t****1 发帖数: 827 | 1 请教你一下,quarterly spillover 到底有没有法律依据? 如果有的话,他就必须执
行啊。quarterly spillover 对老中到底有多少利,不确定,但是至少无害。 |
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t****1 发帖数: 827 | 2 感谢NIU的努力,请问quarterly spillover 到底有没有法律依据? 如果有的话,他就
必须执行啊。quarterly spillover 对老中到底有多少利,不确定,但是至少无害。
because
required |
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R****r 发帖数: 623 | 3 9/22前的今年6月前current,如果有3000+ spillover (eb1+eb2 ROW), which is
still very likely. 即使今年一个spillover都没有,最晚9月前也current。
数字在那明摆着的。 |
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G****y 发帖数: 3537 | 4 Not only this factor.
When binding rule starts, there were so many old EB2I cases. Because of same
cut-off date, majority of spillover quote was consumed by old EB2I. The
next year, there is less old EB2I cases left. I think after couple years,
EB2I will catch up EB2C because all their old cases have been cleared by ROW
spillover quote. |
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s******0 发帖数: 1340 | 5 我也一直搞不懂为什么不能,为什么老印可以提前用完自己的年度名额,而EB2C不行?曾
经在哪里看到老奥说中国VISA使用已经达到季度限额,但是简单算一下,中国每个季度限
额是2800/4=700,每个季度只能最多批700(本财年1季度好象还没到),可是每年最后一个
季度就开始spillover了,中国最后一个季度的名额就被混进spillover里一起被老印吃
了.这样一来,相当于EB2C只拿了2100个自己的名额.这么明显不合理的季度限额为什么
不能让老奥更正?而且为什么老印又可以不受季度名额限制而早早用光自己名额等吃从
EB2C那里被无理克扣的名额?
如此明显的事情NIU为什么不能据理力争? |
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n**********s 发帖数: 236 | 6 That's part of the reason why we only got 26k spillover in 2010
We will see less spillover in 2011. I guess 10k maximum.
2009.
click
. |
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S*****X 发帖数: 1129 | 7 受朋友之托,问一下
为什么Spillover的名额给、印毒人那么多, 应该均分的啊, 我们不可以抗议么
In FY 2009, there were 7200 spillover number, India got 7000. China got
140, PD for both were 1/8/2005. FY 2011 is quite similar to FY 2009. |
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A****S 发帖数: 978 | 8 Last year we were supposed to get more spillover.
The main reason was that PERM approval speed went up in 2010, thus the PD
didn't move to 2007. However, the spillover number was still over 20k. |
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A****S 发帖数: 978 | 9 Mr.O will start the spillover process since May, one month earlier than
previous years. The reason is that he got nervous about the huge number of
left overs from EB1 and EB2. The total Spillover will be 37k this year,
which should put us to July 2007. Let's see.
since |
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A****S 发帖数: 978 | 10 The "official" spillover will start from July, so now the "non-offical"
spillover does not require the binding of China and India EB2. Therefore,
China and India EB2 will advance together, although China EB2 may only
advance a small step. In July they will advance huge steps. Let's see. |
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 11 靠,那就是说这些"SPILLOVER BEFORE THE SPILLOVER"先给老印,如果让老印追上老中
,再考虑给老中?如果下月老印追不上老中,老中还是只拿自己份内的,那还是只能前进1-2周。
奶奶的,搞得我都要人格分裂了,一边觉得老中领先老印有点优越感,一边又希望老印快点追上老中... |
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 12 我这样建议一个很重要的原因是,2006年8月1日是07大潮后EB2C到过的排期最近点(曾
经在08年9月的排期到过这点,姑且称08小潮),很多错过07大潮又错过08小潮的人,
这之后就再也没机会递485了,一旦今年排期突破08/01/2006,这些人就可以递上485,
早一点让EB2C突破这一点,这些人就早一天递上,在最后与老印争抢spillover中也就
为EB2C多抢到一个名额。
因为递上485之后到批准有一段时间间隔,如果他们到8,9月再递,那就抢不到今年的
spillover,就要算到下一年的名额了。
所以有人说只要本财年最终EB2C排期推进到某一日期,EB2C拿到的名额就是确定的,这
样的说法是不对的。宁可早推进 ,后面不动,也不要早不动,到最后来推进。 |
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zg 发帖数: 113 | 13 Yes we should be cautiously optimistic.
