' Blood Pressure
May 15, 201711:21 AM ET
It's not clear how living in a segregated neighborhood affects blood
pressure, but stress is one potential cause.
annebaek/Getty Images/iStockphoto
African Americans experience a significant drop in their blood pressur... 阅读全帖
r*****s
发帖数: 1815
14
他什么都懂,只是故意来恶心你的,你就别跟他争了
你越骂他他越开心。版上现在剩下的几个川粉目的都是恶心人,丝毫没有别的,看透了
这一点,你就可以让他们抓耳挠腮了。
spillover基本都被烙印吃掉了,他们backlog太大了


: 你脑子里的屎多到灌进眼睛了?



Well done is better than well said.
Benjamin Franklin

w********0
发帖数: 1211
15
如果真取消了,任何移给EB的部分,哪怕是指明给非洲和拉美,看看现在的排期,充其
量就是先清掉少量的老墨和中美洲的backlog, 剩下的都是用不掉的spillover, 按多年
前的政策(不知道现在改了没有),会按PD分给有排期的国家,本质上还是肥了蝗虫般的
老印。
c****x
发帖数: 6601
16
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: cccpwx (flg政庇小学生), 信区: Military
标 题: 移除国别限制,三哥又淫了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Aug 5 00:25:05 2018, 美东)
首先我也不是专家,有说错的地方请更正。
https://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/32734613.html
由于众所周知的原因,印度人,中国人绿卡都有比较长的排期,印度人的非常长,所以
他们就原因成立各种组织,然后募捐,去说服各种议员。h4 ead.
就是这样通过的,但是95%的h4 ead就是印度人拿到的。虽然现在也要取消了。
现在每年职业移门按国别限制,每个国家出身的分到的名额是一定且一样的,由于印度
人工作签证是国人的小10倍,绿卡申请数量也有6,7倍,所以排期自然就长很多。
涉及绿卡数量,名额分配的都是bill,要house先vote 过了,senate再vote 过了,然
后总统签字。几年前关于h1工资要求改革的bill好几个,但是连house vote都没到,因
为house内部有很多委员... 阅读全帖
M********y
发帖数: 558
17
【 以下文字转载自 MyActivity 讨论区 】
发信人: MyActivity (未名空间活动), 信区: MyActivity
标 题: 【全站活动】2014年度mitbbs十大风云/争议人物评选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 23 01:54:08 2014, 美东)
1月8日更新:
提名即将结束,已统计出目前提名名单,附在帖后,还未提名的网友请抓紧时间!
--------------------------
活动一 2014年度mitbbs十大风云人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520855.html
活动二 2014年度mitbbs十大争议人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520857.html
--------------------------
活动流程:
1、提名阶段
2014年12月23日至2015年1月12日,分别在相应帖子后跟帖回复,提名你心中的mitbbs
风云/争议人物,并说明... 阅读全帖
M********y
发帖数: 558
18
【 以下文字转载自 MyActivity 讨论区 】
发信人: MyActivity (未名空间活动), 信区: MyActivity
标 题: 【全站活动】2014年度mitbbs十大风云/争议人物评选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 23 01:54:08 2014, 美东)
1月8日更新:
提名即将结束,已统计出目前提名名单,附在帖后,还未提名的网友请抓紧时间!
--------------------------
活动一 2014年度mitbbs十大风云人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520855.html
活动二 2014年度mitbbs十大争议人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520857.html
--------------------------
活动流程:
1、提名阶段
2014年12月23日至2015年1月12日,分别在相应帖子后跟帖回复,提名你心中的mitbbs
风云/争议人物,并说明... 阅读全帖
m**********r
发帖数: 887
19
Reform the International Monetary System
Zhou xiaochuan
The outbreak of the current crisis and its spillover in the world confronted
us with the long existing but still unanswered question��i.e.
, what kind of international reserve currency do we need to secure global
financial stability and facilitate world economic growth, which was one of
the purposes for establishing the IMF? There were various institutional
arrangements in an attempt to find a solution, including the Silver St
p********r
发帖数: 1980
20
来自主题: Investment版 - Documents show how Fed missed housing bust
By MARTIN CRUTSINGER
AP Economics Writer
Ben Bernanke presided over his first meeting as Federal Reserve chairman in
March 2006 believing the nation's economy could pull off a "soft landing"
from falling home prices. Three months later, Bernanke had begun to grasp
that he and others had underestimated the risk housing posed to the economy.
Newly released transcripts of Fed meetings during Bernanke's first year as
chairman show that, among Fed officials, he often expressed the most concern
about ... 阅读全帖
b***m
发帖数: 5987
21

SO=spillover,是绿卡专有名词,就是其它国家用不完的绿卡名额,给中印两绿卡申请
大国用。没有SO,中国EB2每年只有2803个名额(包括家属也要占用这些名额),10年
也拿不到绿卡。
h***i
发帖数: 1970
22
来自主题: JobHunting版 - 事态严重啊! (转载)
没法办,这个比例就是以后老印拿到所有的spillover,老中绿卡就eb2,3的配额,老印
每年绿卡也多拿1万到2万。多生孩子也是远水解不了近渴,人数上还得指望政庇,投资
移民,那帮人还不从事IT,没解。多弄CCC估计也不行,项目都被老印控制了。
p******a
发帖数: 3
23
终于要close了。。。昨天final walkthrough 发现厨房顶棚有一大片颜色不对(比其
他地方深)。。。seller 没有disclose...seller 承认之前有spillover from tub in
the master bath, 但是说是minor, many years ago...我们希望他们能提供更详细的
info, 如果是小毛病,就算了。。如果是大毛病,我们就要找inspector看一下,修好
再close...seller 一直不答复,listing agent 不接电话。。。我们的agent让我们自
己找plumber在下午close前inspect...现在都11点了,怎么可能呢?我们的close已经
推了3天了因为seller 没有按照合同修。。。如果今天不能close, 明天我们locked
rate 就过期了,要交650 给银行?怎么办?!!还是又认了,close? 多谢大家!!
M********y
发帖数: 558
24
【 以下文字转载自 MyActivity 讨论区 】
发信人: MyActivity (未名空间活动), 信区: MyActivity
标 题: 【全站活动】2014年度mitbbs十大风云/争议人物评选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 23 01:54:08 2014, 美东)
1月8日更新:
提名即将结束,已统计出目前提名名单,附在帖后,还未提名的网友请抓紧时间!
--------------------------
活动一 2014年度mitbbs十大风云人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520855.html
活动二 2014年度mitbbs十大争议人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520857.html
--------------------------
活动流程:
1、提名阶段
2014年12月23日至2015年1月12日,分别在相应帖子后跟帖回复,提名你心中的mitbbs
风云/争议人物,并说明... 阅读全帖
M********y
发帖数: 558
25
【 以下文字转载自 MyActivity 讨论区 】
发信人: MyActivity (未名空间活动), 信区: MyActivity
标 题: 【全站活动】2014年度mitbbs十大风云/争议人物评选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 23 01:54:08 2014, 美东)
1月8日更新:
提名即将结束,已统计出目前提名名单,附在帖后,还未提名的网友请抓紧时间!
--------------------------
活动一 2014年度mitbbs十大风云人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520855.html
活动二 2014年度mitbbs十大争议人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520857.html
--------------------------
活动流程:
1、提名阶段
2014年12月23日至2015年1月12日,分别在相应帖子后跟帖回复,提名你心中的mitbbs
风云/争议人物,并说明... 阅读全帖
M********y
发帖数: 558
26
【 以下文字转载自 MyActivity 讨论区 】
发信人: MyActivity (未名空间活动), 信区: MyActivity
标 题: 【全站活动】2014年度mitbbs十大风云/争议人物评选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 23 01:54:08 2014, 美东)
1月8日更新:
提名即将结束,已统计出目前提名名单,附在帖后,还未提名的网友请抓紧时间!
--------------------------
活动一 2014年度mitbbs十大风云人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520855.html
活动二 2014年度mitbbs十大争议人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520857.html
--------------------------
活动流程:
1、提名阶段
2014年12月23日至2015年1月12日,分别在相应帖子后跟帖回复,提名你心中的mitbbs
风云/争议人物,并说明... 阅读全帖
b****n
发帖数: 3343
27
来自主题: PennySaver版 - 求推荐汽车皮座套子
One main practical reason to choose leather over cloth is it's easier to
clean spillover. You can just wipe it right after the incident. Cloth cover
will absorb liquid much quicker and hard to clean up.