Is this "SPILLOVER BEFORE THE SPILLOVER" thing legal?
BEFORE
to |
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A****S 发帖数: 978 | 14 yes, IV people said that only 11k-12k EB1 got approved in the first two
quarters, even lower than 15k. You can check it on IV website.
Only the first two quarters are giving us 9k Spillover!!!
IV people estimated total EB1 spillover is around 20k this year!!!
I think 12k is for May only. In this summer, they should release 8k more Eb1
plus Eb2 & EB5. I am confident this year we will have at least 30k spill
over just as what I predicted!!! |
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R****r 发帖数: 623 | 15 EB2C can't use up our own quota (2800) until 9/22/2006. Any cut off date set
before that can't help EB2C movement at all. EB2C won't benefit too much in
May and June for this first batch (12K) spillover, although the forthcoming
spillover likely happens.
The new inventory of 4/1/2011 will be due in few days. That will give us
more insights on the next EB2C movement. |
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p***e 发帖数: 29053 | 16 if the spillover is less than 7k. It will hurt EB2C if we don't use all
2800 in May.
But now the spillover is 12K, it doesn't matter anymore |
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p***e 发帖数: 29053 | 17 good explanation
我这样建议一个很重要的原因是,2006年8月1日是07大潮后EB2C到过的排期最近点(曾
经在08年9月的排期到过这点,姑且称08小潮),很多错过07大潮又错过08小潮的人,
这之后就再也没机会递485了,一旦今年排期突破08/01/2006,这些人就可以递上485,
早一点让EB2C突破这一点,这些人就早一天递上,在最后与老印争抢spillover中也就
为EB2C多抢到一个名额。
因为递上485之后到批准有一段时间间隔,如果他们到8,9月再递,那就抢不到今年的
spillover,就要算到下一年的名额了。
所以有人说只要本财年最终EB2C排期推进到某一日期,EB2C拿到的名额就是确定的,这
样的说法是不对的。宁可早推进 ,后面不动,也不要早不动,到最后来推进。
===================================================================
另外,在奥定排期的过程中,他是根据现有485
inventory来数人数,数到第N个人他的PD就是排期。但是当排期推进后,会有新的485
交上来,排期一旦确... 阅读全帖 |
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G******e 发帖数: 44 | 18 Thanks, Ranier. I have a few more comments.
Last year, many people had expected more EB2 ROW spillover number than what
EB2I&C actually got. This is because of the increased number (surge) of EB2
ROW approval toward the end of 2010 fiscal year.
EB3IC to EB2IC conversion is unknown. O has not retrogressed EB2I cut-off
date. This seems to indicate the EB3I upgrade mostly got offset by their own
quota and the number is not as bad as we have thought previously.
I agree with what you mentioned in ano... 阅读全帖 |
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G******e 发帖数: 44 | 19 I hate to say this, and I know people will not like this, but, if there are
significant EB3I with early PD porting to EB2, what O will be doing as
quoted in some emails, i.e., let EB2I start using spillover before EB2C, is
legit. He already reiterates multiple times that the visa usage is strictly
based on PD.
From our perspective, we have to accept it unless we can change the way the
spillover is being allocated. In fact, this may not be a bad thing. At least
, there won't be any visa number wa... 阅读全帖 |
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G******e 发帖数: 44 | 20 If EB3I conversion is just 5,000, it's not the worst scenario considering
there are tons of EB3I with very early PD.
This EB3I upgrade and spillover from EB2 ROW are the two main factors that
could ultimately determine whether EB2IC cut-off date can pass 2006 or not.