[发表自未名空间手机版 - m.mitbbs.com]
k****a
发帖数: 7077
28
来自主题: Returnee版 - 这么多小留
你笑死人。去年全世界80%的名额都被中国拿走(自己名额为零,全吃其他国家
spillover)
你以为小留都官二代富二代?大部分也是父母尽全力啃老出来的。结果出了大力出了大
钱,回头还是竹篮打水一场空,什么也捞不着。
k****a
发帖数: 38
29
本人出国前供职的大型国企在芝加哥西北郊抄底购买了一幢办公楼,此楼设备齐全,可
划分出多个独立办公间、实验室、会议室、计算机房;有大型仓储室及多个卡车货运装
卸平台(truck loading dock),是国内企业在美开展贸易、研发、技术交流、咨询的
理想用地。我将于年底回国,向国内朋友推广L1跨国高管移民项目,吸引他们来筑巢。
L1申请的必要条件之一,移民局会要求出示美国子公司办公场地租赁合同及付款凭据。
因为我们的办公楼已全额付清,在租赁和仓储上会很优惠,时间上有很大的灵活性。同
时我们还会提供本土后续服务。
毋庸置疑,L1对比EB5投资移民,有很多不可比拟的优势。跨国公司有好的项目,周全
的商业计划,操作得当,L1签证持有者最终能够在1年半至3年成功获取绿卡。版上的许
多人提到国内有亲朋想移民,未必所有人都能一下子砸出50-100万美元做EB5投资移民
,L1实际是非常便捷有效,对自己资金全程把控的方法,有意者,不妨与我站内联系。
关于L1,有一组数据(见附图),印度人L1的使用与其H1-B不成比例,以致他们自己人
抗议自己人,那些苦等排期的EB2、EB3老印指责ICC滥用L1,... 阅读全帖
b********y
发帖数: 5829
30
A presentation by Fidelity
"In two out of the four most recent recessions (1980 and 1990), the entire
market decline occurred prior to the announcement of recession."
"1990 –The circumstances surrounding this recession might be the most
similar to today: a real-estate-induced economic downturn; a banking system
spillover; the Federal Reserve already easing; and average stock valuations"
C*******i
发帖数: 2131
31
This story from Wall Street Cheat Sheet
Egypt has been embroiled in political turmoil since protests, inspired by
those that overthrew the regime in Tunisia, started last week.While Egypt,
and its Suez Canal, have been worry one for investors world wide since last
week, the next big question is whether this dissent could spread to other
countries around the region, and world.
It’s a challenge to state led authoritarian capitalism, but it is also a
response to rising food costs and soaring unempl... 阅读全帖
m*****i
发帖数: 4342
32
From CNBC
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44789949
I've been asked repeatedly why Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), which
are stock companies that own and manage real estate for investors, have been
so weak today. A couple of observations:
1) Mort Zuckerman, CEO of Boston Properties, spoke at a Boston Properties
Investor Conference this morning, and according to traders gave a somewhat
downbeat assessment of the U.S. economy, saying the economy has "made us
very, very cautious";
2) the main REIT ind... 阅读全帖
G***o
发帖数: 5158
33
http://money.cnn.com/2012/07/03/news/economy/imf-recovery/index
到底什么意思?是要劝进?
Boost the U.S. economy now and worry about cutting deficits later, the
International Monetary Fund recommended Tuesday.
The U.S. recovery remains "tepid" and according to the IMF, is expected to
grow only 2% this year. Meanwhile, the fiscal cliff looms in 2013,
threatening to reduce the economy's growth to only 1% next year.
Meanwhile, the IMF predicts the job market will improve only at a snail's
pace. It expects the u... 阅读全帖
M********y
发帖数: 558
34
【 以下文字转载自 MyActivity 讨论区 】
发信人: MyActivity (未名空间活动), 信区: MyActivity
标 题: 【全站活动】2014年度mitbbs十大风云/争议人物评选
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Dec 23 01:54:08 2014, 美东)
1月8日更新:
提名即将结束,已统计出目前提名名单,附在帖后,还未提名的网友请抓紧时间!
--------------------------
活动一 2014年度mitbbs十大风云人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520855.html
活动二 2014年度mitbbs十大争议人物提名
提名入口:http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/MyActivity/12520857.html
--------------------------
活动流程:
1、提名阶段
2014年12月23日至2015年1月12日,分别在相应帖子后跟帖回复,提名你心中的mitbbs
风云/争议人物,并说明... 阅读全帖
a*******m
发帖数: 14194
35
China's capital outflows set to hit record: Expert
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/chinas-capital-outflows-set-hit-1
The constant stream of capital outflows from China that have bedeviled
global financial markets look set to reach a record in November, according
to estimates from Capital Economics.
Related Stories
China FX reserves plung to lowest level since Feb 2013 Reuters
China's foreign reserves at nearly three-year low AFP
Yuan Strengthens Offshore as IMF Approves Reserve Currency Claim Bloo... 阅读全帖
z**********3
发帖数: 11979
36
来自主题: Stock版 - 人民日报又日人民
接连n天连续挑动民粹 声称索罗斯做空中国
见闻菌本来想先衷心感谢大家,但新近上任,就收到不少华尔街见闻用户反馈,询问华
尔街见闻是“索罗斯做空人民币”的新闻源吗?本菌一开始也吓到。然而检索之后,华
尔街见闻编辑们并没有写过这个意思呀。
这个疑问出自凯迪社区一条帖子《是谁在编造索罗斯做空中国的谣言》(以下称“《谣
言》”),文章作者“系统论”,曾在凯迪上发过3篇文章,唯一一位粉丝是凯迪认证
的“值班编辑72”……
关于这篇《谣言》,见闻菌讲三段话:
《谣言》:
“近日,关于索罗斯向中国宣战,做空人民币的新闻充斥各大网站,索罗斯向中国宣战
,做空人民币的新闻源自何处,是否属实……网上搜了一下,这则新闻最早
出现在16年1月22日08时07分《华尔街见闻》。”
见闻菌:《谣言》援引的《索罗斯:我做空了美股和亚洲货币 做多美债》一文(查看
全文),确实是近期涉及索罗斯言论较早的中文报道。然而文章多数内容是谈美联储和
美股,本菌和大多数读者应该感受一样,索罗斯是美国金融业历经风霜的老同志,怎么
一下把他调到中国的媒体版面上去了…R... 阅读全帖
p******e
发帖数: 17163
37
来自主题: Stock版 - heaven jingle jingle
The pound just collapse, maybe it will spillover to other markets, keeping
finger cross for a crash tomo. A mi tuo fo
b******r
发帖数: 16603
38
来自主题: Stock版 - heaven jingle jingle
也有可能晚上欧洲P事没有到开盘又拉回来了。
你的put是SPY的话,不容易抓夜里的dip啊。
[在 poiuytre (笑什么,没见过笨蛋拔萝卜呀) 的大作中提到:]
:The pound just collapse, maybe it will spillover to other markets, keeping
:finger cross for a crash tomo. A mi tuo fo
m*******a
发帖数: 4507
39
2007/6/5 "Bernanke: economic slightly below trend subprime collapse
spillover is likely to be limited"
2007/8/10 "Federal Reserve has pumped $38 billion into the banking system
amid ongoing worries about tightening credit and the subprime mortgage
market fallout"
2007/9/18 "Federal Reserve cut a key short-term interest rate by a half-
percentage point"
2007/11/8 "Bernanke told lawmakers that the central bank is concerned about
the subprime mortgage crisis and sky-high oil prices. However, he dow... 阅读全帖
m*******a
发帖数: 4507
40
Bernanke 2007年6月在一场会议还说过"the spillover from the subprime mortgage
collapse is likely to be limited". 结果没几个月subprime mortgage就开始爆破
y*******g
发帖数: 247
41
【 以下文字转载自Eb23讨论区 】
要让奥傻这个财年就去实行中印50/50分SO估计难度非常大,但是官司至少可以给他压
力,让他推进EB2C、EB3C的排期,比如让EB3C重新回到ROW。
每年的SO,EBC具体能拿多少也是灵活的,会哭就能多分点,不会哭就一点SO没有,甚
至可能本来的7%名额都拿不满,被抢走送给烙印。关键就是这一个多月了,大家有钱出钱
,有力出力,如果有律师和媒体的connection更好。相对早点拿绿卡带来的自由,捐点
钱出点力算得了什么.