There could very well be 17,000 or more spillover. But, with 5,000 EB3I
porting to EB2, 17,000 can barely clear the PDs before end of Oct. 2006. |
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 21 该倒退就得倒退,有什么不愿意的,Family Based排期还不是给一下子倒退了好几年。
老印EB2没有倒退,就说明他们EB3升级的基本跟每月分给他们EB2的名额平衡。EB3升级
每月多少奥本都心里有数,肯定维持在一定速率范围内,不可能串上蹿下太厉害。即使
没法预测下个月,每个月已经消耗的名额他肯定知道。所以你的动态说站不住脚。
而且根据过去几个月EB2名额发放速率,老中老印肯定都没拿满自己country limit。然而,5月印度开始吃spillover的话,那就是让他一步登天,直接reach country limit,然后还大吃特吃spillover。老中呢,还是按原来的速率(每月2,3百)慢慢吃自己名额,一直到7月,这合理吗? |
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 22 发信人: jwe (Mike), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: May 2011 EB-2 Cut-Off Date Substantial Move-Ahead Pred
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 29 13:24:33 2011, 美东)
我这样建议一个很重要的原因是,2006年8月1日是07大潮后EB2C到过的排期最近点(曾
经在08年9月的排期到过这点,姑且称08小潮),很多错过07大潮又错过08小潮的人,
这之后就再也没机会递485了,一旦今年排期突破08/01/2006,这些人就可以递上485,
早一点让EB2C突破这一点,这些人就早一天递上,在最后与老印争抢spillover中也就
为EB2C多抢到一个名额。
因为递上485之后到批准有一段时间间隔,如果他们到8,9月再递,那就抢不到今年的
spillover,就要算到下一年的名额了。
所以有人说只要本财年最终EB2C排期推进到某一日期,EB2C拿到的名额就是确定的,这
样的说法是不对的。宁可早推进 ,后面不动,也不要早不动,到最后来推进。
as |
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j*e 发帖数: 1987 | 23 发信人: jwe (Mike), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: May 2011 EB-2 Cut-Off Date Substantial Move-Ahead Pred
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Mar 29 13:24:33 2011, 美东)
我这样建议一个很重要的原因是,2006年8月1日是07大潮后EB2C到过的排期最近点(曾
经在08年9月的排期到过这点,姑且称08小潮),很多错过07大潮又错过08小潮的人,
这之后就再也没机会递485了,一旦今年排期突破08/01/2006,这些人就可以递上485,
早一点让EB2C突破这一点,这些人就早一天递上,在最后与老印争抢spillover中也就
为EB2C多抢到一个名额。
因为递上485之后到批准有一段时间间隔,如果他们到8,9月再递,那就抢不到今年的
spillover,就要算到下一年的名额了。
所以有人说只要本财年最终EB2C排期推进到某一日期,EB2C拿到的名额就是确定的,这
样的说法是不对的。宁可早推进 ,后面不动,也不要早不动,到最后来推进。
==========================... 阅读全帖 |
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p**8 发帖数: 3883 | 24 信人: p838 (失去自由的矿工), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: 抓住关键点就是平分SPILLOVER 的名额, 没有任何理由和老
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Apr 3 20:39:11 2011, 美东)
你连PD原则都不懂?? 那是INA 202 的第一条,最重要的一条。
发信人: jwe (Mike), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: 抓住关键点就是平分SPILLOVER 的名额, 没有任何理由和老
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Apr 3 17:55:04 2011, 美东)
剩余名额分配的法律依据奥本在2010年1月的Visa Bulletin的Section D里面以Q&A的方
式有详细阐述。
见
http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_4597.html
|
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z********i 发帖数: 60 | 25 Did you know?
You are the 10th person from Illinois to sign this petition!
The sample letter in the website when I preview has a lot of space and not
aligned returns. So I delete those hard returns to make the paragraph more
complete. I paste here, hopefully it can be copied and pasted easier.
=================
New Immigrants United
End Discriminatory Practice That Led to Disadvantage of China Employment-Based Second Preference in FY 2011
I am writing to express my grave concerns regarding sever... 阅读全帖 |
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S*****X 发帖数: 1129 | 26 O也不是一岁小孩子;大家随便说什么就是什么;
\
你就别声东击西,转移视线,维护印度人利益了--谁都知道SPILLOVER 是大头。。。
谁不要SPILLOVER, 谁才疯了呢 |
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S*****X 发帖数: 1129 | 27 你听谁 说的法律支持O的spillover按PD 分配原则了---P838的解释根本不对-
--法律既没有明确的地方支持spillover按PD 分;
希望从法律的漏洞上来与奥本斗,而不是靠讲道理去跟他斗。
也许,通过认真研究法律条款,我们可以把奥本的做法引到国别歧视上,或者找出他的
做法中违反某条法律的地方。不一定要正面扳倒他,运用智慧从别的地方扳倒他
2 |
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b*******l 发帖数: 1737 | 28 最近大家太浮躁了。其实你天天看也是9月份用完SPILLOVER,一个月一关注也是9月份
用完SPILLOVER,有时间还不如把工作生活搞得更好。在这里发牢骚屁用没有。其实对
于绝大多数人讲,只要有H1B或者EAD,有没有绿卡对生活工作也没有太多影响。有了绿
卡,也不是说就可以不用工作了。还不是该干啥干啥。
我同意一个观点,只要中印捆绑,那么具体怎么前进都没有什么质的区别。想要改变这
个现实,大家就要去努力改变立法。跟奥傻磨叽没用。 |
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a**n 发帖数: 2431 | 29 kao, 能沉住气才有鬼了
主要是太多不确定因素
不知道阿三哥阿三嫂们upgrade的数量
不知道07年7月前还有多少大陆哥大陆嫂没交的
不知道其他spillover能有多少
其实今年蛮关键的,一把多冲一点对以后好处很大(当然顺道解放我市关键),以后,
至少明年
没有那么多spillover了,只用自己那点2800,很多人要等到退休了 |
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O****w 发帖数: 61 | 30 I think whether it is good or bad depends.
1) The good side is EB2-C can get more Spillover in July-Sept. Eventually
EB2-CI might get biger movement by this Sept. Because bigger movement in
early months may result in more EB3 porting cases getting in line and they
can use this year's visa/spillover. If they are not allowed to get in line
until July, most likely they can't be approved by Sept due to 485 processing
time.
2) The bad side is the approval for the cases with PD in Aug/Sept 2006 will
b... 阅读全帖 |
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S*****X 发帖数: 1129 | 31 对P838 的看法
由于新来的时候,对这个ID 其实并不了解;就觉得他好象经常提供一些信息给大家;
大家好象对其褒贬不一;
经过最近两个星期的观察; 我觉得P838--他之所以有市场就是因为一小部分的EB2比较自私的缘故;
(1) 如果P838 真的为大家; 就应该在和O 能说上话的机会为中国人游说; 尽
可能争取一些名额;而不是一味的维护O 的---按PD 给SPILLOVER 的分配原则; 还骗
大家说什么有法律依据; 其实法律上没有一条是明确说SPILLOVER 是应该按PD 来划分
的; 他和O 这根本是偷换概念。。。
虽然他已经有乐绿卡,别忘了,如果他周围的工作环境将来都是印度人;他的日子将来
肯定不会好过的。。
(2) P838,不仅不让大家斗争, 还一味指责大家;鼓吹什么只有摇尾乞怜才对
,根本就是误导。。。
(3) 把自己的小道消息,当成一种特权;你就大大方方的说出来不行么,为中国人
做点事情很难么? 神神秘秘的,就是为了大家追捧你为教主??? |
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z*****g 发帖数: 154 | 32 本质上有很大区别,EB2C前进是因为自己的额度还没有用完,有没有spillover都应该
前进。EB2I前进是因为O傻开始分给阿三spillover。 |
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o*********e 发帖数: 138 | 33 败诉并不可怕, 反正我们没有什么可以失去. 但是胜诉就会彻底改变我们的现状.
经常看到有人说并没有明确条文说明中印排期捆绑(spillover)违法. 当然更没有明确条文说明中印
排期捆绑(spillover)合法.对于这样的事情, 我觉得就象很多违宪/释宪的案例(比如宗教/民权/同
性恋), 都是没有明文规定的. 但是法律原则的适用对象, 适用范围, 都是可以辩论的.
而且一旦一个判例产生, 本身就成了法律, 至少进一步明确了法律.
我们理解diversify的原则是名额在国家间分配的总原则, 而priority date先后是在某
来源国家内部分配的原则. O傻的具体操作违反了总原则.
算是抛砖引玉吧. 个人觉得在法律诉讼方面我们还有可以努力的地方. |
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i****y 发帖数: 5184 | 34 对移民法不是很懂,看了大家一些帖子,添片瓦。
Issue/goal:希望奥本先生的办公室改变spillover在中国和印度申请者间的分配方法
,现在是按照PD分配,大家希望中印之间平分对吗?
美国联邦政府是一个三权分立的系统,executive(USCIS是这一线的),legislative
(也就是国会),和judiciary(法院)。要到达上面的目的,三个系统都可能加以解
决,但是方法,途径和结果都很不同。
1.法院
大家在说告奥本先生办公室,也就是告一个administrative agency(或者其职员),
这是法律解决途径。也就是说认为executive branch做错了事情,让法院系统裁决,然
后用裁决结果去要求executive执行。诉讼在解决这个问题上我觉得是挺不实际的。
(a)历时时间长,美国民事案件审理时间很长,有漫长的discovery,各种motion,被
告file motion来拖时间是常有的事情,假设如果5年后法院说奥先生错了,是否解决大
家立时立刻的问题?