----------------------------------
Update: 好消息,老赫正在加班加点,准备软硬兼施,和奥傻斗争。希望大家积极捐款
,排期对我们不利就得告奥本和DOS。游说、找律师、打官司都需要大量资金。我先追
加$150,表示对老赫,版花和NIU的支持:
Confirmation number: 6BY91680S3784882Y
Donation amount: $150.00 USD
Purpose: EB-2 Spillover Project
捐款链接:
http://www.niun... 阅读全帖
l*****d
发帖数: 7963
42
【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: pulus (Pulus), 信区: EB23
标 题: 数据说话:3012之后清空08/09/10 EB2需多久
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 23 22:11:22 2011, 美东)
1. 08/09/10年PERM data: http://www.flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx
2. NIW估计:保守估计,按PERM的1/10算
3. 中印每个PERM产生485的系数:引用SinoGator,中国是1.5,烙印是3.5。这里保守
估计,中国按1.5,烙印按3。
4. 3012的最快通过时间:考虑到Senate 12月不上班,1月、2月基本不上班,从明年2
月末开始讨论,2-3个月通过,加上总统签署,保守估计最快6月份生效。此时FY2012只
剩下3个月,名额还剩1/4,也就是10000个。
5. 暂时不算海量EB3I在这几年中升级的数量,因为不好估计。但数量肯定会很大。
那么:
2008:
China - 1491PERM + 150NIW = 1641 x 1.5 = 2... 阅读全帖
l*****d
发帖数: 7963
43
【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: woyeye (我爷爷), 信区: EB23
标 题: 3012如果失败了,大家还是偷着乐吧
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Dec 4 16:23:56 2011, 美东)
短期来看,3012对EB2C 08,09,10,11,12这几年的确是利好,不可否认的。对于EB3C的
影响,我没有仔细研究,不敢妄言。但是长期来看,3012绝不是个什么‘公平’法案,
因为相对于老印,老中往米国输送人才的pipeline就是个joke。
老印有一整套的往米国塞人的流程,从医生到IT,基本上就跟流水线一样。现在的7%公
平吗?不公平。但是也正是这7%让老印的bodyshop不能全功率运转。如果3012通过,配
额取消,完全按照PD排队,大家看吧,老印很快就能找到方法高效率大规模地往米国送
人,到时候其他国家加中国每送一个人,老印就有可能送20个人,整个系统都会被老印
clog。老中的排队可能比现在还长。
如果你不信,其实已经有实际例子了,每年最后一季度,放开spillover消费的时候,
老中和老印就是按照PD排队吃配额的,结果如何?... 阅读全帖
l****i
发帖数: 3339
44
【 以下文字转载自 EB23 讨论区 】
发信人: Helsinki (跑步然后蛋腚地桑拿), 信区: EB23
标 题: 2012财年40,040的EB2绿卡名额已经用完
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Feb 24 12:12:09 2012, 美东)
总共2012财年EB1 spillover 有一万五千左右可用。
总共2012财年EB2将有幸得到大约五万五千名额。
以上为官方消息,没有链接。
g********n
发帖数: 4054
45
I guess the spillover will not subject to 7% limit?

take
y*****w
发帖数: 1350
46
I always think his conduct on spillover numbers (PD order or whatever)
caused the actual monopolization of a single country. That is definitely
against the anit-monopolization principle of the immigration law. This
should be argued on when doing senator/congressman campaign or having office
visits.
c*********e
发帖数: 323
47
来自主题: Immigration版 - FA8, 人民需要你。
Thanks for the hard working and the effort you gave to the NIU. Like you
said, you could continuously do more for NIU's affair.
If the 3,000 numbers from FB can be used this year, EB2C should be moved to
April-May 2006 just by using Chinese own quota. Now the question is how can
we make sure Chinese PD can be advanced fairly, and whetehr Chinese can get
a reasonable share of ROW spillovers.
m****n
发帖数: 815
48
来自主题: Immigration版 - 【NIU急需数据分析!】
为了更进一步与Mr. O进行沟通, 有理有利有节的争取我们今年FB+EB的7%名额. 现急需
数据分析以支持下一步行动.
分析: 以10/2009-04/2010的每个月的CUT-OFF DATE为基础, 根据CIS的485库存数据(8
/28/2009,12/11/2009, 3/8/2010), 算出各个月他给我们的名额, 以证明他前几个月都
没有每次给足250, 到现在为止我们仅EB2自身的名额还差多少,更不用说从FB来的了.
另一个方向也可以从DOS发布的两次数据(03/2010, 04/2010)来说明.
结论: 所以我们并没有从排期看出来他已经把FB 没用的给EB, 以此来PUSH他将下面两
个月(SPILLOVER之前)CHINA EB2的排期尽量前进.
s******n
发帖数: 340
49
Please check Page three:
a) Estimated Processing Time based on 2009 visa allocated:
Chinese EB2 6.1 year VS. Indian EB2, 4.3 Year;
b) Estimated Processing Time based on 7% Country Limit:
Chinese EB2 6.7 year VS Indian EB2, 15.4 year;
***********************************************************************
Conlusion:
Greatly benefiting from woldwide spillovers, Indian EB2 may significantly reduce the
expected waiting time From 15.4 year to 4.3 year.
What are we waiting for?
T****k
发帖数: 1374
50
"按这个速度一年老中5000个,老鹰6000个,"
是不是因为在spillover前要保持 老中EB1+EB2 自己 quote 3000+3000=6000? 这么说
,本年度老中EB1只有1000余人?
2009 老中 EB1 pending 164
2010 1 月 8
2 月 6
164*12=1968人
last year, china EB1 total GC 4999,
2008 5602
2007 2982
2006 3278
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