(b)一些threshold问题,比如standing,class certification... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 35 New Predictions - Last Updated - 01 May 2011
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/02/prediction-for-eb
China
Optimistic: 6/1/2007
Realistic: 3/8/2007
Worst : 1/1/2007
Here is the Prediction for EB2 Category cutoff date movement for Fiscal Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below) which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on Trackitt for EB2 c... 阅读全帖 |
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H*V 发帖数: 2770 | 36 dream ba
Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below)
which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released
for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on
Trackitt for EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for
each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below.
This data is further used to calculate spillover that would b: e available
for EB2 category. Dates are predicted based on vi... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 37 Prediction / Calculation Using Trackitt Model
Summary Of Predictions
EB2 I- FEB To APR 2007 (20% Chance of 01-AUG-2007)
EB2 India Calculation Details
Date India China PWMB CP Total Cumulative
Offset 7200 800 0 0 8000 8000
May-06 1110 38 100 100 1348 9348
Jun-06 1696 541 100 100 2437 11785
Jul-06 1505 620 100 100 2325 14110
Aug-06 1677 693 100 100 2570 16680
Sep-06 1745 773 100 100 2718 19398
Oct-06 1747 732 100 100 2679 22077
Nov-06 1737 667 100 100 2604 24681
Dec-06 1881 770 200 100 2951 27632
... 阅读全帖 |
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n**********s 发帖数: 236 | 38 Mr.O一向非常保守,听说这次VB耽误的原因就是因为他的最新数据表明EB1/EB2
consumed much less visa numbers than he expected.
这次把排期前进3个半月的前提是他得到新的数据表明前三个季度没有消耗太多名额。
据说这次VB耽误的原因就是因为上个星期得到的新数据。这和我们公司律师的说法基本
一样,律师说他的消息是目前为止前三个季度EB1/2总共用了不到5万名额,8万8减去5万
=3万8千,还剩下3万8千多名额,即使最后一个季度还会批一些EB1/EB2 ROW,但是估计
最后怎么样也还有2万多的Spillover! 还有一个因素是海量批准中印的EB2会减缓EB1/
EB2 ROW的批准,另外还有EB5的剩余名额,所以今年的Spillover是大大的!
2006年10月15日以前的中印EB2总共1万多
从下个月才开始大跃进呢
从2006年10月到2007年8月总共只剩下两万EB2了
估计今年基本可以清空所有EB2 |
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 39 FRom http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-(Rather-Calculations)/page70
EB2-C the same?
I think that EB2-C must now share the same Cut Off Date as EB2-I in June.
The movement to Oct 15 2006 means they will exceed the base 2,803 allocation
.
Spec,
EB2C may have inched forward than 15OCT2006 since more spillover numbers
will be applied in the coming months.
Veni,
My understanding is that once both Countries start using the spillover, that
they have to share the same Cut Of... 阅读全帖 |
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r********n 发帖数: 1162 | 40 Don't expect any spillover after cleaning up 2007 mess.
Look at the data: Indian PERM is 20k/year and their demand will be more than
30k per year from 2007 to 2010. Do you think we can get 30k spillover every
year?
China EB2 can only rely on its own visa from 2007! |
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A****S 发帖数: 978 | 41 There are stunning 80k Indian PERM between 2007 and 2010!!!! It is 7 times
of China PERM!!!!
It is a crazy number!!!!
They will consume all the Spillover in the future five years!!!!
Spillover-----------all go to India from 2012-2017!!! |
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a**n 发帖数: 2431 | 42 I am esp. confused why ppl believe next year we will clear 07 backlog
This seems highly impossible for me
adding back all those <07/07 pd that missed the 07 window, and indian eb3-eb
2 upgrade, we need at least another 20K+ spillover to just advance to the en
d of 07/06
;not to say 07/07 and 07/08
without another huge spillover next year, Chinese EB2 cannot advance to even
07/06
This is really bleak prospect |
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a**n 发帖数: 2431 | 43 今年就算有2万多个spillover
也只能把我们带到07年2-3月
这也许是当下最可能的情况
这后面到07年7月前还有2800-3000个排队的
明年不一定有spillover
用自己的名额明年夏天都未必能过07年6月底
因为07年6月底前还有至少好几百当年没赶上交485的呢
再往后,完全都没法算了 |
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f*****u 发帖数: 40 | 44 Mr.O一向非常保守,听说这次VB耽误的原因就是因为他的最新数据表明EB1/EB2
consumed much less visa numbers than he expected.
这次把排期前进3个半月的前提是他得到新的数据表明前三个季度没有消耗太多名额。
据说这次VB耽误的原因就是因为上个星期得到的新数据。这和我们公司律师的说法基本
一样,律师说他的消息是目前为止前三个季度EB1/2总共用了不到5万名额,8万8减去5万
=3万8千,还剩下3万8千多名额,即使最后一个季度还会批一些EB1/EB2 ROW,但是估计
最后怎么样也还有2万多的Spillover! 还有一个因素是海量批准中印的EB2会减缓EB1/
EB2 ROW的批准,另外还有EB5的剩余名额,所以今年的Spillover是大大的!
2006年10月15日以前的中印EB2总共1万多
从下个月才开始大跃进呢
从2006年10月到2007年8月总共只剩下两万EB2了
估计今年基本可以清空所有EB2 |
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s****t 发帖数: 427 | 45 Are you the same guy(neatguytexas)?
发信人: neatguytexas (Neat Guy Texas), 信区: EB23
标 题: EB1/2前三个季度只用了不到5万名额
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu May 12 00:44:14 2011, 美东)
Mr.O一向非常保守,听说这次VB耽误的原因就是因为他的最新数据表明EB1/EB2
consumed much less visa numbers than he expected.
这次把排期前进3个半月的前提是他得到新的数据表明前三个季度没有消耗太多名额。
据说这次VB耽误的原因就是因为上个星期得到的新数据。这和我们公司律师的说法基本
一样,律师说他的消息是目前为止前三个季度EB1/2总共用了不到5万名额,8万8减去5万
=3万8千,还剩下3万8千多名额,即使最后一个季度还会批一些EB1/EB2 ROW,但是估计
最后怎么样也还有2万多的Spillover! 还有一个因素是海量批准中印的EB2会减缓EB1/
EB2 ROW的批准,另外还有EB5的剩余名额,所以今年的Spillove... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 46 By TeddyKoochu
EB2 India Predictions for Q4 2011 and 2012
Friends many of you have asked on when your specific dates will be current.
For now on the strength of numbers following is the current situation.
- The current cap consumed is 6K of regular I/C cap and around 9K of the 12K
visas that came up at the time of the May bulletin this would make it ~ 15K
consumption. We should be cognizant to the fact that last year SOFAD which
includes I/C regular cap was 26K and this year the cap itself is le... 阅读全帖 |
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r********n 发帖数: 1162 | 47 my attorney estimated there are 37-38k spill over totally. I mentioned this
last month. Nobody believed this number at that time.
this year the spill over will clear all the cases which have been pre-
adjusted. Therefore, the spillover number is bigger than the demand. At
least 3k of spillover will go to EB3 this year.
There are around 6k PWMB demand, but they can only submit 485 in this summer
and there is no way to approve them in a short time.
So, finally we will have 6k EB2 demand, but the s... 阅读全帖 |
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r********n 发帖数: 1162 | 48 my source told me this year they have 37-38k spillover.
indians also got similar message.
p8388 got message that we have 36k spillover.
all the different sources match up. |
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r********n 发帖数: 1162 | 49 the main thing is that nobody is sure that they can approve a case in 3-4
months.
the other thing is that Spillover rule was not clear before 2007. They never
strictly allocated all the spill over numbers to EB2. Previously even
Indian EB3 could get spill over.
now it's a different game. they have to accumulate some cases for the summer
spill over. otherwise they will not be able to allocate all the spillover
to China and India EB2. They have to prepare enough pre adjusted cases for
next summer ... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8 发帖数: 1972 | 50 http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/july-2011-visa-bu
Our Analysis on EB Category after July Visa Bulletin Release
EB3-ROW-M-P - EB3 ROW moved by three weeks to October 08, 2005. As seen with
last few months, EB3-ROW only used 1400 visas from the visible demand. At
this pace EB3-ROW can ONLY reach mid November by September 2011 visa
bulletin. Either lot of the annual visa consumption is going into approving
monthly cases returned from Local Offices to USCIS or these visas are
utilized ... 阅读全帖 |
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